Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Coastal Carolina def. Old Dominion 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 81.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coastal Carolina won at Old Dominion 3-1 (25-14, 26-24, 25-27, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Coastal Carolina's Anzley Rinard led with 13 kills, and Jonna Spohn added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
CO CAR252625253
ODU142427131

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Old Dominion hit -.025. Coastal Carolina held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.9 points. Old Dominion peaked at 23% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Coastal Carolina 82% before first serve.

Coastal CarolinaOld Dominion
  • Break %+14.0 pts
    52.038.0

    52 of 100 on serve vs 30 of 79, so Old Dominion's sideout was 48.0%.

  • Hitting+.280
    .255-.025

    Kills and errors: 45–20 vs 40–43.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Coastal Carolina scored 6 straight in the second set to turn a 20–24 deficit into a 26–24 lead. The set finished 26–24.

Old Dominion above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 5.9%

Coastal CarolinaOld Dominion

Aces
Coastal Carolina 6·Old Dominion 8
Serve err
Coastal Carolina 10·Old Dominion 7
Blocks
Coastal Carolina 20·Old Dominion 74 BS · 32 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Coastal Carolina 31·Old Dominion 28

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Old Dominion above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% CO CARrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Coastal Carolina — set 2, CO CAR 24-24 ODU. Emma Schelah stuffed by Hatteras Welker. ODU win probability 19% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 83.3%16.7% ODU

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
35.1%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

Old Dominion wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
CO CAR break %
48.1% vs this opp
ODU break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hatteras WelkerBlock+5.9%

    Emma Schelah stuffed by Hatteras Welker

    Set 2 · CO CAR 24-24 ODU · CO CAR 81% → 87%

  2. 02
    Elisa MaggiAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Elisa Maggi

    Set 2 · CO CAR 25-24 ODU · CO CAR 87% → 92%

  3. 03

    Katie Rakoski stuffed by Anzley Rinard & Hatteras Welker

    Set 2 · CO CAR 26-24 ODU · CO CAR 92% → 97%

  4. 04
    Hatteras WelkerAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Hatteras Welker

    Set 3 · CO CAR 25-27 ODU · ODU 7% → 11%

  5. 05

    Leilani Lawrence stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Hatteras Welker

    Set 3 · CO CAR 24-24 ODU · CO CAR 92% → 95%

  6. 06
    Anzley RinardKill+2.8%

    Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Jonna Spohn)

    Set 2 · CO CAR 23-24 ODU · CO CAR 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Coastal CarolinaService error+2.4%

    Coastal Carolina service error

    Set 3 · CO CAR 24-25 ODU · ODU 5% → 7%

  8. 08
    Anzley RinardKill+2.4%

    Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 3 · CO CAR 25-25 ODU · CO CAR 93% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413424.3751216308419
410217.4710001018515
45418.05600110397.512.5
4338.00010000073.56.5
4000–1810700001
4000–213200001
410524.2080000100010
4427.286000010004
4000–1521500002
4000–604920000
1000–000000000
Team totals452098.2554361031843220101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131336.00021243010.514.5
47723.0000304000010
44410.00000000052.56.5
43212.083000000214
4005.0003101600422
1145-.60000000010.51.5
4121230.00010000010.512.5
4000–032000003
4011-1.0002101000001
4000–102420000
1000–100000000
Team totals4043122-.0253887286014778

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion

Season series · Coastal Carolina leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CO CAR · ODU 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 CO CARODU 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 6 CO CARODU 3

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 CO CARODU 4

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 5 CO CARODU 3

Bars above the line = Old Dominion leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%4/5
63%5/8
2
67%4/6
69%9/13
3
67%4/6
20%1/5
4
100%4/4
64%7/11
5
75%3/4
40%2/5
6
67%2/3
71%5/7
All
75%21/28
59%29/49

Old Dominion

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
0%0/3
2
44%4/9
20%1/5
3
57%4/7
50%4/8
4
44%4/9
0%0/4
5
33%2/6
20%1/5
6
40%2/5
33%1/3
All
41%20/49
25%7/28

