Final · 5 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

Loyola Maryland def. Navy 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Loyola Maryland 54.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Loyola Maryland beat visiting Navy 3-2 (25-15, 17-25, 25-18, 23-25, 15-11) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Ava Nepkin led Loyola Maryland with 16 kills; Navy's Farrah Eike had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set12345Sets
NAVY15251825112
LOY MD25172523153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Addie Huber dug 25 balls to keep Loyola Maryland alive against Navy.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Loyola Maryland's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Loyola Maryland went in as RallyIQ's 54% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Navy 22–22 Loyola Maryland

    Navy closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 2–2.

    Loyola Maryland 78% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Navy 5–5 Loyola Maryland

    3 straight Navy points broke a 5–5 tie and made it 8–5.

    Loyola Maryland 50% → 22%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Navy 11–11 Loyola Maryland

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Loyola Maryland, enough to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    Loyola Maryland 49% → >99%

Loyola Maryland above 50Navy belowMax swing 17.4%

NavyLoyola Maryland

Sideout %
Navy 53.3·Loyola Maryland 59.6
Break %
Navy 40.4·Loyola Maryland 46.7
Hitting
Navy .117·Loyola Maryland .180
Longest run
Navy 7·Loyola Maryland 6

Ava Nepkin
2 kills inside the turning points, 16 K and .091 for the match (19 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Loyola Maryland above 50 · Navy below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+17.4% LOY MDrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 17.4% to Loyola Maryland — set 5, NAVY 11-12 LOY MD. Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Gabi Verdicchio). LOY MD win probability 49% → 67%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAVY 43.5%56.5% LOY MD

Navy wins

3-0
10.0%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.5%

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0
15.4%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%
NAVY break %
43.0% vs this opp
LOY MD break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava NepkinKill+17.4%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 5 · NAVY 11-12 LOY MD · LOY MD 49% → 67%

  2. 02
    Madeline BildeauxAttack error+16.7%

    Attack error by Madeline Bildeaux

    Set 5 · NAVY 11-13 LOY MD · LOY MD 67% → 83%

  3. 03
    Farrah EikeAttack error+15.1%

    Attack error by Farrah Eike

    Set 5 · NAVY 11-11 LOY MD · LOY MD 34% → 49%

  4. 04
    Paige BuzzerioKill+14.1%

    Kill by Paige Buzzerio (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 4 · NAVY 25-23 LOY MD · NAVY 35% → 49%

  5. 05
    Ava NepkinKill+12.0%

    Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Gabi Verdicchio)

    Set 5 · NAVY 11-14 LOY MD · LOY MD 83% → 95%

  6. 06
    Farrah EikeKill+10.8%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 5 · NAVY 11-9 LOY MD · NAVY 64% → 75%

  7. 07

    Sydnee Peters stuffed by Paige Buzzerio & Avery Maddux

    Set 5 · NAVY 7-5 LOY MD · NAVY 58% → 68%

  8. 08
    Ellie JoffeKill+10.6%

    Kill by Ellie Joffe (set by Madison Monahan)

    Set 5 · NAVY 9-8 LOY MD · LOY MD 27% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Navyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517756.17900214202118
510733.0910001004212
59114.57100000031.510.5
53314.000010500215
5000–25121400001
2107.143000000212
5002.0001510500001
5003.0000001020000
5000–6011510000
4227.00001100052.55.5
33214.07101121010.54.5
34412.00000000010.54.5
2039-.333000100000
2000–001100000
Team totals4929171.11746586860201094
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5161244.0910118104219
511225.36000020010516
511541.146003142031.512.5
58012.66702050031.511.5
58631.06500020031.59.5
5011-1.00030101100001
58322.22700020031.59.5
5012-.5005122520001
5000–2411700001
5000–001200000
Team totals6230178.180596878502613105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Navy vs Loyola Maryland

Season series · Loyola Maryland leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NAVY · LOY MD 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 NAVYLOY MD 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 NAVYLOY MD 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 NAVYLOY MD 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 NAVYLOY MD 3

