Hawaii vs UC Davis Volleyball: UC Davis Wins 3-0 (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026MW+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Hawaii 62.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Davis beat visiting Hawaii 3-0 (25-15, 27-25, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. UC Davis' Isabella Umpierre and Ally Chandler led with 14 kills each, and Ximena Cordero Barr added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HAWAII	15	25	20	0
UC DAV	25	27	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.520 on 25 swings: Ally Chandler and UC Davis edged Hawaii.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UC Davis's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Hawaii went in at 63% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Hawaii 20–17 UC Davis
Down 17–20, UC Davis had 4 straight kills to lead 21–20. The match swung to UC Davis.
UC Davis 46% → 65%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · Hawaii 24–24 UC Davis
UC Davis won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–0.
UC Davis 61% → 82%
Turning point 3: Set 3 · Hawaii 19–19 UC Davis
5 straight UC Davis points broke a 19–19 tie and made it 24–19.
UC Davis 83% → >99%

UC Davis above 50Hawaii belowMax swing 12.2%

HawaiiUC Davis

Sideout %: Hawaii 54.7·UC Davis 69.4
Break %: Hawaii 30.6·UC Davis 45.3
Hitting: Hawaii .211·UC Davis .348
Longest run: Hawaii 3·UC Davis 5

Isabella Umpierre
3 kills inside the turning points, 14 K and .387 for the match (17 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Davis above 50 · Hawaii below

Biggest swing: 12.2% to UC Davis — set 2, HAWAII 25-27 UC DAV. Attack error by Cha'lei Reid. UC DAV win probability 70% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HAWAII 59.0%41.0% UC DAV

Hawaii wins

3-0

16.7%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

19.8%

UC Davis wins

3-0

9.1%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

16.9%

HAWAII break %: 42.6% vs this opp
UC DAV break %: 40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Cha'lei ReidAttack error+12.2%
Attack error by Cha'lei Reid
Set 2 · HAWAII 25-27 UC DAV · UC DAV 70% → 82%
02
Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+11.5%
Point UC Davis (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · HAWAII 23-24 UC DAV · UC DAV 58% → 70%
03
Tali HakasKill+8.8%
Kill by Tali Hakas (set by Victoria Leyva)
Set 2 · HAWAII 23-22 UC DAV · HAWAII 39% → 48%
04
Miliana SylvesterKill+8.2%
Kill by Miliana Sylvester (set by Panna Ratkai)
Set 2 · HAWAII 24-24 UC DAV · HAWAII 30% → 39%
05
Ally ChandlerKill+8.2%
Kill by Ally Chandler (set by Mia Starr)
Set 2 · HAWAII 24-25 UC DAV · UC DAV 61% → 70%
06
Mia StarrAttack error+8.2%
Attack error by Mia Starr
Set 2 · HAWAII 25-25 UC DAV · HAWAII 30% → 39%
07
Demi Cole&Mia StarrBlock+8.2%
Cha'lei Reid stuffed by Demi Cole & Mia Starr
Set 2 · HAWAII 25-26 UC DAV · UC DAV 61% → 70%
08
Isabella UmpierreKill+6.8%
Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Mia Starr)
Set 2 · HAWAII 20-21 UC DAV · UC DAV 58% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Hawaiiaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Tali HakasOH	3	8	4	29	.138	0	1	2	3	1	1	0	1	10
12Miliana SylvesterMB	3	9	1	19	.421	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	10
11Maeli CormierOPP	3	7	1	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Rachel PurserMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
22Panna RatkaiOH	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Adrianna ArquetteS	3	0	1	2	-.500	30	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Cha'lei ReidOH	3	10	5	30	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	10
2Victoria LeyvaL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	0	13	1	0	0	0	0
16Cameron HolcombL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0	0
4Kahea MoriwakiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	14	109	.211	35	2	6	38	6	2	4	4	60

