FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

American def. Navy 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: American 88.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

American won at Navy 3-0 (25-22, 25-16, 25-16) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Elise Sterling and Prinzez Zeck led American with 10 kills each; Navy's Farrah Eike had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
AMER2525253
NAVY2216160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Prinzez Zeck hit .571 with 10 kills as American rolled past Navy.

Win probability never moved more than 3.0 points on one rally; Navy topped out at 22% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave American 89% before first serve.

AmericanNavy
  • Break %+15.3 pts
    60.845.5

    Points won on own serve: 45 of 74 vs 25 of 55. Navy sided out 39.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.205
    .306.101

    42 kills, 12 errors vs 30 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    118

    American scored 11 straight in the third set to turn a 4–7 deficit into a 15–7 lead. That set ended 25–16.

Navy above 50American belowMax swing 3.0%

AmericanNavy

Aces
American 6·Navy 2
Serve err
American 4·Navy 6
Blocks
American 8·Navy 61 BS · 14 BA vs 3 BS · 6 BA
Digs
American 40·Navy 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Navy above 50 · American below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% AMERrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to American — set 1, AMER 21-20 NAVY. Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Kinamoni Jerome). NAVY win probability 14% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 90.3%9.7% NAVY

American wins

3-0
45.0%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.8%

Navy wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.5%
AMER break %
48.9% vs this opp
NAVY break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Deniz DakakKill+3.0%

    Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 1 · AMER 21-20 NAVY · AMER 86% → 89%

  2. 02
    Paige BuzzerioAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Paige Buzzerio

    Set 1 · AMER 20-20 NAVY · AMER 83% → 86%

  3. 03
    Deniz DakakKill+2.9%

    Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Sophie Dufour)

    Set 1 · AMER 23-21 NAVY · AMER 89% → 92%

  4. 04
    Farrah EikeKill+2.7%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 1 · AMER 15-18 NAVY · NAVY 17% → 20%

  5. 05
    Sophie DufourKill+2.5%

    Kill by Sophie Dufour (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 1 · AMER 22-21 NAVY · AMER 87% → 89%

  6. 06
    NavyService error+2.5%

    Navy service error

    Set 1 · AMER 24-22 NAVY · AMER 90% → 93%

  7. 07
    Farrah EikeKill+2.5%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 1 · AMER 18-20 NAVY · NAVY 17% → 19%

  8. 08

    Ellen Gundlach stuffed by Elise Sterling & Salme Hollas

    Set 1 · AMER 17-18 NAVY · AMER 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310215.5330120002112
310214.5710000004212
33111.1823310601437
34216.125010800216
34212.16700000010.54.5
1000–001010000
38224.2502304000011
3102.5002011210001
3000–000800000
1203.667000000002
1011-1.00000000010.50.5
1000–000000000
1000–000200000
Team totals421298.3063764402114875
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311527.22200250111.512.5
3107.14300000031.52.5
3000–1011600001
3000–001710000
23514-.143000100003
2003.000000000000
33320.000000002236
33110.200000000003
3001.000611840001
3000–000100000
2417.429000000004
2229.000000000002
2104.250701300001
1124-.250000000001
11011.000000000001
1002.000500100000
1000–000000000
Team totals3019109.101282632636654

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

American vs Navy

Season series · American leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 11 AMER · NAVY 8

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 AMERNAVY 8

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 10 AMERNAVY 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 11 AMERNAVY 3

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%6/17
69%11/16
2
86%6/7
45%5/11
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
71%5/7
79%19/24
5
50%4/8
33%2/6
6
60%3/5
63%5/8
All
55%30/55
61%45/74