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 NAVYLOY MD 6

Bars above the line = Loyola Maryland leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
57%13/23
2
71%10/14
31%5/16
3
60%9/15
40%6/15
4
75%9/12
36%5/14
5
43%9/21
25%3/12
6
44%8/18
43%6/14
All
53%56/105
40%38/94

Loyola Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
63%15/24
2
63%10/16
33%5/15
3
60%9/15
33%5/15
4
75%9/12
25%3/12
5
69%9/13
50%9/18
6
57%8/14
57%12/21
All
60%56/94
47%49/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#NAVY-LOY MDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LOY MDLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
21-1LOY MDNAVYAttack errElsie Afful+1.9
32-1NAVYNAVYAttack errSydnee Peters+2.5
42-2NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.9
53-2LOY MDNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+2.0
63-3NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.9
74-3LOY MDNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.0
85-3NAVYNAVYAttack errMorgan Crawford+2.6
95-4NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+1.9
106-4LOY MDNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.1
117-4NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+2.6
127-5NAVYLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.9
137-6LOY MDLOY MD×3KillElsie Afful+2.6
147-7LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+2.8
158-7LOY MDNAVYAttack errAddie Lowe+2.2
168-8NAVYLOY MD×3KillAddie Loweset Addie Huber+2.2
178-9LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Marylandaced Baylee Doolan+2.9
188-10LOY MDLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+2.9
199-10LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.1
209-11NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.3
2110-11LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.2
2210-12NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
2310-13LOY MDLOY MDAttack errCaroline Buffum+2.9
2411-13LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+2.0
2511-14NAVYLOY MD×3BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Ellie Joffe, Morgan Crawford+2.3
2611-15LOY MDLOY MD×3KillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+2.6
2711-16LOY MDLOY MD×3AceLoyola Marylandaced Farrah Eike+2.2
2812-16LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.3
2912-17NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Madison Monahan+1.7
3012-18LOY MDLOY MDBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Joffe, Addie Lowe+1.6
3113-18LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+0.8
3213-19NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.2
3314-19LOY MDNAVYBlockedAddie Loweblk Farrah Eike, Siena Morgan+0.8
3414-20NAVYLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.1
3514-21LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errGrace Burgoyne+0.8
3614-22LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errFarrah Eike+0.4
3714-23LOY MDLOY MD×5KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.1
3814-24LOY MDLOY MD×5BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Elsie Afful, Ava Nepkin·
3915-24LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Caroline Adams·
4015-25NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio·
Set 2
11-0NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.3
22-0NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.4
32-1NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+1.7
43-1LOY MDNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.9
54-1NAVYNAVY×3Attack errSydnee Peters+2.4
65-1NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Addie Huber+2.2
75-2NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.5
86-2LOY MDNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Caroline Adams+1.8
96-3NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Gabi Verdicchio+1.6
107-3LOY MDNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Caroline Adams+1.8
117-4NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Addie Huber+1.6
127-5LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Addie Huber+2.3
138-5LOY MDNAVYServe errLoyola Maryland+2.0
149-5NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+2.4
159-6NAVYLOY MDServe errIsa Boyd+1.6
1610-6LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.9
1711-6NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Morgan Crawford+2.2
1811-7NAVYLOY MD×4BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Ava Nepkin, Elsie Afful+1.4
1911-8LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.2
