FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

App State def. Coastal Carolina 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: App State 64.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State beat visiting Coastal Carolina 3-0 (25-19, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. App State's Amelia Mancino led with 13 kills, and MeMe Davis added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
CO CAR1919230
APP ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

App State won all three sets by six or fewer.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.3 points, and Coastal Carolina's high was 41% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave App State 64% before first serve.

Coastal CarolinaApp State
  • Break %+12.0 pts
    33.945.9

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 21 of 62. Coastal Carolina sided out 54.1% of the time.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    6 straight App State points in the second set broke a 19–19 tie and made it 25–19. That set ended 25–19.

App State above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 4.3%

Coastal CarolinaApp State

Hitting
Coastal Carolina .223·App State .286
Aces
Coastal Carolina 0·App State 6
Serve err
Coastal Carolina 9·App State 10
Blocks
Coastal Carolina 9·App State 53 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Coastal Carolina 38·App State 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.3% APP STrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.3% to App State — set 3, CO CAR 23-25 APP ST. Kill by Nevaeh Hays (set by Raegan Richardson). APP ST win probability 96% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 30.6%69.4% APP ST

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
5.9%
3-1
10.8%
3-2
13.9%

App State wins

3-0
22.9%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
19.9%
CO CAR break %
40.9% vs this opp
APP ST break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nevaeh HaysKill+4.3%

    Kill by Nevaeh Hays (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 3 · CO CAR 23-25 APP ST · APP ST 96% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chelsea Gilmore (set by Bella Dafforn)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 19-21 APP ST · APP ST 82% → 86%

  3. 03
    App StateAce+3.9%

    App State ace

    Set 2 · CO CAR 18-19 APP ST · APP ST 78% → 82%

  4. 04

    Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 1 · CO CAR 16-17 APP ST · APP ST 63% → 67%

  5. 05
    Anzley RinardAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Anzley Rinard

    Set 1 · CO CAR 16-18 APP ST · APP ST 67% → 71%

  6. 06
    Nevaeh HaysKill+3.7%

    Kill by Nevaeh Hays (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 18-18 APP ST · APP ST 74% → 78%

  7. 07
    Charlotte ThompsonAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Charlotte Thompson

    Set 3 · CO CAR 23-23 APP ST · CO CAR 4% → 8%

  8. 08

    Kill by Amelia Mancino (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 3 · CO CAR 23-24 APP ST · APP ST 92% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39323.26100140010.59.5
35114.286000102238
36010.600102200428
33314.000000000214
3002.0001701500000
3000–002400000
38425.1600001012210
3000–000300000
3000–4031400000
1214.250000200002
1002.000110020010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals331294.2233309386312961
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313329.3450136010115
39524.16702150010.511.5
37313.308001101229
38114.50000000010.58.5
3316.333341160010.54.5
33314.00000010010.53.5
3001.0003131500001
3000–011400001
3000–000200000
1304.750000000003
Team totals4616105.2863761040026575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs App State

Season series · App State leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CO CAR · APP ST 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 CO CARAPP ST 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 CO CARAPP ST 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 CO CARAPP ST 4

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
46%6/13
2
39%7/18
20%2/10
3
64%7/11
42%5/12
4
40%6/15
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
14%1/7
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
54%40/74
34%21/62

