St. Thomas (MN) def. North Dakota 3–1
St. Thomas (MN) won at North Dakota 3-1 (22-25, 25-21, 25-19, 25-12) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Anya Schmidt led St. Thomas (MN) with 10 kills; North Dakota's Sally Marong had a match-high 11.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STTHOM | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NO DAK | 25 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.8% to North Dakota — set 1, STTHOM 22-24 NO DAK. Attack error by Anya Schmidt. NO DAK win probability 15% → 20%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
St. Thomas (MN) wins
North Dakota wins
- STTHOM break %
- 50.4% vs this opp
- NO DAK break %
- 39.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Anya SchmidtAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Anya Schmidt
Set 1 · STTHOM 22-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 15% → 20%
- 02Ellee McIntoshKill+4.2%
Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Lilliana Montes)
Set 2 · STTHOM 12-15 NO DAK · NO DAK 33% → 38%
- 03Lauren PeruginiAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Lauren Perugini
Set 2 · STTHOM 22-20 NO DAK · STTHOM 77% → 80%
- 04Ellee McIntoshAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Ellee McIntosh
Set 2 · STTHOM 14-15 NO DAK · STTHOM 65% → 69%
- 05Anya SchmidtKill+3.6%
Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Morgan Kealy)
Set 2 · STTHOM 15-15 NO DAK · STTHOM 69% → 73%
- 06Olivia EdlundKill+3.6%
Kill by Olivia Edlund (set by Reagan McIntosh)
Set 2 · STTHOM 7-11 NO DAK · NO DAK 34% → 38%
- 07North DakotaAce+3.6%
North Dakota ace on Anya Schmidt
Set 3 · STTHOM 12-14 NO DAK · NO DAK 20% → 23%
- 08North DakotaAce+3.5%
North Dakota ace
Set 2 · STTHOM 20-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 20% → 23%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 32 | .094 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 9 | 1 | 34 | .235 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 16 | .438 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | .063 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .250 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 22 | 143 | .182 | 44 | 9 | 9 | 70 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .346 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 23 | .130 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 39 | .051 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | .040 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | .105 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 26 | 147 | .102 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 77 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
St. Thomas (MN) vs North Dakota
Season series · St. Thomas (MN) leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026St. Thomas (MN) at North Dakota · St. Thomas (MN) won 3-1This match
- Thu, Oct 22, 2026North Dakota at St. Thomas (MN) · St. Thomas (MN) won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-21
Set 3
25-19
Set 4
25-12
Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
St. Thomas (MN)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83%10/12 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 42%8/19 | 64%14/22 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 56%10/18 |
| 4 | 54%7/13 | 53%8/15 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 46%6/13 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 53%8/15 |
| All | 59%46/78 | 53%51/96 |
North Dakota
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%9/19 | 40%6/15 |
| 2 | 35%8/23 | 44%7/16 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 56%9/16 |
| 4 | 39%7/18 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 50%7/14 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 22%2/9 |
| All | 47%45/96 | 41%32/78 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
174 rallies
| # | STTHOM-NO DAK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +0.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | +0.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk An de Hamer | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Emory Brosnahan | set Taylor McNear | +0.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Sally Marong | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.0 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Reilly Kurth | blk Lilliana Montes, Sally Marong | +1.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +0.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Emory Brosnahan | set Morgan Kealy | +0.9 |
| 17 | 10-7 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +0.8 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +0.7 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Kenya Prescott | +1.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +0.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Haley Patton | +0.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.9 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +0.9 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +0.7 |
| 25 | 14-11 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | set Sally Marong | +0.6 |
| 26 | 15-11 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.6 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Haley Patton | +0.6 |
| 28 | 16-12 | STTHOM | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.4 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk An de Hamer, Lilliana Montes | +1.3 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Blocked | Lilliana Montes | blk Morgan Kealy | +1.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Attack err | Morgan Kealy | +1.2 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.6 |
| 38 | 19-19 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.8 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk Olivia Edlund, Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Emory Brosnahan | blk Sally Marong | +3.0 |
| 42 | 21-21 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +2.3 |
| 43 | 21-22 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.6 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | STTHOM | NO DAK×3 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +4.8 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Attack err | Anya Schmidt | +3.5 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Attack err | Reilly Kurth | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Emory Brosnahan | set Morgan Kealy | +1.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +1.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | STTHOM | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Blocked | An de Hamer | blk Anya Schmidt | +1.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STTHOM | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 15 | 6-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Ellie Gustafson | +3.3 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Kenya Prescott | +3.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Sally Marong | +3.1 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Emory Brosnahan | set Morgan Kealy | +2.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +3.1 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Lilliana Montes | +4.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | NO DAK | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +2.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +3.7 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +3.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Morgan Kealy | set Anya Schmidt | +3.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NO DAK | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +2.9 |
