Final · 5 setsWed, Nov 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

American def. Loyola Maryland 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: American 91.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 4, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

American won at Loyola Maryland 3-2 (25-22, 22-25, 25-27, 25-16, 15-10) on Wed, Nov 4, 2026. American's Elise Sterling led with 22 kills, and Bella Marrero added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 4

Set12345Sets
AMER25222525153
LOY MD22252716102

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Deniz Dakak set 56 assists as American outlasted Loyola Maryland.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are American's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had American at 92%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · American 25–24 Loyola Maryland

    Loyola Maryland scored 3 straight to turn a 24–25 deficit into a 27–25 lead.

    American 87% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · American 3–6 Loyola Maryland

    Down 3–6, American scored 4 straight to lead 7–6. The match swung to American.

    American 41% → 76%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · American 11–10 Loyola Maryland

    American won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–10 and win the match 3–2.

    American 76% → >99%

Loyola Maryland above 50American belowMax swing 13.5%

AmericanLoyola Maryland

Sideout %
American 63.0·Loyola Maryland 56.3
Break %
American 43.8·Loyola Maryland 37.0
Hitting
American .269·Loyola Maryland .194
Longest run
American 7·Loyola Maryland 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Loyola Maryland above 50 · American below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.5% LOY MDrally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.5% to Loyola Maryland — set 3, AMER 25-27 LOY MD. Ace by Addie Huber. LOY MD win probability 30% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 90.8%9.2% LOY MD

American wins

3-0
45.8%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.5%

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.8%
3-2
5.2%
AMER break %
48.4% vs this opp
LOY MD break %
38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addie HuberAce+13.5%

    Ace by Addie Huber

    Set 3 · AMER 25-27 LOY MD · LOY MD 30% → 44%

  2. 02

    Elise Sterling stuffed by Ellie Joffe & Ava Nepkin

    Set 5 · AMER 7-8 LOY MD · LOY MD 31% → 43%

  3. 03
    Ava NepkinAttack error+11.8%

    Attack error by Ava Nepkin

    Set 5 · AMER 10-9 LOY MD · AMER 64% → 76%

  4. 04
    Prinzez ZeckKill+11.3%

    Kill by Prinzez Zeck (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 5 · AMER 12-10 LOY MD · AMER 76% → 87%

  5. 05
    Morgan CrawfordAttack error+11.2%

    Attack error by Morgan Crawford

    Set 3 · AMER 24-24 LOY MD · AMER 67% → 78%

  6. 06

    Elise Sterling stuffed by Addie Lowe & Ellie Joffe

    Set 5 · AMER 3-6 LOY MD · LOY MD 48% → 59%

  7. 07
    Salme HollasAttack error+10.6%

    Attack error by Salme Hollas

    Set 3 · AMER 25-26 LOY MD · LOY MD 19% → 30%

  8. 08
    Morgan CrawfordKill+10.1%

    Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Madison Monahan)

    Set 5 · AMER 8-9 LOY MD · LOY MD 35% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522440.4500111004225
516630.33300020132.518.5
512119.57900000111.513.5
5519.4445604160111.56.5
51617-.294101930001
4000–012600001
59631.097100700009
5001.0006101910001
5001.000401510000
3229.00000030010.52.5
2518.500000000005
2002.000011100001
Team totals7227167.269684106963108112
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512425.32000000233.515.5
512632.18820010114315
512836.11110381031.513.5
59330.20000010111.510.5
5309.33301100094.58.5
5000–24001000000
58427.1480003004210
5000–2442000004
5001.0002110800001
4000–200100000
Team totals5625160.194526861442416100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

American vs Loyola Maryland

Season series · American leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 AMER · LOY MD 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 AMERLOY MD 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 AMERLOY MD 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 AMERLOY MD 5

