Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on MW+

Hawaii def. UC Davis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Hawaii 62.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Hawaii won at UC Davis 3-1 (25-23, 20-25, 25-21, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Hawaii's Cha'lei Reid led with 14 kills, and Victoria Leyva added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
HAWAII252025253
UC DAV232521181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hawaii held on against UC Davis.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Hawaii's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Hawaii 63% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Hawaii 22–22 UC Davis

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Hawaii, enough to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Hawaii 60% → 78%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Hawaii 8–7 UC Davis

    7 straight UC Davis points turned a 7–8 deficit into a 14–8 lead.

    Hawaii 80% → 64%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Hawaii 6–7 UC Davis

    Down 6–7, Hawaii scored 7 straight to lead 13–7.

    Hawaii 56% → 77%

UC Davis above 50Hawaii belowMax swing 9.0%

HawaiiUC Davis

Sideout %
Hawaii 56.8·UC Davis 52.1
Break %
Hawaii 47.9·UC Davis 43.2
Hitting
Hawaii .167·UC Davis .129
Longest run
Hawaii 7·UC Davis 7

Cha'lei Reid
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 14 K, .132, 15 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Davis above 50 · Hawaii below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.0% HAWAIIrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.0% to Hawaii — set 1, HAWAII 25-23 UC DAV. Bad set by Mia Starr. UC DAV win probability 31% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HAWAII 59.0%41.0% UC DAV

Hawaii wins

3-0
16.7%
3-1
22.5%
3-2
19.8%

UC Davis wins

3-0
9.1%
3-1
15.0%
3-2
16.9%
HAWAII break %
42.6% vs this opp
UC DAV break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mia StarrBad set+9.0%

    Bad set by Mia Starr

    Set 1 · HAWAII 25-23 UC DAV · HAWAII 69% → 78%

  2. 02
    Cha'lei ReidKill+7.7%

    Kill by Cha'lei Reid (set by Adrianna Arquette)

    Set 1 · HAWAII 23-22 UC DAV · HAWAII 60% → 67%

  3. 03
    UC DavisService error+6.6%

    UC Davis service error

    Set 1 · HAWAII 24-23 UC DAV · HAWAII 62% → 69%

  4. 04
    Gianna BoganAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Gianna Bogan

    Set 1 · HAWAII 21-21 UC DAV · HAWAII 54% → 60%

  5. 05
    Panna RatkaiAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Panna Ratkai

    Set 1 · HAWAII 19-21 UC DAV · UC DAV 43% → 49%

  6. 06
    Panna RatkaiAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Panna Ratkai

    Set 1 · HAWAII 19-20 UC DAV · UC DAV 38% → 43%

  7. 07
    Panna RatkaiService error+5.1%

    Service error by Panna Ratkai

    Set 1 · HAWAII 23-23 UC DAV · UC DAV 33% → 38%

  8. 08

    Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 1 · HAWAII 21-22 UC DAV · UC DAV 40% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Hawaiiaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414938.1320132000015
49420.2500002002110
47011.63600120010.57.5
43419-.05320010233.56.5
4408.500310470010.54.5
43420-.050203601014
47320.20030240010.57.5
41011.0002221200003
4005.0004221600002
4000–001200000
1002.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4824144.1674451854038795
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413224.45800150153.516.5
412743.11600213002113
4013-.3333702800422
41011.000003810001
35515.00000011010.55.5
3124-.25000000031.52.5
48833.0000001022311
4003.000002820000
4003.0004021900000
2314.50000000111.54.5
2217.143100000002
Team totals4527140.129420126354181387

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Hawaii vs UC Davis

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 HAWAII · UC DAV 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 HAWAIIUC DAV 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 HAWAIIUC DAV 7

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 HAWAIIUC DAV 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 7 HAWAIIUC DAV 4

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = Hawaii leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Hawaii

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
50%9/18
2
73%8/11
53%10/19
3
44%8/18
38%5/13
4
67%8/12
47%7/15
5
53%8/15
27%3/11
6
64%7/11
61%11/18
All
57%50/88
48%45/94

