Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on Midco Sports, Summit League Network, Midco Sports+

St. Thomas (MN) def. North Dakota 3–1

St. Thomas (MN) won at North Dakota 3-1 (22-25, 25-21, 25-19, 25-12) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Anya Schmidt led St. Thomas (MN) with 10 kills; North Dakota's Sally Marong had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
STTHOM222525253
NO DAK252119121

Win probability

North Dakota above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.8% NO DAKrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.8% to North Dakota — set 1, STTHOM 22-24 NO DAK. Attack error by Anya Schmidt. NO DAK win probability 15% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 91.6%8.4% NO DAK

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
47.3%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.9%

North Dakota wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.8%
STTHOM break %
50.4% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anya SchmidtAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Anya Schmidt

    Set 1 · STTHOM 22-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 15% → 20%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Lilliana Montes)

    Set 2 · STTHOM 12-15 NO DAK · NO DAK 33% → 38%

  3. 03
    Lauren PeruginiAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Lauren Perugini

    Set 2 · STTHOM 22-20 NO DAK · STTHOM 77% → 80%

  4. 04
    Ellee McIntoshAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Ellee McIntosh

    Set 2 · STTHOM 14-15 NO DAK · STTHOM 65% → 69%

  5. 05
    Anya SchmidtKill+3.6%

    Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Morgan Kealy)

    Set 2 · STTHOM 15-15 NO DAK · STTHOM 69% → 73%

  6. 06
    Olivia EdlundKill+3.6%

    Kill by Olivia Edlund (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 2 · STTHOM 7-11 NO DAK · NO DAK 34% → 38%

  7. 07
    North DakotaAce+3.6%

    North Dakota ace on Anya Schmidt

    Set 3 · STTHOM 12-14 NO DAK · NO DAK 20% → 23%

  8. 08
    North DakotaAce+3.5%

    North Dakota ace

    Set 2 · STTHOM 20-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 20% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410732.09421110110112
49134.23512112100011
49216.438000100009
46420.100100200006
45416.063011400006
44112.25037131101016
4228.000211900003
4000–031000003
4001.0001012000000
1314.500000000003
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4822143.182449970320297
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411226.346113135132.514.5
48523.1300012012210
47539.05101141010.58.5
47625.04010010031.58.5
45319.105001300427
4206.333321350010.53.5
4134-.500001600001
4000–100510000
4000–0001110000
3000–300910000
1025-.400000000000
1000–101000000
Team totals4126147.10239311599214977

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. Thomas (MN) vs North Dakota

Season series · St. Thomas (MN) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 STTHOM · NO DAK 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 STTHOMNO DAK 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 STTHOMNO DAK 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 STTHOMNO DAK 4

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 7 STTHOMNO DAK 5

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
38%5/13
2
42%8/19
64%14/22
3
58%7/12
56%10/18
4
54%7/13
53%8/15
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
58%7/12
53%8/15
All
59%46/78
53%51/96

