FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on MW+

New Mexico def. Nevada 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico 71.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico beat visiting Nevada 3-0 (25-14, 25-20, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. New Mexico's Addison France led with 11 kills, and Mina Stanojevic added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
NEVADA1420140
N MEX2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.526 and 11 kills for Addison France as New Mexico rolled past Nevada.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; Nevada topped out at 27% in Set 1. New Mexico went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

NevadaNew Mexico
  • Break %+27.6 pts
    22.450.0

    37 of 74 on serve vs 11 of 49, so Nevada's sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.316
    .139.455

    Kills and errors: 49–9 vs 31–17.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    Up 12–11 in the second set, New Mexico scored 5 straight to make it 17–11. The set finished 25–20.

New Mexico above 50Nevada belowMax swing 2.1%

NevadaNew Mexico

Aces
Nevada 3·New Mexico 1
Serve err
Nevada 7·New Mexico 5
Blocks
Nevada 2·New Mexico 21 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Nevada 23·New Mexico 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico above 50 · Nevada below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% N MEXrally 123 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to New Mexico — set 1, NEVADA 0-1 N MEX. Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller). N MEX win probability 71% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEVADA 14.2%85.8% N MEX

Nevada wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
7.6%

New Mexico wins

3-0
38.1%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.2%
NEVADA break %
38.0% vs this opp
N MEX break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 1 · NEVADA 0-1 N MEX · N MEX 71% → 73%

  2. 02

    Malia Pilimai stuffed by Reagan Miller & Madeleine Miller

    Set 2 · NEVADA 11-14 N MEX · N MEX 87% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 1 · NEVADA 0-2 N MEX · N MEX 73% → 75%

  4. 04
    NevadaAce+1.9%

    Nevada ace on Camila Canedo

    Set 2 · NEVADA 9-10 N MEX · NEVADA 12% → 14%

  5. 05
    Reagan MillerKill+1.9%

    Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 5-6 N MEX · N MEX 83% → 85%

  6. 06
    NevadaAce+1.9%

    Nevada ace on Camila Canedo

    Set 2 · NEVADA 3-2 N MEX · NEVADA 16% → 18%

  7. 07

    Kill by Addison France (set by Camila Canedo)

    Set 1 · NEVADA 1-4 N MEX · N MEX 75% → 77%

  8. 08

    Kill by Mina Stanojevic (set by Camila Canedo)

    Set 2 · NEVADA 5-7 N MEX · N MEX 85% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Nevadaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310425.24000010111.511.5
38324.208013400009
33412-.083000000003
3024-.50001100010.51.5
3002.0002501200000
3000–000400000
39326.231000000009
3000–1111010001
3000–101000000
1117.000000000001
1001.000200200000
Team totals3117101.139293723112248
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311119.5261004000011
39014.64300020010.59.5
38316.3133021101019
38517.176001600008
38016.500000000008
3506.8333612100010.56.5
3000–800930000
Team totals49988.455481542312275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Nevada vs New Mexico

Season series · New Mexico leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NEVADA · N MEX 5

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 NEVADAN MEX 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 NEVADAN MEX 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 NEVADAN MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Nevada leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nevada

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
25%2/8
2
44%7/16
36%4/11
3
64%7/11
30%3/10
4
43%6/14
13%1/8
5
63%5/8
0%0/6
6
71%5/7
17%1/6
All
50%37/74
22%11/49