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
42%5/12
2
73%8/11
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
53%8/15
4
75%6/8
60%9/15
5
86%6/7
25%2/8
6
55%6/11
25%2/8
All
66%41/62
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#CO CAR-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.8
21-1CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.7
32-1APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.8
42-2CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.8
53-2APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.9
63-3CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.8
73-4APP STAPP STBad setAbby Bucey+2.4
84-4APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.8
95-4CO CARCO CARAttack errChelsea Gilmore+2.6
105-5CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset MeMe Davis+1.9
115-6APP STAPP STAceApp State+2.5
126-6APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.9
136-7CO CARAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+1.9
147-7APP STCO CAR×3Attack errCharlotte Thompson+2.0
158-7CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errCharlotte Thompson+2.8
169-7CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+2.9
179-8CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.0
1810-8APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.3
1910-9CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2010-10APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+3.0
2111-10APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.3
2211-11CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.3
2312-11APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.4
2412-12CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.3
2513-12APP STCO CARBad setRaegan Richardson+2.5
2613-13CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.4
2714-13APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.6
2814-14CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.5
2915-14APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+2.8
3015-15CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.7
3116-15APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Hatteras Welker+2.9
3216-16CO CARAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.8
3316-17APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.9
3416-18APP STAPP ST×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+3.7
3517-18APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+2.5
3617-19CO CARAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.9
3717-20APP STAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancino+3.4
3817-21APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.5
3918-21APP STCO CARAttack errAmelia Mancino+1.2
4019-21CO CARCO CARAttack errAmelia Mancino+2.6
4119-22CO CARAPP ST×4Attack errTalia Johnson+2.7
4219-23APP STAPP ST×4AceApp State+2.4
4319-24APP STAPP ST×4BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson+1.1
4419-25APP STAPP ST×4Bad setAnzley Rinard+0.3
Set 2
10-1CO CARAPP STAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.5
21-1APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.5
31-2CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.5
42-2APP STCO CAR×3Serve errApp State+1.5
53-2CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+2.2
64-2CO CARCO CAR×3Bad setMeMe Davis+2.2
74-3CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.6
84-4APP STAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.2
95-4APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.7
106-4CO CARCO CARBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Talia Johnson, Hatteras Welker+2.3
116-5CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.6
126-6APP STAPP STBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Chelsea Gilmore+2.3
137-6APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.8
147-7CO CARAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+1.7
157-8APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.3
168-8APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.8
179-8CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.5
189-9CO CARAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.8
1910-9APP STCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.0
2011-9CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedNevaeh Haysblk Anna Rita+2.7
2112-9CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.7
2212-10CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.7
2313-10APP STCO CARAttack errRaegan Richardson+2.1
2413-11CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.8
2514-11APP STCO CARAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.1
2614-12CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.8
2715-12APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+2.2
2815-13CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
2916-13APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.3
3016-14CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
3117-14APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+2.4
3217-15CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
3317-16APP STAPP STAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.1
3418-16APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.8
3518-17CO CARAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.4
3618-18APP STAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+3.7
3718-19APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State+3.9
3819-19APP STCO CARAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.9
3919-20CO CARAPP ST×6KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.1
4019-21APP STAPP ST×6KillChelsea Gilmoreset Bella Dafforn+4.0
4119-22APP STAPP ST×6KillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+3.2
4219-23APP STAPP ST×6AceApp State+2.1
4319-24APP STAPP ST×6KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+0.9
4419-25APP STAPP ST×6BlockedAnna Ritablk Amelia Mancino+0.2
Set 3
10-1APP STAPP STKillIsabella Loeswick+1.1
21-1APP STCO CARServe errApp State+0.9
31-2CO CARAPP ST×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.9
41-3APP STAPP ST×3Attack errTalia Johnson+1.1
51-4APP STAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.0
62-4APP STCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
73-4CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
84-4CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
95-4CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+1.3
105-5CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+0.9
116-5APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.0
126-6CO CARAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.0
136-7APP STAPP ST×4Attack errNatalie Hughes+1.3
146-8APP STAPP ST×4AceApp State+1.3
156-9APP STAPP ST×4KillAmelia Mancino+1.2
167-9APP STCO CARServe errApp State+0.8
177-10CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.9
188-10APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.8
198-11CO CARAPP STBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Charlotte Thompson, Chelsea Gilmore+0.9
208-12APP STAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.1
219-12APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
2210-12CO CARCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
2310-13CO CARAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.0
2410-14APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State+1.1
2510-15APP STAPP ST×3Attack errNevaeh Hays+0.9
2611-15APP STCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
2712-15CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
2813-15CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Anna Rita, Isabella Loeswick+1.2
2913-16CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.1
3013-17APP STAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.2
3114-17APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
3214-18CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+0.9
3314-19APP STAPP STAttack errTalia Johnson+0.9
3415-19APP STCO CAR×4KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
3516-19CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+0.9
3617-19CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.3
3718-19CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+1.8
3818-20CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.6
3918-21APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.8
4019-21APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
4119-22CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.4
4220-22APP STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Jonna Spohn+0.9
4321-22CO CARCO CARAttack errChelsea Gilmore+2.0
4421-23CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.1
4522-23APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.6
4623-23CO CARCO CARAttack errCharlotte Thompson+3.5
4723-24CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+3.4
4823-25APP STAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+4.3

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).