UC Davishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Isabella UmpierreOPP	3	14	2	31	.387	3	2	1	8	0	2	1	17
13Ally ChandlerMB	3	14	1	25	.520	1	1	2	5	0	2	1	16
9Demi ColeMB	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
7Gianna BoganOH	3	6	3	20	.150	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	6
2Mia StarrS	3	4	1	6	.500	35	0	0	4	0	4	2	6
5Rachel DunaganOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	1
16Brooke HibinoOH	3	6	3	21	.143	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
18Khloe WongDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	1
14Ximena Cordero BarrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	1	16	1	0	0	1
Team totals		49	10	112	.348	47	6	6	51	2	12	6	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Hawaii vs UC Davis

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Hawaii at UC Davis · Hawaii won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Hawaii at UC Davis · UC Davis won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 HAWAII · UC DAV 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 HAWAIIUC DAV 5

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 HAWAIIUC DAV 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 HAWAIIUC DAV 5

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = Hawaii leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Hawaii

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	40%2/5
2	33%3/9	40%2/5
3	67%2/3	0%0/3
4	67%2/3	0%0/2
5	100%2/2	50%2/4
6	67%2/3	0%0/2
All	58%14/24	29%6/21

UC Davis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	33%1/3
2	60%3/5	25%1/4
3	100%3/3	67%6/9
4	100%2/2	33%1/3
5	50%2/4	33%1/3
6	100%2/2	0%0/2
All	71%15/21	42%10/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	HAWAII-UC DAV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.4
2	2-0	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.3
3	3-0	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Kill	Miliana Sylvester		+2.1
4	3-1	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+1.4
5	4-1	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.5
6	5-1	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.0
7	5-2	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.3
8	6-2	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Miliana Sylvester	+1.4
9	7-2	HAWAII	HAWAII	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Adrianna Arquette, Rachel Purser	+1.7
10	7-3	HAWAII	UC DAV×5	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+1.1
11	7-4	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler		+1.8
12	7-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Cha'lei Reid	blk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr	+2.2
13	7-6	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Ace	UC Davis	aced Victoria Leyva	+2.5
14	7-7	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.7
15	8-7	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Rachel Purser	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.0
16	8-8	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.0
17	9-8	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Rachel Purser	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.0
18	9-9	HAWAII	UC DAV	Serve err	Panna Ratkai		+2.1
19	10-9	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.1
20	10-10	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+2.1
21	11-10	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.2
22	11-11	HAWAII	UC DAV	Blocked	Tali Hakas	blk Demi Cole, Isabella Umpierre	+2.2
23	11-12	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Cameron Holcomb	+3.3
24	12-12	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.3
25	12-13	HAWAII	UC DAV×5	Serve err	Tali Hakas		+2.5
26	12-14	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+3.6
27	12-15	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Attack err	Miliana Sylvester		+3.4
28	12-16		UC DAV	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.1
29	12-17	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Ace	UC Davis	aced Tali Hakas	+2.5
30	13-17	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.3
31	13-18	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.8
32	13-19	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Adrianna Arquette		+1.8
33	14-19	UC DAV	HAWAII	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+0.8
34	14-20	HAWAII	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.2
35	14-21	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Cha'lei Reid	blk Mia Starr, Demi Cole	+1.0
36	14-22	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Cha'lei Reid	blk Mia Starr, Demi Cole	+0.5
37	14-23	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+0.2
38	14-24	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	·
39	15-24	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	·
40	15-25	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	·
Set 2
1	1-0	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.9
2	2-0	HAWAII	HAWAII	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Tali Hakas	+2.6
3	2-1	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.8
4	3-1	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.9
5	4-1	HAWAII	HAWAII	Bad set	Mia Starr		+2.5
6	4-2	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+1.7
7	5-2	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.8
8	5-3	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.7
9	5-4	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Ally Chandler	+2.7
10	6-4	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.0
11	7-4	HAWAII	HAWAII	Ace	Tali Hakas	aced Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.7
12	7-5	HAWAII	UC DAV	Serve err	Tali Hakas		+1.8
13	7-6	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	Ally Chandler		+2.9
14	8-6	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+2.1
15	8-7	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	+2.1
16	8-8	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+3.3
