Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

App State def. Coastal Carolina 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: App State 69.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State beat visiting Coastal Carolina 3-2 (18-25, 25-22, 25-21, 17-25, 16-14) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. App State's Delanie Grevengoed led with 18 kills, and MeMe Davis added 31 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set12345Sets
CO CAR25222125142
APP ST18252517163

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Meme Davis dug 31 balls to keep App State alive against Coastal Carolina.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are App State's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. App State went in as RallyIQ's 69% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 4–3 App State

    3 straight App State points turned a 3–4 deficit into a 6–4 lead. The match swung to App State.

    App State 49% → 75%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 10–12 App State

    Coastal Carolina scored 3 straight to turn a 10–12 deficit into a 13–12 lead. The match swung to Coastal Carolina.

    App State 83% → 36%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 13–13 App State

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to App State, enough to take the set 16–14 and win the match 3–2.

    App State 51% → >99%

App State above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 25.8%

Coastal CarolinaApp State

Sideout %
Coastal Carolina 61.4·App State 57.9
Break %
Coastal Carolina 42.1·App State 38.6
Hitting
Coastal Carolina .219·App State .158
Longest run
Coastal Carolina 5·App State 4

Amelia Mancino
12 kills on .242, 13.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+25.8% APP STrally 208 · set 5

Biggest swing: 25.8% to App State — set 5, CO CAR 13-14 APP ST. Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by MeMe Davis). APP ST win probability 51% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 30.6%69.4% APP ST

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
5.9%
3-1
10.8%
3-2
13.9%

App State wins

3-0
22.9%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
19.9%
CO CAR break %
40.9% vs this opp
APP ST break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by MeMe Davis)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-14 APP ST · APP ST 51% → 76%

  2. 02
    Amelia MancinoKill+23.5%

    Kill by Amelia Mancino (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 14-16 APP ST · APP ST 76% → 100%

  3. 03
    Delanie GrevengoedAttack error+21.8%

    Attack error by Delanie Grevengoed

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-12 APP ST · CO CAR 43% → 64%

  4. 04
    Hatteras WelkerKill+18.7%

    Kill by Hatteras Welker (set by Kaylee Musick)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 14-14 APP ST · CO CAR 24% → 42%

  5. 05
    Amelia MancinoKill+18.7%

    Kill by Amelia Mancino (set by MeMe Davis)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 14-15 APP ST · APP ST 58% → 76%

  6. 06
    Coastal CarolinaAce+16.8%

    Coastal Carolina ace

    Set 5 · CO CAR 12-12 APP ST · CO CAR 26% → 43%

  7. 07

    Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-13 APP ST · APP ST 36% → 51%

  8. 08
    Amelia MancinoKill+14.0%

    Kill by Amelia Mancino (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 10-12 APP ST · APP ST 69% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512227.37002510275.519.5
515543.2330116222319
512844.09110213004214
58127.2590003006311
57116.3750003006310
5002.0004200800000
5011-1.0003113100001
5000–101600000
2109.11100020010.51.5
2000–712400001
Team totals5518169.2195451277742617107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518648.25002310031.521.5
512433.242013121010.513.5
511427.2591002012213
53112.1674922200031.56.5
3337.00000000031.54.5
34519-.053000100004
58321.238000000219
5022-1.0005103110001
5011-1.000000300000
5000–002900000
44218.111000000004
3000–011100001
1011-1.000200100000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6333190.158577118151148101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs App State

Season series · App State leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CO CAR · APP ST 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 CO CARAPP ST 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CO CARAPP ST 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 CO CARAPP ST 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 CO CARAPP ST 3

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 3 CO CARAPP ST 3

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
50%9/18
2
71%12/17
33%6/18
3
65%11/17
40%8/20
4
47%9/19
48%10/21
5
64%9/14
31%4/13
6
60%9/15
47%8/17
All
61%62/101
42%45/107

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
39%7/18
2
67%12/18
29%5/17
3
67%12/18
29%5/17
4
53%9/17
47%8/17
5
53%9/17
50%9/18
6
50%8/16
36%5/14
All
58%62/107
39%39/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