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 7 AMERLOY MD 2

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 5 AMERLOY MD 3

Bars above the line = Loyola Maryland leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
81%13/16
48%10/21
2
58%11/19
56%15/27
3
65%11/17
39%7/18
4
59%10/17
47%9/19
5
47%9/19
33%5/15
6
75%9/12
25%3/12
All
63%63/100
44%49/112

Loyola Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%13/25
27%4/15
2
42%11/26
29%5/17
3
77%10/13
35%6/17
4
48%10/21
38%6/16
5
91%10/11
50%10/20
6
56%9/16
40%6/15
All
56%63/112
37%37/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

212 rallies

#AMER-LOY MDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LOY MDLOY MDAttack errCarly Sciborski+1.0
21-1LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.7
31-2AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
42-2LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
52-3AMERLOY MDServe errOlivia Miller+0.9
63-3LOY MDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Salme Hollas+0.8
73-4AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.9
84-4LOY MDAMER×5KillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero+0.8
95-4AMERAMER×5Attack errAva Nepkin+1.0
106-4AMERAMER×5Attack errAddie Lowe+0.9
117-4AMERAMER×5Bad setMadison Monahan+0.7
128-4AMERAMER×5KillSophie Dufour+0.6
138-5AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.4
149-5LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.5
159-6AMERLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.5
169-7LOY MDLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
1710-7LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Bella Marrero+0.6
1811-7AMERAMERAttack errAva Nepkin+0.7
1911-8AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+0.5
2012-8LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.5
2113-8AMERAMERAttack errSydnee Peters+0.5
2213-9AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.3
2313-10LOY MDLOY MDAttack errSalme Hollas+0.6
2414-10LOY MDAMERServe errAddie Huber+0.5
2515-10AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.5
2615-11AMERLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Ava Nepkin+0.3
2715-12LOY MDLOY MD×3AceMadison Monahanaced Salme Hollas+0.7
2815-13LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.9
2916-13LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.8
3017-13AMERAMERAttack errAddie Lowe+0.8
3117-14AMERLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.5
3218-14LOY MDAMERServe errMorgan Crawford+0.6
3318-15AMERLOY MDBlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Ellie Joffe, Ava Nepkin+0.5
3418-16LOY MDLOY MDAceEllie Joffeaced Salme Hollas+1.0
3519-16LOY MDAMERKillSophie Dufourset Bella Marrero+0.9
3619-17AMERLOY MDServe errDeniz Dakak+0.8
3720-17LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.9
3820-18AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
3920-19LOY MDLOY MDBlockedSalme Hollasblk Sydnee Peters, Elsie Afful+1.6
4021-19LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.4
4122-19AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+1.4
4222-20AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
4323-20LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.1
4424-20AMERAMERAceZedo Yilmazaced Morgan Crawford+0.7
4524-21AMERLOY MDServe errZedo Yilmaz+0.2
4624-22LOY MDLOY MDAttack errSalme Hollas+0.6
4725-22LOY MDAMERAttack errAddie Lowe+1.0
Set 2
10-1AMERLOY MDKillElsie Afful+0.5
21-1LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.5
31-2AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Addie Huber+0.6
41-3LOY MDLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.8
52-3LOY MDAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.5
62-4AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.7
73-4LOY MDAMERAttack errMorgan Crawford+0.6
83-5AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+0.7
94-5LOY MDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Olivia Miller+0.6
104-6AMERLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+0.7
114-7LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.0
124-8LOY MDLOY MD×4KillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+1.0
134-9LOY MDLOY MD×4BlockedSophie Dufourblk Addie Lowe, Ellie Joffe+1.1
145-9LOY MDAMERServe errMorgan Crawford+0.6
155-10AMERLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.8
166-10LOY MDAMERServe errEllie Joffe+0.6
176-11AMERLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.9
187-11LOY MDAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.6
198-11AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.9
209-11AMERAMER×3AceBella Marrero+1.0
219-12AMERLOY MDAttack errCarly Sciborski+0.9
