North Dakota State def. North Dakota 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 10)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Midco SportsSummit League NetworkMidco Sports+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: North Dakota St. 87.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 11:11 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Dakota St. won at North Dakota 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. North Dakota St.'s Lauren Jansen led with 17 kills, and Rya Borer added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ND ST	25	25	25	3
NO DAK	22	21	14	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lauren Jansen needed just 3 sets for 17 kills. North Dakota St. swept North Dakota.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.2 points, and North Dakota's high was 15% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had North Dakota St. at 87%.

North Dakota St.North Dakota

Break %+15.1 pts
50.735.6
Points won on own serve: 37 of 73 vs 21 of 59. North Dakota sided out 49.3% of the time.
Hitting+.158
.275.117
45 kills, 17 errors vs 31 kills, 20 errors.
Longest run+6
104
10 straight North Dakota St. points in the third set turned an 8–10 deficit into an 18–10 lead. The set finished 25–14.

North Dakota above 50North Dakota St. belowMax swing 2.2%

North Dakota St.North Dakota

Aces: North Dakota St. 5·North Dakota 2
Serve err: North Dakota St. 6·North Dakota 2
Blocks: North Dakota St. 6·North Dakota 93 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs: North Dakota St. 36·North Dakota 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Dakota above 50 · North Dakota St. below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to North Dakota St. — set 2, ND ST 23-21 NO DAK. Kill by Zoe John (set by Rya Borer). NO DAK win probability 6% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ND ST 88.1%11.9% NO DAK

North Dakota St. wins

3-0

41.3%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.1%

North Dakota wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.6%

ND ST break %: 48.2% vs this opp
NO DAK break %: 39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Zoe JohnKill+2.2%
Kill by Zoe John (set by Rya Borer)
Set 2 · ND ST 23-21 NO DAK · ND ST 94% → 96%
02
Sarah PfiffnerKill+2.2%
Kill by Sarah Pfiffner (set by Lauren Jansen)
Set 2 · ND ST 21-20 NO DAK · ND ST 91% → 93%
03
Olivia EdlundKill+2.2%
Kill by Olivia Edlund (set by Sally Marong)
Set 1 · ND ST 16-16 NO DAK · NO DAK 13% → 15%
04
Reagan McIntosh&Olivia EdlundBlock+2.1%
Lauren Jansen stuffed by Reagan McIntosh & Olivia Edlund
Set 2 · ND ST 18-19 NO DAK · NO DAK 8% → 10%
05
Zoe JohnKill+2.1%
Kill by Zoe John (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · ND ST 22-21 NO DAK · ND ST 92% → 94%
06
Zoe JohnKill+2.0%
Kill by Zoe John (set by Rya Borer)
Set 1 · ND ST 18-16 NO DAK · ND ST 87% → 89%
07
Sally MarongKill+2.0%
Kill by Sally Marong (set by Reagan McIntosh)
Set 2 · ND ST 19-20 NO DAK · NO DAK 9% → 11%
08
Olivia EdlundKill+1.9%
Kill by Olivia Edlund (set by Reagan McIntosh)
Set 2 · ND ST 21-21 NO DAK · NO DAK 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

North Dakota St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren JansenOH	3	17	10	39	.179	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	17
3Arianna BlohmMB	3	10	2	21	.381	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
16Allie CollinsMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
9Sarah PfiffnerS	3	3	0	6	.500	29	0	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Emma TallmanMB	3	1	4	14	-.214	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
12Sadie JohnsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
17Zoe JohnOH	3	11	0	16	.688	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	13
5Maddy DombeckS	3	0	0	0	–	1	4	2	7	0	0	0	0	4
14Morgan EngelS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Rya BorerDS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
7Abi BanittDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	17	102	.275	44	5	6	36	2	3	6	6	75

North Dakotahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Olivia EdlundOH	3	9	3	15	.400	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
18Lilliana MontesMB	3	7	0	15	.467	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
4An de HamerOPP	3	2	5	16	-.188	0	0	0	3	0	2	5	4.5	6.5
13Sally MarongOH	3	5	3	14	.143	2	0	0	7	3	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Reagan McIntoshS	3	1	1	4	.000	20	1	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Andrea ZaricOH	2	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
6Autumn JordanOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Skylar DarrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
21Bilge BallaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Haley PattonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
15Ellee McIntoshOH	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
14Elena StefanovOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
8Lauren PeruginiOH	1	0	3	5	-.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Ela VlaisavljevicS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Katie PaezL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	20	94	.117	28	2	2	33	5	2	14	9	57

