Alabama St. at Fla. Atlantic

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

ALA ST 0.2%99.8% FAU

Alabama St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

Fla. Atlantic wins

3-0

85.9%

3-1

12.8%

3-2

1.2%

ALA ST break %: 32.9% vs this opp
FAU break %: 55.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.