2210-12LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
2310-13AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.0
2410-14LOY MDLOY MDAceAddie Huberaced Olivia Miller+1.3
2511-14LOY MDAMERServe errAddie Huber+0.7
2611-15AMERLOY MD×3KillEllie Joffeset Gabi Verdicchio+1.0
2711-16LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Ava Nepkin+1.2
2811-17LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedSophie Dufourblk Addie Lowe, Ellie Joffe+1.1
2912-17LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.5
3012-18AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawford+0.8
3113-18LOY MDAMER×3KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.5
3214-18AMERAMER×3KillGabbie Vizekset Deniz Dakak+0.9
3315-18AMERAMER×3KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.1
3415-19AMERLOY MDServe errDeniz Dakak+1.2
3516-19LOY MDAMERKillGabbie Vizekset Deniz Dakak+0.8
3616-20AMERLOY MDServe errAlex Ioannou+1.2
3717-20LOY MDAMERBad setAddie Huber+0.8
3818-20AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Bella Marrero+1.3
3918-21AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+1.5
4019-21LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.0
4119-22AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+1.6
4219-23LOY MDLOY MDAceAddie Huberaced Bella Marrero+1.6
4320-23LOY MDAMERServe errAddie Huber+0.5
4421-23AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
4521-24AMERLOY MDAttack errSophie Dufour+1.8
4622-24LOY MDAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.7
4722-25AMERLOY MDBlockedSophie Dufourblk Morgan Crawford, Ellie Joffe+1.7
Set 3
10-1LOY MDLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.0
21-1LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.4
31-2AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+1.6
41-3LOY MDLOY MDAceAddie Huberaced Salme Hollas+2.4
52-3LOY MDAMER×3BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Carly Sciborski+1.6
63-3AMERAMER×3BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Carly Sciborski, Elise Sterling+2.0
74-3AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborski+1.8
84-4AMERLOY MDAttack errCarly Sciborski+1.5
95-4LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.4
106-4AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.7
116-5AMERLOY MD×4BlockedSalme Hollasblk Ellie Joffe, Morgan Crawford+1.3
126-6LOY MDLOY MD×4BlockedElise Sterlingblk Ava Nepkin, Ellie Joffe+2.1
136-7LOY MDLOY MD×4Attack errSalme Hollas+2.5
146-8LOY MDLOY MD×4KillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+2.8
157-8LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.9
167-9AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.3
177-10LOY MDLOY MDBlockedSophie Dufourblk Elsie Afful, Addie Lowe+3.2
188-10LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.0
198-11AMERLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+2.6
209-11LOY MDAMER×4KillGabbie Vizekset Deniz Dakak+2.1
2110-11AMERAMER×4Attack errElsie Afful+2.9
2211-11AMERAMER×4Attack errElsie Afful+2.8
2312-11AMERAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.6
2412-12AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.1
2513-12LOY MDAMER×3KillGabbie Vizekset Deniz Dakak+2.0
2614-12AMERAMER×3AceAlex Ioannouaced Ava Nepkin+2.4
2715-12AMERAMER×3KillGabbie Vizekset Deniz Dakak+1.9
2815-13AMERLOY MDBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Elsie Afful+1.4
2915-14LOY MDLOY MDBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Ellie Joffe, Morgan Crawford+2.5
3016-14LOY MDAMER×3Serve errAddie Huber+1.9
3117-14AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Bella Marrero+2.1
3218-14AMERAMER×3Attack errMorgan Crawford+1.6
3318-15AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+1.0
3419-15LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3519-16AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.0
3620-16LOY MDAMERKillSam McMillanset Olivia Miller+1.2
3720-17AMERLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.0
3820-18LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errDeniz Dakak+2.0
3920-19LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Elise Bocanegra+3.2
4020-20LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+4.6
4120-21LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAddie Loweset Elise Bocanegra+6.0
4221-21LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+4.1
4321-22AMERLOY MDBlockedGabbie Vizekblk Ava Nepkin, Elsie Afful+5.4
4421-23LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Addie Huber+7.8
4522-23LOY MDAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+4.1
4622-24AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+7.4
