FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bucknell def. Navy 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Navy 50.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bucknell beat visiting Navy 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Bucknell's Cameron Lloyd led with 17 kills, and Katie O'Sullivan added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
NAVY2222200
BUCKNL2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Cameron Lloyd needed just 3 sets for 17 kills. Bucknell swept Navy.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.9 points, and Navy's high was 50% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Navy went in at 50% by RallyIQ.

NavyBucknell
  • Break %+8.4 pts
    40.949.3

    Points won on own serve: 36 of 73 vs 27 of 66. Navy sided out 50.7% of the time.

  • Longest run+2
    79

    Bucknell scored 9 straight in the second set to turn a 4–7 deficit into a 13–7 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Bucknell above 50Navy belowMax swing 7.9%

NavyBucknell

Hitting
Navy .159·Bucknell .229
Aces
Navy 2·Bucknell 6
Serve err
Navy 6·Bucknell 9
Blocks
Navy 7·Bucknell 81 BS · 12 BA vs 3 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Navy 46·Bucknell 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bucknell above 50 · Navy below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.9% BUCKNLrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Bucknell — set 2, NAVY 22-23 BUCKNL. Attack error by Izzy Picard. BUCKNL win probability 68% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAVY 43.4%56.6% BUCKNL

Navy wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.5%

Bucknell wins

3-0
15.5%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%
NAVY break %
42.6% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Izzy PicardAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Izzy Picard

    Set 2 · NAVY 22-23 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 68% → 75%

  2. 02
    BucknellAce+7.6%

    Bucknell ace

    Set 2 · NAVY 22-24 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 75% → 83%

  3. 03

    Cameron Lloyd stuffed by Izzy Picard & Grace Burgoyne

    Set 2 · NAVY 21-20 BUCKNL · NAVY 31% → 37%

  4. 04
    Marion HaskellAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Marion Haskell

    Set 2 · NAVY 20-20 BUCKNL · NAVY 26% → 31%

  5. 05

    Kill by Caroline Buffum (set by Amara Chambers)

    Set 2 · NAVY 22-21 BUCKNL · NAVY 32% → 37%

  6. 06

    Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · NAVY 22-22 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 63% → 68%

  7. 07
    Peyton McGeeBlock+4.3%

    Paige Buzzerio stuffed by Peyton McGee

    Set 2 · NAVY 22-25 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 83% → 87%

  8. 08
    Cameron LloydKill+4.3%

    Kill by Cameron Lloyd (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · NAVY 21-21 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 63% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Navyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39335.171000100009
37321.1901121020219
34315.067000100004
3205.40000000111.53.5
3124-.250000000001
3001.00017011200000
35315.133000300216
32021.000701100002
3000–7111110001
3000–100510000
2216.16700010031.53.5
11011.000000100212
1012-.500000000211
1000–001000000
Team totals3316107.1593326466112764
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317637.2972105002119
311527.222001100111.512.5
38022.3642028012210
3429.22200000031.55.5
3214.2503312801225
34519-.053000100004
3000–021410002
3000–5111400001
2000–012000001
Team totals4619118.2294269502310875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Navy vs Bucknell

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NAVY · BUCKNL 9

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 NAVYBUCKNL 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 7 NAVYBUCKNL 9

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 NAVYBUCKNL 4

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
36%4/11
2
62%8/13
62%13/21
3
32%6/19
38%5/13
4
42%5/12
25%2/8
5
56%5/9
29%2/7
6
71%5/7
17%1/6
All
51%37/73
41%27/66

