Ball State vs Toledo Volleyball: Toledo Wins 3-1 (Oct 3)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 59.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo beat visiting Ball St. 3-1 (25-18, 17-25, 25-20, 25-11) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Toledo's Sierra Pertzborn led with 14 kills, and Grace Freiberger added 18 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
BALLST	18	25	20	11	1
TOLEDO	25	17	25	25	3

Match story · from the official box score

Toledo held Ball St. to .088 hitting.

Told from the official box score only: NCAA’s play-by-play for this match doesn’t reproduce the official result, so there’s no win-probability story. RallyIQ gave Toledo 60% before first serve.

Ball St.Toledo

Hitting+.111
.088.199
Kills and errors: 46–18 vs 45–32.

Ball St.Toledo

Hitting: Ball St. .088·Toledo .199
Aces: Ball St. 3·Toledo 6
Serve err: Ball St. 5·Toledo 7
Blocks: Ball St. 6·Toledo 10.51 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 17 BA
Digs: Ball St. 70·Toledo 62

Win probability

Toledo above 50 · Ball St. below

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Toledo — set 3, BALLST 16-18 TOLEDO. Toledo ace. TOLEDO win probability 61% → 67%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 36.9%63.1% TOLEDO

Ball St. wins

3-0

7.7%

3-1

13.3%

3-2

15.8%

Toledo wins

3-0

18.9%

3-1

24.2%

3-2

20.0%

BALLST break %: 39.4% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %: 42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ToledoAce+5.4%
Toledo ace
Set 3 · BALLST 16-18 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 61% → 67%
02
Ava SmithAttack error+5.3%
Attack error by Ava Smith
Set 3 · BALLST 15-16 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 56% → 61%
03
Jessica CostlowKill+5.1%
Kill by Jessica Costlow (set by Janelle Green)
Set 3 · BALLST 15-15 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 51% → 56%
04
Ava SiefkeAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Ava Siefke
Set 3 · BALLST 15-13 TOLEDO · BALLST 47% → 52%
05
Kayla OzanichKill+4.9%
Kill by Kayla Ozanich (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 3 · BALLST 17-20 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 67% → 72%
06
Olivia HeitkampKill+4.5%
Kill by Olivia Heitkamp (set by Janelle Green)
Set 3 · BALLST 12-12 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 52% → 56%
07
Olivia HeitkampAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Olivia Heitkamp
Set 3 · BALLST 12-10 TOLEDO · BALLST 47% → 51%
08
Ava SmithAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Ava Smith
Set 3 · BALLST 17-19 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 63% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ball St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SmithOH	4	12	12	50	.000	0	0	0	6	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
17Camryn WiseMB	4	9	4	24	.208	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	11
13Gwen CrullMB	4	9	2	15	.467	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
11Tiffany SnookMB	4	1	4	14	-.214	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Lindsey GreenS	4	0	0	1	.000	19	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
3Elizabeth TabelingDS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Madison BuckleyOPP	4	5	4	12	.083	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
6Merritt SliwaOH	4	5	3	19	.105	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Kendall EdenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
2Reese AxnessS	4	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
12Sophie LedbetterDS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	21	0	0	0	0	0
9Mallory PikeOH	3	3	1	7	.286	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	4
1Audrey GeerOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
7Lucy McCollumS	1	0	1	2	-.500	4	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	32	148	.088	43	3	5	70	6	1	10	6	74

Toledohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	14	3	30	.367	0	0	0	2	0	1	7	4.5	18.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	4	8	1	26	.269	0	1	0	11	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	7	2	22	.227	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
23Lilly MerkMB	4	5	0	13	.385	0	0	1	3	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
15Madelyn BachS	4	0	1	2	-.500	27	3	3	6	0	0	0	0	3
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
14Ava SiefkeOH	4	4	5	17	-.059	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Janelle GreenS	4	1	0	2	.500	13	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	18	1	0	0	0	1
4Olivia HeitkampOH	3	6	4	20	.100	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	2	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		46	18	141	.199	45	6	7	62	3	2	17	10.5	92

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ball St. vs Toledo

Season series · Toledo leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Ball St. at Toledo · Toledo won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Ball St. at Toledo · Toledo won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BALLST · TOLEDO 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 BALLSTTOLEDO 6

