Montana State vs Lafayette: Montana State Wins 3-0 (Aug 29)

FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

3:0

Montana St. won at Lafayette 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-18) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Elli Tufto led Montana St. with 13 kills; Lafayette's Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Aug 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MONTST	25	25	25	3
LAFAYE	22	21	18	0

Win probability

Lafayette above 50 · Montana St. below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Montana St. — set 1, MONTST 24-22 LAFAYE. Kill by Elli Tufto (set by Maggie Rhew). LAFAYE win probability 10% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONTST 88.3%11.7% LAFAYE

Montana St. wins

3-0

41.7%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

Lafayette wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.6%

3-2

6.4%

MONTST break %: 46.8% vs this opp
LAFAYE break %: 37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Elli TuftoKill+2.5%
Kill by Elli Tufto (set by Maggie Rhew)
Set 1 · MONTST 24-22 LAFAYE · MONTST 90% → 92%
02
Justine PuigKill+2.2%
Kill by Justine Puig (set by Noa Kamphuis)
Set 1 · MONTST 23-22 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 8% → 10%
03
Elli EskoKill+1.8%
Kill by Elli Esko (set by Maggie Rhew)
Set 2 · MONTST 19-18 LAFAYE · MONTST 92% → 94%
04
Lauren Schloe&Lauren GreenyBlock+1.7%
Johanna Groger stuffed by Lauren Schloe & Lauren Greeny
Set 1 · MONTST 25-22 LAFAYE · MONTST 92% → 94%
05
Destiny McKenzieKill+1.7%
Kill by Destiny McKenzie (set by Mackenzie Calhoun)
Set 1 · MONTST 16-15 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 10% → 11%
06
Lauren GreenyKill+1.6%
Kill by Lauren Greeny (set by Maggie Rhew)
Set 2 · MONTST 20-18 LAFAYE · MONTST 94% → 96%
07
Elli TuftoKill+1.5%
Kill by Elli Tufto (set by Teagan Jaynes)
Set 2 · MONTST 15-15 LAFAYE · MONTST 91% → 93%
08
Maggie RhewKill+1.5%
Kill by Maggie Rhew (set by Nicolette Noble)
Set 1 · MONTST 18-15 LAFAYE · MONTST 90% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Montana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Elli EskoOH	3	12	3	28	.321	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	13
2Lauren GreenyOH	3	7	3	28	.143	1	0	1	14	1	4	2	9
22Joelie SpeltsMB	3	8	1	12	.583	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	9
7Lauren SchloeMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	0	0	3	0	5	2.5	6.5
9Maggie RhewS	3	1	0	4	.250	33	0	1	11	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Afton ThomsenDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
23Elli TuftoOH	3	13	5	31	.258	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	13.5
14Taylor McDonaldOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Teagan JaynesS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
45Nicolette NobleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	22	1	0	0	0
Team totals		46	13	116	.284	44	2	8	63	2	14	7	75

Lafayettehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Auma Mbeche-OdhiamboOH	3	14	5	44	.205	1	0	1	9	1	2	1	15
11Justine PuigOH	3	7	7	31	.000	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	7
22Destiny McKenzieOH	3	6	4	27	.074	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
26Noa KamphuisMB	3	5	0	11	.455	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Johanna GrogerMB	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Mackenzie CalhounS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
20Jada AksuOH	3	3	1	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
6Alyssa ChuL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	13	0	0	0	1
1Sophia WilsonS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	2	11	0	0	0	1
Team totals		35	19	129	.124	31	2	6	50	2	4	2	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MONTST · LAFAYE 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 MONTST LAFAYE 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 MONTST LAFAYE 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 MONTST LAFAYE 3

Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = Montana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	50%6/12
2	57%8/14	53%9/17
3	67%6/9	50%6/12
4	50%6/12	57%8/14
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	75%6/8	33%3/9
All	63%40/63	48%35/73