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#CO CAR-ODUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ODUCO CAR×3BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+1.2
22-0CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errEmma DiRocco+1.4
33-0CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+1.2
43-1CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.0
54-1ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.0
65-1CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Leilani Lawrence+1.1
75-2CO CARODU×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.8
85-3ODUODU×3BlockedHatteras Welkerblk Weronika Urbanska, Emma Schelah+1.3
95-4ODUODU×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+1.5
106-4ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+1.2
116-5CO CARODUKillWeronika Urbanskaset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.2
127-5ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+1.2
138-5CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+1.4
148-6CO CARODUAttack errAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.1
159-6ODUCO CAR×3KillIsabele Filardoset Jonna Spohn+1.1
1610-6CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errEmma Schelah+1.2
1711-6CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+1.0
1811-7CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
1911-8ODUODUAttack errNatalie Hughes+1.2
2012-8ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
2113-8CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Julia Rivera+1.0
2213-9CO CARODUKillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
2314-9ODUCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.8
2415-9CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Natalie Hughes+0.8
2516-9CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedWeronika Urbanskablk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+0.5
2617-9CO CARCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughes+0.3
2717-10CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+0.2
2818-10ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.2
2918-11CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Leilani Lawrence+0.2
3019-11ODUCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.2
3120-11CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errKatie Rakoski+0.1
3221-11CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Leilani Lawrence+0.1
3322-11CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick·
3422-12CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny·
3523-12ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick·
3623-13CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny·
3723-14ODUODUAttack errIsabele Filardo·
3824-14ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick·
3925-14CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick·
Set 2
10-1CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.0
21-1ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
31-2CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.0
41-3ODUODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.4
52-3ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
62-4CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.1
72-5ODUODUAttack errHatteras Welker+1.5
83-5ODUCO CARAttack errElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.1
93-6CO CARODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.2
103-7ODUODU×3AceOld Dominionaced Jonna Spohn+1.6
113-8ODUODU×3AceOld Dominionaced Jonna Spohn+1.5
124-8ODUCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.0
134-9ODU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
144-10ODUODU×3AceOld Dominionaced Anzley Rinard+1.5
154-11ODUODU×3AceOld Dominionaced Talia Johnson+1.3
165-11ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+0.8
175-12CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.0
186-12ODUCO CAR×5KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
197-12CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+1.1
208-12CO CARCO CAR×5KillNatalie Hughesset Anna Rita+1.3
219-12CO CARCO CAR×5KillNatalie Hughesset Jonna Spohn+1.5
2210-12CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+1.6
2310-13CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.5
2411-13ODUCO CARBlockedElisa Maggiblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+1.3
2511-14CO CARODU×3KillKatie Rakoskiset Leilani Lawrence+1.6
2611-15ODUODU×3Attack errHatteras Welker+1.9
2711-16ODUODU×3AceOld Dominionaced Anzley Rinard+1.8
2812-16ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
2912-17CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.4
3013-17ODUCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.0
3114-17CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+1.6
3214-18CO CARODUBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Emma Schelah, Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
3315-18ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnson+1.2
3415-19CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
3515-20ODUODUAttack errTalia Johnson+1.8
3616-20ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+0.9
3717-20CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Adrienne Peji+1.5
3817-21CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrence+1.8
3918-21ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
4018-22CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.8
4118-23ODUODUKillEmma DiRocco+1.5
4219-23ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
4320-23CO CARCO CARBlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+1.1
4420-24CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.6
4521-24ODUCO CAR×6Attack errKatie Rakoskiset Anzley Rinard+0.5
4622-24CO CARCO CAR×6KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.3
4723-24CO CARCO CAR×6KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+2.8
4824-24CO CARCO CAR×6BlockedEmma Schelahblk Hatteras Welker+5.9
4925-24CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errElisa Maggi+5.1
5026-24CO CARCO CAR×6BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Anzley Rinard, Hatteras Welker+4.3
Set 3
11-0ODUCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.4