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
31%4/13
2
45%9/20
47%8/17
3
53%8/15
56%10/18
4
80%8/10
38%5/13
5
44%8/18
27%3/11
6
58%7/12
50%8/16
All
52%49/94
43%38/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#HAWAII-UC DAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.5
21-1UC DAVHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.7
31-2HAWAIIUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.8
42-2UC DAVHAWAIIKillAdrianna Arquette+1.7
53-2HAWAIIHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Cameron Holcomb+2.5
63-3HAWAIIUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.8
73-4UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.7
84-4UC DAVHAWAII×5KillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.8
95-4HAWAIIHAWAII×5KillPanna Ratkaiset Adrianna Arquette+2.6
106-4HAWAIIHAWAII×5Attack errBrooke Hibino+2.5
117-4HAWAIIHAWAII×5KillAdrianna Arquetteset Tali Hakas+2.3
128-4HAWAIIHAWAII×5BlockedMia Starrblk Panna Ratkai+2.1
138-5HAWAIIUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.3
148-6UC DAVUC DAVBlockedMiliana Sylvesterblk Brooke Hibino+2.2
159-6UC DAVHAWAIIKillPanna Ratkaiset Adrianna Arquette+1.7
169-7HAWAIIUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.6
1710-7UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+1.7
1810-8HAWAIIUC DAVServe errHawaii+1.6
1910-9UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.7
2011-9UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+2.0
2112-9HAWAIIHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+2.7
2212-10HAWAIIUC DAVServe errHawaii+1.7
2312-11UC DAVUC DAVAttack errMaeli Cormier+2.9
2413-11UC DAVHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+2.2
2513-12HAWAIIUC DAVServe errHawaii+2.1
2613-13UC DAVUC DAVAttack errMaeli Cormier+3.4
2714-13UC DAVHAWAII×4Serve errUC Davis+2.4
2815-13HAWAIIHAWAII×4KillMiliana Sylvesterset Khloe Wong+3.4
2916-13HAWAIIHAWAII×4KillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+3.0
3017-13HAWAIIHAWAII×4Attack errBrooke Hibino+2.5
3117-14HAWAIIUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.4
3217-15UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedCha'lei Reidblk Mia Starr, Faith Rabb-Patterson+2.6
3317-16UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedCha'lei Reidblk Faith Rabb-Patterson+3.4
3418-16UC DAVHAWAIIKillMiliana Sylvesterset Adrianna Arquette+2.7
3518-17HAWAIIUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.5
3618-18UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+4.4
3719-18UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+3.3
3819-19HAWAIIUC DAV×3Serve errVictoria Leyva+3.3
3919-20UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errPanna Ratkai+5.4
4019-21UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errPanna Ratkai+5.4
4120-21UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+3.1
4221-21HAWAIIHAWAIIAttack errGianna Bogan+5.7
4321-22HAWAIIUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+4.8
4422-22UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+4.5
4523-22HAWAIIHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+7.7
4623-23HAWAIIUC DAVServe errPanna Ratkai+5.1
4724-23UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+6.6
4825-23HAWAIIHAWAIIBad setMia Starr+9.0
Set 2
10-1HAWAIIUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.5
21-1UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.5
32-1HAWAIIHAWAIIAceCameron Holcombaced Gianna Bogan+2.1
42-2HAWAIIUC DAVServe errCameron Holcomb+1.5
53-2UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errGianna Bogan+1.5
63-3HAWAIIUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.6
73-4UC DAVUC DAVBlockedPanna Ratkaiblk Ally Chandler+2.3
84-4UC DAVHAWAIIBlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Miliana Sylvester+1.6
94-5HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.7
105-5UC DAVHAWAIIBlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Rachel Purser, Adrianna Arquette+1.6
115-6HAWAIIUC DAVServe errAdrianna Arquette+1.7
126-6UC DAVHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+1.7
136-7HAWAIIUC DAVAttack errCha'lei Reid+1.8