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
25%2/8
2
50%8/16
47%7/15
3
78%7/9
65%13/20
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
63%5/8
55%6/11
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
59%39/66
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#NAVY-BUCKNLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAVYBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.9
20-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+2.5
30-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.4
41-3BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.7
51-4NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
62-4BUCKNLNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.7
72-5NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.9
83-5BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.7
94-5NAVYNAVYAttack errKlea Tarja+2.5
104-6NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.0
114-7BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errEllen Gundlach+2.6
125-7BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.8
136-7NAVYNAVYAttack errKlea Tarja+2.7
146-8NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.1
156-9BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Eroh+2.7
167-9BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.9
177-10NAVYBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+2.1
188-10BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.9
198-11NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.1
208-12BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errFarrah Eike+2.6
219-12BUCKNLNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.7
2210-12NAVYNAVY×4Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.7
2311-12NAVYNAVY×4KillPaige Buzzerioset Amara Chambers+3.0
2412-12NAVYNAVY×4Attack errMarion Haskell+3.3
2512-13NAVYBUCKNL×3Attack errFarrah Eike+2.6
2612-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+3.5
2712-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errSiena Morgan+3.2
2813-15BUCKNLNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+2.1
2913-16NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.5
3014-16BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.2
3114-17NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.6
3215-17BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+2.2
3316-17NAVYNAVYBlockedStephanie Erohblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+3.6
3416-18NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.1
3516-19BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Stephanie Eroh, Klea Tarja+3.8
3617-19BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.3
3717-20NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.0
3818-20BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.3
3918-21NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+3.1
4018-22BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd+3.0
4119-22BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
4220-22NAVYNAVYAttack errMarion Haskell+2.9
4320-23NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.4
4421-23BUCKNLNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+1.9
4521-24NAVYBUCKNLServe errAmara Chambers+3.5
4622-24BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.4
4722-25NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.2
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+1.9
22-0NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.5
33-0NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+2.4
43-1NAVYBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.7
53-2BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedSiena Morganblk Sidney Shaffer+2.4
63-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+2.6
73-4BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknellaced Amara Chambers+2.7
84-4BUCKNLNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.0
95-4NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.7
106-4NAVYNAVY×4KillGrace Burgoyneset Isa Boyd+2.7
117-4NAVYNAVY×4AceCaroline Buffum+2.6
127-5NAVYBUCKNL×9KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.8
137-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×9KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.7
147-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×9KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.9
157-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×9KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.9
167-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×9AceBucknellaced Caroline Buffum+2.9
177-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×9BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd+2.8
187-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×9Attack errPaige Buzzerio+2.6
197-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×9KillCameron Lloydset Sidney Shaffer+2.2
207-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×9KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
218-13BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.1
228-14NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.4
238-15BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknell+1.4
249-15BUCKNLNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+0.7
259-16NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.0
2610-16BUCKNLNAVYAttack errKlea Tarja+0.7
2711-16NAVYNAVYAttack errStephanie Eroh+1.3
2811-17NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
2911-18BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+1.2
3012-18BUCKNLNAVY×3KillCaroline Adamsset Baylee Doolan+0.6
3113-18NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKlea Tarjablk Ellen Gundlach, Grace Burgoyne+1.1
3214-18NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+1.6
3314-19NAVYBUCKNLServe errLillian Schultheis+1.7
3414-20BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Eroh+1.5
3515-20BUCKNLNAVY×7KillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+0.7
3616-20NAVYNAVY×7BlockedCameron Lloydblk Izzy Picard, Grace Burgoyne+1.4
3717-20NAVYNAVY×7Attack errMarion Haskell+2.1
3818-20NAVYNAVY×7Attack errCameron Lloyd+3.1
3919-20NAVYNAVY×7KillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+4.2
4020-20NAVYNAVY×7Attack errMarion Haskell+5.2
4121-20NAVYNAVY×7BlockedCameron Lloydblk Izzy Picard, Grace Burgoyne+5.9
4221-21NAVYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+4.3
4322-21BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+5.0
4422-22NAVYBUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+4.9
4522-23BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errIzzy Picard+7.9
4622-24BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknell+7.6
4722-25BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Peyton McGee+4.3
Set 3
10-1NAVYBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.3
21-1BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.3
32-1NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.7
42-2NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.3
53-2BUCKNLNAVYBlockedCameron Lloydblk Madeline Bildeaux, Ellen Gundlach+1.3
63-3NAVYBUCKNLAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.3
73-4BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.8
84-4BUCKNLNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
95-4NAVYNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+1.8
105-5NAVYBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.4
115-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Sidney Shaffer+1.9
125-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Klea Tarja+1.9
136-7BUCKNLNAVYAttack errKlea Tarja+1.4
146-8NAVYBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.5
156-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.9
166-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Caroline Buffum+1.7
177-10BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.1
187-11NAVYBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
198-11BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+1.1
209-11NAVYNAVYBad setPeyton McGee+1.8
219-12NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+1.5
2210-12BUCKNLNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+1.4
2310-13NAVYBUCKNLServe errNavy+1.6
2411-13BUCKNLNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.4
2512-13NAVYNAVYBlockedPeyton McGeeblk Avery Maddux+2.1
2612-14NAVYBUCKNLBad setEllen Gundlach+1.8
2712-15BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.2
2813-15BUCKNLNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+1.4
2913-16NAVYBUCKNL×4Serve errCaroline Adams+1.7
3013-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.0
3113-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Peyton McGee, Stephanie Eroh+1.6
3213-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.1
3314-19BUCKNLNAVYKillCaroline Adamsset Caroline Buffum+0.5
3414-20NAVYBUCKNLBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Stephanie Eroh, Peyton McGee+0.8
3515-20BUCKNLNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+0.5
3615-21NAVYBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+0.7
3715-22BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Baylee Doolan+0.5
3816-22BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+0.2
3917-22NAVYNAVYBlockedMarion Haskellblk Caroline Buffum, Madeline Bildeaux+0.4
4017-23NAVYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.5
4118-23BUCKNLNAVYServe errBucknell+0.2
4218-24NAVYBUCKNLServe errCaroline Buffum+0.4
4319-24BUCKNLNAVYAttack errCameron Lloyd+0.1
4420-24NAVYNAVYAceAmara Chambersaced Isabella Charlton+0.2
4520-25NAVYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).