FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Fla. Atlantic def. Alabama St. 3–0

(25-9, 25-21, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ALA ST	9	21	19	0
FAU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

FAU above 50 · ALA ST below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Alabama St. — set 2, ALA ST 20-21 FAU. Kill by Alexis Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay). FAU win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ALA ST 0.2%99.8% FAU

Alabama St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

Fla. Atlantic wins

3-0

85.9%

3-1

12.8%

3-2

1.2%

ALA ST break %: 32.9% vs this opp
FAU break %: 55.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alexis WilliamsKill+0.1%
Kill by Alexis Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 2 · ALA ST 20-21 FAU · ALA ST 0% → 0%
02
Luye Marquez-MorenoKill+0.1%
Kill by Luye Marquez-Moreno (set by Maya Van Heyst)
Set 2 · ALA ST 20-22 FAU · FAU 100% → 100%
03
Alexis WilliamsAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Alexis Williams
Set 2 · ALA ST 20-23 FAU · FAU 100% → 100%
04
Natalie DepaulaKill+0.0%
Kill by Natalie Depaula (set by Maya Van Heyst)
Set 2 · ALA ST 21-24 FAU · FAU 100% → 100%
05
Alexis WilliamsKill+0.0%
Kill by Alexis Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 2 · ALA ST 18-20 FAU · ALA ST 0% → 0%
06
ALA ST serverAce+0.0%
Alabama St. ace on Zoe Winford
Set 3 · ALA ST 10-7 FAU · ALA ST 0% → 0%
07
Sequoia LayneKill+0.0%
Kill by Sequoia Layne (set by Maya Van Heyst)
Set 2 · ALA ST 18-21 FAU · FAU 100% → 100%
08
Makeda EdwardsKill+0.0%
Kill by Makeda Edwards (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 2 · ALA ST 19-21 FAU · ALA ST 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Alabama St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Kaylen HinesMB	3	8	3	20	.250	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
12Alexis WilliamsMB	3	5	2	21	.143	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	5
14Kamrynn ClayS	3	4	0	6	.667	20	0	1	9	0	0	0	4
8Taylor WilliamsOH	3	0	1	4	-.250	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
5Lyric EdwardsMB	2	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Denver WatkinsOH	2	0	3	8	-.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Makeda EdwardsOH	3	5	3	21	.095	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
9Mirra RiddleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	17	1	0	0	1
3Emani GreenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
21Amaya RobinsonOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
13Mikalah DavisOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
4Aliyah PoolerOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
23Ava O'HareL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
1Chidera OkochaMB	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		27	16	103	.107	26	2	7	47	5	4	2	49

Fla. Atlantichome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Anna HartmanOH	3	9	0	14	.643	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
15Olivia HartOH	3	9	2	22	.318	3	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	9
30Sequoia LayneOH	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
7Maya Van HeystS	3	5	1	11	.364	33	2	1	13	0	0	2	1	8
2Luye Marquez-MorenoOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	1	1	10	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
25Libby AshlineMB	3	4	0	11	.364	1	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
21Natalie DepaulaOH	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
22Isabelle NorthamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
4Sara GamboaOH	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
5Kierstin BevelleOH	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
11Zoe WinfordL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
24Maggie AllredMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Ava NorrisL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	9	106	.358	45	5	9	53	2	1	10	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ALA ST · FAU 8

Set 1

9-25

Longest run 2 ALA STFAU 8

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 ALA STFAU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 ALA STFAU 8

Bars above the line = Fla. Atlantic leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alabama St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	25%2/8
2	86%6/7	13%1/8
3	38%5/13	45%5/11
4	71%5/7	17%1/6
5	63%5/8	50%5/10
6	19%4/21	38%3/8
All	44%32/73	33%17/51

