FinalSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bucknell def. Lafayette 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Bucknell 66.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bucknell beat visiting Lafayette 3-0 (25-17, 31-29, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Bucknell's Klea Tarja led with 13 kills, and Katie O'Sullivan added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set123Sets
LAFAYE1729120
BUCKNL2531253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lafayette hit .098. Bucknell held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 8.2 points. Lafayette peaked at 32% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Bucknell 66% before first serve.

LafayetteBucknell
  • Break %+19.4 pts
    30.049.4

    Points won on own serve: 39 of 79 vs 18 of 60. Lafayette sided out 50.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.140
    .098.238

    47 kills, 16 errors vs 33 kills, 20 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight Bucknell kills in the first set stretched an 11–10 lead to 16–10. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Bucknell above 50Lafayette belowMax swing 8.2%

LafayetteBucknell

Aces
Lafayette 3·Bucknell 6
Serve err
Lafayette 6·Bucknell 4
Blocks
Lafayette 8·Bucknell 62 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Lafayette 61·Bucknell 67

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bucknell above 50 · Lafayette below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.2% LAFAYErally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Lafayette — set 2, LAFAYE 26-25 BUCKNL. Kill by Justine Puig (set by Alyssa Chu). BUCKNL win probability 80% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LAFAYE 26.5%73.5% BUCKNL

Lafayette wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.2%
3-2
12.6%

Bucknell wins

3-0
25.8%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
19.5%
LAFAYE break %
41.3% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Justine PuigKill+8.2%

    Kill by Justine Puig (set by Alyssa Chu)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 26-25 BUCKNL · LAFAYE 20% → 29%

  2. 02

    Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 27-28 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 78% → 86%

  3. 03
    Sidney ShafferAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Sidney Shaffer

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 24-24 BUCKNL · LAFAYE 13% → 20%

  4. 04
    Cameron LloydKill+7.2%

    Kill by Cameron Lloyd (set by Sophia Wilson)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 29-31 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 86% → 93%

  5. 05
    Klea TarjaKill+6.4%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 26-26 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 71% → 78%

  6. 06
    Jada AksuKill+6.4%

    Kill by Jada Aksu (set by LK LaMonica)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 27-26 BUCKNL · LAFAYE 22% → 29%

  7. 07
    Klea TarjaKill+6.4%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 27-27 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 71% → 78%

  8. 08
    Jada AksuAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Jada Aksu

    Set 2 · LAFAYE 24-25 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 80% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38233.182212161010.59.5
34215.13311110031.56.5
33625-.1201011112236
3408.50000000031.55.5
31315-.13300070010.51.5
2000–500100000
36521.04800000010.56.5
31011.0001400600001
26214.28600020010.56.5
2000–2111240001
2000–701500000
1000–000000000
Team totals3320132.0983236616212858
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313337.270012111010.514.5
312625.2400003002113
310220.40000010031.511.5
38536.08312110000010
3207.28600000031.53.5
3203.6673601130031.53.5
3000–130710003
3000–100100000
3000–5002100000
1001.000000000000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4716130.2384464673012681

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lafayette vs Bucknell

Season series · Bucknell leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LAFAYE · BUCKNL 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 LAFAYEBUCKNL 5

Set 2

29-31

Longest run 5 LAFAYEBUCKNL 3

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 LAFAYEBUCKNL 5

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = Lafayette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lafayette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
44%4/9
2
71%5/7
25%2/8
3
63%5/8
29%2/7
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
25%4/16
50%5/10
All
55%30/55
34%16/47