| 34 | 18-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Morgan Kealy | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.2 |
| 35 | 19-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +2.6 |
| 36 | 20-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +1.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | STTHOM | NO DAK×3 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | set Kenya Prescott | +1.2 |
| 38 | 20-18 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Blocked | Addie Schmotzer | blk Lilliana Montes, Sally Marong | +2.3 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NO DAK | NO DAK×3 | Ace | North Dakota | +3.5 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +3.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +3.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +3.7 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | +3.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | +1.7 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.5 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STTHOM | NO DAK×4 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Addie Schmotzer | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Anya Schmidt | blk An de Hamer, Olivia Edlund | +2.3 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Kill | Ellee McIntosh | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Addie Schmotzer | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Addie Schmotzer | set Morgan Kealy | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Attack err | An de Hamer | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Anya Schmidt | +1.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +1.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.9 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Emory Brosnahan | set Ellie Gustafson | +1.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lauren Perugini | set Reagan McIntosh | +1.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Blocked | Emory Brosnahan | blk Olivia Edlund, Sally Marong | +2.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +2.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Sally Marong | +2.3 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Sally Marong | +2.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | STTHOM | NO DAK×4 | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | +1.8 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Attack err | Emory Brosnahan | +2.6 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Blocked | Emory Brosnahan | blk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund | +3.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NO DAK | NO DAK×4 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Anya Schmidt | +3.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NO DAK | STTHOM×4 | Serve err | North Dakota | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Morgan Kealy | +3.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Bad set | Reagan McIntosh | +2.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | STTHOM | STTHOM×4 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.1 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +2.2 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | +2.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Morgan Kealy | +2.3 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +2.3 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.7 |
| 37 | 20-17 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Reagan McIntosh | set Kenya Prescott | +1.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +1.4 |
| 39 | 22-17 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +1.0 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +0.5 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Olivia Edlund | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.1 |
| 44 | 25-19 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.1 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Sally Marong | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Attack err | Reilly Kurth | +1.1 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NO DAK | STTHOM×7 | Kill | Reilly Kurth | set Morgan Kealy | +1.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +1.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Skylar Darr | +0.9 |
| 6 | 5-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Attack err | Lilliana Montes | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 6-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Sally Marong | +0.6 |
| 8 | 7-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Kill | Anya Schmidt | set Audrey Kocon | +0.5 |
| 9 | 8-1 | STTHOM | STTHOM×7 | Attack err | An de Hamer | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Attack err | Audrey Kocon | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | NO DAK | NO DAK | Attack err | Audrey Kocon | +0.5 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Audrey Kocon | set Morgan Kealy | +0.4 |
| 13 | 10-3 | STTHOM | STTHOM | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Ellee McIntosh | +0.4 |
| 14 | 10-4 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.3 |
| 15 | 11-4 | NO DAK | STTHOM×5 | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.3 | |
| 16 | 12-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×5 | Attack err | Ellee McIntosh | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 13-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×5 | Kill | Ellie Gustafson | set Morgan Kealy | +0.2 |
| 18 | 14-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×5 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 15-4 | STTHOM | STTHOM×5 | Attack err | Elena Stefanov | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 15-5 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Attack err | Morgan Kealy | · | |
| 21 | 16-5 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Serve err | North Dakota | · | |
| 22 | 17-5 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Elena Stefanov | · | |
| 23 | 18-5 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Olivia Edlund | · | |
| 24 | 18-6 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Serve err | St. Thomas (MN) | · | |
| 25 | 19-6 | NO DAK | STTHOM | Kill | Morgan Kealy | · | |
| 26 | 19-7 | STTHOM | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Sally Marong | set Ela Vlaisavljevic | · |
| 27 | 19-8 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Attack err | Miriam Unongo | · | |
| 28 | 19-9 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Kill | An de Hamer | set Reagan McIntosh | · |
| 29 | 19-10 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Ace | North Dakota | aced Ellie Gustafson | · |
| 30 | 19-11 | NO DAK | NO DAK×5 | Kill | Sally Marong | set Reagan McIntosh | +0.1 |
| 31 | 20-11 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Serve err | North Dakota | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 21-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Ace | St. Thomas (MN) | aced Sally Marong | · |
| 33 | 22-11 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Miriam Unongo | set Morgan Kealy | · |
| 34 | 22-12 | STTHOM | NO DAK | Kill | Lilliana Montes | set Reagan McIntosh | · |
| 35 | 23-12 | NO DAK | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Miriam Unongo | set Morgan Kealy | · |
| 36 | 24-12 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Attack err | Lauren Perugini | · | |
| 37 | 25-12 | STTHOM | STTHOM×3 | Kill | Miriam Unongo | set Morgan Kealy | · |
Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).