Missouri State vs Western Ky.: Western Ky. Wins 3-0 (Oct 3)

FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 83.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. beat visiting Missouri St. 3-0 (25-20, 25-22, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Western Ky.'s Faith Young led with 14 kills, and Tayler Baron added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MO ST	20	22	13	0
W KY	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.565 and 14 kills for Faith Young as Western Ky. rolled past Missouri St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.0 points. Missouri St. peaked at 18% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Western Ky. went in as RallyIQ's 84% pick.

Missouri St.Western Ky.

Break %+18.5 pts
28.146.6
Points won on own serve: 34 of 73 vs 16 of 57. Missouri St. sided out 53.4% of the time.
Hitting+.106
.233.339
Kills and errors: 51–12 vs 33–12.
Longest run+2
46
Up 8–6 in the first set, Western Ky. scored 6 straight to make it 14–6. That set ended 25–20.

Western Ky. above 50Missouri St. belowMax swing 3.0%

Missouri St.Western Ky.

Aces: Missouri St. 2·Western Ky. 7
Serve err: Missouri St. 3·Western Ky. 8
Blocks: Missouri St. 2·Western Ky. 30 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Missouri St. 44·Western Ky. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Ky. above 50 · Missouri St. below

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Western Ky. — set 2, MO ST 20-21 W KY. Kill by Faith Young. W KY win probability 89% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MO ST 17.3%82.7% W KY

Missouri St. wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.6%

3-2

8.9%

Western Ky. wins

3-0

34.4%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

17.4%

MO ST break %: 36.0% vs this opp
W KY break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Faith YoungKill+3.0%
Kill by Faith Young
Set 2 · MO ST 20-21 W KY · W KY 89% → 92%
02
Faith YoungKill+2.9%
Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)
Set 2 · MO ST 20-20 W KY · W KY 86% → 89%
03
Izzy Van De WieleAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Izzy Van De Wiele
Set 2 · MO ST 20-17 W KY · MO ST 15% → 18%
04
Sonja LaaksonenKill+2.5%
Kill by Sonja Laaksonen
Set 2 · MO ST 20-22 W KY · W KY 92% → 94%
05
Sonja LaaksonenKill+2.5%
Kill by Sonja Laaksonen (set by Kate Rush)
Set 2 · MO ST 20-19 W KY · W KY 84% → 86%
06
Kaira KnoxKill+2.2%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Izzy Van De Wiele)
Set 2 · MO ST 18-17 W KY · W KY 85% → 87%
07
Rilynn FinleyKill+2.1%
Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Riley Ourth)
Set 2 · MO ST 15-12 W KY · MO ST 13% → 15%
08
Chloe JuddKill+2.1%
Kill by Chloe Judd (set by Halle Rillie)
Set 2 · MO ST 17-13 W KY · MO ST 16% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Missouri St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Rilynn FinleyOH	3	6	4	21	.095	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	6.5
7Lexi WeinbergOPP	3	6	2	17	.235	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6
18Hannah GardnerS	3	4	2	11	.182	14	0	0	7	0	0	0	4
12Hannah RedrowMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
1Chloe JuddMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
15Avery SandsDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	6	1	0	0	0
4Jenna WaltersOH	3	11	3	26	.308	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
8Brooke EslingerDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	12	2	0	0	2
2Halle RillieS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
10Riley OurthDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	2	0	0	0
20Macy HumbleDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	12	90	.233	33	2	3	44	7	4	2	55

Western Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Faith YoungOH	3	14	1	23	.565	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	14
5Kaira KnoxOH	3	8	5	21	.143	0	3	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
21Eliza McKnightOH	3	9	0	14	.643	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
16Sonja LaaksonenOH	3	5	2	20	.150	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	6
20Kate RushS	3	2	0	7	.286	37	2	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
8Cali FosterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
17Alivia SkidmoreOH	3	8	3	22	.227	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	8
25Izzy Van De WieleMB	3	4	1	6	.500	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Tayler BaronL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
3Kennedy CherryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
13Kendall MellerOH	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
9Camila AdamsDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Izzie DelacherS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	12	115	.339	43	7	8	42	2	1	4	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Missouri St. vs Western Ky.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Missouri St. at Western Ky. · Western Ky. won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Missouri St. at Western Ky. · Western Ky. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MO ST · W KY 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 MO STW KY 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MO STW KY 6

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 MO STW KY 5

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Missouri St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	36%4/11
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	88%7/8	30%3/10
4	58%7/12	13%1/8
5	50%6/12	0%0/7
6	36%5/14	40%4/10
All	53%39/73	28%16/57

