FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on Summit League Network, WDAY Xtra, Midco Sports+

North Dakota St. def. North Dakota 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: North Dakota St. 93.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Dakota St. beat visiting North Dakota 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 25-16) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. North Dakota St.'s Lauren Jansen led with 16 kills, and Sarah Pfiffner added 9 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
NO DAK2024160
ND ST2526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Lauren Jansen. North Dakota St. swept North Dakota.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; North Dakota topped out at 11% in Set 1. North Dakota St. went in as RallyIQ's 94% pick.

North DakotaNorth Dakota St.
  • Break %+13.6 pts
    32.345.9

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 20 of 62. North Dakota sided out 54.1% of the time.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    Down 8–11 in the first set, North Dakota St. scored 5 straight to lead 13–11. That set ended 25–20.

North Dakota St. above 50North Dakota belowMax swing 1.9%

North DakotaNorth Dakota St.

Hitting
North Dakota .217·North Dakota St. .245
Aces
North Dakota 4·North Dakota St. 10
Serve err
North Dakota 7·North Dakota St. 3
Blocks
North Dakota 10·North Dakota St. 83 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
North Dakota 37·North Dakota St. 28

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Dakota St. above 50 · North Dakota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% NO DAKrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to North Dakota — set 1, NO DAK 20-20 ND ST. Lauren Jansen stuffed by An de Hamer & Marianna Rivera. ND ST win probability 94% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO DAK 6.1%93.9% ND ST

North Dakota wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.6%

North Dakota St. wins

3-0
52.4%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
11.0%
NO DAK break %
37.6% vs this opp
ND ST break %
49.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lauren Jansen stuffed by An de Hamer & Marianna Rivera

    Set 1 · NO DAK 20-20 ND ST · NO DAK 6% → 8%

  2. 02
    Andrea ZaricBlock+1.9%

    Arianna Blohm stuffed by Andrea Zaric

    Set 2 · NO DAK 22-21 ND ST · NO DAK 4% → 6%

  3. 03

    Ace by Lauren Jansen on Andrea Zaric

    Set 2 · NO DAK 22-23 ND ST · ND ST 95% → 97%

  4. 04

    Andrea Zaric stuffed by Emma Tallman & Allie Collins

    Set 2 · NO DAK 24-26 ND ST · ND ST 97% → 99%

  5. 05
    Zoe JohnKill+1.8%

    Kill by Zoe John (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 2 · NO DAK 23-24 ND ST · ND ST 95% → 97%

  6. 06
    Andrea ZaricKill+1.8%

    Kill by Andrea Zaric (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 2 · NO DAK 24-24 ND ST · NO DAK 3% → 5%

  7. 07
    Zoe JohnKill+1.8%

    Kill by Zoe John (set by Sarah Pfiffner)

    Set 2 · NO DAK 24-25 ND ST · ND ST 95% → 97%

  8. 08
    Ellee McIntoshAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Ellee McIntosh

    Set 1 · NO DAK 20-22 ND ST · ND ST 93% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310324.29201192132.513.5
37518.11110000031.58.5
3516.66700020052.57.5
34113.231022110217
3000–1301200000
2139-.22220112010.51.5
33311.000000001014
31011.0001310500002
31011.000401630001
3000–000000000
3000–001910000
2519.444000211016
Team totals371792.217334737103141060
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316436.33304041010.520.5
36415.13310010010.56.5
3216.167294291010.56.5
34310.100000000215
3001.000110210001
1105.20000000010.51.5
39324.25000000031.510.5
3000–310400001
3001.000500710000
2418.37500000153.57.5
2000–001100000
2000–200000000
Team totals4216106.24541103284114876

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Dakota vs North Dakota St.

