Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026

Coastal Carolina def. Old Dominion 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 83.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coastal Carolina won at Old Dominion 3-1 (25-20, 26-24, 19-25, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Anzley Rinard led Coastal Carolina with 10 kills; Old Dominion's Leilani Lawrence had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
CO CAR252619253
ODU202425181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Coastal Carolina.

Win probability never moved more than 5.4 points on one rally; Old Dominion topped out at 22% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Coastal Carolina at 84%.

Coastal CarolinaOld Dominion
  • Longest run+1
    76

    7 straight Coastal Carolina points in the fourth set turned a 9–11 deficit into a 16–11 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Old Dominion above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 5.4%

Coastal CarolinaOld Dominion

Hitting
Coastal Carolina .144·Old Dominion .079
Aces
Coastal Carolina 8·Old Dominion 6
Serve err
Coastal Carolina 9·Old Dominion 9
Blocks
Coastal Carolina 18·Old Dominion 75 BS · 26 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Coastal Carolina 54·Old Dominion 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Old Dominion above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.4% ODUrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Old Dominion — set 2, CO CAR 23-24 ODU. Kill by Leilani Lawrence (set by Wiktoria Zagumny). ODU win probability 10% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 83.3%16.7% ODU

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
35.1%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

Old Dominion wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
CO CAR break %
48.1% vs this opp
ODU break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Leilani Lawrence (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 23-24 ODU · ODU 10% → 16%

  2. 02

    Kill by Hatteras Welker (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 25-24 ODU · CO CAR 89% → 93%

  3. 03
    Anzley RinardKill+4.3%

    Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 24-24 ODU · CO CAR 84% → 89%

  4. 04
    Coastal CarolinaAce+4.0%

    Coastal Carolina ace on Elisa Maggi

    Set 2 · CO CAR 26-24 ODU · CO CAR 93% → 97%

  5. 05
    Coastal CarolinaAce+3.7%

    Coastal Carolina ace on Elisa Maggi

    Set 2 · CO CAR 23-22 ODU · CO CAR 89% → 92%

  6. 06

    Kill by Weronika Urbanska (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 19-21 ODU · ODU 13% → 16%

  7. 07

    Elisa Maggi stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Anna Rita

    Set 2 · CO CAR 21-21 ODU · CO CAR 86% → 89%

  8. 08

    Kill by Weronika Urbanska (set by Wiktoria Zagumny)

    Set 4 · CO CAR 9-11 ODU · ODU 13% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48418.22202140195.515.5
410730.10010131111.511.5
46115.3330000034511
44125.12000030073.57.5
4013-.3331900500000
3000–022310002
42411-.182000100424
4000–3232200002
4000–1601700000
35317.11800011010.55.5
25013.385020520007
2000–001000000
Team totals4021132.14439895465261895
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4161556.01812291031.519.5
4111141.0001119500012
45516.00010100010.55.5
4307.429000000425
4225.00035111001225
4000–1021010000
412524.2920010000012
4000–021100002
4000–8002110000
2102.500000100001
1000–000001011
Team totals5038151.0794769618210787

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion

Season series · Coastal Carolina leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CO CAR · ODU 6

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 CO CARODU 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 5 CO CARODU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 CO CARODU 6

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 7 CO CARODU 4

Bars above the line = Old Dominion leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
58%11/19
2
56%9/16
61%14/23
3
50%9/18
18%2/11
4
70%7/10
46%6/13
5
50%7/14
46%6/13
6
55%6/11
53%8/15
All
55%48/88
50%47/94