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Dakota St. vs North Dakota

Season series · North Dakota St. leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026North Dakota St. at North Dakota · North Dakota St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026North Dakota at North Dakota St.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 ND ST · NO DAK 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 ND STNO DAK 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 ND STNO DAK 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 10 ND STNO DAK 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = North Dakota St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Dakota St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	29%2/7
2	54%7/13	0%0/7
3	54%7/13	72%18/25
4	100%6/6	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	63%5/8	64%9/14
All	64%38/59	51%37/73

North Dakota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%7/7	14%1/7
2	35%7/20	42%5/12
3	46%6/13	53%8/15
4	60%6/10	14%1/7
5	50%6/12	14%1/7
6	36%4/11	45%5/11
All	49%36/73	36%21/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#	ND ST-NO DAK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.9
2	1-1	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	An de Hamer	set Reagan McIntosh	+1.0
3	2-1	NO DAK	ND ST×4	Attack err	Sally Marong		+1.0
4	3-1	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Rya Borer	+1.1
5	4-1	ND ST	ND ST×4	Attack err	An de Hamer		+0.9
6	5-1	ND ST	ND ST×4	Ace	North Dakota St.	aced Sally Marong	+0.8
7	5-2	ND ST	NO DAK×4	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk An de Hamer, Lilliana Montes	+0.7
8	5-3	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+1.0
9	5-4	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Lauren Jansen		+1.2
10	5-5	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Lauren Jansen		+1.4
11	6-5	NO DAK	ND ST×3	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
12	7-5	ND ST	ND ST×3	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.2
13	8-5	ND ST	ND ST×3	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
14	8-6	ND ST	NO DAK	Serve err	North Dakota St.		+0.9
15	9-6	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.9
16	9-7	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.9
17	10-7	NO DAK	ND ST	Attack err	Olivia Edlund		+0.9
18	11-7	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Rya Borer	+0.9
19	11-8	ND ST	NO DAK	Serve err	North Dakota St.		+0.7
20	11-9	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Andrea Zaric	set Olivia Edlund	+1.1
21	12-9	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.0
22	12-10	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Reagan McIntosh	set Emma Tallman	+1.0
23	13-10	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sadie Johnson	+1.0
24	13-11	ND ST	NO DAK	Serve err	North Dakota St.		+1.0
25	14-11	NO DAK	ND ST	Blocked	Sally Marong	blk Arianna Blohm, Emma Tallman	+1.1
26	14-12	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+1.0
27	14-13	NO DAK	NO DAK	Attack err	Arianna Blohm		+1.6
28	15-13	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.4
29	15-14	ND ST	NO DAK	Attack err	Arianna Blohm		+1.4
30	16-14	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.4
31	16-15	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Haley Patton	+1.5
32	16-16	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Sally Marong	+2.2
33	17-16	NO DAK	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.8
34	18-16	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Rya Borer	+2.0
35	19-16	ND ST	ND ST×4	Attack err	Andrea Zaric		+1.6
36	20-16	ND ST	ND ST×4	Attack err	Andrea Zaric		+1.2
37	20-17	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.8
38	20-18	NO DAK	NO DAK	Kill	Andrea Zaric	set Bilge Balla	+1.5
39	21-18	NO DAK	ND ST	Attack err	Andrea Zaric		+1.5
40	22-18	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.2
41	22-19	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.7
42	23-19	NO DAK	ND ST	Bad set	Reagan McIntosh		+1.0
43	23-20	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.5
44	23-21	NO DAK	NO DAK	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk An de Hamer	+1.3
45	24-21	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sadie Johnson	+1.7
46	24-22	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	An de Hamer	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.8
47	25-22	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
Set 2
1	0-1	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.8
2	0-2	NO DAK	NO DAK	Blocked	Emma Tallman	blk Sally Marong, Lilliana Montes	+1.0
3	1-2	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Allie Collins	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.8
4	1-3	ND ST	NO DAK×4	Serve err	North Dakota St.		+0.9
5	1-4	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Lauren Jansen		+1.2
6	1-5	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Attack err	Emma Tallman		+1.2
7	1-6	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Olivia Edlund		+1.2
8	2-6	NO DAK	ND ST×5	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Arianna Blohm	+0.8
9	3-6	ND ST	ND ST×5	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
10	4-6	ND ST	ND ST×5	Attack err	An de Hamer		+1.1
11	5-6	ND ST	ND ST×5	Attack err	Sally Marong		+1.1
12	6-6	ND ST	ND ST×5	Kill	Lauren Jansen		+1.0
13	6-7	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+1.0
14	7-7	NO DAK	ND ST×3	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.9
15	8-7	ND ST	ND ST×3	Attack err	Bilge Balla		+1.0
16	9-7	ND ST	ND ST×3	Blocked	Olivia Edlund	blk Zoe John	+0.9