208 rallies

#CO CAR-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
22-0CO CARCO CARAttack errMeMe Davis+2.4
32-1CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.6
42-2APP STAPP STBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+2.3
53-2APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
63-3CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.7
73-4APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+2.3
84-4APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
95-4CO CARCO CARBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Hatteras Welker+2.5
105-5CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.8
115-6APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.4
126-6APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.8
136-7CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.8
146-8APP STAPP STBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson+2.3
157-8APP STCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
168-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Anzley Rinard+2.6
179-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+2.8
189-9CO CARAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.0
1910-9APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
2011-9CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Amelia Mancino+3.0
2111-10CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.0
2212-10APP STCO CARBlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+2.3
2312-11CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2412-12APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+3.0
2513-12APP STCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
2614-12CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errAmelia Mancino+3.4
2715-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedNevaeh Haysblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.3
2816-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.0
2916-13CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.7
3017-13APP STCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
3118-13CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Hatteras Welker, Talia Johnson+2.5
3219-13CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
3319-14CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+0.8
3420-14APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
3520-15CO CARAPP STAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.7
3621-15APP STCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
3722-15CO CARCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
3823-15CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errCharlotte Thompson+0.4
3923-16CO CARAPP ST×3Attack errAnna Rita+0.1
4023-17APP STAPP ST×3KillRaegan Richardson+0.2
4123-18APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State+0.4
4224-18APP STCO CARServe errApp State+0.6
4325-18CO CARCO CARBlockedNevaeh Haysblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+0.2
Set 2
11-0CO CARCO CARBlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+2.9
21-1CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.0
31-2APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+2.7
42-2APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
52-3CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.0
62-4APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Talia Johnson+2.7
73-4APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.0
83-5CO CARAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.0
94-5APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.0
104-6CO CARAPP ST×4Serve errCoastal Carolina+2.0
114-7APP STAPP ST×4Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.6
124-8APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset MeMe Davis+2.3
134-9APP STAPP ST×4BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Nevaeh Hays, Raegan Richardson+1.9
145-9APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
156-9CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolina+2.1
166-10CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.7
177-10APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
188-10CO CARCO CARAttack errRaegan Richardson+2.6
198-11CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.1
209-11APP STCO CARBad setMeMe Davis+2.0
219-12CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2210-12APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.0
2310-13CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.2
2410-14APP STAPP STBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Amelia Mancino, Nevaeh Hays+2.6
2511-14APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
2612-14CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+2.8
2712-15CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.4
2812-16APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Talia Johnson+2.7
2913-16APP STCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
3014-16CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedNevaeh Haysblk Hatteras Welker, Talia Johnson+2.9
3115-16CO CARCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+3.7
3215-17CO CARAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Raegan Richardson+3.0
3315-18APP STAPP STAttack errHatteras Welker+3.6
3416-18APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.3
3516-19CO CARAPP STAttack errTalia Johnson+2.7
3616-20APP STAPP STBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Lou Johnson, Raegan Richardson+2.9
3717-20APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
3817-21CO CARAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.1
3918-21APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.4
4019-21CO CARCO CARBad setRaegan Richardson+3.0
4119-22CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.2
4220-22APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
4320-23CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.3
4421-23APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
4522-23CO CARCO CARAttack errAmelia Mancino+4.9
4622-24CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+5.7
4722-25APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Chelsea Gilmore+4.1
Set 3
11-0APP STCO CARAttack errBrooke Doherty+2.4
21-1CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.3
32-1APP STCO CARBlockedLou Johnsonblk Hatteras Welker+2.4
42-2CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.3
53-2APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.5
63-3CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.4
74-3APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.5
85-3CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolina+3.6
95-4CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.4
105-5APP STAPP STAceApp State+3.4
116-5APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+2.7
126-6CO CARAPP ST×3KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.5
136-7APP STAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+3.4
146-8APP STAPP ST×3Attack errTalia Johnson+3.3
157-8APP STCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
