Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026

Grambling def. Alabama St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Grambling 58.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grambling beat visiting Alabama St. 3-1 (25-17, 24-26, 25-15, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Lyric Jordan led Grambling with 13 kills; Alabama St.'s Kaylen Hines had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
ALA ST172615221
GRAMB252425253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.480 on 25 swings: Lyric Jordan and Grambling edged Alabama St.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Grambling's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Grambling went in as RallyIQ's 58% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Alabama St. 16–16 Grambling

    Alabama St. scored 6 straight to go from 16–16 to a 22–16 lead.

    Grambling 74% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Alabama St. 23–23 Grambling

    Alabama St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 1–1.

    Grambling 73% → 56%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Alabama St. 18–17 Grambling

    3 straight Grambling points turned a 17–18 deficit into a 20–18 lead.

    Grambling 73% → 89%

Grambling above 50Alabama St. belowMax swing 9.3%

Alabama St.Grambling

Sideout %
Alabama St. 50.0·Grambling 61.7
Break %
Alabama St. 38.3·Grambling 50.0
Hitting
Alabama St. .136·Grambling .245
Longest run
Alabama St. 6·Grambling 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grambling above 50 · Alabama St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.3% ALA STrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Alabama St. — set 2, ALA ST 26-24 GRAMB. Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay). GRAMB win probability 66% → 56%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA ST 36.7%63.3% GRAMB

Alabama St. wins

3-0
7.7%
3-1
13.2%
3-2
15.8%

Grambling wins

3-0
19.0%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%
ALA ST break %
43.8% vs this opp
GRAMB break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaylen HinesKill+9.3%

    Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 2 · ALA ST 26-24 GRAMB · ALA ST 34% → 44%

  2. 02

    Kill by Taylor Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 2 · ALA ST 24-23 GRAMB · ALA ST 27% → 34%

  3. 03

    Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 2 · ALA ST 24-24 GRAMB · GRAMB 66% → 73%

  4. 04
    GramblingService error+7.5%

    Grambling service error

    Set 2 · ALA ST 25-24 GRAMB · ALA ST 27% → 34%

  5. 05
    Lyric JordanKill+7.3%

    Kill by Lyric Jordan (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 4 · ALA ST 22-24 GRAMB · GRAMB 88% → 95%

  6. 06
    Amaris MarksKill+6.7%

    Kill by Amaris Marks

    Set 2 · ALA ST 23-23 GRAMB · GRAMB 66% → 73%

  7. 07
    Makeda EdwardsAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Makeda Edwards

    Set 4 · ALA ST 18-19 GRAMB · GRAMB 78% → 83%

  8. 08
    Lainy EvansAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Lainy Evans

    Set 4 · ALA ST 22-23 GRAMB · ALA ST 7% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420753.2450001000020
411430.2330003020213
45517.0001011230005
43412-.083001401014
4019-.11141311000003
34318.056100100004
4000–001430000
4000–101910000
4000–2001130000
3418.375000200004
2237-.143000100002
1000–000000000
Team totals4928154.1364635581130380
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413125.4800003012215
412623.2611001012214
48218.3330003016412
47319.21103120111.511.5
45221.143022800007
4000–21121200001
410534.14710010031.511.5
4011-1.00010301500003
4001.000021400002
4000–17011400000
1001.000001120000
Team totals5520143.245501186434141199

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ALA ST · GRAMB 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 ALA STGRAMB 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 6 ALA STGRAMB 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 ALA STGRAMB 7

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 ALA STGRAMB 4

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
56%10/18
2
50%9/18
25%3/12
3
67%8/12
10%1/10
4
36%8/22
53%9/17
5
44%8/18
33%4/12
6
64%7/11
33%4/12
All
50%49/98
38%31/81