Lafayette

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	13%1/8
2	44%7/16	38%5/13
3	40%6/15	22%2/9
4	75%6/8	60%9/15
5	55%6/11	45%5/11
6	50%5/10	14%1/7
All	52%38/73	37%23/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	MONTST -LAFAYE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	+0.8
2	1-1	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.9
3	2-1	LAFAYE	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+0.8
4	3-1	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	blk Maggie Rhew, Joelie Spelts	+1.1
5	4-1	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.9
6	4-2	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.7
7	5-2	LAFAYE	MONTST ×4	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.7
8	6-2	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Attack err	Justine Puig		+0.8
9	7-2	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.6
10	8-2	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.5
11	8-3	MONTST	LAFAYE×5	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.3
12	8-4	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Kill	Justine Puig	set Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	+0.6
13	8-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Kill	Noa Kamphuis		+0.8
14	8-6	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Ace	Lafayette	aced Lauren Greeny	+1.0
15	8-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+1.2
16	9-7	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.9
17	10-7	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Maggie Rhew	+1.1
18	10-8	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.8
19	10-9	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+1.3
20	11-9	LAFAYE	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+1.0
21	12-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Lauren Greeny	+1.2
22	13-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Justine Puig	blk Lauren Schloe, Lauren Greeny	+0.9
23	13-10	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+0.6
24	14-10	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.7
25	14-11	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.6
26	15-11	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+0.7
27	16-11	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Destiny McKenzie	blk Joelie Spelts, Lauren Greeny	+0.7
28	16-12	MONTST	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.4
29	16-13	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.9
30	16-14	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Blocked	Lauren Greeny	blk Johanna Groger, Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	+1.2
31	16-15	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.7
32	17-15	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+1.3
33	18-15	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Maggie Rhew	set Nicolette Noble	+1.5
34	18-16	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.0
35	19-16	LAFAYE	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+1.1
36	20-16	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	Montana St.		+1.1
37	21-16	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Bad set	Mackenzie Calhoun		+0.7
38	21-17	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.3
39	22-17	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.5
40	22-18	MONTST	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.2
41	22-19	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.7
42	22-20	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+1.2
43	23-20	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Taylor McDonald	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.4
44	23-21	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+0.8
45	23-22	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Noa Kamphuis	+2.2
46	24-22	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+2.5
47	25-22	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Johanna Groger	blk Lauren Schloe, Lauren Greeny	+1.7
Set 2
1	1-0	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Destiny McKenzie	blk Elli Tufto, Lauren Schloe	+0.8
2	1-1	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.6
3	1-2	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+0.9
4	2-2	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Maggie Rhew	+0.6
5	2-3	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.7
6	3-3	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Maggie Rhew	+0.7
7	4-3	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Afton Thomsen	+0.9
8	4-4	MONTST	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.7
9	4-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+1.0
10	4-6	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+1.2
11	4-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.3
12	5-7	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	+0.8
13	6-7	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+1.1
14	6-8	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.9
15	7-8	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.8
16	8-8	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.1
17	8-9	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.9
18	9-9	LAFAYE	MONTST	Attack err	Justine Puig		+0.8
19	9-10	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.9
20	9-11	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+1.4
21	10-11	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.9
22	10-12	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.1
23	11-12	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	+0.9
24	11-13	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.1
25	12-13	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+1.0
26	12-14	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.2
27	13-14	LAFAYE	MONTST	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.0
28	13-15	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Alyssa Chu	+1.3
29	14-15	LAFAYE	MONTST	Attack err	Jada Aksu		+1.1
30	15-15	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.5
31	15-16	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.3
32	16-16	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
33	16-17	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.4
34	17-17	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.2
35	17-18	MONTST	LAFAYE	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+1.5
36	18-18	LAFAYE	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+1.3
37	19-18	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+1.8
38	20-18	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	+1.6
39	21-18	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Elli Esko		+1.2
40	22-18	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie		+0.8
41	23-18	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Blocked	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	blk Lauren Greeny, Lauren Schloe	+0.4
42	23-19	MONTST	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo		+0.1
43	23-20	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Ace	Lafayette	aced Nicolette Noble	+0.3
44	23-21	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.8
45	24-21	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.9
46	25-21	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny		+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
2	2-0	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Johanna Groger		+0.3
3	2-1	MONTST	LAFAYE	Attack err	Lauren Schloe		+0.3
4	3-1	LAFAYE	MONTST	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.3
5	3-2	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+0.3
6	4-2	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
7	4-3	MONTST	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Esko		+0.3
8	4-4	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.4
9	5-4	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
10	5-5	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.3
11	6-5	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
12	6-6	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.4
13	7-6	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
14	7-7	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Jada Aksu	set Sophia Wilson	+0.4
15	8-7	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
16	9-7	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie		+0.4
17	9-8	MONTST	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Esko		+0.3
18	10-8	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	+0.3
19	11-8	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	+0.4
20	11-9	MONTST	LAFAYE	Attack err	Elli Esko		+0.3
21	12-9	LAFAYE	MONTST ×3	Serve err	Lafayette		+0.3
22	13-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	Montana St.	aced Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	+0.3
23	14-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Justine Puig		+0.2
24	14-10	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.2
25	14-11	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Blocked	Joelie Spelts	blk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo, Noa Kamphuis	+0.3
26	15-11	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.2
27	15-12	MONTST	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.2
28	15-13	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo	set Sophia Wilson	+0.4
29	15-14	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+0.5
30	16-14	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.4
31	17-14	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Justine Puig	blk Lauren Schloe, Taylor McDonald	+0.5
32	17-15	MONTST	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.3
33	18-15	LAFAYE	MONTST ×5	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.4
34	19-15	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Attack err	Justine Puig		+0.4
35	20-15	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.2
36	21-15	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Lauren Schloe	+0.1
37	22-15	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Maggie Rhew	+0.1
38	22-16	MONTST	LAFAYE	Bad set	Maggie Rhew		·
39	23-16	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Maggie Rhew	·
40	24-16	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Justine Puig		·
41	24-17	MONTST	LAFAYE	Serve err	Montana St.		·
42	24-18	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Alyssa Chu	·
43	25-18	LAFAYE	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Maggie Rhew	·

Score shown after each rally, Montana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Montana St. def. Lafayette 3–0