22-0CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errKatie Rakoski+0.5
33-0CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+0.5
44-0CO CARCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Jonna Spohn+0.4
54-1CO CARODU×3KillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.3
64-2ODUODU×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Katie Rakoski, Emma DiRocco+0.5
74-3ODUODU×3KillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
85-3ODUCO CAR×3Attack errKatie Rakoskiset Anzley Rinard+0.4
96-3CO CAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
107-3CO CARCO CAR×3KillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+0.4
117-4CO CARODUKillElisa Maggi+0.3
128-4ODUCO CARAttack errKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.3
138-5CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+0.3
148-6ODUODUAttack errTalia Johnson+0.5
159-6ODUCO CARServe errOld Dominion+0.4
1610-6CO CARCO CARAttack errAshlyn Gent+0.5
1710-7CO CARODU×4KillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.3
1810-8ODUODU×4BlockedAnna Ritablk Wiktoria Zagumny, Emma Schelah+0.5
1910-9ODUODU×4BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma Schelah+0.7
2010-10ODUODU×4AceOld Dominionaced Isabele Filardo+0.8
2111-10ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+0.6
2212-10CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+0.7
2312-11CO CARODUBlockedAnna Ritablk Wiktoria Zagumny, Emma Schelah+0.6
2412-12ODUODUBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Wiktoria Zagumny, Emma DiRocco+0.8
2513-12ODUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
2614-12CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.8
2714-13CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrence+0.6
2815-13ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinard+0.6
2916-13CO CARCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.7
3016-14CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+0.5
3116-15ODUODUAceOld Dominion+0.8
3217-15ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Julia Rivera+0.7
3317-16CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
3418-16ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.7
3518-17CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
3618-18ODUODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.2
3719-18ODUCO CARBlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Hatteras Welker+1.0
3819-19CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.0
3920-19ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Anzley Rinard+1.0
4020-20CO CARODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Adrienne Peji+1.1
4120-21ODUODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Jonna Spohn+1.7
4220-22ODUODU×4AceOld Dominionaced Anzley Rinard+1.8
4320-23ODUODU×4Attack errTalia Johnson+1.6
4421-23ODUCO CARAttack errLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
4521-24CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.4
4622-24ODUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
4723-24CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+1.5
4824-24CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedLeilani Lawrenceblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+3.1
4924-25CO CARODUServe errCoastal Carolina+2.4
5025-25ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
5125-26CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.4
5225-27ODUODUAttack errHatteras Welker+3.5
Set 4
10-1CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
21-1ODUCO CAR×3Serve errOld Dominion+1.5
32-1CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedElisa Maggiblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+1.9
43-1CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+1.7
53-2CO CARODU×3KillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.4
63-3ODUODU×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.0
73-4ODUODU×3Attack errNatalie Hughes+2.3
84-4ODUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
94-5CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoski+1.9
105-5ODUCO CAR×5Attack errElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.7
116-5CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errLeilani Lawrence+2.1
127-5CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errElisa Maggi+1.9
138-5CO CARCO CAR×5AceCoastal Carolinaaced Adrienne Peji+1.7
149-5CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errEmma Schelah+1.5
159-6CO CARODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.1
1610-6ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick+1.2
1711-6CO CARCO CARAttack errEmma Schelah+1.2
1811-7CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
1912-7ODUCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.0
2013-7CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+1.0
2114-7CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+0.7
2214-8CO CARODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.4
2315-8ODUCO CAR×5Serve errOld Dominion+0.5
2416-8CO CARCO CAR×5AceCoastal Carolinaaced Leilani Lawrence+0.4
2517-8CO CARCO CAR×5KillAnna Rita+0.3
2618-8CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Anna Rita, Anzley Rinard+0.1
2719-8CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedKatie Rakoskiblk Anna Rita, Anzley Rinard+0.1
2819-9CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny·
2919-10ODUODUAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.1
3020-10ODUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
3121-10CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedElisa Maggiblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker·
3222-10CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedEmma DiRoccoblk Hatteras Welker·
3322-11CO CARODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Ashlyn Gent·
3423-11ODUCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick·
3523-12CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Rita Benidio·
3624-12ODUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick·
3724-13CO CARODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny·
3825-13ODUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick·

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).