Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

Loyola Maryland def. Navy 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Navy 64.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Loyola Maryland won at Navy 3-1 (27-25, 22-25, 25-17, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Loyola Maryland's Morgan Crawford led with 24 kills, and Addie Huber added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
LOY MD272225273
NAVY252517251

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Addie Huber served 5 aces, and Loyola Maryland needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Loyola Maryland's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Navy was RallyIQ's 65% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Loyola Maryland 24–25 Navy

    Down 24–25, Loyola Maryland scored 3 straight to lead 27–25. The match swung to Loyola Maryland.

    Loyola Maryland 29% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Loyola Maryland 6–2 Navy

    5 straight Navy kills turned a 2–6 deficit into a 7–6 lead.

    Loyola Maryland 82% → 64%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Loyola Maryland 24–24 Navy

    Loyola Maryland won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–1.

    Loyola Maryland 72% → >99%

Navy above 50Loyola Maryland belowMax swing 16.3%

Loyola MarylandNavy

Sideout %
Loyola Maryland 57.0·Navy 52.0
Break %
Loyola Maryland 48.0·Navy 43.0
Hitting
Loyola Maryland .174·Navy .190
Longest run
Loyola Maryland 6·Navy 5

Morgan Crawford
24 kills on .315, 26 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Navy above 50 · Loyola Maryland below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.3% LOY MDrally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.3% to Loyola Maryland — set 4, LOY MD 27-25 NAVY. Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Madison Monahan). NAVY win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOY MD 37.2%62.8% NAVY

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0
7.8%
3-1
13.4%
3-2
15.9%

Navy wins

3-0
18.7%
3-1
24.0%
3-2
20.0%
LOY MD break %
42.1% vs this opp
NAVY break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Morgan CrawfordKill+16.3%

    Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Madison Monahan)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 27-25 NAVY · LOY MD 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Mariah SanabiaKill+12.2%

    Kill by Mariah Sanabia (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 24-23 NAVY · LOY MD 72% → 84%

  3. 03
    Hailey JacobusKill+12.2%

    Kill by Hailey Jacobus (set by Amara Chambers)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 24-24 NAVY · NAVY 16% → 28%

  4. 04
    Morgan CrawfordKill+12.2%

    Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 25-24 NAVY · LOY MD 72% → 84%

  5. 05
    Farrah EikeKill+12.2%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 25-25 NAVY · NAVY 16% → 28%

  6. 06
    Morgan CrawfordKill+12.2%

    Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 26-25 NAVY · LOY MD 72% → 84%

  7. 07
    Hailey JacobusKill+11.4%

    Kill by Hailey Jacobus (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 4 · LOY MD 23-23 NAVY · NAVY 17% → 28%

  8. 08
    Loyola MarylandAce+10.3%

    Loyola Maryland ace on Caroline Buffum

    Set 1 · LOY MD 27-25 NAVY · LOY MD 46% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424754.31501215302126
412835.114101140010.512.5
47323.1740032008411
47116.3750001006310
46526.038100000428
4000–26201300002
42512-.25000010073.55.5
4001.0005512010005
4000–2120500002
Team totals5829167.1745410771502814101
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420751.25500216402121
410428.2141001014313
45010.500001000427
42011.182000000846
4112.0003031800004
34413.00020282010.54.5
42112.08300020052.54.5
4001.0005031800000
4001.0001200300000
3000–000100000
23214.071010800004
2328.125011110004
1002.000000000000
Team totals5021153.1905051066101241392

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Loyola Maryland vs Navy

Season series · Loyola Maryland leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LOY MD · NAVY 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 6 LOY MDNAVY 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 6 LOY MDNAVY 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 LOY MDNAVY 4

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 4 LOY MDNAVY 5

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Loyola Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Loyola Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
50%7/14
2
64%7/11
50%7/14
3
58%7/12
50%7/14
4
67%6/9
50%6/12
5
45%5/11
25%2/8
6
71%5/7
58%7/12
All
57%38/67
49%36/74

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
40%4/10
2
54%7/13
50%7/14
3
47%7/15
30%3/10
4
60%6/10
42%5/12
5
46%6/13
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
58%7/12
All
51%38/74
43%29/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

