FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026

Grambling def. Texas Southern 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Grambling 56.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grambling beat visiting Texas Southern 3-0 (32-30, 25-23, 25-11) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Grambling's Lyric Jordan led with 13 kills, and Asialin Powell added 27 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set123Sets
TX SOU3023110
GRAMB3225253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Asialin Powell served 4 aces, and Grambling needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Grambling's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Grambling went in as RallyIQ's 56% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Texas Southern 19–22 Grambling

    Texas Southern scored 4 straight to turn a 19–22 deficit into a 23–22 lead. The match swung to Texas Southern.

    Grambling 69% → 48%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Texas Southern 29–29 Grambling

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Grambling, enough to take the set 32–30 and lead 1–0.

    Grambling 54% → 73%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Texas Southern 23–22 Grambling

    3 straight Grambling points turned a 22–23 deficit into a 25–23 lead.

    Grambling 66% → 90%

Grambling above 50Texas Southern belowMax swing 9.8%

Texas SouthernGrambling

Sideout %
Texas Southern 45.0·Grambling 57.6
Break %
Texas Southern 42.4·Grambling 55.0
Hitting
Texas Southern .024·Grambling .159
Longest run
Texas Southern 7·Grambling 5

Lyric Jordan
13 kills on .313, 16 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grambling above 50 · Texas Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.8% TX SOUrally 146 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Texas Southern — set 1, TX SOU 29-28 GRAMB. Avri Solik-Fifarek stuffed by Ava Houston & Aliyah Spencer. GRAMB win probability 56% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX SOU 39.0%61.0% GRAMB

Texas Southern wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%

Grambling wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
19.9%
TX SOU break %
44.1% vs this opp
GRAMB break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Avri Solik-Fifarek stuffed by Ava Houston & Aliyah Spencer

    Set 1 · TX SOU 29-28 GRAMB · TX SOU 44% → 54%

  2. 02

    Kill by Angelique Pena

    Set 1 · TX SOU 23-24 GRAMB · GRAMB 54% → 64%

  3. 03
    Lyric JordanKill+9.6%

    Kill by Lyric Jordan (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 1 · TX SOU 30-31 GRAMB · GRAMB 54% → 64%

  4. 04
    GramblingAce+9.4%

    Grambling ace on Keagan St. Junious

    Set 1 · TX SOU 30-32 GRAMB · GRAMB 64% → 73%

  5. 05
    Lauren BattleAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Lauren Battle

    Set 2 · TX SOU 23-24 GRAMB · GRAMB 72% → 81%

  6. 06
    GramblingAce+8.8%

    Grambling ace on Lauren Battle

    Set 2 · TX SOU 23-25 GRAMB · GRAMB 81% → 90%

  7. 07
    Texas SouthernService error+8.2%

    Texas Southern service error

    Set 1 · TX SOU 29-29 GRAMB · GRAMB 46% → 54%

  8. 08

    Lyric Jordan stuffed by Aliyah Spencer & Ava Houston

    Set 1 · TX SOU 30-29 GRAMB · TX SOU 46% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38626.0770101430009
37532.063011410008
34312.083000201226
32218.00000060010.52.5
3000–1700600000
2113.000100000212
34420.00000010031.55.5
3003.0001021740000
3022-1.000701700000
2103.333010200002
1016-.167000110000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–101100000
Team totals2724126.024273561918564
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313332.3130001014316
37519.10500010031.58.5
35211.27311121052.58.5
36215.267000200006
3000–1812600001
2339.00001120010.54.5
37226.19200030031.58.5
3000–3422710004
3001.00016201200002
30418-.222001410000
3000–002300000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals4221132.1593899633116982

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas Southern vs Grambling

Season series · Grambling leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 TX SOU · GRAMB 5

Set 1

30-32

Longest run 4 TX SOUGRAMB 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 7 TX SOUGRAMB 5

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 TX SOUGRAMB 5

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
38%3/8
2
63%5/8
38%3/8
3
36%4/11
38%3/8
4
50%4/8
33%2/6
5
23%3/13
56%5/9
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
44%24/55
40%17/43