Old Dominion

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
43%6/14
2
45%9/20
41%7/17
3
62%8/13
36%5/14
4
47%7/15
56%10/18
5
88%7/8
46%6/13
6
40%6/15
50%6/12
All
50%47/94
45%40/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#CO CAR-ODUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ODUODU×3KillWiktoria Zagumnyset Leilani Lawrence+1.6
20-2ODUODU×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+1.7
30-3ODUODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+1.9
41-3ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.3
51-4CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.5
62-4ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+1.3
73-4CO CARCO CARAttack errEmma Schelah+1.7
83-5CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.5
94-5ODUCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.3
104-6CO CARODUAttack errTalia Johnson+1.5
115-6ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+1.4
125-7CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.6
136-7ODUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.4
146-8CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+1.6
157-8ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
168-8CO CARCO CARBlockedEmma Schelahblk Anna Rita+1.9
178-9CO CARODUBad setAnna Rita+1.6
189-9ODUCO CARAttack errElisa Maggi+1.5
199-10CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
2010-10ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+1.5
2110-11CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
2211-11ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.6
2311-12CO CARODUBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Wiktoria Zagumny+1.8
2411-13ODUODUKillEmma DiRocco+2.5
2512-13ODUCO CAR×5Serve errOld Dominion+1.7
2613-13CO CARCO CAR×5AceCoastal Carolinaaced Leilani Lawrence+2.3
2714-13CO CARCO CAR×5AceCoastal Carolinaaced Elisa Maggi+2.2
2815-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Isabele Filardo, Anna Rita+2.0
2916-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Anna Rita, Talia Johnson+1.7
3016-14CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.2
3117-14ODUCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.4
3217-15CO CARODUKillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.3
3318-15ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
3418-16CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.3
3519-16ODUCO CAR×4Serve errOld Dominion+1.5
3620-16CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedElisa Maggiblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.4
3721-16CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinard+0.9
3822-16CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
3922-17CO CARODU×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.2
4022-18ODUODU×3KillWiktoria Zagumnyset Adrienne Peji+0.5
4122-19ODUODU×3KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
4223-19ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.1
4323-20CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
4424-20ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.9
4525-20CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.4
Set 2
11-0CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Jonna Spohn+1.0
21-1CO CARODU×4Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.8
31-2ODUODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.2
41-3ODUODU×4Attack errAnna Rita+1.3
51-4ODUODU×4AceOld Dominionaced Julia Rivera+1.4
62-4ODUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
73-4CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
83-5CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Emma Schelah+1.1
93-6ODUODUAceOld Dominionaced Anzley Rinard+1.4
104-6ODUCO CARAttack errElisa Maggi+1.0
115-6CO CARCO CARBlockedWiktoria Zagumnyblk Hatteras Welker+1.3
125-7CO CARODUAttack errIsabele Filardo+1.2
135-8ODUODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.5
146-8ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.0
156-9CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Ashlyn Gent+1.3
167-9ODUCO CARBlockedElisa Maggiblk Hatteras Welker, Isabele Filardo+1.1
177-10CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.3
188-10ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+1.1
198-11CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.3
208-12ODUODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
219-12ODUCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
2210-12CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Elisa Maggi+1.5
2311-12CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errElisa Maggi+1.6
2411-13CO CARODUKillRita Benidioset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.4
2512-13ODUCO CAR×5KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
2613-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedEmma Schelahblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+1.7
2714-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.6
2815-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.4
2916-13CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.2
3016-14CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
3116-15ODUODUAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.5
3217-15ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
3317-16CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.2
3417-17ODUODUBlockedHatteras Welkerblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma DiRocco+2.0
3518-17ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.5
3618-18CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
3718-19ODUODUAttack errHatteras Welker+2.5
3819-19ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.8
3919-20CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Elisa Maggi+2.2
4019-21ODUODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+3.0
4120-21ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+1.9
4221-21CO CARCO CARBlockedElisa Maggiblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+2.9
4321-22CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.8