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
64%9/14
2
83%5/6
29%2/7
3
71%5/7
29%2/7
4
83%5/6
44%4/9
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
38%5/13
55%6/11
All
66%31/47
45%25/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#LAFAYE-BUCKNLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.7
20-2BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.1
31-2BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errCameron Lloyd+1.6
41-3LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.6
51-4BUCKNLBUCKNLAceIsabella Charltonaced Alyssa Chu+2.0
62-4BUCKNLLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Mackenzie Calhoun+1.5
73-4LAFAYELAFAYEBlockedKlea Tarjablk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo, Paige Chmura+2.2
83-5LAFAYEBUCKNL×3BlockedJada Aksublk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+1.7
93-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.1
103-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+1.9
114-7BUCKNLLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset LK LaMonica+1.3
124-8LAFAYEBUCKNLServe errLafayette+1.5
134-9BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJada Aksu+1.6
145-9BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset LK LaMonica+1.1
155-10LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
165-11BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJohanna Groger+1.4
176-11BUCKNLLAFAYE×5BlockedMarion Haskellblk Johanna Groger, Justine Puig+0.9
187-11LAFAYELAFAYE×5KillJustine Puigset Mackenzie Calhoun+1.4
198-11LAFAYELAFAYE×5Bad setPeyton McGee+1.8
209-11LAFAYELAFAYE×5KillJohanna Grogerset Sophia Wilson*+2.2
2110-11LAFAYELAFAYE×5Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.6
2210-12LAFAYEBUCKNL×5KillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+2.1
2310-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.5
2410-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.2
2510-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillSarah Williams+1.8
2610-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.3
2711-16BUCKNLLAFAYEServe errBucknell+0.8
2811-17LAFAYEBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Katie O'Sullivan+1.0
2912-17BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJohanna Grogerset Mackenzie Calhoun+0.7
3012-18LAFAYEBUCKNLServe errLafayette+1.0
3113-18BUCKNLLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Mackenzie Calhoun+0.7
3213-19LAFAYEBUCKNLAttack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+0.9
3314-19BUCKNLLAFAYEKillPaige Chmuraset LK LaMonica+0.6
3414-20LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.9
3515-20BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errKlea Tarja+0.5
3616-20LAFAYELAFAYEAceAlyssa Chuaced Isabella Charlton+1.1
3716-21LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.3
3817-21BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJohanna Grogerset LK LaMonica+0.8
3917-22LAFAYEBUCKNL×4KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+1.2
4017-23BUCKNLBUCKNL×4BlockedDestiny McKenzieblk Sarah Williams, Marion Haskell+0.8
4117-24BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceKlea Tarjaaced Alyssa Chu+0.3
4217-25BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errDestiny McKenzie·
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLLAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset Sophia Wilson+1.5
21-1LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.5
32-1BUCKNLLAFAYEKillPaige Chmuraset Sophia Wilson+1.6
43-1LAFAYELAFAYEKillJada Aksuset LK LaMonica+2.1
53-2LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.5
64-2BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errCameron Lloyd+1.7
74-3LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.6
84-4BUCKNLBUCKNLAceCameron Lloydaced Alyssa Chu+2.1
95-4BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset LK LaMonica+1.7
105-5LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Cameron Lloyd+1.6
115-6BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedJustine Puigblk Peyton McGee, Sarah Williams+2.1
126-6BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset LK LaMonica+1.7
136-7LAFAYEBUCKNL×3Serve errSophia Wilson+1.7
146-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+2.1
156-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedJustine Puigblk Sarah Williams, Klea Tarja+1.9
167-9BUCKNLLAFAYE×5Serve errBucknell+1.4
178-9LAFAYELAFAYE×5BlockedKlea Tarjablk Johanna Groger, Grace Jamison+2.1
189-9LAFAYELAFAYE×5KillJohanna Grogerset Sophia Wilson+2.3
1910-9LAFAYELAFAYE×5KillGrace Jamisonset Johanna Groger+2.5
2011-9LAFAYELAFAYE×5AceJustine Puigaced Klea Tarja+2.6
2111-10LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.9
2212-10BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errCameron Lloyd+2.1
2312-11LAFAYEBUCKNLAttack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+1.9
2413-11BUCKNLLAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset Sophia Wilson+2.2
2513-12LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.0
2613-13BUCKNLBUCKNLAceIsabella Charltonaced Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo+2.7
2714-13BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset LK LaMonica+2.3
