FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

3:0

HomeMVC

Montana St. def. UIC 3–0

(25-20, 25-18, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MONTST	25	25	25	3
UIC	20	18	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UIC above 50 · MONTST below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Montana St. — set 2, MONTST 17-14 UIC. Attack error by Robyn Ward. UIC win probability 31% → 27%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MONTST 39.5%60.5% UIC

Montana St. wins

3-0

8.6%

3-1

14.4%

3-2

16.5%

UIC wins

3-0

17.5%

3-1

23.1%

3-2

19.9%

MONTST break %: 40.1% vs this opp
UIC break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Robyn WardAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Robyn Ward
Set 2 · MONTST 17-14 UIC · MONTST 69% → 73%
02
MONTST serverAce+4.1%
Montana St. ace on Ava Young
Set 1 · MONTST 17-15 UIC · MONTST 43% → 47%
03
UIC serverAce+3.9%
UIC ace on Team
Set 2 · MONTST 15-14 UIC · UIC 30% → 34%
04
Karli HeidemannKill+3.8%
Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Teagan Jaynes)
Set 1 · MONTST 18-15 UIC · MONTST 47% → 51%
05
Alice StemanAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Alice Steman
Set 1 · MONTST 15-15 UIC · UIC 56% → 60%
06
Emma ColombariAttack error+3.7%
Emma Colombari stuffed by Alice Steman & Lauren Greeny
Set 2 · MONTST 14-11 UIC · MONTST 68% → 71%
07
Tamara KisicAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Tamara Kisic
Set 2 · MONTST 11-9 UIC · MONTST 63% → 67%
08
Emma ColombariAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Emma Colombari
Set 1 · MONTST 14-12 UIC · MONTST 43% → 46%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Montana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Karli HeidemannOH	3	12	3	23	.391	1	1	4	7	1	1	0.5	13.5
22Joelie SpeltsMB	3	10	0	21	.476	1	0	2	1	0	5	2.5	12.5
23Elli TuftoOH	3	7	4	21	.143	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
2Lauren GreenyOH	3	5	2	13	.231	2	1	1	5	1	2	1	7
17Alice StemanMB	3	5	2	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
6Teagan JaynesS	3	3	0	9	.333	31	1	0	9	0	2	1	5
45Nicolette NobleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	3	1	9	0	0	0	3
14Taylor McDonaldOH	3	1	0	5	.200	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	2
Team totals		43	11	99	.323	40	7	9	35	3	14	7	75

UIChome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Tamara KisicOH	3	7	2	18	.278	2	1	1	9	1	1	0.5	8.5
17Jillian GibbonsMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
19Emma ColombariOH	3	6	5	17	.059	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	6
7Robyn WardMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
9Gabi PeterOH	3	3	3	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
6Paulina StröhS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	2	5	0	0	0	0
1Elizabeth KingOH	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
4Judy AsarS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	13	1	0	6	0	0	0	1
27Ava YoungL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	12	1	0	0	0
11Sasha PellettieriOH	2	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Martina CerratoOH	2	3	2	7	.143	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	3
24Lianna OrtizL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
3Francesca LorenzoOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
16Maryam HusseinMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Nathàlia Souza da SilvaOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		36	20	97	.165	35	3	5	42	7	10	5	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MONTST · UIC 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 MONTST UIC 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 MONTST UIC 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 MONTST UIC 3

Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Montana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Montana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	33%3/9
2	62%8/13	43%6/14
3	64%7/11	56%9/16
4	55%6/11	65%11/17
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	64%39/61	49%36/73