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
63%10/16
2
70%7/10
59%10/17
3
78%7/9
30%3/10
4
100%6/6
45%5/11
5
100%6/6
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
78%38/49
50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#NEVADA-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.1
20-2N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.0
31-2N MEXNEVADAServe errNew Mexico+1.4
41-3NEVADAN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.4
51-4N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+1.8
61-5N MEXN MEX×4Attack errMadison Long+1.6
71-6N MEXN MEX×4Attack errKarly Bonaventure+1.4
82-6N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.9
92-7NEVADAN MEX×3KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.0
102-8N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.2
112-9N MEXN MEX×3Bad setAdriana Dorn+0.9
123-9N MEXNEVADABlockedUliana Yastrubblk Madison Long, Ceren Sert+0.5
133-10NEVADAN MEX×3Serve errNevada+0.6
143-11N MEXN MEX×3Attack errMalia Pilimai+0.7
153-12N MEXN MEX×3Attack errPaige Thies+0.5
164-12N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.2
174-13NEVADAN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.3
184-14N MEXN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.3
195-14N MEXNEVADAServe errNew Mexico+0.1
205-15NEVADAN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.2
215-16N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.1
225-17N MEXN MEX×3BlockedKarly Bonaventureblk Mina Stanojevic+0.1
236-17N MEXNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Masyn Navarro·
247-17NEVADANEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.1
257-18NEVADAN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.1
267-19N MEXN MEX×3Attack errMadison Long·
277-20N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller·
288-20N MEXNEVADAServe errNew Mexico·
299-20NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
309-21NEVADAN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller·
319-22N MEXN MEXAttack errMadison Long·
3210-22N MEXNEVADA×3KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn·
3311-22NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errUliana Yastrub·
3412-22NEVADANEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
3512-23NEVADAN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller·
3612-24N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Mina Stanojevic·
3713-24N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
3814-24NEVADANEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn·
3914-25NEVADAN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller·
Set 2
10-1NEVADAN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.2
21-1N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.3
31-2NEVADAN MEXAttack errKarly Bonaventure+1.3
42-2N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.3
53-2NEVADANEVADAAceNevadaaced Camila Canedo+1.9
63-3NEVADAN MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Camila Canedo+1.3
74-3N MEXNEVADAAttack errUliana Yastrub+1.5
84-4NEVADAN MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.4
95-4N MEXNEVADAAttack errUliana Yastrub+1.5
105-5NEVADAN MEX×3KillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+1.4
115-6N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.9
125-7N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+1.8
136-7N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Keely Hummel+1.3
146-8NEVADAN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.3
157-8N MEXNEVADAKillJess Walkenhorstset Keely Hummel+1.4
167-9NEVADAN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.4
177-10N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.7
188-10N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.2
199-10NEVADANEVADAAceNevadaaced Camila Canedo+1.9
209-11NEVADAN MEXServe errNevada+1.5
2110-11N MEXNEVADAServe errNew Mexico+1.5
2210-12NEVADAN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.5
2311-12N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.5
2411-13NEVADAN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
2511-14N MEXN MEX×5BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller+2.0
2611-15N MEXN MEX×5KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+1.6
2711-16N MEXN MEX×5Attack errJess Walkenhorst+1.3
2811-17N MEXN MEX×5Attack errMalia Pilimai+0.9
2912-17N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.5
3012-18NEVADAN MEXAttack errCeren Sert+0.6
3113-18N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.4
3214-18NEVADANEVADAAceNevadaaced Camila Canedo+0.9
3314-19NEVADAN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Addison France+0.9
3415-19N MEXNEVADAAttack errMina Stanojevic+0.6
3516-19NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.3
3616-20NEVADAN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.3
3717-20N MEXNEVADAAttack errAddison France+0.9
3817-21NEVADAN MEXServe errNevada+1.3
3918-21N MEXNEVADAServe errNew Mexico+0.9
4018-22NEVADAN MEXServe errNevada+1.3
4118-23N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.9
4219-23N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.3
4319-24NEVADAN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.5
4420-24N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Masyn Navarro+0.1
4520-25NEVADAN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Camila Canedo+0.3
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEXAttack errKarly Bonaventure+0.9
20-2N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.9
31-2N MEXNEVADABlockedMina Stanojevicblk Madison Long+0.6
41-3NEVADAN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.6
51-4N MEXN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.8
62-4N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.6
72-5NEVADAN MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Camila Canedo+0.6
83-5N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.6
93-6NEVADAN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.6
103-7N MEXN MEX×3KillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller+0.8
113-8N MEXN MEX×3KillMadeleine Millerset Adriana Dorn+0.6
124-8N MEXNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Lara Pacheco+0.4
134-9NEVADAN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.5
145-9N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.4
155-10NEVADAN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.5
166-10N MEXNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.4
176-11NEVADAN MEX×5KillMadeleine Millerset Camila Canedo+0.5
186-12N MEXN MEX×5Attack errPaige Thies+0.5
196-13N MEXN MEX×5AceMadeleine Milleraced Masyn Navarro+0.4
206-14N MEXN MEX×5Attack errPaige Thies+0.3
216-15N MEXN MEX×5KillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+0.2
227-15N MEXNEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.1
238-15NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+0.2
249-15NEVADANEVADA×3KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.3
259-16NEVADAN MEX×5Serve errNevada+0.3
269-17N MEXN MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+0.2
279-18N MEXN MEX×5Attack errMadison Long+0.1
289-19N MEXN MEX×5KillUliana Yastrubset Mina Stanojevic+0.1
299-20N MEXN MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller·
3010-20N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
3110-21NEVADAN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller·
3211-21N MEXNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
3311-22NEVADAN MEXAttack errCeren Sert·
3412-22N MEXNEVADAAttack errUliana Yastrub·
3512-23NEVADAN MEXKillUliana Yastrubset Madeleine Miller·
3613-23N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn·
3713-24NEVADAN MEXServe errNevada·
3814-24N MEXNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn·
3914-25NEVADAN MEXServe errNevada·

Score shown after each rally, Nevada first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).