CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026
Davidson logo

AwayATLANTIC-10

3:1

Davidson def. UNC Greensboro 31

(25-17, 13-25, 25-22, 25-19)
Set1234Sets
DAVID251325253
UNC G172522191

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC G above 50 · DAVID below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100UNC GDAVIDBiggest swing +10.0% DAVID · S3 24-22rally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Davidson — set 3, DAVID 24-22 UNC G. Davidson ace on Ella Burd. UNC G win probability 40%30%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DAVID 51.8%48.2% UNC G

Davidson wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.4%
DAVID break %
43.2% vs this opp
UNC G break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    DAVID serverAce+10.0%

    Davidson ace on Ella Burd

    Set 3 · DAVID 24-22 UNC G · DAVID 60%70%

  2. 02

    Kill by Connore' Siler-Nixon (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 3 · DAVID 22-22 UNC G · UNC G 39%48%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 3 · DAVID 23-22 UNC G · DAVID 52%60%

  4. 04
    Elena Garcia-GuerriosAttack error+6.0%

    Elena Garcia-Guerrios stuffed by Allie Sweet & Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 3 · DAVID 22-21 UNC G · UNC G 33%39%

  5. 05
    DAVID serverAce+5.6%

    Davidson ace on Allie Sweet

    Set 3 · DAVID 25-22 UNC G · DAVID 70%75%

  6. 06
    Ylame DsamouKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ylame Dsamou (set by Ylame Dsamou)

    Set 3 · DAVID 18-16 UNC G · DAVID 56%61%

  7. 07

    Kill by Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 3 · DAVID 16-16 UNC G · UNC G 43%49%

  8. 08

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Ylame Dsamou)

    Set 3 · DAVID 19-16 UNC G · DAVID 61%66%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410842.04804117210115
49224.2920002108413
412746.10900170010.512.5
48214.4290010014311
4001.0002810400001
35314.14300000031.56.5
4218.125011001014
4103.3332030800004
4000000200000
40004023000000
38421.19000000111.59.5
21011.00000010031.52.5
1000000200000
Team totals5627174.16752967334201488
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421760.23310015412223
48315.3330002004210
46325.12001050132.59.5
4216.16700010052.54.5
4003.0003610120010.51.5
40002001030000
410741.07311140010.511.5
4001.0003001400000
40002001420000
3000001100000
Team totals4721151.17245327892161083

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 DAVID · UNC G 6

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 7 DAVIDUNC G 3

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDUNC G 6

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 DAVIDUNC G 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 DAVIDUNC G 4

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
43%6/14
2
44%8/18
60%12/20
3
53%8/15
38%5/13
4
73%8/11
62%13/21
5
60%6/10
30%3/10
6
50%6/12
33%3/9
All
55%46/84
48%42/87

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%9/23
56%10/18
2
80%8/10
47%8/17
3
38%8/21
62%13/21
4
64%7/11
20%2/10
5
54%7/13
22%2/9
6
67%6/9
33%3/9
All
52%45/87
45%38/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