4723-24LOY MDAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+4.0
4824-24AMERAMER×3Attack errMorgan Crawford+11.2
4925-24AMERAMER×3Attack errSydnee Peters+8.8
5025-25AMERLOY MD×3Serve errAlex Ioannou+6.5
5125-26LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errSalme Hollas+10.6
5225-27LOY MDLOY MD×3AceAddie Huber+13.5
Set 4
11-0AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.2
21-1AMERLOY MDAttack errCarly Sciborski+2.7
32-1LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.5
42-2AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.8
53-2LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.5
63-3AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.9
74-3LOY MDAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.6
85-3AMERAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Morgan Crawford+3.2
96-3AMERAMER×4KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+2.7
107-3AMERAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.2
117-4AMERLOY MDServe errSalme Hollas+1.7
128-4LOY MDAMERServe errMorgan Crawford+1.7
139-4AMERAMERAceElise Sterling+1.8
149-5AMERLOY MDServe errElise Sterling+1.3
159-6LOY MDLOY MDBlockedSophie Dufourblk Elsie Afful+2.2
1610-6LOY MDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Sophie Dufour+1.8
1710-7AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+1.8
1811-7LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.8
1911-8AMERLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Deniz Dakak+1.8
2012-8LOY MDAMER×7KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.9
2113-8AMERAMER×7KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.0
2214-8AMERAMER×7Attack errAva Nepkin+1.4
2315-8AMERAMER×7KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.9
2416-8AMERAMER×7Attack errElsie Afful+0.6
2517-8AMERAMER×7KillSam McMillanset Bella Marrero+0.3
2618-8AMERAMER×7BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Carly Sciborski, Elise Sterling+0.2
2718-9AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
2819-9LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.1
2920-9AMERAMERBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Deniz Dakak+0.1
3020-10AMERLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Gabi Verdicchio·
3121-10LOY MDAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
3221-11AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan·
3321-12LOY MDLOY MDBad setDeniz Dakak·
3422-12LOY MDAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak·
3522-13AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan·
3623-13LOY MDAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Olivia Miller·
3723-14AMERLOY MDServe errDeniz Dakak·
3823-15LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Morgan Crawford·
3924-15LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak·
4024-16AMERLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio·
4125-16LOY MDAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.9
Set 5
11-0AMERAMERAttack errElsie Afful+6.5
21-1AMERLOY MDServe errDeniz Dakak+5.4
32-1LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+5.0
42-2AMERLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+5.6
52-3LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errSam McMillan+8.6
62-4LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedSam McMillanblk Sydnee Peters+9.8
73-4LOY MDAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+6.4
83-5AMERLOY MDAttack errElise Sterling+8.1
93-6LOY MDLOY MDBlockedElise Sterlingblk Addie Lowe, Ellie Joffe+11.1
104-6LOY MDAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+6.7
115-6AMERAMER×4BlockedAddie Loweblk Deniz Dakak, Elise Sterling+9.7
126-6AMERAMER×4BlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Elise Sterling, Sam McMillan+9.7
137-6AMERAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+9.1
147-7AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+7.5
157-8LOY MDLOY MDBlockedElise Sterlingblk Ellie Joffe, Ava Nepkin+11.9
168-8LOY MDAMERAttack errAva Nepkin+8.2
178-9AMERLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+10.1
189-9LOY MDAMERKillSophie Dufourset Olivia Miller+9.0
1910-9AMERAMERAttack errAva Nepkin+11.8
2010-10AMERLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+9.5
2111-10LOY MDAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+9.7
2212-10AMERAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+11.3
2313-10AMERAMER×5Bad setGabi Verdicchio+7.7
2414-10AMERAMER×5BlockedSydnee Petersblk Prinzez Zeck+3.8
2515-10AMERAMER×5BlockedAva Nepkinblk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+1.0

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).