Western Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	44%4/9
2	78%7/9	50%7/14
3	70%7/10	36%4/11
4	100%7/7	13%1/8
5	64%7/11	56%9/16
6	86%6/7	60%9/15
All	72%41/57	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	MO ST-W KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+1.0
2	1-1	W KY	MO ST	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+1.1
3	1-2	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.0
4	1-3	W KY	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.4
5	2-3	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.9
6	2-4	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.9
7	3-4	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.0
8	3-5	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Eliza McKnight	+0.9
9	3-6	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Riley Ourth	+1.3
10	4-6	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
11	4-7	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.8
12	5-7	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.8
13	5-8	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.9
14	6-8	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+0.9
15	6-9	MO ST	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.9
16	6-10	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+1.2
17	6-11	W KY	W KY×6	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Brooke Eslinger	+0.9
18	6-12	W KY	W KY×6	Blocked	Lexi Weinberg	blk Sonja Laaksonen	+0.7
19	6-13	W KY	W KY×6	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Brooke Eslinger	+0.5
20	6-14	W KY	W KY×6	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.3
21	7-14	W KY	MO ST	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+0.1
22	7-15	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.2
23	8-15	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
24	8-16	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.2
25	9-16	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
26	9-17	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.1
27	10-17	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
28	10-18	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.1
29	11-18	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
30	11-19	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.1
31	11-20	W KY	W KY	Kill	Faith Young		+0.1
32	12-20	W KY	MO ST×4	Attack err	Kaira Knox		·
33	13-20	MO ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
34	14-20	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Faith Young		+0.1
35	15-20	MO ST	MO ST×4	Blocked	Kaira Knox	blk Rilynn Finley, Hannah Redrow	+0.3
36	15-21	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Kendall Meller		+0.3
37	16-21	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
38	17-21	MO ST	MO ST	Ace	Brooke Eslinger	aced Cali Foster	+0.4
39	17-22	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.5
40	18-22	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.2
41	18-23	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.4
42	19-23	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.2
43	19-24	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.3
44	20-24	W KY	MO ST	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+0.1
45	20-25	MO ST	W KY	Serve err	Missouri St.		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	W KY	MO ST×4	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+0.8
2	2-0	MO ST	MO ST×4	Ace	Brooke Eslinger	aced Cali Foster	+1.4
3	3-0	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+1.5
4	4-0	MO ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+1.5
5	4-1	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Chloe Judd		+0.8
6	5-1	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+1.0
7	5-2	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.8
8	6-2	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.1
9	6-3	MO ST	W KY	Serve err	Missouri St.		+0.8
10	7-3	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.1
11	7-4	MO ST	W KY×3	Kill	Izzy Van De Wiele	set Kate Rush	+0.9
12	7-5	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.5
13	7-6	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Izzy Van De Wiele	set Kate Rush	+1.5
14	8-6	W KY	MO ST×4	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.1
15	9-6	MO ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Avery Sands	+1.7
16	10-6	MO ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+1.7
17	11-6	MO ST	MO ST×4	Blocked	Kaira Knox	blk Jenna Walters, Hannah Redrow	+1.6
18	11-7	MO ST	W KY×3	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.8
19	11-8	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg		+1.5
20	11-9	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Avery Sands	+1.6
21	12-9	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Brooke Eslinger	+1.3
22	12-10	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.0
23	12-11	W KY	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.8
24	13-11	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+1.3
25	13-12	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.1
26	14-12	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Hannah Gardner	+1.4
27	15-12	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Riley Ourth	+2.1
28	15-13	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Hannah Gardner		+1.1
29	16-13	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+1.5
30	17-13	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+2.1
31	17-14	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.9
32	18-14	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Brooke Eslinger	+1.4
33	18-15	MO ST	W KY×3	Bad set	Jenna Walters		+0.9
34	18-16	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Brooke Eslinger	+1.9
35	18-17	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Izzy Van De Wiele	+2.2
36	19-17	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.8
37	20-17	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Izzy Van De Wiele		+2.7
38	20-18	MO ST	W KY×6	Kill	Izzy Van De Wiele	set Kate Rush	+1.2
39	20-19	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+2.5
40	20-20	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+2.9
41	20-21	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Faith Young		+3.0
42	20-22	W KY	W KY×6	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen		+2.5
43	20-23	W KY	W KY×6	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+1.7
44	21-23	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.6
45	22-23	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+1.9
46	22-24	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Hannah Gardner		+2.0
47	22-25	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Rilynn Finley	+1.4
Set 3
1	0-1	MO ST	W KY×3	Serve err	Missouri St.		+0.4
2	0-2	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young		+0.5
3	0-3	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen		+0.5
4	1-3	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.3
5	1-4	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kennedy Cherry	+0.3
6	2-4	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.3
7	2-5	MO ST	W KY	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.3
8	3-5	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.3
9	3-6	MO ST	W KY×5	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.3
10	3-7	W KY	W KY×5	Blocked	Jenna Walters	blk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox	+0.4
11	3-8	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Izzy Van De Wiele	set Kate Rush	+0.3
12	3-9	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.3
13	3-10	W KY	W KY×5	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Riley Ourth	+0.2
14	4-10	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
15	4-11	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.1
16	5-11	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
17	5-12	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Eliza McKnight	+0.1
18	6-12	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
19	6-13	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.1
20	7-13	W KY	MO ST	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.1
21	7-14	MO ST	W KY×4	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.1
22	7-15	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.1
23	7-16	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Kate Rush	set Rilynn Finley	+0.1
24	7-17	W KY	W KY×4	Bad set	Hannah Gardner		·
25	8-17	W KY	MO ST×3	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		·
26	9-17	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		·
27	10-17	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.1
28	10-18	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.1
29	10-19	W KY	W KY	Blocked	Rilynn Finley	blk Kate Rush, Eliza McKnight	·
30	11-19	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	·
31	11-20	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Alivia Skidmore	·
32	12-20	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	·
33	12-21	MO ST	W KY×3	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	·
34	12-22	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	·
35	12-23	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	·
36	13-23	W KY	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Halle Rillie	·
37	13-24	MO ST	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	·
38	13-25	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Lexi Weinberg	·

Score shown after each rally, Missouri St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Ky. def. Missouri St. 3–0

.565 and 14 kills for Faith Young as Western Ky. rolled past Missouri St.