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
40%6/15
2
35%8/23
44%7/16
3
58%7/12
56%9/16
4
39%7/18
13%1/8
5
54%7/13
50%7/14
6
64%7/11
22%2/9
All
47%45/96
41%32/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#STTHOM-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.7
22-0STTHOMSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzer+0.7
32-1STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+0.6
42-2NO DAKNO DAKBlockedAnya Schmidtblk An de Hamer+0.9
53-2NO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Taylor McNear+0.7
63-3STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+0.8
74-3NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+0.7
85-3STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sally Marong+0.8
95-4STTHOMNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+0.7
105-5NO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.0
116-5NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+0.8
127-5STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errEllee McIntosh+0.9
137-6STTHOMNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+0.8
147-7NO DAKNO DAKBlockedReilly Kurthblk Lilliana Montes, Sally Marong+1.1
158-7NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+0.9
169-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+0.9
1710-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errEllee McIntosh+0.8
1810-8STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+0.7
1910-9NO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Kenya Prescott+1.0
2011-9NO DAKSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+0.8
2111-10STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Haley Patton+0.9
2212-10NO DAKSTTHOM×3Serve errNorth Dakota+0.9
2313-10STTHOMSTTHOM×3Bad setReagan McIntosh+0.9
2414-10STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+0.7
2514-11STTHOMNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Sally Marong+0.6
2615-11NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+0.6
2716-11STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Haley Patton+0.6
2816-12STTHOMNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
2916-13NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAddie Schmotzer+0.7
3016-14NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAnya Schmidt+1.0
3116-15NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedAnya Schmidtblk An de Hamer, Lilliana Montes+1.3
3217-15NO DAKSTTHOMBlockedLilliana Montesblk Morgan Kealy+1.1
3317-16STTHOMNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.2
3418-16NO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.2
3518-17STTHOMNO DAKAttack errMorgan Kealy+1.2
3618-18NO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
3719-18NO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.6
3819-19STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.8
3920-19NO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.8
4020-20STTHOMNO DAKBlockedAnya Schmidtblk Olivia Edlund, Reagan McIntosh+1.9
4120-21NO DAKNO DAKBlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Sally Marong+3.0
4221-21NO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+2.3
4321-22STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
4422-22NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+2.6
4522-23STTHOMNO DAK×3KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.5
4622-24NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAnya Schmidt+4.8
4722-25NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errAnya Schmidt+3.5
Set 2
11-0STTHOMSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+1.8
22-0STTHOMSTTHOMBad setReagan McIntosh+1.6
32-1STTHOMNO DAKAttack errReilly Kurth+1.4
43-1NO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.3
54-1STTHOMSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.4
64-2STTHOMNO DAK×3KillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+1.2
74-3NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.8
84-4NO DAKNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntosh+2.1
95-4NO DAKSTTHOMAttack errLilliana Montes+1.6
105-5STTHOMNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.8
116-5NO DAKSTTHOMBlockedAn de Hamerblk Anya Schmidt+1.7
126-6STTHOMNO DAK×4Serve errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.9
136-7NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAddie Schmotzer+2.7
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×4KillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
156-9NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errEllie Gustafson+3.3
167-9NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+2.3
177-10STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+2.9
187-11NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.6
198-11NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.4
209-11STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Kenya Prescott+3.1
2110-11STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errSally Marong+3.1
2210-12STTHOMNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
2311-12NO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+2.6
2411-13STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+3.1
2512-13NO DAKSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.7
2612-14STTHOMNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+3.3
2712-15NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Lilliana Montes+4.2
2813-15NO DAKSTTHOM×4KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.8
2914-15STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errEllee McIntosh+3.7
3015-15STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+3.6
3116-15STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillMorgan Kealyset Anya Schmidt+3.4
3216-16STTHOMNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
3317-16NO DAKSTTHOM×4KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+2.9
3418-16STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillMorgan Kealyset Reagan McIntosh+3.2
3519-16STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.6
3620-16STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.9
3720-17STTHOMNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Kenya Prescott+1.2
3820-18NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedAddie Schmotzerblk Lilliana Montes, Sally Marong+2.3
3920-19NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakota+3.5
4021-19NO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+3.3
4121-20STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
4222-20NO DAKSTTHOM×3Attack errLauren Perugini+3.7
4323-20STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errOlivia Edlund+3.2
4424-20STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errOlivia Edlund+1.7
4524-21STTHOMNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+0.5
4625-21NO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.0
Set 3
11-0NO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.3
21-1STTHOMNO DAK×4KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.4
31-2NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAddie Schmotzer+2.0
41-3NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedAnya Schmidtblk An de Hamer, Olivia Edlund+2.3
51-4NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntosh+2.5
62-4NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Addie Schmotzer+1.8
73-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.1
84-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errAn de Hamer+2.0
94-5STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.9
105-5NO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAn de Hamer+1.7
115-6STTHOMNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
126-6NO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Anya Schmidt+1.7
137-6STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
147-7STTHOMNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.8
158-7NO DAKSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+1.7
168-8STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.9
179-8NO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Ellie Gustafson+1.7
189-9STTHOMNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
199-10NO DAKNO DAKBlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Olivia Edlund, Sally Marong+2.7
2010-10NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+2.0
2111-10STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errSally Marong+2.3
2212-10STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sally Marong+2.1
2312-11STTHOMNO DAK×4Serve errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.8
2412-12NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errEmory Brosnahan+2.6
2512-13NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund+3.1
2612-14NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Anya Schmidt+3.6
2713-14NO DAKSTTHOM×4Serve errNorth Dakota+2.5
2814-14STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+3.1
2915-14STTHOMSTTHOM×4Bad setReagan McIntosh+2.9
3016-14STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errAn de Hamer+2.6
3116-15STTHOMNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.1
3217-15NO DAKSTTHOMAttack errEllee McIntosh+2.2
3317-16STTHOMNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
3418-16NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillMorgan Kealy+2.3
3519-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLilliana Montes+2.3
3620-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.7
3720-17STTHOMNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Kenya Prescott+1.1
3821-17NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.4
3922-17STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLilliana Montes+1.0
4023-17STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLilliana Montes+0.5
4123-18STTHOMNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
4224-18NO DAKSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+0.3
4324-19STTHOMNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
4425-19NO DAKSTTHOMServe errNorth Dakota+0.1
Set 4
11-0STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sally Marong+1.2
21-1STTHOMNO DAKAttack errReilly Kurth+1.1
32-1NO DAKSTTHOM×7KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+1.0
43-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7KillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+1.1
54-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Skylar Darr+0.9
65-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7Attack errLilliana Montes+0.8
76-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sally Marong+0.6
87-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7KillAnya Schmidtset Audrey Kocon+0.5
98-1STTHOMSTTHOM×7Attack errAn de Hamer+0.4
108-2STTHOMNO DAKAttack errAudrey Kocon+0.3
118-3NO DAKNO DAKAttack errAudrey Kocon+0.5
129-3NO DAKSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+0.4
1310-3STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Ellee McIntosh+0.4
1410-4STTHOMNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+0.3
1511-4NO DAKSTTHOM×5Serve errNorth Dakota+0.3
1612-4STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errEllee McIntosh+0.3
1713-4STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+0.2
1814-4STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errLauren Perugini+0.1
1915-4STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errElena Stefanov+0.1
2015-5STTHOMNO DAKAttack errMorgan Kealy·
2116-5NO DAKSTTHOM×3Serve errNorth Dakota·
2217-5STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errElena Stefanov·
2318-5STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errOlivia Edlund·
2418-6STTHOMNO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)·
2519-6NO DAKSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealy·
2619-7STTHOMNO DAK×5KillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic·
2719-8NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errMiriam Unongo·
2819-9NO DAKNO DAK×5KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh·
2919-10NO DAKNO DAK×5AceNorth Dakotaaced Ellie Gustafson·
3019-11NO DAKNO DAK×5KillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
3120-11NO DAKSTTHOM×3Serve errNorth Dakota+0.1
3221-11STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Sally Marong·
3322-11STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillMiriam Unongoset Morgan Kealy·
3422-12STTHOMNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh·
3523-12NO DAKSTTHOM×3KillMiriam Unongoset Morgan Kealy·
3624-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLauren Perugini·
3725-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillMiriam Unongoset Morgan Kealy·

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).