193 rallies

#LOY MD-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Ellen Gundlach+2.2
21-1NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkin+1.8
32-1LOY MDLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+2.3
42-2LOY MDNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+1.8
53-2NAVYLOY MDBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Addie Lowe, Mariah Sanabia+1.9
63-3LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+1.9
73-4NAVYNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+2.3
84-4NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+1.9
95-4LOY MDLOY MDKillElsie Afful+2.5
105-5LOY MDNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+1.9
116-5NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+2.1
126-6LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+2.0
137-6NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+2.1
147-7LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.0
157-8NAVYNAVYBlockedEllie Joffeblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+2.6
168-8NAVYLOY MDBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Joffe, Mariah Sanabia+2.1
178-9LOY MDNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.1
188-10NAVYNAVY×4Attack errMariah Sanabia+2.6
198-11NAVYNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.4
208-12NAVYNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Ellen Gundlach+2.1
219-12NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+1.5
229-13LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.7
2310-13NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Lowe+1.5
2411-13LOY MDLOY MDAceLoyola Marylandaced Farrah Eike+2.3
2511-14LOY MDNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+2.1
2612-14NAVYLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.9
2713-14LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+2.8
2814-14LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Maryland+3.3
2914-15LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.7
3014-16NAVYNAVYBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Grace Burgoyne, Siena Morgan+3.3
3115-16LOY MD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
3215-17LOY MDNAVY×4Bad setMadison Monahan+2.7
3315-18NAVYNAVY×4BlockedEllie Joffeblk Farrah Eike, Siena Morgan+3.0
3415-19NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+2.5
3515-20NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Addie Huber+1.8
3616-20NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+0.9
3716-21LOY MDNAVYKillIsa Boydset Caroline Buffum+1.3
3817-21NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+0.8
3917-22LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.3
4017-23NAVYNAVYAttack errAddie Lowe+0.8
4118-23NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+0.2
4218-24LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.5
4319-24NAVYLOY MD×6KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
4420-24LOY MDLOY MD×6KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.3
4521-24LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Maryland+0.7
4622-24LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Caroline Buffum+1.6
4723-24LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Farrah Eike+3.8
4824-24LOY MDLOY MD×6KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+9.0
4924-25LOY MDNAVYAttack errElsie Afful+7.2
5025-25NAVYLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+7.2
5126-25LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Ellie Joffe, Elsie Afful+9.6
5227-25LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Marylandaced Caroline Buffum+10.3
Set 2
10-1LOY MDNAVY×4Attack errAddie Lowe+2.0
20-2NAVYNAVY×4KillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+2.5
30-3NAVYNAVY×4KillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+2.3
40-4NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Morgan Crawford+2.1
51-4NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Ava Nepkin+1.6
62-4LOY MDLOY MDBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Morgan Crawford, Mariah Sanabia+2.3
72-5LOY MDNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.9
82-6NAVYNAVY×3Attack errMorgan Crawford+2.2
92-7NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Morgan Crawford+1.9
103-7NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+1.4
113-8LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.5
123-9NAVYNAVYBlockedAddie Loweblk Farrah Eike, Avery Maddux+1.6
134-9NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+1.1
145-9LOY MDLOY MDBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Ellie Joffe, Elsie Afful+1.7
155-10LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.6
166-10NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.4
176-11LOY MDNAVY×4Serve errLoyola Maryland+1.6
186-12NAVYNAVY×4Attack errElsie Afful+1.7
196-13NAVYNAVY×4Attack errAva Nepkin+1.3
206-14NAVYNAVY×4KillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+0.9
217-14NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+0.5
228-14LOY MDLOY MDBlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Ellie Joffe, Mariah Sanabia+0.9
238-15LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+1.0
248-16NAVYNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Caroline Adams+0.9
259-16NAVYLOY MD×6KillMariah Sanabiaset Madison Monahan+0.5
2610-16LOY MDLOY MD×6Bad setCaroline Adams+0.8
2711-16LOY MDLOY MD×6KillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+1.2
2812-16LOY MDLOY MD×6BlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Addie Lowe, Mariah Sanabia+1.7
2913-16LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Farrah Eike+2.3
3014-16LOY MDLOY MD×6AceLoyola Marylandaced Paige Buzzerio+2.9
3114-17LOY MDNAVY×3KillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+2.7
3214-18NAVYNAVY×3AceNavy+2.9
3314-19NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.1
3415-19NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+1.2
3515-20LOY MDNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.7
3615-21NAVYNAVYBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.3
3716-21NAVYLOY MD×3Serve errNavy+0.6
3817-21LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.2
3918-21LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.0
4018-22LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.3
4119-22NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+1.4
4220-22LOY MDLOY MDAttack errFarrah Eike+3.0
4320-23LOY MDNAVYAttack errMorgan Crawford+3.6
4421-23NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+2.2
4522-23LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+4.9