Fla. Atlantic

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	77%17/22
2	88%7/8	61%11/18
3	50%5/10	50%5/10
4	71%5/7	50%5/10
5	56%5/9	38%3/8
6	63%5/8	0%0/5
All	67%34/51	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	ALA ST-FAU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ALA ST	FAU×7	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
2	0-2	FAU	FAU×7	Attack err	Taylor Williams		+0.0
3	0-3	FAU	FAU×7	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
4	0-4	FAU	FAU×7	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+0.0
5	0-5	FAU	FAU×7	Attack err	Denver Watkins	blk Sequoia Layne, Anna Hartman	+0.0
6	0-6	FAU	FAU×7	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
7	0-7	FAU	FAU×7	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
8	1-7	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
9	1-8	ALA ST	FAU	Attack err	Lyric Edwards		+0.0
10	2-8	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
11	3-8	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Olivia Hart		+0.0
12	3-9	ALA ST	FAU×3	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
13	3-10	FAU	FAU×3	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Libby Ashline	+0.0
14	3-11	FAU	FAU×3	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
15	4-11	FAU	ALA ST	Attack err	Olivia Hart		+0.0
16	4-12	ALA ST	FAU	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
17	5-12	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
18	6-12	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
19	6-13	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Libby Ashline	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
20	7-13	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kamrynn Clay	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
21	7-14	ALA ST	FAU×8	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
22	7-15	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Kierstin Bevelle	set Olivia Hart	+0.0
23	7-16	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
24	7-17	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
25	7-18	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Sequoia Layne		+0.0
26	7-19	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
27	7-20	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Maya Van Heyst	set Olivia Hart	+0.0
28	7-21	FAU	FAU×8	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+0.0
29	8-21	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
30	8-22	ALA ST	FAU×3	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
31	8-23	FAU	FAU×3	Kill	Sara Gamboa	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
32	8-24	FAU	FAU×3	Attack err	Mikalah Davis		+0.0
33	9-24	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
34	9-25	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Natalie Depaula	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
2	1-1	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
3	2-1	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
4	2-2	ALA ST	FAU×3	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
5	2-3	FAU	FAU×3	Ace	FAU server	aced Team	+0.0
6	2-4	FAU	FAU×3	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
7	3-4	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
8	4-4	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kamrynn Clay	set Ava O'Hare	+0.0
9	4-5	ALA ST	FAU×3	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
10	4-6	FAU	FAU×3	Attack err	Denver Watkins	blk Maya Van Heyst, Libby Ashline	+0.0
11	4-7	FAU	FAU×3	Kill	Luye Marquez-Moreno	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
12	5-7	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
13	6-7	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Natalie Depaula		+0.0
14	6-8	ALA ST	FAU×4	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
15	6-9	FAU	FAU×4	Kill	Maya Van Heyst	set Libby Ashline	+0.0
16	6-10	FAU	FAU×4	Kill	Libby Ashline	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
17	6-11	FAU	FAU×4	Attack err	Makeda Edwards	blk Libby Ashline, Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
18	7-11	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
19	7-12	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Maya Van Heyst	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
20	8-12	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
21	8-13	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Maya Van Heyst	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
22	9-13	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
23	9-14	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
24	10-14	FAU	ALA ST	Attack err	Luye Marquez-Moreno		+0.0
25	11-14	ALA ST	ALA ST	Bad set	Maya Van Heyst		+0.0
26	11-15	ALA ST	FAU×3	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
27	11-16	FAU	FAU×3	Attack err	Alexis Williams		+0.0
28	11-17	FAU	FAU×3	Kill	Libby Ashline	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
29	12-17	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
30	12-18	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Natalie Depaula	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
31	13-18	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
32	14-18	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Natalie Depaula	blk Makeda Edwards, Kaylen Hines	+0.0
33	14-19	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
34	15-19	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
35	16-19	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Maggie Allred	blk Makeda Edwards, Lyric Edwards	+0.0
36	16-20	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Luye Marquez-Moreno	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
37	17-20	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
38	18-20	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
39	18-21	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
40	19-21	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
41	20-21	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
42	20-22	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Luye Marquez-Moreno	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.1
43	20-23	FAU	FAU	Attack err	Alexis Williams		+0.0
44	21-23	FAU	ALA ST	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
45	21-24	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Natalie Depaula	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
46	21-25	FAU	FAU	Kill	Luye Marquez-Moreno	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kamrynn Clay	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
2	1-1	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
3	1-2	FAU	FAU	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
4	2-2	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
5	2-3	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
6	3-3	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
7	3-4	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Libby Ashline	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
8	3-5	FAU	FAU	Ace	FAU server	aced Team	+0.0
9	4-5	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
10	4-6	ALA ST	FAU	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
11	5-6	FAU	ALA ST×3	Serve err	FAU server		+0.0
12	6-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Maya Van Heyst		+0.0
13	7-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Luye Marquez-Moreno		+0.0
14	7-7	ALA ST	FAU	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+0.0
15	8-7	FAU	ALA ST×3	Kill	Chidera Okocha	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
16	9-7	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
17	10-7	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Zoe Winford	+0.0
18	10-8	ALA ST	FAU×8	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
19	10-9	FAU	FAU×8	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Sequoia Layne, Anna Hartman	+0.0
20	10-10	FAU	FAU×8	Ace	FAU server	aced Mirra Riddle	+0.0
21	10-11	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
22	10-12	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
23	10-13	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Anna Hartman	set Isabelle Northam	+0.0
24	10-14	FAU	FAU×8	Kill	Maya Van Heyst	set Olivia Hart	+0.0
25	10-15	FAU	FAU×8	Ace	FAU server	aced Team	+0.0
26	11-15	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
27	11-16	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Luye Marquez-Moreno	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
28	11-17	FAU	FAU	Ace	FAU server	aced Mikalah Davis	+0.0
29	12-17	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
30	12-18	ALA ST	FAU	Kill	Olivia Hart	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
31	13-18	FAU	ALA ST×4	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Taylor Williams	+0.0
32	14-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Attack err	Sara Gamboa		+0.0
33	15-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Bad set	Maya Van Heyst		+0.0
34	16-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Luye Marquez-Moreno	+0.0
35	16-19	ALA ST	FAU	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.0
36	17-19	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
37	17-20	ALA ST	FAU	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
38	18-20	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Kamrynn Clay	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
39	18-21	ALA ST	FAU	Attack err	Chidera Okocha	blk Libby Ashline, Luye Marquez-Moreno	+0.0
40	19-21	FAU	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
41	19-22	ALA ST	FAU×4	Kill	Natalie Depaula	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0
42	19-23	FAU	FAU×4	Attack err	Kaylen Hines		+0.0
43	19-24	FAU	FAU×4	Kill	Sequoia Layne	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
44	19-25	FAU	FAU×4	Kill	Sara Gamboa	set Maya Van Heyst	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.