4422-22ODUCO CARBlockedElisa Maggiblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+2.5
4523-22CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Elisa Maggi+3.7
4623-23CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+2.8
4723-24ODUODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+5.4
4824-24ODUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+4.3
4925-24CO CARCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+4.7
5026-24CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Elisa Maggi+4.0
Set 3
10-1ODUODUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Wiktoria Zagumny, Emma Schelah+0.6
20-2ODUODUKillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+0.6
31-2ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
41-3CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.5
51-4ODUODUAttack errNatalie Hughes+0.7
62-4ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
72-5CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
83-5ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.5
93-6CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
104-6ODUCO CARAttack errWeronika Urbanska+0.5
115-6CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+0.7
125-7CO CARODU×6KillWeronika Urbanskaset Ashlyn Gent+0.6
135-8ODUODU×6Attack errIsabele Filardo+0.8
145-9ODUODU×6AceOld Dominion+0.8
155-10ODUODU×6Attack errTalia Johnson+0.8
165-11ODUODU×6KillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+0.7
175-12ODUODU×6AceOld Dominionaced Talia Johnson+0.6
186-12ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.4
197-12CO CARCO CARAttack errWeronika Urbanska+0.6
207-13CO CARODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
217-14ODUODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
227-15ODUODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+0.5
238-15ODUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
249-15CO CARCO CARBlockedEmma Schelahblk Anna Rita+0.4
259-16CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.5
2610-16ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+0.3
2711-16CO CARCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
2811-17CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
2912-17ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+0.4
3012-18CO CARODUAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.6
3112-19ODUODUAceOld Dominionaced Viara Parapunova+0.5
3213-19ODUCO CAR×4Serve errOld Dominion+0.2
3314-19CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Isabele Filardo, Hatteras Welker+0.4
3415-19CO CARCO CAR×4KillViara Parapunovaset Kaylee Musick+0.6
3516-19CO CARCO CAR×4KillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+0.8
3616-20CO CARODUKillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
3716-21ODUODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.8
3817-21ODUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Kaylee Musick+0.4
3918-21CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.7
4018-22CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+0.9
4119-22ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+0.5
4219-23CO CARODU×3KillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
4319-24ODUODU×3KillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
4419-25ODUODU×3KillEmma Schelah+0.2
Set 4
11-0CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+1.7
22-0CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Adrienne Peji+1.6
32-1CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.3
43-1ODUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
54-1CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Elisa Maggi+1.4
64-2CO CARODU×3KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.1
74-3ODUODU×3BlockedHatteras Welkerblk Wiktoria Zagumny, Emma DiRocco+1.7
84-4ODUODU×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.0
95-4ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
105-5CO CARODU×4Attack errHatteras Welker+1.6
115-6ODUODU×4BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma DiRocco+2.3
125-7ODUODU×4Attack errIsabele Filardo+2.5
135-8ODUODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Ashlyn Gent+2.6
146-8ODUCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.8
157-8CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Isabele Filardo, Hatteras Welker+2.4
168-8CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+2.3
178-9CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+2.0
189-9ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.8
199-10CO CARODUAttack errAnzley Rinard+2.1
209-11ODUODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.9
2110-11ODUCO CAR×7KillViara Parapunovaset Kaylee Musick+2.0
2211-11CO CARCO CAR×7Attack errElisa Maggi+2.6
2312-11CO CARCO CAR×7Attack errElisa Maggi+2.5
2413-11CO CARCO CAR×7Attack errWeronika Urbanska+2.3
2514-11CO CARCO CAR×7Attack errElisa Maggi+2.0
2615-11CO CARCO CAR×7KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
2716-11CO CARCO CAR×7KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
2816-12CO CARODUBlockedIsabella Loeswickblk Katie Rakoski+0.8
2917-12ODUCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
3018-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedWiktoria Zagumnyblk Anzley Rinard+0.8
3119-12CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrence+0.5
3220-12CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Ashlyn Gent+0.3
3320-13CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.1
3421-13ODUCO CAR×3BlockedElisa Maggiblk Anna Rita+0.2
3522-13CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+0.1
3623-13CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errEmma Schelah·
3723-14CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina·
3824-14ODUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Anzley Rinard·
3924-15CO CARODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny·
4024-16ODUODU×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma DiRocco·
4124-17ODUODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny·
4224-18ODUODU×4AceOld Dominionaced Viara Parapunova·
4325-18ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).