147-7UC DAVHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Victoria Leyva+1.7
158-7HAWAIIHAWAIIAttack errFaith Rabb-Patterson+2.5
168-8HAWAIIUC DAV×7Serve errRachel Purser+1.8
178-9UC DAVUC DAV×7KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.7
188-10UC DAVUC DAV×7Attack errMiliana Sylvester+2.8
198-11UC DAVUC DAV×7Attack errCha'lei Reid+2.7
208-12UC DAVUC DAV×7KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.5
218-13UC DAVUC DAV×7KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.2
228-14UC DAVUC DAV×7KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.8
239-14UC DAVHAWAIIBlockedGianna Boganblk Maeli Cormier, Miliana Sylvester+0.9
249-15HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.3
2510-15UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errGianna Bogan+0.9
2610-16HAWAIIUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.2
2710-17UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Khloe Wong+1.3
2811-17UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errIsabella Umpierre+0.5
2912-17HAWAIIHAWAIIAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.1
3012-18HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.2
3113-18UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+0.7
3213-19HAWAIIUC DAV×3Serve errAdrianna Arquette+1.1
3313-20UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedPanna Ratkaiblk Faith Rabb-Patterson, Isabella Umpierre+1.0
3413-21UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.5
3514-21UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+0.1
3614-22HAWAIIUC DAVServe errPanna Ratkai+0.3
3714-23UC DAVUC DAVAttack errCha'lei Reid+0.1
3815-23UC DAVHAWAII×5Serve errUC Davis·
3916-23HAWAIIHAWAII×5Attack errIsabella Umpierre+0.1
4017-23HAWAIIHAWAII×5Attack errFaith Rabb-Patterson+0.1
4118-23HAWAIIHAWAII×5Attack errIsabella Umpierre+0.3
4219-23HAWAIIHAWAII×5KillMaeli Cormierset Panna Ratkai+0.6
4319-24HAWAIIUC DAVKillFaith Rabb-Pattersonset Mia Starr+0.9
4420-24UC DAVHAWAIIKillMiliana Sylvesterset Adrianna Arquette+0.2
4520-25HAWAIIUC DAVBlockedTali Hakasblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+0.5
Set 3
11-0UC DAVHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+2.2
21-1HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.3
32-1UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errIsabella Umpierre+2.3
42-2HAWAIIUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.4
52-3UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.5
62-4UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errMaeli Cormier+3.6
73-4UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+2.4
84-4HAWAIIHAWAIIAceCameron Holcombaced Khloe Wong+3.6
94-5HAWAIIUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.6
104-6UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.8
115-6UC DAVHAWAIIKillTali Hakasset Adrianna Arquette+2.5
126-6HAWAIIHAWAIIBad setIsabella Umpierre+3.8
136-7HAWAIIUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.8
147-7UC DAVHAWAII×7Serve errUC Davis+2.7
158-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7KillCameron Holcombset Tali Hakas+3.9
169-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7Attack errBrooke Hibino+3.7
1710-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7KillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+3.4
1811-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7AceVictoria Leyva+3.0
1912-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7AceVictoria Leyvaaced Khloe Wong+2.5
2013-7HAWAIIHAWAII×7KillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+2.0
2113-8HAWAIIUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.1
2214-8UC DAVHAWAIIKillAdrianna Arquetteset Tali Hakas+1.3
2314-9HAWAIIUC DAVServe errAdrianna Arquette+1.0
2414-10UC DAVUC DAVBlockedCha'lei Reidblk Ally Chandler, Gianna Bogan+2.0
2515-10UC DAVHAWAII×3Serve errUC Davis+1.8
2616-10HAWAIIHAWAII×3KillMaeli Cormierset Victoria Leyva+1.9
2717-10HAWAIIHAWAII×3AceCha'lei Reidaced Rachel Dunagan+1.3
2817-11HAWAIIUC DAVServe errCha'lei Reid+0.6
2918-11UC DAVHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+0.8
3018-12HAWAIIUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.5
