Bucknell def. Lafayette 3–2
(25-23, 25-27, 15-25, 25-20, 15-8)| Set | 1 | 2* | 3* | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCKNL | 25 | 25 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| LAFAYE | 23 | 27 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 2 |
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.4% to Bucknell — set 2, BUCKNL 24-24 LAFAYE. Kill by Sidney Shaffer. LAFAYE win probability 48% → 38%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Bucknell wins
Lafayette wins
- BUCKNL break %
- 43.2% vs this opp
- LAFAYE break %
- 44.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02
- 03Justine PuigKill+10.1%
Kill by Justine Puig (set by Sophia Wilson)
Set 2 · BUCKNL 25-27 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 46% → 56%
- 04Grace JamisonAttack error+8.9%
Attack error by Grace Jamison
Set 5 · BUCKNL 3-1 LAFAYE · BUCKNL 55% → 63%
- 05Grace JamisonAttack error+8.6%
Attack error by Grace Jamison
Set 5 · BUCKNL 4-1 LAFAYE · BUCKNL 63% → 72%
- 06Auma Mbeche-odhiamboKill+8.2%
Kill by Auma Mbeche-odhiambo (set by Lk Lamonica)
Set 2 · BUCKNL 24-25 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 38% → 46%
- 07Noa KamphuisAttack error+8.2%
Noa Kamphuis stuffed by Sidney Shaffer
Set 2 · BUCKNL 25-25 LAFAYE · BUCKNL 54% → 62%
- 08BUCKNL serverService error+8.2%
Bucknell service error
Set 2 · BUCKNL 25-26 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 38% → 46%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 50 | .100 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 34 | .294 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 52 | .115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 8 | 49 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 32 | 212 | .104 | 50 | 5 | 11 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 105 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 9 | 63 | .095 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 24 | .167 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 42 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 8 | 7 | 38 | .026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -.083 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 17 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 36 | 211 | .057 | 47 | 6 | 7 | 108 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-23
Set 2*
25-27
Set 3*
15-25
Set 4
25-20
Set 5
15-8
Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = Bucknell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Bucknell
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%7/7 | 44%4/9 |
| 2 | 67%6/9 | 50%6/12 |
| 3 | 36%5/14 | 55%6/11 |
| 4 | 50%5/10 | 38%3/8 |
| 5 | 100%5/5 | 38%3/8 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 62%33/53 | 51%32/63 |
Lafayette
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%6/13 | 14%1/7 |
| 2 | 43%6/14 | 0%0/6 |
| 3 | 100%5/5 | 67%12/18 |
| 4 | 45%5/11 | 38%3/8 |
| 5 | 42%5/12 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 50%4/8 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 49%31/63 | 38%20/53 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
208 rallies
Rally log
| # | BUCKNL-LAFAYE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Katie O'sullivan | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Katie O'sullivan | +2.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×10 | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | blk Auma Mbeche-odhiambo, Noa Kamphuis | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced TEAM | +2.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | blk Destiny Mckenzie, Noa Kamphuis | +2.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced TEAM | +2.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +1.9 |
| 12 | 3-9 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +1.6 |
| 13 | 3-10 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | blk Destiny Mckenzie, Noa Kamphuis | +1.3 |
| 14 | 3-11 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×10 | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | blk Noa Kamphuis, Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +1.0 |
| 15 | 4-11 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Alyssa Chu | +0.6 |
| 16 | 4-12 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +0.8 |
| 17 | 4-13 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | blk Auma Mbeche-odhiambo, Noa Kamphuis | +0.7 |
| 18 | 4-14 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Ball handling | Sidney Shaffer | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 5-14 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Emerson Boyd | +0.2 |
| 20 | 5-15 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +0.4 | |
| 21 | 6-15 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 6-16 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Emerson Boyd | +0.3 |
| 23 | 7-16 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Johanna Groger | set Sophia Wilson | +0.2 |
| 24 | 7-17 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Katie O'sullivan | +0.3 |
| 27 | 10-17 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Ace | BUCKNL server | aced Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +0.5 |
| 28 | 11-17 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Destiny Mckenzie | blk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell | +0.8 |
| 29 | 11-18 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Justine Puig | set Lk Lamonica | +0.8 |
| 30 | 12-18 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Emerson Boyd | +1.0 |
| 32 | 14-18 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +1.5 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +1.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +1.1 |
| 35 | 15-20 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +1.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | +1.3 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | blk Stephanie Eroh, Emerson Boyd | +1.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | blk Stephanie Eroh, Kaitlyn Taylor | +1.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | +3.1 |
| 42 | 20-22 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +2.2 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | +4.3 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | blk Kaitlyn Taylor | +6.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Ace | BUCKNL server | aced TEAM | +7.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Alyssa Chu | +5.8 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | +7.8 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Jada Aksu | +10.2 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | set Justine Puig | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +2.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +2.2 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +2.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +2.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Emerson Boyd | +2.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +2.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Jada Aksu | set Alyssa Chu | +2.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×4 | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +2.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Attack err | Marion Haskell | blk Johanna Groger | +2.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | +2.9 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced TEAM | +2.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | set Emerson Boyd | +2.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +2.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Justine Puig | +3.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +2.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +2.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +2.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +2.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +2.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | +2.7 |
| 25 | 12-13 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Justine Puig | +2.8 |
| 26 | 13-13 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Justine Puig | blk Stephanie Eroh, Emerson Boyd | +2.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×5 | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +2.9 |
| 28 | 13-15 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×5 | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×5 | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +3.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×5 | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×5 | Kill | Jada Aksu | set Noa Kamphuis | +2.2 |
| 32 | 14-18 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Stephanie Eroh | set Emerson Boyd | +1.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | blk Marion Haskell, Emerson Boyd | +2.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +3.1 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +3.0 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | +3.0 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Ball handling | Stephanie Eroh | +2.1 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +1.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +1.5 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +0.8 |