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
20%1/5
2
60%6/10
63%10/16
3
43%6/14
33%3/9
4
22%4/18
33%3/9
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
18%3/17
50%4/8
All
39%29/74
45%25/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#AMER-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AMERAMERBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+1.1
22-0AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.9
32-1AMERNAVY×8Serve errAmerican+0.8
42-2NAVYNAVY×8Attack errPrinzez Zeck+1.2
52-3NAVYNAVY×8KillFarrah Eike+1.3
62-4NAVYNAVY×8KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.5
72-5NAVYNAVY×8KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.6
82-6NAVYNAVY×8AceNavyaced Alex Ioannou+1.7
92-7NAVYNAVY×8Bad setPrinzez Zeck+1.7
102-8NAVYNAVY×8Bad setDeniz Dakak+1.7
113-8NAVYAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.0
123-9AMERNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
134-9NAVYAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.0
145-9AMERAMER×4BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Deniz Dakak+1.5
156-9AMERAMER×4Attack errGrace Burgoyne+1.5
167-9AMERAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Bella Marrero+1.6
177-10AMERNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
188-10NAVYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
199-10AMERAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.7
209-11AMERNAVY×3KillPaige Buzzerioset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
219-12NAVYNAVY×3Attack errSophie Dufour+2.0
229-13NAVYNAVY×3BlockedDeniz Dakakblk Madeline Bildeaux, Paige Buzzerio+2.1
2310-13NAVYAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2410-14AMERNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+1.7
2510-15NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+2.0
2611-15NAVYAMER×4Attack errEllen Gundlach+1.1
2712-15AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.7
2813-15AMERAMER×4AceAmerican+1.9
2914-15AMERAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.0
3014-16AMERNAVYBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Paige Buzzerio+1.9
3115-16NAVYAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.6
3215-17AMERNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+2.0
3315-18NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.7
3416-18NAVYAMERAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.6
3517-18AMERAMERBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas+2.4
3617-19AMERNAVYServe errAmerican+2.3
3718-19NAVYAMERServe errNavy+1.9
3818-20AMERNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+2.5
3919-20NAVYAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.0
4020-20AMERAMER×3Attack errPaige Buzzerio+3.0
4121-20AMERAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Kinamoni Jerome+3.0
4221-21AMERNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+2.4
4322-21NAVYAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+2.5
4423-21AMERAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Sophie Dufour+2.9
4523-22AMERNAVYBlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Madeline Bildeaux+1.7
4624-22NAVYAMERServe errNavy+2.5
4725-22AMERAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.6
Set 2
11-0NAVYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.5
21-1AMERNAVYServe errAmerican+0.6
32-1NAVYAMERBad setAmara Chambers+0.6
42-2AMERNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.6
53-2NAVYAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.6
64-2AMERAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Bella Marrero+0.7
75-2AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.6
85-3AMERNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
96-3NAVYAMERServe errNavy+0.5
106-4AMERNAVY×3Bad setBella Marrero+0.5
116-5NAVYNAVY×3Attack errCarly Sciborski+0.8
126-6NAVYNAVY×3Attack errSalme Hollas+0.9
137-6NAVYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
147-7AMERNAVY×3Serve errAmerican+0.7
157-8NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Bella Marrero+1.1
167-9NAVYNAVY×3Attack errSalme Hollas+1.2
178-9NAVYAMER×10KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.8
189-9AMERAMER×10KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.1
1910-9AMERAMER×10BlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Deniz Dakak, Elise Sterling+1.0
2011-9AMERAMER×10Attack errEllen Gundlach+0.9
2112-9AMERAMER×10Attack errPaige Buzzerio+0.8
2213-9AMERAMER×10KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.6
2314-9AMERAMER×10AceAmericanaced Amara Chambers+0.5
2415-9AMERAMER×10KillBella Marreroset Isa Boyd+0.3
2516-9AMERAMER×10Attack errEllen Gundlach+0.2
2617-9AMERAMER×10KillSophie Dufour+0.1
2717-10AMERNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd+0.1
2817-11NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.1
2918-11NAVYAMERServe errNavy+0.2
3019-11AMERAMERAttack errFarrah Eike+0.1
3119-12AMERNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Amara Chambers+0.1
3220-12NAVYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.1
3320-13AMERNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd·
3420-14NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.1
3520-15NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Baylee Doolan+0.2
3621-15NAVYAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.2
3722-15AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Baylee Doolan+0.1
3823-15AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeck·
3924-15AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak·
4024-16AMERNAVYKillKinamoni Jeromeset Amara Chambers·
4125-16NAVYAMERServe errNavy·
Set 3
10-1AMERNAVY×3Attack errSophie Dufour+0.3
20-2NAVYNAVY×3BlockedElise Sterlingblk Farrah Eike+0.5
30-3NAVYNAVY×3BlockedElise Sterlingblk Madeline Bildeaux, Farrah Eike+0.5
41-3NAVYAMER×3Serve errNavy+0.3
52-3AMERAMER×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Deniz Dakak, Prinzez Zeck+0.4
63-3AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Amara Chambers+0.4
73-4AMERNAVYBad setDeniz Dakak+0.3
83-5NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.5
94-5NAVYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.3
104-6AMERNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.4
114-7NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+0.6
125-7NAVYAMER×11KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.4
136-7AMERAMER×11AceAmericanaced Amara Chambers+0.5
147-7AMERAMER×11Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.5
158-7AMERAMER×11Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.4
169-7AMERAMER×11KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.4
1710-7AMERAMER×11KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.3
1811-7AMERAMER×11Bad setFarrah Eike+0.3
1912-7AMERAMER×11Attack errFarrah Eike+0.2
2013-7AMERAMER×11BlockedMackenzie Palumboblk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck+0.2
2114-7AMERAMER×11KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.1
2215-7AMERAMER×11AceAmericanaced Amara Chambers+0.1
2315-8AMERNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Caroline Adams·
2416-8NAVYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Sophie Dufour·
2517-8AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
2617-9AMERNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Caroline Adams·
2717-10NAVYNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd·
2818-10NAVYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
2919-10AMERAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero·
3019-11AMERNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Amara Chambers·
3120-11NAVYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
3220-12AMERNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd·
3321-12NAVYAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Deniz Dakak·
3422-12AMERAMERAttack errIzzy Picard·
3522-13AMERNAVYServe errAmerican·
3623-13NAVYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak·
3723-14AMERNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Caroline Adams·
3823-15NAVYNAVY×3BlockedMonyay Crowderblk Paige Buzzerio·
3923-16NAVYNAVY×3Bad setPrinzez Zeck·
4024-16NAVYAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Deniz Dakak·
4125-16AMERAMERBlockedMackenzie Palumboblk Monyay Crowder, Deniz Dakak·

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).