168-8CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedBrooke Dohertyblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+3.6
179-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughes+3.9
189-9CO CARAPP ST×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+2.8
199-10APP STAPP ST×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+3.8
209-11APP STAPP ST×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+3.6
2110-11APP STCO CARAttack errMeMe Davis+2.6
2211-11CO CARCO CARBlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+4.0
2311-12CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+3.0
2412-12APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
2512-13CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+3.1
2612-14APP STAPP STBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Delanie Grevengoed, Chelsea Gilmore+4.0
2713-14APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
2813-15CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.0
2913-16APP STAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Isabella Loeswick+3.7
3014-16APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
3114-17CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.8
3214-18APP STAPP STAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.1
3315-18APP STCO CARServe errApp State+1.8
3415-19CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.3
3516-19APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
3616-20CO CARAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.3
3716-21APP STAPP ST×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Delanie Grevengoed, Lou Johnson+2.1
3816-22APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State+1.1
3917-22APP STCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.4
4018-22CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+1.0
4119-22CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced MeMe Davis+1.8
4219-23CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.2
4320-23APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
4420-24CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.9
4521-24APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.6
4621-25CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.3
Set 4
11-0CO CARCO CARAttack errLou Johnson+2.7
21-1CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
31-2APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.6
42-2APP STCO CARServe errApp State+2.0
52-3CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.9
63-3APP STCO CARBlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Anzley Rinard, Hatteras Welker+2.0
73-4CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.0
84-4APP STCO CARBlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+2.1
95-4CO CARCO CARBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Talia Johnson+3.0
105-5CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.1
115-6APP STAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.9
126-6APP STCO CAR×3Serve errApp State+2.2
137-6CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+3.2
148-6CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errCaroline Farthing+3.3
158-7CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.3
169-7APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+2.5
1710-7CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.4
1810-8CO CARAPP STAttack errJonna Spohn+2.2
1911-8APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.6
2012-8CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+3.3
2112-9CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.0
2213-9APP STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.5
2314-9CO CARCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+3.0
2414-10CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.7
2515-10APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
2616-10CO CARCO CARBad setRaegan Richardson+2.5
2716-11CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.3
2816-12APP STAPP STBlockedHatteras Welkerblk Chelsea Gilmore+2.3
2917-12APP STCO CAR×5KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.3
3018-12CO CARCO CAR×5KillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+2.4
3119-12CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errAmelia Mancino+1.6
3220-12CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Talia Johnson+1.0
3321-12CO CARCO CAR×5KillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+0.5
3421-13CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Eva Goodson+0.1
3522-13APP STCO CARAttack errEva Goodson+0.3
3622-14CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+0.1
3723-14APP STCO CARAttack errTalia Johnson+0.2
3824-14CO CARCO CARAttack errMolly Teague+0.1
3924-15CO CARAPP ST×3KillCharlotte Thompsonset Eva Goodson·
4024-16APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State·
4124-17APP STAPP ST×3Bad setIsabella Loeswick·
4225-17APP STCO CARAttack errLou Johnson+1.2
Set 5
10-1APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+8.2
21-1APP STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+6.2
32-1CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Julia Rivera+9.1
42-2CO CARAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+6.4
53-2APP STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+7.1
63-3CO CARAPP STServe errCoastal Carolina+6.7
74-3APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+7.4
84-4CO CARAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+7.0
94-5APP STAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+9.7
104-6APP STAPP ST×3AceApp State+9.2
115-6APP STCO CARServe errApp State+6.4
125-7CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+7.0
135-8APP STAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+8.4
146-8APP STCO CARAttack errCharlotte Thompson+5.2
157-8CO CARCO CARBlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+9.3
167-9CO CARAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Jonna Spohn+7.9
178-9APP STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+7.3
189-9CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+12.5
199-10CO CARAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Isabella Loeswick+9.9
2010-10APP STCO CARServe errApp State+10.1
2110-11CO CARAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+11.0
2210-12APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+14.0
2311-12APP STCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+8.3
2412-12CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolina+16.8
2513-12CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+21.8
2613-13CO CARAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+15.1
2713-14APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+25.8
2814-14APP STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+18.7
2914-15CO CARAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset MeMe Davis+18.7
3014-16APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+23.5

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).