| 41 | 19-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +1.8 |
| 42 | 20-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | blk Emerson Boyd, Sidney Shaffer | +3.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.7 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +5.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced Emily Kearney | +4.7 |
| 46 | 22-24 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Destiny Mckenzie | set Lk Lamonica | +1.5 |
| 47 | 23-24 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +4.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | +10.4 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +8.2 |
| 50 | 25-25 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | blk Sidney Shaffer | +8.2 |
| 51 | 25-26 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +8.2 | |
| 52 | 25-27 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +10.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | +3.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Grace Jamison | blk Cameron Lloyd, Stephanie Eroh | +2.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | set Emerson Boyd | +2.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Marion Haskell | blk Auma Mbeche-odhiambo, Johanna Groger | +3.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Alyssa Chu | +3.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Grace Jamison | blk Sidney Shaffer, Cameron Lloyd | +2.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | blk Grace Jamison, Noa Kamphuis | +2.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +2.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +2.9 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +2.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Katie O'sullivan | +2.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +2.6 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Ball handling | Emerson Boyd | +2.6 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Emerson Boyd | +1.8 |
| 17 | 6-11 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +2.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +1.8 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Ace | BUCKNL server | aced TEAM | +2.7 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +2.5 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Grace Jamison | set Alyssa Chu | +2.7 |
| 22 | 8-14 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Grace Jamison | set Justine Puig | +2.2 |
| 23 | 9-14 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Emerson Boyd | +1.3 |
| 24 | 9-15 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×4 | Kill | Justine Puig | set Alyssa Chu | +1.7 |
| 25 | 9-16 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced Katie O'sullivan | +1.6 |
| 26 | 9-17 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.1 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×4 | Ace | LAFAYE server | aced Cameron Lloyd | +0.7 |
| 28 | 10-18 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Emerson Boyd | +0.3 |
| 29 | 10-19 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Bad set | Emerson Boyd | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Peyton Mcgee | +0.2 |
| 31 | 11-20 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Grace Jamison | set Lk Lamonica | +0.4 |
| 32 | 11-21 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Peyton Mcgee | +0.1 |
| 34 | 12-22 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | blk Destiny Mckenzie, Noa Kamphuis | +0.1 |
| 35 | 12-23 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +0.1 |
| 36 | 13-23 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Peyton Mcgee | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Justine Puig | blk Sarah Williams, Marion Haskell | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +0.0 |
| 40 | 15-25 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +0.0 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Johanna Groger | +3.0 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Katie O'sullivan | +3.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×3 | Attack err | Justine Puig | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +2.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Peyton Mcgee | +2.4 |
| 6 | 5-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Grace Jamison | set Lk Lamonica | +2.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | +2.9 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +3.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Bad set | Justine Puig | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Ball handling | Peyton Mcgee | +2.5 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Peyton Mcgee | set Cameron Lloyd | +2.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Peyton Mcgee | +2.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +3.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +3.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Ball handling | Justine Puig | +2.8 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Marion Haskell | +2.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Marion Haskell | set Katie O'sullivan | +2.9 |
| 20 | 10-10 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Cameron Lloyd | set Peyton Mcgee | +2.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Cameron Lloyd | blk Grace Jamison, Johanna Groger | +3.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +3.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +3.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +3.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | +2.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +3.2 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +3.0 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | +4.3 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | +4.7 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Ace | BUCKNL server | aced TEAM | +4.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | blk Destiny Mckenzie, Noa Kamphuis | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Stephanie Eroh | set Peyton Mcgee | +3.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Serve err | LAFAYE server | +4.1 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Katie O'sullivan | +4.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Ace | BUCKNL server | aced Justine Puig | +4.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Justine Puig | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +1.3 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | +2.7 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +3.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Justine Puig | set Grace Jamison | +1.9 |
| 42 | 23-19 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +3.1 |
| 43 | 24-19 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +1.9 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-odhiambo | set Lk Lamonica | +0.4 |
| 45 | 25-20 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Peyton Mcgee | +1.8 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +6.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Grace Jamison | set Lk Lamonica | +6.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Peyton Mcgee | +6.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +8.9 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +8.6 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×4 | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Peyton Mcgee | +7.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Sidney Shaffer | set Peyton Mcgee | +5.0 |
| 8 | 6-2 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Katie O'sullivan | +6.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Attack err | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Peyton Mcgee | +5.0 |
| 10 | 7-3 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Sidney Shaffer | set Peyton Mcgee | +6.4 |
| 11 | 7-4 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | +5.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL×5 | Attack err | Destiny Mckenzie | blk Kaitlyn Taylor, Stephanie Eroh | +6.5 |
| 13 | 9-4 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×5 | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Peyton Mcgee | +6.6 |
| 14 | 10-4 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×5 | Attack err | Destiny Mckenzie | blk Kaitlyn Taylor, Stephanie Eroh | +4.6 |
| 15 | 11-4 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×5 | Kill | Kaitlyn Taylor | set Peyton Mcgee | +2.8 |
| 16 | 12-4 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL×5 | Attack err | Justine Puig | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Destiny Mckenzie | set Sophia Wilson | +0.4 |
| 18 | 12-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Marion Haskell | +1.0 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Stephanie Eroh | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Marion Haskell | set Peyton Mcgee | +2.4 |
| 21 | 13-8 | BUCKNL | LAFAYE | Serve err | BUCKNL server | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | LAFAYE | BUCKNL | Kill | Stephanie Eroh | set Peyton Mcgee | +1.7 |
| 23 | 15-8 | BUCKNL | BUCKNL | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +0.5 | |
Score shown after each rally, Bucknell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.