3118-13UC DAVUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.1
3218-14UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
3318-15UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedMaeli Cormierblk Brooke Hibino, Ally Chandler+2.6
3419-15UC DAVHAWAIIKillTali Hakasset Adrianna Arquette+2.4
3520-15HAWAIIHAWAIIBlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Miliana Sylvester+2.4
3620-16HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.0
3721-16UC DAVHAWAIIKillTali Hakasset Adrianna Arquette+1.6
3821-17HAWAIIUC DAVServe errTali Hakas+0.9
3922-17UC DAVHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.5
4023-17HAWAIIHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Victoria Leyva+1.0
4123-18HAWAIIUC DAV×3Serve errHawaii+0.2
4223-19UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errCha'lei Reid+0.7
4323-20UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedCha'lei Reidblk Demi Cole+1.5
4424-20UC DAVHAWAIIAttack errGianna Bogan+2.0
4524-21HAWAIIUC DAVKillDemi Coleset Mia Starr+0.6
4625-21UC DAVHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.3
Set 4
11-0HAWAIIHAWAIIKillTali Hakasset Panna Ratkai+2.9
22-0HAWAIIHAWAIIKillAdrianna Arquetteset Cameron Holcomb+2.8
32-1HAWAIIUC DAVServe errHawaii+1.9
43-1UC DAVHAWAII×7Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.0
54-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7Attack errBrooke Hibino+2.7
65-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7KillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+2.4
76-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7Attack errAlly Chandler+2.1
87-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7Attack errAlly Chandler+1.8
98-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7KillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.4
109-1HAWAIIHAWAII×7Attack errIsabella Umpierre+1.1
119-2HAWAIIUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.6
129-3UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedCha'lei Reidblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+1.1
139-4UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedMiliana Sylvesterblk Brooke Hibino+1.4
1410-4UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+1.2
1511-4HAWAIIHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+1.4
1611-5HAWAIIUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.7
1712-5UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+0.9
1812-6HAWAIIUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+0.7
1913-6UC DAVHAWAII×3Serve errUC Davis+0.9
2014-6HAWAIIHAWAII×3Bad setMia Starr+0.9
2115-6HAWAIIHAWAII×3KillTali Hakasset Victoria Leyva+0.6
2215-7HAWAIIUC DAVServe errCha'lei Reid+0.3
2316-7UC DAVHAWAIIKillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+0.4
2416-8HAWAIIUC DAVKillDemi Coleset Mia Starr+0.2
2517-8UC DAVHAWAIIKillPanna Ratkaiset Adrianna Arquette+0.3
2617-9HAWAIIUC DAVBlockedMiliana Sylvesterblk Brooke Hibino, Demi Cole+0.2
2717-10UC DAVUC DAVBlockedTali Hakasblk Isabella Umpierre, Ally Chandler+0.5
2818-10UC DAVHAWAIIKillTali Hakasset Miliana Sylvester+0.5
2918-11HAWAIIUC DAVServe errHawaii+0.3
3019-11UC DAVHAWAIIKillCha'lei Reidset Adrianna Arquette+0.4
3119-12HAWAIIUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.2
3220-12UC DAVHAWAIIServe errUC Davis+0.4
3320-13HAWAIIUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+0.2
3420-14UC DAVUC DAVKillRachel Dunaganset Ana Stojanovic+0.5
3521-14UC DAVHAWAIIKillRachel Purserset Adrianna Arquette+0.5
3621-15HAWAIIUC DAV×4Serve errHawaii+0.2
3721-16UC DAVUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierre+0.6
3821-17UC DAVUC DAV×4KillDemi Cole+1.2
3921-18UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errTali Hakas+2.0
4022-18UC DAVHAWAII×4KillMaeli Cormierset Adrianna Arquette+2.1
4123-18HAWAIIHAWAII×4Attack errDemi Cole+1.7
4224-18HAWAIIHAWAII×4KillTali Hakasset Miliana Sylvester+0.6
4325-18HAWAIIHAWAII×4BlockedAna Stojanovicblk Maeli Cormier, Miliana Sylvester+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Hawaii first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).