171 rallies

Rally log

#DAVID-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.5
21-1UNC GDAVID×4Attack errAllie Sweetblk Ngodoo Harris, Melanie Tilles+1.9
32-1DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.5
43-1DAVIDDAVID×4KillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+2.5
54-1DAVIDDAVID×4AceDAVID serveraced Allie Sweet+2.4
64-2DAVIDUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.7
74-3UNC GUNC G×3Attack errNgodoo Harris+2.5
84-4UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.6
95-4UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+2.0
105-5DAVIDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.0
115-6UNC GUNC GAttack errMeile Songaila+2.8
126-6UNC GDAVID×7Attack errKendall Lanclosblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+2.1
137-6DAVIDDAVID×7KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+2.8
148-6DAVIDDAVID×7KillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.8
159-6DAVIDDAVID×7AceDAVID serveraced Allie Sweet+2.7
1610-6DAVIDDAVID×7KillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+2.5
1711-6DAVIDDAVID×7Attack errKendall Lanclosblk Ellie Ocampo+2.1
1812-6DAVIDDAVID×7Attack errAllie Sweet+1.8
1912-7DAVIDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.1
2012-8UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.8
2113-8UNC GDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Ylame Dsamou+1.6
2213-9DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.3
2313-10UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+2.2
2414-10UNC GDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+2.0
2515-10DAVIDDAVIDAttack errHailey Clifton+2.2
2615-11DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.3
2716-11UNC GDAVID×4KillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+1.7
2817-11DAVIDDAVID×4KillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2918-11DAVIDDAVID×4AceDAVID serveraced Allie Sweet+1.2
3019-11DAVIDDAVID×4KillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.7
3119-12DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
3220-12UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+0.5
3321-12DAVIDDAVIDAttack errAllie Sweetblk Ngodoo Harris, Melanie Tilles+0.3
3421-13DAVIDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3522-13UNC GDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.2
3623-13DAVIDDAVIDAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Meile Songaila, Mia Compas+0.1
3723-14DAVIDUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.0
3823-15UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMia Compasblk Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.0
3923-16UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+0.1
4024-16UNC GDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.1
4124-17DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.0
4225-17UNC GDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+0.0
Set 2
10-1DAVIDUNC GAttack errNgodoo Harrisblk Allie Sweet+1.8
20-2UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Ngodoo Harris+2.4
31-2UNC GDAVIDServe errUNC G server+1.8
41-3DAVIDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
52-3UNC GDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.8
62-4DAVIDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.9
73-4UNC GDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.8
83-5DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Ella Burd+2.0
93-6UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.5
104-6UNC GDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.8
114-7DAVIDUNC GAttack errMeile Songaila+1.9
125-7UNC GDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Brooke Briscoe+1.8
135-8DAVIDUNC G×5Serve errDAVID server+2.0
145-9UNC GUNC G×5Attack errElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie+2.4
155-10UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
165-11UNC GUNC G×5Attack errMeile Songaila+1.8
175-12UNC GUNC G×5Attack errElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie+1.5
186-12UNC GDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
196-13DAVIDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.1
207-13UNC GDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.8
217-14DAVIDUNC G×6Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.1
227-15UNC GUNC G×6Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.0
237-16UNC GUNC G×6KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.7
247-17UNC GUNC G×6KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.4
257-18UNC GUNC G×6KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
267-19UNC GUNC G×6Attack errMeile Songaila+0.1
278-19UNC GDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.0
288-20DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.1
299-20UNC GDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.0
3010-20DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+0.1
3111-20DAVIDDAVID×3AceDAVID serveraced Mia Nicklas+0.1
3211-21DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.1
3312-21UNC GDAVIDKillCayla Weisnerset Ylame Dsamou+0.1
3413-21DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ariyana Johnson+0.1
3513-22DAVIDUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
3613-23UNC GUNC G×4Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.1
3713-24UNC GUNC G×4Attack errElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Izora Gragg, Akila Hardie+0.0
3813-25UNC GUNC G×4Attack errEllie Ocampo+0.0
Set 3
10-1UNC GUNC GAttack errAriyana Johnson+3.3
21-1UNC GDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
32-1DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.4
43-1DAVIDDAVID×3AceDAVID serveraced Ella Burd+3.3
53-2DAVIDUNC G×3Serve errDAVID server+2.4
63-3UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMelanie Tillesblk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.4
73-4UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.5
