CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

UNC Greensboro def. N.C. Central 31

(25-18, 21-25, 25-19, 25-17)
Set1234Sets
NC CEN182519171
UNC G252125253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC G above 50 · NC CEN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100UNC GNC CENBiggest swing +1.6% NC CEN · S3 5-4rally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.6% to N.C. Central — set 3, NC CEN 5-4 UNC G. Attack error by Connore' Siler-Nixon. UNC G win probability 91%90%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NC CEN 3.8%96.2% UNC G

N.C. Central wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.4%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
59.3%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
8.5%
NC CEN break %
37.1% vs this opp
UNC G break %
50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Connore' Siler-NixonAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 3 · NC CEN 5-4 UNC G · NC CEN 9%10%

  2. 02
    UNC G serverAce+1.3%

    UNC Greensboro ace on Alex Fuller

    Set 3 · NC CEN 5-6 UNC G · UNC G 91%92%

  3. 03
    NC CEN serverAce+1.2%

    N.C. Central ace on Chloe Nussbaum

    Set 4 · NC CEN 2-0 UNC G · NC CEN 4%6%

  4. 04
    Shalyn BellKill+1.2%

    Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 4 · NC CEN 5-4 UNC G · NC CEN 4%5%

  5. 05
    Allie SweetAttack error+1.1%

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Aniah Bass

    Set 3 · NC CEN 11-13 UNC G · NC CEN 6%7%

  6. 06
    Shalyn BellKill+1.1%

    Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 2 · NC CEN 23-20 UNC G · NC CEN 6%7%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 3 · NC CEN 5-7 UNC G · UNC G 92%93%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Allie Sweet)

    Set 3 · NC CEN 5-5 UNC G · UNC G 90%91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412635.1710148302114
47220.25000020233.510.5
42012.167003300635
4003.000361470010.51.5
3317.28600112010.53.5
11011.000000000001
4407.571000001226
4000101310000
4000201920000
4000200800000
313424.37500385010.513.5
2000001000000
1001.000000000000
1000100000000
Team totals4213110.2644221849143161179
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413422.4090312002117
4131048.0632209000015
4002.000333170010.53.5
34414.000000000215
3000000400000
2316.333000100003
410632.1250214100012
4002.0005421110004
3000000200000
2316.333000300214
2000000400000
12021.00000110010.52.5
Team totals4826134.1644014648208496

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NC CEN · UNC G 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 NC CENUNC G 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 NC CENUNC G 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 NC CENUNC G 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 NC CENUNC G 5

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
44%7/16
2
53%9/17
38%6/16
3
56%9/16
25%3/12
4
57%8/14
33%4/12
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
35%7/20
27%3/11
All
54%51/95
35%28/80

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
50%8/16
2
75%9/12
50%9/18
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
80%8/10
31%4/13
5
67%8/12
60%12/20
6
57%8/14
47%7/15
All
65%52/80
46%44/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