Season series · North Dakota St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NO DAK · ND ST 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 NO DAKND ST 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 NO DAKND ST 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 NO DAKND ST 4

Bars above the line = North Dakota St. leads, below = North Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
30%3/10
2
70%7/10
46%6/13
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
47%7/15
13%1/8
5
50%7/14
36%4/11
6
36%5/14
22%2/9
All
54%40/74
32%20/62

North Dakota St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
50%6/12
2
54%7/13
42%5/12
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
78%7/9
46%6/13
5
78%7/9
36%4/11
6
75%6/8
63%10/16
All
68%42/62
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#NO DAK-ND STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ellee McIntosh+0.8
21-1NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota+0.6
32-1ND STNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.7
43-1NO DAKNO DAKKillMarianna Riveraset Ela Vlaisavljevic+1.0
53-2NO DAKND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.7
64-2ND STNO DAK×3KillHaley Pattonset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.8
75-2NO DAKNO DAK×3KillMarianna Riveraset Sarah Pfiffner+1.1
86-2NO DAKNO DAK×3KillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+1.2
96-3NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.8
107-3ND STNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.0
117-4NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Maddy Dombeck+0.8
128-4ND STNO DAKKillSally Marong+1.0
138-5NO DAKND ST×4KillKendall Worwaset Sarah Pfiffner+0.8
148-6ND STND ST×4AceSarah Pfiffneraced Haley Patton+1.1
158-7ND STND ST×4AceSarah Pfiffneraced Sally Marong+1.1
168-8ND STND ST×4AceSarah Pfiffneraced Haley Patton+1.0
179-8ND STNO DAK×3KillElena Stefanovset Reagan McIntosh+0.9
1810-8NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Lauren Jansen+1.3
1911-8NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedZoe Johnblk Ellee McIntosh, Marianna Rivera+1.4
2011-9NO DAKND ST×5Serve errNorth Dakota+0.9
2111-10ND STND ST×5BlockedEllee McIntoshblk Kendall Worwa, Emma Tallman+1.2
2211-11ND STND ST×5Attack errElena Stefanov+1.1
2311-12ND STND ST×5KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.0
2411-13ND STND ST×5AceSadie Johnsonaced Ellee McIntosh+0.9
2512-13ND STNO DAKAttack errEmma Tallman+0.7
2612-14NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sadie Johnson+0.7
2713-14ND STNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.8
2814-14NO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Haley Patton+1.2
2914-15NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
3015-15ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+1.1
3115-16NO DAKND STAttack errAn de Hamer+1.0
3215-17ND STND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+1.1
3316-17ND STNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.9
3416-18NO DAKND STKillSarah Pfiffnerset Maddy Dombeck+0.9
3517-18ND STNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+0.9
3617-19NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota+1.0
3718-19ND STNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+1.0
3818-20NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+1.1
3919-20ND STNO DAKKillElena Stefanovset Reagan McIntosh+1.1
4020-20NO DAKNO DAKBlockedLauren Jansenblk An de Hamer, Marianna Rivera+1.9
4120-21NO DAKND ST×5Attack errMarianna Rivera+1.6
4220-22ND STND ST×5Attack errEllee McIntosh+1.7
4320-23ND STND ST×5KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.2
4420-24ND STND ST×5KillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+0.6
4520-25ND STND ST×5KillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+0.2
Set 2
11-0ND STNO DAK×3KillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.4
22-0NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedEmma Tallmanblk Olivia Edlund, Sally Marong+0.6
33-0NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedLauren Jansenblk An de Hamer, Olivia Edlund+0.7
43-1NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota+0.5
53-2ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+0.6
64-2ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset An de Hamer+0.5
74-3NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.4
85-3ND STNO DAKBlockedArianna Blohmblk Sally Marong+0.5
95-4NO DAKND ST×4KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.5
105-5ND STND ST×4AceLauren Jansenaced Ellee McIntosh+0.6
115-6ND STND ST×4AceLauren Jansenaced Sally Marong+0.5
125-7ND STND ST×4AceLauren Jansenaced Olivia Edlund+0.4
136-7ND STNO DAKKillElena Stefanovset Ellee McIntosh+0.4
146-8NO DAKND STKillSarah Pfiffnerset Maddy Dombeck+0.4
157-8ND STNO DAKKillMarianna Riveraset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
167-9NO DAKND STKillAllie Collinsset Sarah Pfiffner+0.4
