Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

Navy def. Bucknell 3–1

Navy beat visiting Bucknell 3-1 (18-25, 25-21, 25-22, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Navy's Caroline Buffum led with 15 kills, and Farrah Eike added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
BUCKNL252122151
NAVY182525253

Win probability

Navy above 50 · Bucknell below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% NAVYrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Navy — set 3, BUCKNL 18-20 NAVY. Kaitlyn Taylor stuffed by Avery Maddux & Grace Burgoyne. NAVY win probability 64% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUCKNL 37.8%62.2% NAVY

Bucknell wins

3-0
8.0%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%

Navy wins

3-0
18.4%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
20.0%
BUCKNL break %
41.8% vs this opp
NAVY break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kaitlyn Taylor stuffed by Avery Maddux & Grace Burgoyne

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 18-20 NAVY · NAVY 64% → 70%

  2. 02

    Kill by Sidney Shaffer

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 17-17 NAVY · BUCKNL 35% → 41%

  3. 03

    Kill by Ellen Gundlach (set by Amara Chambers)

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 15-16 NAVY · NAVY 58% → 63%

  4. 04
    NavyAce+5.0%

    Navy ace on Kaitlyn Taylor

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 18-21 NAVY · NAVY 70% → 75%

  5. 05
    NavyAce+4.9%

    Navy ace on Cameron Lloyd

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 15-17 NAVY · NAVY 63% → 68%

  6. 06
    Avery MadduxKill+4.6%

    Kill by Avery Maddux (set by Caroline Adams)

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 18-19 NAVY · NAVY 59% → 64%

  7. 07
    Siena MorganKill+4.5%

    Kill by Siena Morgan (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 13-13 NAVY · NAVY 54% → 58%

  8. 08
    Caroline BuffumAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Caroline Buffum

    Set 3 · BUCKNL 18-18 NAVY · BUCKNL 36% → 41%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414336.3061309100017
412431.2581121010114
412627.2220001000012
410832.06300213200010
4227.0004442500006
4419.333000011015
4001.0004021420000
4000–001000000
2000–001000000
11011.000000100001
Team totals5524144.2155081044620283
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415435.31402163132.519.5
412128.39302115212216
414429.3451001000014
46010.60000010031.57.5
4216.16700000052.54.5
4001.0002600500000
43110.20000010031.54.5
4000–7121110001
4000–011100001
4002.0001700700000
Team totals5211121.33951654882161093

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bucknell vs Navy

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BUCKNL · NAVY 7

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 BUCKNLNAVY 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 BUCKNLNAVY 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 BUCKNLNAVY 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 BUCKNLNAVY 7

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Bucknell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
36%5/14
2
53%9/17
27%4/15
3
53%8/15
27%3/11
4
67%8/12
47%7/15
5
44%8/18
47%7/15
6
50%7/14
43%6/14
All
55%51/92
38%32/84