2011-9LOY MDLOY MD×4KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.5
2111-10LOY MDLOY MD×4Attack errAvery Maddux+2.8
2212-10LOY MDNAVY×7Attack errGabi Verdicchio+2.4
2313-10NAVYNAVY×7KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.9
2414-10NAVYNAVY×7KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.7
2515-10NAVYNAVY×7KillFarrah Eike+2.3
2616-10NAVYNAVY×7Attack errAva Nepkin+1.8
2717-10NAVYNAVY×7Bad setGabi Verdicchio+1.3
2818-10NAVYNAVY×7KillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+0.9
2918-11NAVYLOY MDAttack errEllen Gundlach+0.4
3019-11LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+0.6
3119-12NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+0.3
3220-12LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.5
3320-13NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+0.3
3420-14LOY MDLOY MDAttack errIzzy Picard+0.6
3521-14LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Caroline Adams+0.7
3621-15NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.3
3722-15LOY MDNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Caroline Adams+0.6
3823-15NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Ellen Gundlach, Avery Maddux+0.3
3923-16NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+0.1
4023-17LOY MDLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+0.2
4124-17LOY MDNAVYServe errElise Bocanegra+0.3
4225-17NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.1
Set 3
10-1LOY MDLOY MD×4KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+3.2
20-2LOY MDLOY MD×4KillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+3.2
30-3LOY MDLOY MD×4BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Sydnee Peters, Elsie Afful+3.0
40-4LOY MDLOY MD×4KillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.8
51-4LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.0
61-5NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+2.2
72-5LOY MDNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Isa Boyd+2.0
83-5NAVYNAVYBad setGabi Verdicchio+3.0
93-6NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+2.5
104-6LOY MDNAVYServe errMadison Monahan+2.3
114-7NAVYLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+2.5
125-7LOY MDNAVYBlockedAddie Loweblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+2.4
135-8NAVYLOY MD×5KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.6
145-9LOY MDLOY MD×5BlockedIzzy Picardblk Ava Nepkin, Elsie Afful+3.1
155-10LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errCaroline Buffum+2.7
165-11LOY MDLOY MD×5KillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+2.3
175-12LOY MDLOY MD×5Attack errPaige Buzzerio+1.8
186-12LOY MDNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Caroline Adams+1.1
196-13NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+1.4
206-14LOY MDLOY MDBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Ava Nepkin, Elsie Afful+1.3
217-14LOY MDNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.7
228-14NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
239-14NAVYNAVY×3AcePaige Buzzerioaced Morgan Crawford+1.7
249-15NAVYLOY MDServe errPaige Buzzerio+1.7
2510-15LOY MDNAVYBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Madeline Bildeaux, Ellen Gundlach+1.3
2610-16NAVYLOY MDKillMorgan Crawfordset Gabi Verdicchio+1.7
2711-16LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.2
2811-17NAVYLOY MDAttack errIzzy Picard+1.7
2911-18LOY MDLOY MDBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Addie Lowe, Ellie Joffe+1.5
3012-18LOY MDNAVYAttack errMorgan Crawford+0.7
3112-19NAVYLOY MDServe errFarrah Eike+1.1
3213-19LOY MDNAVYServe errMorgan Crawford+0.6
3313-20NAVYLOY MDServe errAvery Maddux+1.0
3414-20LOY MDNAVY×3BlockedAva Nepkinblk Madeline Bildeaux, Izzy Picard+0.5
3515-20NAVYNAVY×3AceIsa Boydaced Ava Nepkin+1.1
3616-20NAVYNAVY×3KillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+1.8
3716-21NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+2.1
3817-21LOY MDNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+1.2
3917-22NAVYLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+1.9
4017-23LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Sydnee Peters, Elsie Afful+1.3
4117-24LOY MDLOY MD×3AceAva Nepkinaced Paige Buzzerio+0.5
4218-24LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+0.1
4318-25NAVYLOY MDAttack errEllen Gundlach+0.1
Set 4
11-0NAVYNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+3.1
22-0NAVYNAVYAttack errSydnee Peters+3.2
32-1NAVYLOY MDServe errAmara Chambers+2.4
43-1LOY MDNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+2.5