175 rallies

Rally log

#NC CEN-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UNC GNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.4
21-1NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.4
32-1UNC GNC CENAttack errAllie Sweetblk Tabitha Newlin, Allyson Rouse+0.5
42-2NC CENUNC GAttack errTalia Emmenblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Hailey Clifton+0.4
52-3UNC GUNC GAttack errAniah Bass+0.5
63-3UNC GNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.4
74-3NC CENNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.6
84-4NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.4
95-4UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.5
105-5NC CENUNC G×4KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.5
115-6UNC GUNC G×4KillAkila Hardie+0.5
125-7UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+0.5
135-8UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Talia Emmen+0.4
146-8UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+0.3
156-9NC CENUNC G×3KillAkila Hardieset Izora Gragg+0.3
166-10UNC GUNC G×3KillAkila Hardieset Izora Gragg+0.3
176-11UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.2
187-11UNC GNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni+0.2
197-12NC CENUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.2
207-13UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweet+0.2
218-13UNC GNC CEN×4Attack errHailey Clifton+0.1
229-13NC CENNC CEN×4KillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.2
2310-13NC CENNC CEN×4KillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.3
2411-13NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errHailey Clifton+0.5
2511-14NC CENUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.4
2611-15UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Tabitha Newlin+0.4
2711-16UNC GUNC G×4Attack errAniah Bass+0.3
2811-17UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Tabitha Newlin+0.2
2912-17UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+0.1
3012-18NC CENUNC G×3Attack errTabitha Newlin+0.1
3112-19UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3212-20UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.0
3313-20UNC GNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.0
3414-20NC CENNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.1
3515-20NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Peyton Jenkins, Talia Emmen+0.1
3615-21NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.1
3716-21UNC GNC CENAttack errKendall Lanclos+0.1
3816-22NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3917-22UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.1
4017-23NC CENUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.1
4117-24UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Talia Emmen+0.0
4218-24UNC GNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley+0.0
4318-25NC CENUNC GBad setAllyson Rouse+0.0
Set 2
11-0NC CENNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.4
21-1NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.2
32-1UNC GNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.3
42-2NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.3
53-2UNC GNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley+0.3
63-3NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.3
74-3UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
84-4NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.3
95-4UNC GNC CEN×5KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
106-4NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errAllie Sweet+0.5
117-4NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.6
128-4NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errSiena Smiejek+0.6
139-4NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errKendall Lanclosblk Breylan Fairley, Allyson Rouse+0.7
149-5NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.4
1510-5UNC GNC CEN×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.5
1611-5NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.7
1712-5NC CENNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Isabella Rodriguez+0.7
1812-6NC CENUNC G×4Serve errNC CEN server+0.3
1912-7UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
2012-8UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Shalyn Bell+0.6
2112-9UNC GUNC G×4Attack errTalia Emmen+0.6
2213-9UNC GNC CENAttack errHailey Clifton+0.6
2314-9NC CENNC CENAttack errAllie Sweetblk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse+0.8
2414-10NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.4
2515-10UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons+0.6
2615-11NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.4
2716-11UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2816-12NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.4
2916-13UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Hailey Gibbons+0.7
3017-13UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
3118-13NC CENNC CENAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Peyton Jenkins, Talia Emmen+0.9
3218-14NC CENUNC G×3Serve errNC CEN server+0.4
3318-15UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclos+0.7
3418-16UNC GUNC G×3Attack errTalia Emmenblk Izora Gragg, Siena Smiejek+0.8
3519-16UNC GNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley+0.8
3619-17NC CENUNC GAttack errTalia Emmen+0.6
3720-17UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+0.9
3820-18NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.6
3921-18UNC GNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.0
4021-19NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.6
4122-19UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.1
4222-20NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.6
4323-20UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.1
4424-20NC CENNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Isabella Rodriguez+1.0
4524-21NC CENUNC GAttack errShalyn Bell+0.2
4625-21UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Alex Fuller+0.6
Set 3
11-0UNC GNC CENAttack errAkila Hardieblk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse+1.1
21-1NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
31-2UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Talia Emmen+1.1
42-2UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+1.0
52-3NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.9
63-3UNC GNC CENAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell+1.0
73-4NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.9
84-4UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.1
95-4NC CENNC CENAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+1.6
105-5NC CENUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+1.1
115-6UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Alex Fuller+1.3
125-7UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Breylan Fairley+1.1
135-8UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC G serveraced Hailey Gibbons+0.9
146-8UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.8
156-9NC CENUNC G×3Serve errNC CEN server+0.7
166-10UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.8
176-11UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC G serveraced Shalyn Bell+0.6
187-11UNC GNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.4
198-11NC CENNC CEN×3Bad setAkila Hardie+0.8
209-11NC CENNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.1
219-12NC CENUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.8
229-13UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Shalyn Bell+0.9
2310-13UNC GNC CENAttack errHailey Clifton+0.7
2411-13NC CENNC CENAttack errAllie Sweetblk Aniah Bass+1.1
2511-14NC CENUNC G×3Serve errNC CEN server+0.9
2611-15UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.9
2711-16UNC GUNC G×3Attack errTalia Emmenblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Hailey Clifton+0.7
2812-16UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.4
2913-16NC CENNC CENAttack errAllie Sweet+0.9
3013-17NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.8
3114-17UNC GNC CENBad setChloe Nussbaum+0.7
3214-18NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.8
3315-18UNC GNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.7
3415-19NC CENUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.8
3516-19UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.7
3616-20NC CENUNC G×3Attack errShalyn Bell+0.8
3716-21UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.7
3816-22UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC G serveraced Shalyn Bell+0.3
3917-22UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.1
4018-22NC CENNC CENBad setIzora Gragg+0.3
4118-23NC CENUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.4
4219-23UNC GNC CENAttack errAllie Sweet+0.2
4319-24NC CENUNC GBad setIsabella Rodriguez+0.3
4419-25UNC GUNC GAceUNC G serveraced Team+0.1
Set 4
11-0NC CENNC CENAttack errAllie Sweetblk Aniah Bass+1.0
22-0NC CENNC CENAceNC CEN serveraced Chloe Nussbaum+1.2
32-1NC CENUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.8
42-2UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.9
53-2UNC GNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.9
63-3NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.7
73-4UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.9
84-4UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons+0.8
95-4NC CENNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.2
105-5NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.8
115-6UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.9
126-6UNC GNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.8
136-7NC CENUNC G×5Serve errNC CEN server+0.7
146-8UNC GUNC G×5KillSiena Smiejek+0.8
156-9UNC GUNC G×5Bad setAlex Fuller+0.7
166-10UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.6
176-11UNC GUNC G×5KillSiena Smiejek+0.4
187-11UNC GNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley+0.3
197-12NC CENUNC GServe errNC CEN server+0.3
208-12UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
219-12NC CENNC CENAceNC CEN serveraced Kendall Lanclos+0.6
229-13NC CENUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.5
239-14UNC GUNC GAttack errShalyn Bell+0.5
2410-14UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+0.3
2510-15NC CENUNC GKillMolly Scott Cottrellset Izora Gragg+0.3
2610-16UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
2711-16UNC GNC CEN×3Attack errAllie Sweetblk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass+0.2
2812-16NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errAllie Sweet+0.4
2913-16NC CENNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.6
3013-17NC CENUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.5
3114-17UNC GNC CENServe errUNC G server+0.5
3214-18NC CENUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.6
3314-19UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC G serveraced Shalyn Bell+0.5
3414-20UNC GUNC G×3Attack errShalyn Bell+0.3
3515-20UNC GNC CENAttack errAllie Sweetblk Peyton Jenkins+0.1
3615-21NC CENUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.2
3716-21UNC GNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.1
3816-22NC CENUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+0.2
3917-22UNC GNC CENAttack errKendall Lanclos+0.1
4017-23NC CENUNC G×3Attack errTalia Emmenblk Siena Smiejek, Molly Scott Cottrell+0.1
4117-24UNC GUNC G×3KillMolly Scott Cottrellset Izora Gragg+0.1
4217-25UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.0

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.