UIC

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	13%1/8
2	70%7/10	50%8/16
3	29%6/21	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	40%4/10
5	45%5/11	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	29%2/7
All	51%37/73	36%22/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	MONTST -UIC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UIC	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+2.4
2	1-1	UIC	MONTST	Serve err	UIC server		+1.7
3	1-2	MONTST	UIC	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+1.7
4	1-3	UIC	UIC	Ace	UIC server	aced Karli Heidemann	+2.4
5	2-3	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Nicolette Noble	+1.6
6	2-4	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+1.7
7	3-4	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
8	3-5	MONTST	UIC×3	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+1.7
9	3-6	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Ava Young	+2.4
10	3-7	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Judy Asar	+2.1
11	4-7	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.3
12	4-8	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Judy Asar	+1.5
13	5-8	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.3
14	5-9	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+1.5
15	6-9	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.4
16	7-9	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Karli Heidemann	+2.3
17	7-10	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+1.8
18	8-10	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
19	8-11	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+1.8
20	9-11	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
21	10-11	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Gabi Peter		+2.8
22	11-11	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Emma Colombari	blk Joelie Spelts, Teagan Jaynes	+3.2
23	11-12	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+2.3
24	12-12	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Lauren Greeny	+2.3
25	13-12	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Karli Heidemann, Joelie Spelts	+3.5
26	14-12	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+3.6
27	14-13	MONTST	UIC	Attack err	Karli Heidemann	blk Robyn Ward, Gabi Peter	+2.3
28	15-13	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.6
29	15-14	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Ava Young	+2.4
30	15-15	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Alice Steman		+3.8
31	16-15	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Nicolette Noble	+2.9
32	17-15	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	MONTST server	aced Ava Young	+4.1
33	18-15	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+3.8
34	18-16	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+2.1
35	19-16	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.8
36	19-17	MONTST	UIC	Attack err	Lauren Greeny	blk Jillian Gibbons, Tamara Kisic	+2.2
37	20-17	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.9
38	21-17	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	MONTST server	aced Emma Colombari	+3.3
39	22-17	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Jillian Gibbons		+2.1
40	22-18	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+0.7
41	23-18	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.3
42	23-19	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.5
43	23-20	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Elli Tufto	blk Robyn Ward, Gabi Peter	+1.4
44	24-20	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Paulina Ströh	+1.9
45	25-20	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.8
Set 2
1	1-0	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	MONTST server	aced Martina Cerrato	+2.8
2	1-1	MONTST	UIC×5	Serve err	MONTST server		+1.9
3	1-2	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Tamara Kisic	+2.8
4	1-3	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Martina Cerrato		+2.7
5	1-4	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+2.6
6	1-5	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Robyn Ward	+2.3
7	2-5	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Nicolette Noble	+1.5
8	3-5	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Martina Cerrato	blk Lauren Greeny, Joelie Spelts	+2.4
9	3-6	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+1.8
10	4-6	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
11	5-6	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.8
12	6-6	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	MONTST server	aced Tamara Kisic	+3.1
13	6-7	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+2.2
14	7-7	UIC	MONTST	Serve err	UIC server		+2.2
15	8-7	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+3.4
16	8-8	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+2.3
17	8-9	UIC	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Judy Asar	+3.4
18	9-9	UIC	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Jillian Gibbons		+2.4
19	10-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Joelie Spelts	+3.6
20	11-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Tamara Kisic		+3.6
21	11-10	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+2.4
22	12-10	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.6
23	12-11	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+2.4
24	13-11	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.7
25	14-11	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Emma Colombari	blk Alice Steman, Lauren Greeny	+3.7
26	14-12	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+2.3
27	15-12	UIC	MONTST	Serve err	UIC server		+2.7
28	15-13	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+2.3
29	15-14	UIC	UIC	Ace	UIC server	aced Team	+3.9
30	16-14	UIC	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+3.1
31	17-14	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Robyn Ward		+4.2
32	18-14	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Martina Cerrato	blk Joelie Spelts, Elli Tufto	+3.6
33	19-14	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.7
34	20-14	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+1.8
35	21-14	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
36	21-15	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Martina Cerrato	set Judy Asar	+0.3
37	21-16	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Elli Tufto	blk Nathàlia Souza da Silva, Robyn Ward	+0.8
38	22-16	UIC	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.0
39	23-16	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Martina Cerrato	+0.6
40	24-16	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Nathàlia Souza da Silva		+0.2
41	24-17	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Martina Cerrato	+0.0
42	24-18	UIC	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Judy Asar	+0.1
43	25-18	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	UIC	MONTST ×3	Serve err	UIC server		+1.5
2	2-0	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	MONTST server	aced Martina Cerrato	+2.2
3	3-0	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	MONTST server	aced Martina Cerrato	+2.2
4	3-1	MONTST	UIC×3	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+1.4
5	3-2	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+2.1
6	3-3	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Lauren Greeny	+2.2
7	4-3	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.6
8	4-4	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+1.6
9	5-4	UIC	MONTST ×6	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Nicolette Noble	+1.6
10	6-4	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+2.4
11	7-4	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.4
12	8-4	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Ace	MONTST server	aced Lianna Ortiz	+2.2
13	9-4	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Attack err	Francesca Lorenzo	blk Joelie Spelts, Teagan Jaynes	+2.0
14	10-4	MONTST	MONTST ×6	Kill	Taylor McDonald	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
15	10-5	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Francesca Lorenzo	set Ava Young	+0.9
16	11-5	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Lauren Greeny	+1.2
17	11-6	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+0.9
18	12-6	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.2
19	13-6	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.4
20	13-7	MONTST	UIC	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+0.7
21	13-8	UIC	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+1.3
22	14-8	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.2
23	14-9	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+0.9
24	15-9	UIC	MONTST	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Alice Steman, Elli Tufto	+1.2
25	15-10	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+0.8
26	16-10	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.2
27	16-11	MONTST	UIC×3	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+0.8
28	16-12	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Judy Asar	+1.6
29	16-13	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+2.0
30	17-13	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
31	17-14	MONTST	UIC	Attack err	Karli Heidemann	blk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri	+1.4
32	17-15	UIC	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+2.6
33	18-15	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.3
34	19-15	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Tamara Kisic		+2.7
35	19-16	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+1.3
36	20-16	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
37	21-16	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Judy Asar		+1.9
38	21-17	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.7
39	21-18	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Alice Steman		+1.7
40	22-18	UIC	MONTST	Serve err	UIC server		+1.9
41	22-19	MONTST	UIC	Serve err	MONTST server		+1.0
42	23-19	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.8
43	24-19	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Nicolette Noble	+1.2
44	24-20	MONTST	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+0.2
45	24-21	UIC	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Tamara Kisic	+0.6
46	25-21	UIC	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Montana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.