53-2NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+2.4
63-3LOY MDLOY MDAttack errEllen Gundlach+3.3
74-3LOY MDNAVYBlockedSydnee Petersblk Farrah Eike, Avery Maddux+2.6
85-3NAVYNAVYBlockedMorgan Crawfordblk Avery Maddux, Ellen Gundlach+3.4
95-4NAVYLOY MDServe errFarrah Eike+2.5
105-5LOY MDLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Caroline Adams+3.4
116-5LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.7
126-6NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+2.7
136-7LOY MDLOY MDKillAddie Loweset Madison Monahan+3.6
147-7LOY MDNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+2.8
157-8NAVYLOY MD×3Serve errIsa Boyd+2.8
167-9LOY MDLOY MD×3AceEllie Joffeaced Farrah Eike+3.6
177-10LOY MDLOY MD×3AceEllie Joffeaced Amara Chambers+3.4
188-10LOY MDNAVY×3KillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+2.4
199-10NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+3.6
2010-10NAVYNAVY×3Attack errAva Nepkin+3.9
2110-11NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+3.1
2211-11LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+3.1
2311-12NAVYLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+3.2
2411-13LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errAvery Maddux+4.1
2511-14LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedIzzy Picardblk Morgan Crawford, Elsie Afful+3.8
2612-14LOY MDNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Farrah Eike+2.7
2712-15NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+3.1
2813-15LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+2.7
2914-15NAVYNAVYAttack errAddie Huber+4.2
3014-16NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Addie Huber+3.6
3115-16LOY MDNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+3.4
3216-16NAVYNAVY×3AceAvery Madduxaced Addie Huber+5.0
3317-16NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+5.4
3417-17NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+4.1
3518-17LOY MDNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+4.4
3618-18NAVYLOY MD×3KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+4.3
3718-19LOY MDLOY MD×3BlockedPaige Buzzerioblk Addie Lowe, Elsie Afful+6.1
3818-20LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errGrace Burgoyne+5.9
3919-20LOY MDNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+4.0
4019-21NAVYLOY MDKillElsie Affulset Madison Monahan+5.0
4120-21LOY MDNAVYBlockedAva Nepkinblk Madeline Bildeaux, Caroline Buffum+4.2
4221-21NAVYNAVYAttack errAva Nepkin+7.2
4321-22NAVYLOY MDKillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+6.4
4422-22LOY MDNAVYServe errAva Nepkin+6.3
4523-22NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+10.1
4623-23NAVYLOY MDKillSydnee Petersset Gabi Verdicchio+7.4
4724-23LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+9.9
4825-23NAVYNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+14.1
Set 5
11-0LOY MDNAVYKillMadeline Bildeauxset Isa Boyd+6.6
22-0NAVYNAVYAttack errElsie Afful+8.6
32-1NAVYLOY MD×3KillElsie Affulset Gabi Verdicchio+6.2
42-2LOY MDLOY MD×3KillSydnee Petersset Addie Huber+8.8
52-3LOY MDLOY MD×3Attack errFarrah Eike+9.1
63-3LOY MDNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+7.0
74-3NAVYNAVY×3Attack errMorgan Crawford+9.6
85-3NAVYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+9.6
95-4NAVYLOY MDBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Elsie Afful, Morgan Crawford+6.9
105-5LOY MDLOY MDAceAddie Huberaced Baylee Doolan+9.9
116-5LOY MDNAVY×3Serve errAddie Huber+8.2
127-5NAVYNAVY×3BlockedSydnee Petersblk Paige Buzzerio, Avery Maddux+10.6
138-5NAVYNAVY×3Attack errSydnee Peters+9.8
148-6NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Gabi Verdicchio+6.3
159-6LOY MDNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Caroline Adams+7.9
169-7NAVYLOY MDServe errAlly Alessio+6.4
179-8LOY MDLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+10.6
1810-8LOY MDNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Caroline Adams+9.9
1910-9NAVYLOY MDKillEllie Joffeset Madison Monahan+8.6
2011-9LOY MDNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+10.8
2111-10NAVYLOY MD×6KillAva Nepkinset Madison Monahan+9.0
2211-11LOY MDLOY MD×6Attack errFarrah Eike+15.1
2311-12LOY MDLOY MD×6KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+17.4
2411-13LOY MDLOY MD×6Attack errMadeline Bildeaux+16.7
2511-14LOY MDLOY MD×6KillAva Nepkinset Gabi Verdicchio+12.0
2611-15LOY MDLOY MD×6BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Sydnee Peters, Elsie Afful+4.8

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).