FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Missouri St. def. Middle Tenn. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri St. 60.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri St. beat visiting Middle Tenn. 3-0 (25-16, 25-15, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Missouri St.'s Rilynn Finley led with 13 kills, and Brooke Eslinger added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
MIDTEN1615160
MO ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rilynn Finley hit .542 with 13 kills as Missouri St. rolled past Middle Tenn.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; Middle Tenn. topped out at 44% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Missouri St. at 60%.

Middle Tenn.Missouri St.
  • Break %+26.2 pts
    29.255.4

    41 of 74 on serve vs 14 of 48, so Middle Tenn.'s sideout was 44.6%.

  • Hitting+.329
    .134.463

    43 kills, 5 errors vs 37 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+5
    510

    10 straight Missouri St. points in the first set turned a 3–4 deficit into a 13–4 lead. The set finished 25–16.

Missouri St. above 50Middle Tenn. belowMax swing 2.8%

Middle Tenn.Missouri St.

Aces
Middle Tenn. 2·Missouri St. 3
Serve err
Middle Tenn. 7·Missouri St. 2
Blocks
Middle Tenn. 2·Missouri St. 91 BS · 2 BA vs 3 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Middle Tenn. 31·Missouri St. 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Missouri St. above 50 · Middle Tenn. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.8% MO STrally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Missouri St. — set 2, MIDTEN 13-16 MO ST. Attack error by Logan Carr. MO ST win probability 82% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 34.0%66.0% MO ST

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.0%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
20.6%
3-1
25.3%
3-2
20.0%
MIDTEN break %
40.5% vs this opp
MO ST break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Logan CarrAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Logan Carr

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 13-16 MO ST · MO ST 82% → 85%

  2. 02

    Hannah Redrow stuffed by Logan Carr & Caroline Macander

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 13-14 MO ST · MIDTEN 18% → 20%

  3. 03
    Sophia HenryKill+2.6%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Marianne Garcia)

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 4-3 MO ST · MIDTEN 39% → 42%

  4. 04
    Logan CarrAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Logan Carr

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 4-5 MO ST · MO ST 60% → 63%

  5. 05
    Trinniti StevensAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Trinniti Stevens

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 4-6 MO ST · MO ST 63% → 65%

  6. 06
    Sophia HenryKill+2.5%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Addison Burks)

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 2-0 MO ST · MIDTEN 41% → 44%

  7. 07
    Rilynn FinleyKill+2.5%

    Kill by Rilynn Finley (set by Hannah Gardner)

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 2-3 MO ST · MO ST 60% → 63%

  8. 08
    Lexi WeinbergKill+2.5%

    Kill by Lexi Weinberg (set by Hannah Gardner)

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 2-2 MO ST · MO ST 58% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312432.2500022200012
39118.444001000009
33511-.18200000010.53.5
3102.500002500001
3003.000220050010.50.5
3000–101510000
37620.050100101018
35423.043000000005
3000–221800002
3000–600500000
2023-.667000000000
Team totals3722112.134322731312247
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313024.5420002010114
36210.40001020153.510.5
37012.583000200429
36012.5001910600218
36110.50000000111.57.5
3001.0000011300000
35211.273000300005
3001.0001710400001
3001.000101410000
3000–1001400000
Team totals43582.4633832502312975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Middle Tenn. vs Missouri St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MIDTEN · MO ST 10

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 5 MIDTENMO ST 10

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 MIDTENMO ST 7

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 MIDTENMO ST 3

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
40%4/10
2
50%6/12
30%3/10
3
31%5/16
25%2/8
4
56%5/9
17%1/6
5
50%5/10
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
17%1/6
All
45%33/74
29%14/48