2814-14LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.2
2914-15BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.9
3015-15BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo+2.3
3115-16LAFAYEBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Isabella Charlton+2.3
3216-16BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset LK LaMonica+2.4
3317-16LAFAYELAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset Justine Puig+3.4
3417-17LAFAYEBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.6
3517-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.4
3617-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.3
3718-19BUCKNLLAFAYEBad setPeyton McGee+2.3
3818-20LAFAYEBUCKNL×3Serve errJustine Puig+2.7
3918-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+2.9
4018-22BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.1
4119-22BUCKNLLAFAYE×3BlockedMarion Haskellblk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo, Johanna Groger+1.0
4220-22LAFAYELAFAYE×3BlockedMarion Haskellblk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo+2.1
4321-22LAFAYELAFAYE×3AceJohanna Groger+3.4
4421-23LAFAYEBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.7
4522-23BUCKNLLAFAYEBlockedMarion Haskellblk Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo+2.7
4622-24LAFAYEBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+4.3
4723-24BUCKNLLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset LK LaMonica+2.5
4824-24LAFAYELAFAYEAttack errSidney Shaffer+7.6
4924-25LAFAYEBUCKNLAttack errJada Aksu+6.0
5025-25BUCKNLLAFAYEKillPaige Chmuraset LK LaMonica+6.0
5126-25LAFAYELAFAYEKillJustine Puigset Alyssa Chu+8.2
5226-26LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+6.4
5327-26BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset LK LaMonica+6.4
5427-27LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+6.4
5527-28BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+7.8
5628-28BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errMarion Haskell+6.0
5728-29LAFAYEBUCKNLServe errJustine Puig+6.0
5829-29BUCKNLLAFAYEServe errBucknell+6.0
5929-30LAFAYEBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+6.0
6029-31BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Sophia Wilson+7.2
Set 3
10-1LAFAYEBUCKNLAttack errGrace Jamison+0.8
20-2BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.1
31-2BUCKNLLAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset Sophia Wilson+0.8
41-3LAFAYEBUCKNLBlockedAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboblk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell+0.8
51-4BUCKNLBUCKNLAceIsabella Charltonaced Alyssa Chu+1.0
62-4LAFAYE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
72-5LAFAYEBUCKNL×5KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.8
82-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×5Attack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+0.9
92-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×5KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.8
102-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×5AceCameron Lloydaced Justine Puig+0.7
112-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×5BlockedAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboblk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+0.5
123-9BUCKNLLAFAYEKillLK LaMonicaset Justine Puig+0.3
133-10LAFAYEBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.4
143-11BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errJada Aksu+0.4
153-12BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errJada Aksu+0.3
164-12BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset LK LaMonica+0.2
174-13LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSarah Williamsset Peyton McGee+0.2
185-13BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset LK LaMonica+0.2
195-14LAFAYEBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.2
206-14BUCKNLLAFAYEAttack errMarion Haskell+0.1
216-15LAFAYEBUCKNL×4Attack errDestiny McKenzie+0.2
226-16BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errJohanna Groger+0.2
236-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
246-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errGrace Jamison·
257-18BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Sophia Wilson·
268-18LAFAYELAFAYEBlockedSidney Shafferblk Destiny McKenzie, Paige Chmura·
278-19LAFAYEBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee·
288-20BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Sophia Wilson·
299-20BUCKNLLAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset Alyssa Chu·
3010-20LAFAYELAFAYEBlockedCameron Lloydblk Jada Aksu, Paige Chmura·
3110-21LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee·
3210-22BUCKNLBUCKNLBad setMackenzie Calhoun·
3311-22BUCKNLLAFAYEServe errBucknell·
3411-23LAFAYEBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Emerson Boyd·
3512-23BUCKNLLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Mackenzie Calhoun·
3612-24LAFAYEBUCKNLServe errAlyssa Chu·
3712-25BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJada Aksu·

Score shown after each rally, Lafayette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).