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
50%3/6
2
63%5/8
44%4/9
3
63%5/8
38%3/8
4
67%4/6
64%7/11
5
44%4/9
50%4/8
6
75%3/4
77%10/13
All
60%26/43
56%31/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#TX SOU-GRAMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordan+1.9
20-2GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.3
31-2GRAMBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+1.8
42-2TX SOUTX SOUBad setReece Cook+2.4
52-3TX SOUGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.0
63-3GRAMBTX SOU×3Bad setAmaris Marks+2.0
74-3TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errKenya Lucas+2.5
85-3TX SOUTX SOU×3KillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+2.5
95-4TX SOUGRAMBServe errTexas Southern+2.0
105-5GRAMBGRAMBAttack errAliyah Spencer+2.6
116-5GRAMBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+2.2
126-6TX SOUGRAMBAttack errLauren Battle+2.2
136-7GRAMBGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.7
147-7GRAMBTX SOU×3Attack errRihianna Brown+2.2
158-7TX SOUTX SOU×3AceTexas Southernaced Avri Solik-Fifarek+2.8
169-7TX SOUTX SOU×3Bad setAlayna Howard+2.8
179-8TX SOUGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.2
189-9GRAMBGRAMB×5KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.8
199-10GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errKennedi Walker+2.9
209-11GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedLacey Kusnierblk Jazmine Binion, Angelique Pena+2.9
219-12GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedAva Houstonblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+2.7
2210-12GRAMBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+2.1
2311-12TX SOUTX SOUBlockedLyric Jordanblk Ava Houston, Morgynne McQueen+2.8
2411-13TX SOUGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+2.5
2512-13GRAMBTX SOU×4KillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+2.4
2613-13TX SOUTX SOU×4KillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+3.3
2714-13TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedAngelique Penablk Gracie Lee, Morgynne McQueen+3.5
2815-13TX SOUTX SOU×4KillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+3.5
2915-14TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.7
3016-14GRAMBTX SOUAttack errAmaris Marks+3.0
3117-14TX SOUTX SOUAceTexas Southernaced Angelique Pena+3.5
3217-15TX SOUGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.4
3317-16GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+3.5
3418-16GRAMBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+3.4
3518-17TX SOUGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+3.0
3618-18GRAMBGRAMBAceGramblingaced Lauren Battle+4.2
3719-18GRAMBTX SOUAttack errAmaris Marks+3.9
3819-19TX SOUGRAMB×4KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+3.8
3919-20GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errLauren Battle+4.9
4019-21GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Keagan St. Junious+4.8
4119-22GRAMBGRAMB×4KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+4.1
4220-22GRAMBTX SOU×4Serve errGrambling+2.4
4321-22TX SOUTX SOU×4KillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+4.4
4422-22TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errJazmine Binion+6.2
4523-22TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Aliyah Spencer+7.6
4623-23TX SOUGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Asialin Powell+6.1
4723-24GRAMBGRAMBKillAngelique Pena+9.6
4824-24GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling+7.9
4924-25TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+7.9
5025-25GRAMBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Keagan St. Junious+7.9
5125-26TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Asialin Powell+7.9
5226-26GRAMBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+7.9
5326-27TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+7.9
5427-27GRAMBTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+7.9
5527-28TX SOUGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+7.9
5628-28GRAMBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+7.9
5729-28TX SOUTX SOUBlockedAvri Solik-Fifarekblk Ava Houston, Aliyah Spencer+9.8
5829-29TX SOUGRAMBServe errTexas Southern+8.2
5930-29GRAMBTX SOUBlockedLyric Jordanblk Aliyah Spencer, Ava Houston+8.2
6030-30TX SOUGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+8.2
6130-31GRAMBGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+9.6
6230-32GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Keagan St. Junious+9.4
Set 2
11-0GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling+1.8
21-1TX SOUGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.8
32-1GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling+1.9
42-2TX SOUGRAMBServe errTexas Southern+1.9
53-2GRAMBTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kaiulani Sherrow+1.9
63-3TX SOUGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+1.9
73-4GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errLauren Battle+2.3
83-5GRAMBGRAMB×5Bad setKaiulani Sherrow+2.3
93-6GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errLacey Kusnier+2.2
103-7GRAMBGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.0