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
38%5/13
2
90%9/10
50%9/18
3
47%8/17
50%8/16
4
73%8/11
47%7/15
5
67%8/12
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
60%12/20
All
62%50/81
50%49/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#ALA ST-GRAMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ALA STALA STAceKamrynn Clay+2.3
22-0ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Mirra Riddle+2.4
32-1ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.9
43-1GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.0
53-2ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.9
64-2GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.1
74-3ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.0
85-3GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+2.1
95-4ALA STGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.0
105-5GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedTaylor Williamsblk Angelique Pena, Kenya Lucas+2.5
115-6GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errAlexis Williams+2.6
126-6GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.1
137-6ALA STALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
147-7ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.2
157-8GRAMBGRAMBBlockedMikalah Davisblk Rihianna Brown+2.7
168-8GRAMBALA STAttack errAmaris Marks+2.3
178-9ALA STGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+2.3
189-9GRAMBALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+2.3
1910-9ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.0
2010-10ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+2.4
2111-10GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.5
2211-11ALA STGRAMB×3KillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+2.5
2311-12GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKaylen Hines+3.1
2411-13GRAMBGRAMB×3AceRihianna Brownaced Ava O'Hare+3.0
2512-13GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+2.4
2612-14ALA STGRAMBBlockedTaylor Williamsblk Angelique Pena, Lainy Evans+2.6
2713-14GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Mirra Riddle+2.5
2813-15ALA STGRAMB×4KillKenya Lucas+2.7
2913-16GRAMBGRAMB×4KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+3.0
3013-17GRAMBGRAMB×4KillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.6
3113-18GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errAlexis Williams+2.1
3214-18GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+1.3
3314-19ALA STGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.7
3414-20GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMikalah Davis+1.4
3515-20GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
3615-21ALA STGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Asialin Powell+1.1
3716-21GRAMBALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
3817-21ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
3917-22ALA STGRAMB×4Serve errAlabama St.+1.5
4017-23GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errKaylen Hines+1.0
4117-24GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errLyric Edwards+0.4
4217-25GRAMBGRAMB×4AceAmaris Marksaced Taylor Williams+0.1
Set 2
10-1GRAMBGRAMB×3KillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+2.1
20-2GRAMBGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brown+2.1
30-3GRAMBGRAMB×3AceAlayna Howardaced Mirra Riddle+2.0
41-3GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+1.6
51-4ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.7
61-5GRAMBGRAMBAttack errAlexis Williams+1.9
72-5GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+1.4
82-6ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.6
92-7GRAMBGRAMBBlockedLyric Edwardsblk Lyric Jordan+1.7
103-7GRAMBALA ST×4KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
114-7ALA STALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
125-7ALA STALA ST×4Attack errLainy Evans+2.0
136-7ALA STALA ST×4AceKamrynn Clayaced Avri Solik-Fifarek+2.2
146-8ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+2.0
157-8GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.9
168-8ALA STALA STAttack errAngelique Pena+2.5
178-9ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Asialin Powell+2.1
189-9GRAMBALA ST×3KillTaylor Williamsset Mikalah Davis+2.2
1910-9ALA STALA ST×3BlockedKenya Lucasblk Lyric Edwards+2.7
2011-9ALA STALA ST×3Attack errAmaris Marks+2.8
2111-10ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.2
2212-10GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
2313-10ALA STALA STAttack errRihianna Brown+2.8
2413-11ALA STGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+2.1
2514-11GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
2615-11ALA STALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.6
2715-12ALA STGRAMB×4KillAmaris Marksset Asialin Powell+1.8
2815-13GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errAlexis Williams+2.6
2915-14GRAMBGRAMB×4KillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+3.0
3015-15GRAMBGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+3.3
3116-15GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.9
3216-16ALA STGRAMBServe errAlabama St.+2.9
3317-16GRAMBALA ST×6Attack errLainy Evans+3.1
3418-16ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.7
3519-16ALA STALA ST×6Attack errAsialin Powell+3.5
3620-16ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hines+2.9
3721-16ALA STALA ST×6AceKamrynn Clayaced Avri Solik-Fifarek+2.2
3822-16ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hinesset Emani Green+1.3
3922-17ALA STGRAMB×5BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+0.5
4022-18GRAMBGRAMB×5BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Angelique Pena+1.1
4122-19GRAMBGRAMB×5KillLyric Jordanset Kenya Lucas+1.8
4222-20GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errMikalah Davis+2.8
4322-21GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errKaylen Hines+4.2
4423-21GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+4.9