177-10ND STND STBlockedEllee McIntoshblk Zoe John, Allie Collins+0.4
188-10ND STNO DAKServe errSarah Pfiffner+0.3
198-11NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota+0.3
209-11ND STNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.3
219-12NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.3
2210-12ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.3
2311-12NO DAKNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Haley Patton+0.6
2411-13NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.4
2511-14ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Arianna Blohm+0.5
2612-14ND STNO DAKAttack errSarah Pfiffner+0.4
2712-15NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.4
2813-15ND STNO DAK×3KillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
2914-15NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLauren Jansen+0.7
3015-15NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Sarah Pfiffner+0.9
3115-16NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+0.6
3216-16ND STNO DAKServe errAbi Banitt+0.7
3316-17NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Rya Borer+0.7
3416-18ND STND STBlockedAn de Hamerblk Allie Collins, Zoe John+0.8
3517-18ND STNO DAKServe errSarah Pfiffner+0.6
3617-19NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.6
3718-19ND STNO DAKBlockedEmma Tallmanblk Sally Marong, Marianna Rivera+0.6
3818-20NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.7
3919-20ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.7
4020-20NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Sadie Johnson+1.3
4120-21NO DAKND STKillArianna Blohmset Sarah Pfiffner+1.0
4221-21ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+1.1
4322-21NO DAKNO DAKBlockedArianna Blohmblk Andrea Zaric+1.9
4422-22NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+1.4
4522-23ND STND STAceLauren Jansenaced Andrea Zaric+1.9
4623-23ND STNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+1.5
4723-24NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+1.8
4824-24ND STNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+1.8
4924-25NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+1.8
5024-26ND STND STBlockedAndrea Zaricblk Emma Tallman, Allie Collins+1.8
Set 3
11-0NO DAKNO DAKAttack errAllie Collins+0.2
21-1NO DAKND STKillEmma Tallmanset Rya Borer+0.2
32-1ND STNO DAKKillMarianna Riveraset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
42-2NO DAKND ST×3KillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.2
52-3ND STND ST×3AceMaddy Dombeckaced Kenya Prescott+0.2
62-4ND STND ST×3BlockedAn de Hamerblk Lauren Jansen, Arianna Blohm+0.2
73-4ND STNO DAKBlockedArianna Blohmblk Marianna Rivera, Sally Marong+0.2
83-5NO DAKND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
94-5ND STNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
104-6NO DAKND STAttack errSally Marong+0.2
114-7ND STND STKillAllie Collinsset Sarah Pfiffner+0.2
125-7ND STNO DAKBlockedZoe Johnblk Elena Stefanov+0.1
136-7NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Rya Borer+0.2
146-8NO DAKND ST×3KillAllie Collinsset Sarah Pfiffner+0.2
156-9ND STND ST×3AceSarah Pfiffneraced Haley Patton+0.2
166-10ND STND ST×3BlockedSally Marongblk Allie Collins+0.1
177-10ND STNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
187-11NO DAKND STKillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
197-12ND STND STKillLauren Jansenset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
208-12ND STNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
218-13NO DAKND STKillEmma Tallmanset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
229-13ND STNO DAK×3KillMarianna Riveraset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.1
2310-13NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLauren Jansen+0.1
2411-13NO DAKNO DAK×3BlockedArianna Blohmblk An de Hamer, Marianna Rivera+0.2
2511-14NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota+0.2
2612-14ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
2712-15NO DAKND STAttack errAn de Hamer+0.2
2812-16ND STND STAttack errAn de Hamer+0.2
2913-16ND STNO DAKAttack errZoe John+0.1
3013-17NO DAKND ST×4KillZoe Johnset Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
3113-18ND STND ST×4BlockedSally Marongblk Allie Collins, Sarah Pfiffner+0.1
3213-19ND STND ST×4Attack errOlivia Edlund+0.1
3313-20ND STND ST×4KillAllie Collinsset Cathy Porter·
3414-20ND STNO DAKKillSally Marongset Haley Patton·
3515-20NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh·
3615-21NO DAKND ST×3KillZoe Johnset Cathy Porter+0.1
3715-22ND STND ST×3Attack errElena Stefanov·
3815-23ND STND ST×3BlockedElena Stefanovblk Zoe John, Allie Collins·
3916-23ND STNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh·
4016-24NO DAKND STServe errNorth Dakota·
4116-25ND STND STKillEmma Tallman·

Score shown after each rally, North Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).