114-7GRAMBTX SOUAttack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+1.5
125-7TX SOUTX SOUAceTexas Southernaced Asialin Powell+2.1
135-8TX SOUGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+1.9
146-8GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling+1.8
157-8TX SOUTX SOUBlockedRihianna Brownblk Morgynne McQueen+2.4
167-9TX SOUGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+2.1
178-9GRAMBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+2.0
188-10TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Kadence Davison+2.2
199-10GRAMBTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.1
209-11TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.2
219-12GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marks+2.5
2210-12TX SOU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
2311-12TX SOUTX SOUAttack errKenya Lucas+2.7
2411-13TX SOUGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Angelique Pena+2.4
2512-13GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling+2.3
2613-13TX SOUTX SOUAttack errRihianna Brown+3.1
2713-14TX SOUGRAMBBlockedAva Houstonblk Rihianna Brown, Amaris Marks+2.6
2814-14GRAMBTX SOU×7Attack errRihianna Brown+2.7
2915-14TX SOUTX SOU×7KillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+3.4
3016-14TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errRihianna Brown+3.4
3117-14TX SOUTX SOU×7KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+3.2
3218-14TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errAmaris Marks+2.8
3319-14TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errJazmine Binion+2.3
3420-14TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+1.6
3520-15TX SOUGRAMB×3KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+0.8
3620-16GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedMorgynne McQueenblk Jazmine Binion, Rihianna Brown+1.5
3720-17GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedAva Houstonblk Lyric Jordan, Rihianna Brown+2.1
3821-17GRAMBTX SOUAttack errLyric Jordan+2.5
3921-18TX SOUGRAMB×5Attack errLacey Kusnier+1.7
4021-19GRAMBGRAMB×5AceAsialin Powellaced Lacey Kusnier+2.9
4121-20GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedLacey Kusnierblk Angelique Pena, Jazmine Binion+4.1
4221-21GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedGracie Leeblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+5.2
4321-22GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedLacey Kusnierblk Lyric Jordan+5.9
4422-22GRAMBTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+4.8
4523-22TX SOUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+7.2
4623-23TX SOUGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+5.7
4723-24GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errLauren Battle+9.0
4823-25GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Lauren Battle+8.8
Set 3
10-1TX SOUGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.1
20-2GRAMBGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.4
30-3GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errGracie Lee+1.3
41-3GRAMBTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+1.0
51-4TX SOUGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.1
61-5GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Keagan St. Junious+1.2
71-6GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMorgynne McQueen+1.1
82-6GRAMBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+0.8
93-6TX SOUTX SOUBad setReece Cook+1.2
103-7TX SOUGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+1.1
113-8GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errLauren Battle+1.1
123-9GRAMBGRAMB×5AceGramblingaced Keagan St. Junious+1.0
133-10GRAMBGRAMB×5Bad setKadence Davison+0.8
143-11GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errLauren Battle+0.6
154-11GRAMBTX SOUKillAaliyah Brownset Kadence Davison+0.4
165-11TX SOUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+0.6
175-12TX SOUGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+0.7
186-12GRAMBTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+0.5
196-13TX SOUGRAMB×4KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+0.7
206-14GRAMBGRAMB×4AceAsialin Powellaced Selana Morales+0.6
216-15GRAMBGRAMB×4KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+0.4
226-16GRAMBGRAMB×4AceAsialin Powellaced Lauren Battle+0.3
237-16GRAMBTX SOUServe errAsialin Powell+0.1
247-17TX SOUGRAMB×4Attack errKennedi Walker+0.2
257-18GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedAva Houstonblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+0.1
267-19GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errSelana Morales+0.1
277-20GRAMBGRAMB×4KillJocelyn Pargasset Reece Cook·
288-20GRAMBTX SOUServe errGrambling·
298-21TX SOUGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook·
308-22GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMorgynne McQueen·
319-22GRAMBTX SOUAttack errAvri Solik-Fifarek·
3210-22TX SOUTX SOUAttack errAngelique Pena·
3310-23TX SOUGRAMBServe errTexas Southern·
3411-23GRAMBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison·
3511-24TX SOUGRAMBServe errTexas Southern·
3611-25GRAMBGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard·

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).