4523-22ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Asialin Powell+3.6
4623-23GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marks+6.7
4724-23GRAMBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+7.5
4824-24ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+7.5
4925-24GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+7.5
5026-24ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+9.3
Set 3
10-1ALA STGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.5
21-1GRAMBALA STAttack errLyric Jordan+2.6
31-2ALA STGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.6
41-3GRAMBGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Lainy Evans+3.1
51-4GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errTaylor Williams+2.9
62-4GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.3
72-5ALA STGRAMBServe errAlabama St.+2.5
83-5GRAMBALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
93-6ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.5
104-6GRAMBALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Taylor Williams+2.4
114-7ALA STGRAMBAttack errAmaya Robinson+2.6
124-8GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.9
135-8GRAMBALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+2.2
145-9ALA STGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+2.4
155-10GRAMBGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+2.6
166-10GRAMBALA ST×4KillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+1.9
177-10ALA STALA ST×4KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
188-10ALA STALA ST×4KillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+3.1
199-10ALA STALA ST×4BlockedLainy Evansblk Alexis Williams+3.5
209-11ALA STGRAMBServe errAlabama St.+3.1
219-12GRAMBGRAMBAceAmaris Marksaced Ava O'Hare+3.5
2210-12GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
2310-13ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+3.0
2411-13GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.8
2511-14ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+3.1
2612-14GRAMBALA STAttack errKenya Lucas+2.8
2712-15ALA STGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+3.2
2812-16GRAMBGRAMB×3AcePiper Nelsonaced Mirra Riddle+3.4
2912-17GRAMBGRAMB×3AcePiper Nelsonaced Taylor Williams+2.8
3013-17GRAMBALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
3113-18ALA STGRAMB×7KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.3
3213-19GRAMBGRAMB×7KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.0
3313-20GRAMBGRAMB×7AceAsialin Powellaced Taylor Williams+1.3
3413-21GRAMBGRAMB×7AceAsialin Powellaced Emani Green+0.7
3513-22GRAMBGRAMB×7KillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+0.3
3613-23GRAMBGRAMB×7BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas+0.1
3713-24GRAMBGRAMB×7AceAsialin Powell·
3814-24GRAMBALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3915-24ALA STALA STAttack errRihianna Brown·
4015-25ALA STGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook·
Set 4
11-0GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+2.4
22-0ALA STALA STAttack errRihianna Brown+3.0
32-1ALA STGRAMBServe errAlabama St.+2.4
42-2GRAMBGRAMBBlockedTaylor Williamsblk Lainy Evans+3.0
53-2GRAMBALA STServe errGrambling+2.6
63-3ALA STGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.5
73-4GRAMBGRAMB×3AceRihianna Brownaced Mirra Riddle+3.0
83-5GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedTaylor Williamsblk Angelique Pena, Lainy Evans+3.0
94-5GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
104-6ALA STGRAMB×4KillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+2.5
114-7GRAMBGRAMB×4KillAngelique Pena+2.9
124-8GRAMBGRAMB×4KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.7
134-9GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Angelique Pena, Lyric Jordan+2.4
145-9GRAMBALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+1.7
156-9ALA STALA ST×3Attack errKenya Lucas+2.5
167-9ALA STALA ST×3BlockedKenya Lucasblk Alexis Williams+2.9
177-10ALA STGRAMBAttack errMakeda Edwards+2.6
188-10GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
199-10ALA STALA STAttack errKenya Lucas+3.3
209-11ALA STGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.9
219-12GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMakeda Edwards+3.3
2210-12GRAMBALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.5
2311-12ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.5
2411-13ALA STGRAMBAttack errKamrynn Clay+3.1
2512-13GRAMBALA STAttack errLainy Evans+3.0
2613-13ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+4.0
2713-14ALA STGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+3.5
2814-14GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.5
2914-15ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Lyric Edwards+3.6
3015-15GRAMBALA STAttack errAngelique Pena+3.7
3116-15ALA STALA STAttack errLainy Evans+4.8
3216-16ALA STGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+3.9
3317-16GRAMBALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+4.2
3417-17ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+4.1
3518-17GRAMBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+4.5
3618-18ALA STGRAMB×3BlockedLyric Edwardsblk Angelique Pena, Kenya Lucas+4.4
3718-19GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMakeda Edwards+5.6
3818-20GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errLyric Edwards+5.5
3919-20GRAMBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Amaris Marks+4.1
4019-21ALA STGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+4.9
4119-22GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Asialin Powell+5.0
4220-22GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.9
4320-23ALA STGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+4.4
4421-23GRAMBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
4522-23ALA STALA STAttack errLainy Evans+5.6
4622-24ALA STGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+7.3
4722-25GRAMBGRAMBAceRihianna Brownaced Ava O'Hare+5.1

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).