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
42%5/12
2
75%6/8
68%13/19
3
71%5/7
71%12/17
4
71%5/7
38%3/8
5
71%5/7
50%5/10
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
71%34/48
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#MIDTEN-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Hannah Gardner+1.8
22-0MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Addison Burks+2.5
32-1MIDTENMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.7
42-2MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.5
52-3MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.5
63-3MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.8
74-3MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+2.6
84-4MIDTENMO ST×10KillRilynn Finleyset Brooke Eslinger+1.9
94-5MO STMO ST×10Attack errLogan Carr+2.6
104-6MO STMO ST×10Attack errTrinniti Stevens+2.5
114-7MO STMO ST×10BlockedLogan Carrblk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner+2.4
124-8MO STMO ST×10BlockedSophia Henryblk Rilynn Finley+2.1
134-9MO STMO ST×10KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.9
144-10MO STMO ST×10KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.5
154-11MO STMO ST×10KillChloe Judd+1.2
164-12MO STMO ST×10KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+0.9
174-13MO STMO ST×10BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner+0.6
185-13MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.3
196-13MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reed+0.6
206-14MIDTENMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.6
216-15MO STMO ST×3KillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+0.5
226-16MO STMO ST×3KillChloe Judd+0.3
237-16MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.1
248-16MIDTENMIDTENAceMarianne Garciaaced Riley Ourth+0.3
258-17MIDTENMO ST×3Serve errMarianne Garcia+0.3
268-18MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Sophia Henry+0.3
278-19MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.1
289-19MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia·
2910-19MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
3010-20MIDTENMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+0.1
3110-21MO STMO STAceMissouri St.aced Addison Burks+0.1
3211-21MO STMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander·
3312-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errJenna Walters·
3413-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouhá+0.1
3514-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
3615-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillKendall Mignereyset Caroline Macander+0.3
3715-22MIDTENMO ST×3Serve errKendall Mignerey+0.4
3815-23MO STMO ST×3Attack errSophia Henry+0.2
3915-24MO STMO ST×3Attack errSophia Henry+0.1
4016-24MO STMIDTENServe errAvery Sands·
4116-25MIDTENMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner·
Set 2
10-1MIDTENMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.6
20-2MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Brooke Eslinger+2.1
31-2MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.5
42-2MIDTENMIDTENAceMarianne Garcia+2.2
52-3MIDTENMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.6
62-4MO STMO STAceHalle Rillieaced Sophia Henry+2.2
73-4MO STMIDTENBlockedChloe Juddblk Gabrielle Clinkscale+1.6
83-5MIDTENMO STServe errAddison Burks+1.6
94-5MO STMIDTENAttack errJenna Walters+1.6
104-6MIDTENMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.7
114-7MO STMO STAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.2
125-7MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.5
135-8MIDTENMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+1.6
146-8MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.5
156-9MIDTENMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+1.6
167-9MO STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.5
177-10MIDTENMO STServe errSophia Henry+1.7
187-11MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.1
198-11MO STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.3
208-12MIDTENMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+1.5
219-12MO STMIDTENAttack errChloe Judd+1.3
2210-12MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.2
2310-13MIDTENMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+1.8
2411-13MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.6
2511-14MIDTENMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Caroline Macander+1.9
2612-14MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
2713-14MIDTENMIDTENBlockedHannah Redrowblk Logan Carr, Caroline Macander+2.8
2813-15MIDTENMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+2.2
2913-16MO STMO STAttack errLogan Carr+2.8
3014-16MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
3114-17MIDTENMO STAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.1
3214-18MO STMO STAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.4
3315-18MO STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.3
3415-19MIDTENMO ST×7Attack errLogan Carr+1.7
3515-20MO STMO ST×7BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+1.7
3615-21MO STMO ST×7BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+1.0
3715-22MO STMO ST×7Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.5
3815-23MO STMO ST×7KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.2
3915-24MO STMO ST×7BlockedJaslyn Reedblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+0.1
4015-25MO STMO ST×7BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chloe Judd·
Set 3
10-1MO STMO STAttack errJaslyn Reed+1.3
21-1MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.9
32-1MIDTENMIDTENBad setHannah Gardner+1.4
42-2MIDTENMO ST×3Serve errKendall Mignerey+1.0
52-3MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.3
62-4MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.3
73-4MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.9
83-5MIDTENMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+1.0
93-6MO STMO ST×3KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+1.3
103-7MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.1
114-7MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.7
124-8MIDTENMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+0.8
135-8MO STMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.7
146-8MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carr+1.2
156-9MIDTENMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.0
166-10MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+1.2
176-11MO STMO ST×3BlockedLogan Carrblk Hannah Redrow+1.0
187-11MO STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.6
197-12MIDTENMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+0.7
207-13MO STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+0.8
218-13MO STMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.5
228-14MIDTENMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+0.6
238-15MO STMO STAttack errTrinniti Stevens+0.6
249-15MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+0.3
259-16MIDTENMO STBlockedSophia Henryblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+0.4
2610-16MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+0.3
2710-17MIDTENMO STServe errMichaela Dlouhá+0.4
2811-17MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+0.3
2911-18MIDTENMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+0.4
3011-19MO STMO STAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.3
3112-19MO STMIDTENServe errRiley Ourth+0.1
3212-20MIDTENMO STServe errSophia Henry+0.2
3313-20MO STMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.1
3413-21MIDTENMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+0.2
3514-21MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.1
3614-22MIDTENMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.1
3715-22MO STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen·
3815-23MIDTENMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+0.1
3915-24MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner·
4016-24MO STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen·
4116-25MIDTENMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner·

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).