84-4UNC GDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.6
94-5DAVIDUNC G×3Serve errDAVID server+2.7
104-6UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMia Compasblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Kendall Lanclos+3.6
114-7UNC GUNC G×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+3.5
125-7UNC GDAVIDAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
136-7DAVIDDAVIDAceDAVID serveraced Mia Nicklas+3.5
146-8DAVIDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Kendall Lanclos+2.9
156-9UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Mia Nicklas+3.7
167-9UNC GDAVIDAttack errKendall Lanclosblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+2.5
177-10DAVIDUNC GServe errDAVID server+2.8
188-10UNC GDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.6
199-10DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errHailey Cliftonblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios+3.8
2010-10DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+4.1
2110-11DAVIDUNC GServe errDAVID server+3.2
2211-11UNC GDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou+3.2
2311-12DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.4
2412-12UNC GDAVID×4KillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+3.3
2513-12DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+4.6
2614-12DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errHailey Clifton+4.6
2715-12DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+4.2
2815-13DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Ella Burd+2.8
2916-13UNC GDAVIDAttack errAllie Sweetblk Ariyana Johnson, Melanie Tilles+3.3
3016-14DAVIDUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.9
3116-15UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMeile Songaila+4.6
3216-16UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixon+5.3
3317-16UNC GDAVID×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+4.2
3418-16DAVIDDAVID×3KillYlame Dsamouset Ylame Dsamou+5.5
3519-16DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+5.0
3619-17DAVIDUNC GAttack errMia Compas+3.0
3720-17UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+3.9
3820-18DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+3.0
3921-18UNC GDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+4.1
4021-19DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.0
4122-19UNC GDAVIDAttack errAkila Hardieblk Melanie Tilles+4.3
4222-20DAVIDUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.9
4322-21UNC GUNC G×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon+6.0
4422-22UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+8.6
4523-22UNC GDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+7.9
4624-22DAVIDDAVID×3AceDAVID serveraced Ella Burd+10.0
4725-22DAVIDDAVID×3AceDAVID serveraced Allie Sweet+5.6
Set 4
11-0DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.2
22-0DAVIDDAVIDAttack errAllie Sweetblk Ariyana Johnson+3.2
32-1DAVIDUNC GAttack errMelanie Tilles+2.3
43-1UNC GDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.5
54-1DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.2
64-2DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+2.2
75-2UNC GDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.4
86-2DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errAllie Sweetblk Cayla Weisner, Ngodoo Harris+3.0
97-2DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errAllie Sweetblk Ngodoo Harris, Cayla Weisner+2.7
107-3DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Mia Nicklas+1.8
118-3UNC GDAVID×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+2.0
129-3DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.3
1310-3DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errKendall Lanclosblk Ngodoo Harris, Cayla Weisner+1.9
1410-4DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.1
1511-4UNC GDAVID×3Serve errUNC G server+1.4
1612-4DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
1713-4DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errKendall Lanclosblk Melanie Tilles, Ngodoo Harris+1.0
1813-5DAVIDUNC GKillAkila Hardieset Izora Gragg+0.5
1914-5UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
2014-6DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+0.5
2114-7UNC GUNC GAttack errAriyana Johnsonblk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie+0.9
2215-7UNC GDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
2315-8DAVIDUNC G×4Attack errMeile Songailablk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie+0.7
2415-9UNC GUNC G×4Attack errMeile Songaila+1.2
2515-10UNC GUNC G×4Attack errAriyana Johnson+1.7
2615-11UNC GUNC G×4KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.3
2716-11UNC GDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.2
2816-12DAVIDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.7
2916-13UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.9
3017-13UNC GDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.8
3118-13DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harris+2.9
3219-13DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+2.1
3319-14DAVIDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
3420-14UNC GDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
3520-15DAVIDUNC GAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.9
3621-15UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.3
3721-16DAVIDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.7
3822-16UNC GDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.2
3922-17DAVIDUNC GKillAkila Hardieset Kendall Lanclos+0.5
4022-18UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Chloe Nussbaum+1.3
4123-18UNC GDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.7
4224-18DAVIDDAVIDAceDAVID serveraced Ella Burd+0.9
4324-19DAVIDUNC GServe errDAVID server+0.1
4425-19UNC GDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.