17	9-8	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.8
18	10-8	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Rya Borer	+0.8
19	11-8	ND ST	ND ST	Blocked	Reagan McIntosh	blk Zoe John	+0.8
20	11-9	ND ST	NO DAK×4	Kill	Andrea Zaric	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.7
21	11-10	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Bad set	Sarah Pfiffner		+1.0
22	11-11	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Andrea Zaric	set Bilge Balla	+1.2
23	11-12	NO DAK	NO DAK×4	Kill	Lilliana Montes		+1.4
24	12-12	NO DAK	ND ST×3	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
25	13-12	ND ST	ND ST×3	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Rya Borer	+1.2
26	14-12	ND ST	ND ST×3	Blocked	Andrea Zaric	blk Allie Collins, Emma Tallman	+1.1
27	14-13	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.9
28	14-14	NO DAK	NO DAK	Ace	North Dakota	aced Zoe John	+1.4
29	15-14	NO DAK	ND ST	Serve err	North Dakota		+1.1
30	15-15	ND ST	NO DAK	Attack err	Allie Collins		+1.2
31	15-16	NO DAK	NO DAK	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk An de Hamer	+1.7
32	16-16	NO DAK	ND ST	Serve err	North Dakota		+1.3
33	16-17	ND ST	NO DAK	Attack err	Emma Tallman		+1.5
34	17-17	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.4
35	18-17	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	Olivia Edlund		+1.7
36	18-18	ND ST	NO DAK	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer	+1.5
37	18-19	NO DAK	NO DAK	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk Reagan McIntosh, Olivia Edlund	+2.1
38	19-19	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
39	19-20	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Sally Marong	set Reagan McIntosh	+2.0
40	20-20	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.8
41	21-20	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Lauren Jansen	+2.2
42	21-21	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+1.9
43	22-21	NO DAK	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+2.1
44	23-21	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Rya Borer	+2.2
45	24-21	ND ST	ND ST×4	Blocked	An de Hamer	blk Allie Collins	+1.5
46	25-21	ND ST	ND ST×4	Ace	North Dakota St.	aced Haley Patton	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	NO DAK	ND ST	Attack err	Ellee McIntosh		+0.3
2	1-1	ND ST	NO DAK	Blocked	Emma Tallman	blk Lilliana Montes, An de Hamer	+0.4
3	2-1	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Rya Borer	+0.3
4	3-1	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	An de Hamer		+0.4
5	3-2	ND ST	NO DAK	Serve err	North Dakota St.		+0.3
6	3-3	NO DAK	NO DAK	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk Olivia Edlund, An de Hamer	+0.4
7	4-3	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.4
8	4-4	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.4
9	5-4	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Maddy Dombeck	+0.4
10	5-5	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.4
11	6-5	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Allie Collins	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.4
12	6-6	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.4
13	7-6	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Rya Borer	+0.4
14	7-7	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Lilliana Montes	set Reagan McIntosh	+0.4
15	8-7	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sadie Johnson	+0.4
16	8-8	ND ST	NO DAK×3	Kill	Ellee McIntosh	set Sally Marong	+0.4
17	8-9	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Ace	North Dakota	aced Sadie Johnson	+0.6
18	8-10	NO DAK	NO DAK×3	Blocked	Lauren Jansen	blk Lilliana Montes, An de Hamer	+0.7
19	9-10	NO DAK	ND ST×10	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.5
20	10-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Ace	North Dakota St.	aced Sally Marong	+0.6
21	11-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.6
22	12-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Rya Borer	+0.5
23	13-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Attack err	An de Hamer		+0.4
24	14-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.4
25	15-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Ace	North Dakota St.	aced Sally Marong	+0.3
26	16-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Ace	North Dakota St.		+0.2
27	17-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Attack err	Lauren Perugini		+0.1
28	18-10	ND ST	ND ST×10	Attack err	Lauren Perugini		+0.1
29	18-11	ND ST	NO DAK	Serve err	North Dakota St.		·
30	19-11	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.1
31	19-12	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Elena Stefanov	set Reagan McIntosh	·
32	20-12	NO DAK	ND ST×3	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.1
33	21-12	ND ST	ND ST×3	Blocked	Lauren Perugini	blk Allie Collins, Sarah Pfiffner	·
34	22-12	ND ST	ND ST×3	Bad set	Ela Vlaisavljevic		·
35	22-13	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Autumn Jordan	set Ela Vlaisavljevic	·
36	23-13	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Allie Collins	set Sarah Pfiffner	·
37	23-14	ND ST	NO DAK	Kill	Olivia Edlund	set Ela Vlaisavljevic	·
38	24-14	NO DAK	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	·
39	25-14	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Lauren Jansen	set Sarah Pfiffner	·

Score shown after each rally, North Dakota St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

North Dakota St. def. North Dakota 3–0

Lauren Jansen needed just 3 sets for 17 kills. North Dakota St. swept North Dakota.