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
47%8/17
2
75%9/12
23%3/13
3
50%8/16
58%11/19
4
73%8/11
33%4/12
5
50%8/16
53%9/17
6
73%8/11
43%6/14
All
62%52/84
45%41/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#BUCKNL-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAVYBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.8
21-1BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.8
32-1NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
43-1BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errEllen Gundlach+2.5
53-2BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.8
64-2NAVYBUCKNL×5KillPeyton McGeeset Peyton McGee+1.9
75-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×5AceBucknellaced Caroline Buffum+2.6
86-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+2.5
97-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×5AceBucknellaced Caroline Buffum+2.3
108-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×5AceBucknellaced Farrah Eike+2.0
118-3BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+1.2
129-3NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.5
139-4BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+1.2
149-5NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morgan+2.0
1510-5NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.8
1610-6BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+1.5
1711-6NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.8
1811-7BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.5
1912-7NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
2012-8BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.5
2113-8NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
2213-9BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.5
2314-9NAVYBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.9
2415-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+2.0
2516-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.5
2616-10BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+0.8
2717-10NAVYBUCKNL×3KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.1
2818-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Amara Chambers+1.0
2919-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Bad setCaroline Adams+0.6
3019-11BUCKNLNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+0.2
3119-12NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Stephanie Eroh+0.5
3219-13NAVYNAVY×3KillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+0.7
3320-13NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+0.9
3420-14BUCKNLNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+0.5
3521-14NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.8
3622-14BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.5
3722-15BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Ellen Gundlach+0.1
3822-16NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Katie O'Sullivan+0.3
3923-16NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.5
4023-17BUCKNLNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.1
4123-18NAVYNAVYBlockedMarion Haskellblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+0.4
4224-18NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+0.6
4325-18BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errEllen Gundlach+0.2
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloyd+2.8
22-0BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+2.8
32-1BUCKNLNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.0
43-1NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.2
53-2BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+2.1
63-3NAVYNAVYAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.8
74-3NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.2
84-4BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.2
94-5NAVYNAVYBlockedSidney Shafferblk Farrah Eike, Avery Maddux+2.9
105-5NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+2.2
115-6BUCKNLNAVY×3Serve errBucknell+2.2
125-7NAVYNAVY×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.9
135-8NAVYNAVY×3Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.7
146-8NAVYBUCKNL×3KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.9
157-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Farrah Eike+2.9
168-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknell+3.2
178-9BUCKNLNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+2.4
189-9NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.5
199-10BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.5
209-11NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+3.2
2110-11NAVYBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+2.4
2211-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+3.5
2312-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.8
2412-12BUCKNLNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.8
2512-13NAVYNAVY×3KillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+3.7
2612-14NAVYNAVY×3Attack errCameron Lloyd+3.6
2713-14NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.6
2813-15BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.8
2914-15NAVYBUCKNLBlockedAvery Madduxblk Sidney Shaffer+2.7
3015-15BUCKNLBUCKNLBad setCaroline Adams+4.1
3115-16BUCKNLNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+3.2
3215-17NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+4.1
3315-18NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Katie O'Sullivan+3.7
3416-18NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+2.3
3516-19BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+2.9
3617-19NAVYBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+2.4
3717-20BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+3.0
3817-21NAVYNAVYBlockedMarion Haskellblk Farrah Eike, Siena Morgan+3.0
3918-21NAVYBUCKNLAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.5
4018-22BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+2.2
4118-23NAVYNAVYAttack errCameron Lloyd+1.7
4219-23NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+0.5
4319-24BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.0
4420-24NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.2
4521-24BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer+0.8
4621-25BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.3
Set 3
10-1NAVYNAVYAttack errStephanie Eroh+3.1
21-1NAVYBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.4
32-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.3
43-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.4
53-2BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.4
64-2NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Sidney Shaffer+2.6
74-3BUCKNLNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.5
84-4NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+3.4
94-5NAVYNAVY×3BlockedPeyton McGeeblk Caroline Buffum+3.4
105-5NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+2.6
115-6BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.6
125-7NAVYNAVYBlockedSidney Shafferblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+3.4
136-7NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+2.5
147-7BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errGrace Burgoyne+3.6
157-8BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.8
168-8NAVYBUCKNL×5KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+2.8
179-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×5BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Stephanie Eroh+4.0
1810-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×5AceBucknell+4.1
1911-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+4.0
2012-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errFarrah Eike+3.7
2112-9BUCKNLNAVY×3Serve errBucknell+2.4
2212-10NAVYNAVY×3Attack errMarion Haskell+3.7
2312-11NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Grace Burgoyne, Siena Morgan+4.1
2413-11NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+3.4
2513-12BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+3.1
2613-13NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+4.5
2714-13NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.6
2814-14BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+3.5
2915-14NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.8
3015-15BUCKNLNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+3.7
3115-16NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+5.1
3215-17NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Cameron Lloyd+4.9
3316-17NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.4
3417-17BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shaffer+5.4
3517-18BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+4.3
3618-18NAVYBUCKNLAttack errCaroline Buffum+4.4
3718-19BUCKNLNAVY×4KillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+4.6
3818-20NAVYNAVY×4BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Avery Maddux, Grace Burgoyne+5.9
3918-21NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Kaitlyn Taylor+5.0
4018-22NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+3.5
4119-22NAVYBUCKNLBad setFarrah Eike+1.5
4219-23BUCKNLNAVYAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+2.5
4320-23NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.2
4420-24BUCKNLNAVYBad setMarion Haskell+2.2
4521-24NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+0.7
4622-24BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+2.2
4722-25BUCKNLNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+3.8
Set 4
10-1BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.1
21-1NAVYBUCKNLBad setIsa Boyd+2.2
31-2BUCKNLNAVY×7KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.2
41-3NAVYNAVY×7AceNavyaced Kaitlyn Taylor+2.8
51-4NAVYNAVY×7KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.6
61-5NAVYNAVY×7KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.4
71-6NAVYNAVY×7Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.1
81-7NAVYNAVY×7BlockedSidney Shafferblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+1.8
91-8NAVYNAVY×7KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.5
102-8NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.9
112-9BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.1
123-9NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.9
133-10BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.1
143-11NAVYNAVYAttack errPeyton McGee+1.1
154-11NAVYBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.6
164-12BUCKNLNAVYAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.8
175-12NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.6
185-13BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+0.8
196-13NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.6
206-14BUCKNLNAVYAttack errSidney Shaffer+0.7
217-14NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.5
227-15BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.7
238-15NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.5
248-16BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.7
259-16NAVYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.4
269-17BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.6
2710-17NAVYBUCKNL×3KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.4
2811-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Caroline Buffum+0.8
2912-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+1.2
3012-18BUCKNLNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+1.3
3112-19NAVYNAVY×4Attack errMarion Haskell+1.1
3212-20NAVYNAVY×4Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.6
3312-21NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.3
3413-21NAVYBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.1
3514-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.2
3615-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillLily Lufkinset Peyton McGee+0.4
3715-22BUCKNLNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.5
3815-23NAVYNAVY×4Attack errMarion Haskell+0.3
3915-24NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.1
4015-25NAVYNAVY×4BlockedMarion Haskellblk Farrah Eike·

Score shown after each rally, Bucknell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).