4622-24LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+6.1
4722-25NAVYNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Buffum+4.3
Set 3
11-0NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+2.5
22-0LOY MDLOY MDAttack errEllen Gundlach+3.3
32-1LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.4
43-1NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+2.6
53-2LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.5
64-2NAVYLOY MD×3Attack errFarrah Eike+2.7
75-2LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAddie Loweset Addie Huber+3.4
86-2LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Addie Lowe, Elsie Afful+3.3
96-3LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.3
107-3NAVYLOY MDBlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Elsie Afful, Morgan Crawford+2.7
117-4LOY MDNAVYBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Grace Burgoyne, Avery Maddux+2.3
128-4NAVYLOY MD×4KillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+2.7
139-4LOY MDLOY MD×4KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+3.2
1410-4LOY MDLOY MD×4BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Joffe, Elsie Afful+2.8
1511-4LOY MDLOY MD×4BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Joffe, Elsie Afful+2.4
1611-5LOY MDNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Grace Burgoyne, Siena Morgan+1.4
1711-6NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+2.3
1812-6NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.3
1913-6LOY MDLOY MDBlockedIsa Boydblk Ava Nepkin, Mariah Sanabia+2.3
2013-7LOY MDNAVY×4Serve errLoyola Maryland+1.4
2113-8NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Morgan Crawford+2.2
2213-9NAVYNAVY×4Attack errEllie Joffe+2.7
2313-10NAVYNAVY×4BlockedAva Nepkinblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+3.2
2414-10NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+3.1
2514-11LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+2.6
2614-12NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+3.8
2715-12NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+3.6
2816-12LOY MDLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+4.1
2916-13LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.6
3017-13NAVYLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+3.3
3117-14LOY MDNAVYAttack errMorgan Crawford+2.6
3218-14NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+3.4
3318-15LOY MDNAVYAttack errMorgan Crawford+2.6
3419-15NAVYLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+3.5
3520-15LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedHailey Jacobusblk Ellie Joffe, Elsie Afful+3.4
3621-15LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Maryland+2.3
3721-16LOY MDNAVYAttack errElsie Afful+1.0
3822-16NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+1.6
3923-16LOY MDLOY MDBad setIsa Boyd+1.0
4023-17LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.2
4124-17NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.5
4225-17LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
Set 4
10-1LOY MDNAVYBlockedAddie Loweblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+2.7
21-1NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Gabi Verdicchio+2.8
32-1LOY MDLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+3.7
42-2LOY MDNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.9
53-2NAVYLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+3.0
64-2LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+3.9
75-2LOY MDLOY MD×4KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+3.9
86-2LOY MDLOY MD×4AceLoyola Marylandaced Farrah Eike+3.8
96-3LOY MDNAVY×5KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.7
106-4NAVYNAVY×5KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+3.7
116-5NAVYNAVY×5KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+3.9
126-6NAVYNAVY×5KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+4.0
136-7NAVYNAVY×5KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+4.0
147-7NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+3.2
157-8LOY MDNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+3.2
167-9NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+4.0
178-9NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+3.1
188-10LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+3.2
198-11NAVYNAVYAttack errEllie Joffe+3.8
209-11NAVYLOY MDServe errNavy+2.8
219-12LOY MDNAVYAttack errEllie Joffe+3.1
2210-12NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.9
2310-13LOY MDNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Caroline Adams+3.2
2411-13NAVYLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.9
2512-13LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Addie Huber+4.4
2613-13LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+5.0
2714-13LOY MDLOY MD×4Attack errEllen Gundlach+5.4
2814-14LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+4.2
2915-14NAVYLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+4.5
3016-14LOY MDLOY MDAttack errFarrah Eike+5.8
3116-15LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+4.2
3217-15NAVYLOY MDBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Addie Lowe, Elsie Afful+4.9
3318-15LOY MDLOY MDAttack errEllen Gundlach+5.8
3418-16LOY MDNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+3.8
3518-17NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+5.8
3618-18NAVYNAVY×3KillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+6.6
3719-18NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+5.8
3820-18LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+7.4
3920-19LOY MDNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Avery Maddux, Grace Burgoyne+5.1
4020-20NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Grace Burgoyne, Avery Maddux+7.7
4121-20NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+7.0
4222-20LOY MDLOY MDAttack errHailey Jacobus+9.0
4322-21LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+5.6
4423-21NAVYLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Madison Monahan+8.1
4523-22LOY MDNAVYAttack errAddie Lowe+5.8
4623-23NAVYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+11.4
4724-23NAVYLOY MDKillMariah Sanabiaset Gabi Verdicchio+12.2
4824-24LOY MDNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Amara Chambers+12.2
4925-24NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+12.2
5025-25LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+12.2
5126-25NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+12.2
5227-25LOY MDLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+16.3

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).