17	9-8	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.4
18	9-9	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.4
19	9-10	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Rachel Purser		+3.6
20	10-10	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+2.5
21	10-11	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	+2.7
22	11-11	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Rachel Purser	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.6
23	11-12	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.8
24	12-12	UC DAV	HAWAII×3	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.7
25	13-12	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Attack err	Gianna Bogan		+3.9
26	14-12	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Blocked	Ally Chandler	blk Miliana Sylvester	+3.7
27	14-13	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.5
28	14-14	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Isabella Umpierre	+4.0
29	15-14	UC DAV	HAWAII×3	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+3.0
30	16-14	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+4.1
31	17-14	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Bad set	Isabella Umpierre		+3.6
32	17-15	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.2
33	18-15	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+2.6
34	18-16	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.2
35	19-16	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Victoria Leyva	+2.7
36	19-17	HAWAII	UC DAV	Serve err	Adrianna Arquette		+2.2
37	20-17	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.9
38	20-18	HAWAII	UC DAV×4	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	+2.2
39	20-19	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+4.4
40	20-20	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+5.8
41	20-21	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+6.8
42	21-21	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+4.6
43	21-22	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Isabella Umpierre	+5.5
44	22-22	UC DAV	HAWAII	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Maeli Cormier, Panna Ratkai	+5.2
45	23-22	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Victoria Leyva	+8.8
46	23-23	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+5.9
47	23-24		UC DAV	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+11.5
48	24-24	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Panna Ratkai	+8.2
49	24-25	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+8.2
50	25-25	UC DAV	HAWAII	Attack err	Mia Starr		+8.2
51	25-26	HAWAII	UC DAV	Blocked	Cha'lei Reid	blk Demi Cole, Mia Starr	+8.2
52	25-27	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid		+12.2
Set 3
1	0-1	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.6
2	1-1	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.5
3	2-1	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.2
4	2-2	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.6
5	3-2	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.6
6	3-3	HAWAII	UC DAV	Serve err	Cameron Holcomb		+1.6
7	4-3	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.6
8	4-4	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.6
9	4-5	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Victoria Leyva	+2.4
10	5-5	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.7
11	6-5	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+2.4
12	6-6	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.7
13	7-6	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.7
14	7-7	HAWAII	UC DAV	Serve err	Adrianna Arquette		+1.8
15	8-7	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Victoria Leyva	+1.8
16	9-7	HAWAII	HAWAII	Bad set	Mia Starr		+2.4
17	9-8	HAWAII	UC DAV	Attack err	Tali Hakas		+1.7
18	9-9	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis		+2.6
19	10-9	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.9
20	10-10	HAWAII	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.9
21	10-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.9
22	10-12	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Attack err	Tali Hakas		+3.0
23	11-12	UC DAV	HAWAII	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.9
24	11-13	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Gianna Bogan	+2.2
25	11-14	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+3.0
26	12-14	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.8
27	12-15	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Isabella Umpierre	+2.2
28	13-15	UC DAV	HAWAII	Bad set	Isabella Umpierre		+1.8
29	14-15	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid		+3.1
30	14-16	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.5
31	15-16	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.2
32	15-17	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Demi Cole	set Mia Starr	+2.6
33	15-18	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Rachel Purser		+3.4
34	16-18	UC DAV	HAWAII	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+2.0
35	17-18	HAWAII	HAWAII	Ace	Panna Ratkai	aced Khloe Wong	+3.4
36	17-19	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+3.0
37	18-19	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+2.5
38	19-19	HAWAII	HAWAII	Bad set	Mia Starr		+4.3
39	19-20	HAWAII	UC DAV×5	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+3.4
40	19-21	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+4.8
41	19-22	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Tali Hakas	blk Ally Chandler, Isabella Umpierre	+4.1
42	19-23	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Attack err	Maeli Cormier		+2.8
43	19-24	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Bad set	Adrianna Arquette		+1.3
44	20-24	UC DAV	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.2
45	20-25	HAWAII	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Hawaii first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UC Davis def. Hawaii 3–0

.520 on 25 swings: Ally Chandler and UC Davis edged Hawaii.