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 BALLSTTOLEDO 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 BALLSTTOLEDO 3

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 2 BALLSTTOLEDO 5

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	43%3/7
2	100%5/5	29%2/7
3	45%5/11	55%6/11
4	57%4/7	44%4/9
5	60%3/5	40%2/5
6	60%3/5	50%3/6
All	60%25/42	44%20/45

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	20%1/5
2	56%5/9	38%3/8
3	50%5/10	38%3/8
4	44%4/9	56%5/9
5	100%3/3	43%3/7
6	50%3/6	40%2/5
All	56%25/45	40%17/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

167 rallies

#	BALLST-TOLEDO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Avery Adamski	+2.4
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Gwen Crull		+2.4
3	0-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+2.2
4	1-3	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+1.5
5	1-4	BALLST	TOLEDO×6	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
6	1-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×6	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
7	1-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×6	Ace	Toledo	aced Ava Smith	+1.8
8	1-7		TOLEDO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.5
9	1-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×6	Blocked	Camryn Wise	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+1.2
10	1-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×6	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+1.0
11	2-9	TOLEDO	BALLST	Attack err	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.5
12	3-9	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Reese Axness	+1.0
13	3-10	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.9
14	3-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+0.9
15	4-11	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+0.5
16	4-12	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+0.6
17	5-12	TOLEDO	BALLST×3	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+0.5
18	6-12	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Ball St.	aced Grace Freiberger	+0.9
19	7-12	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Ball St.		+1.2
20	7-13	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+1.1
21	8-13	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+0.8
22	8-14	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.1
23	9-14	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.8
24	10-14	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.6
25	10-15	BALLST	TOLEDO×5	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.4
26	10-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
27	10-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Ava Smith		+1.0
28	10-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+0.6
29	10-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Ava Smith		+0.4
30	11-19	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
31	11-20	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2
32	12-20	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
33	12-21	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2
34	13-21	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Elizabeth Tabeling	+0.1
35	13-22	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
36	14-22	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Reese Axness	·
37	15-22	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Merritt Sliwa, Gwen Crull	+0.1
38	15-23	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.2
39	16-23	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Reese Axness	·
40	17-23	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Tiffany Snook	+0.1
41	17-24	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.2
42	18-24	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	·
43	19-24	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
44	19-25	BALLST	TOLEDO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn	+2.1
3	0-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo		+2.0
4	1-3	TOLEDO	BALLST×3	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Gwen Crull	+1.4
5	2-3	BALLST	BALLST×3	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Camryn Wise, Ava Smith	+2.1
6	3-3	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+2.3
7	3-4	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
8	4-4	TOLEDO	BALLST×5	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.7
9	5-4	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Mallory Pike	set Reese Axness	+2.5
10	6-4	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Reese Axness	+2.5
11	7-4	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.5
12	8-4	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	Ball St.	aced Ava Siefke	+2.3
13	8-5	BALLST	TOLEDO	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.5
14	9-5	TOLEDO	BALLST	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Madison Buckley, Camryn Wise	+1.7
15	10-5	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Madison Buckley, Camryn Wise	+2.1
16	10-6	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa	set Reese Axness	+1.3
17	10-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke		+2.1
18	11-7	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Reese Axness	+1.8
19	11-8	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green	set Ava Siefke	+1.5
20	12-8	TOLEDO	BALLST×4	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Reese Axness	+1.8
21	13-8	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Sophie Ledbetter	+2.2
22	14-8	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.8
23	15-8	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+1.4
24	15-9	BALLST	TOLEDO	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.7
25	16-9	TOLEDO	BALLST×4	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
26	17-9	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Gwen Crull	+0.9
27	18-9	BALLST	BALLST×4	Ace	Ball St.	aced Avery Adamski	+0.6
28	19-9	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
29	19-10	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.1
30	19-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Ava Smith		+0.2
31	20-11	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
32	20-12	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
33	21-12	TOLEDO	BALLST	Blocked	Olivia Heitkamp	blk Camryn Wise, Tiffany Snook	+0.2
34	21-13	BALLST	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
35	21-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2
36	21-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Camryn Wise		+0.4
37	21-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn		+0.7
38	22-16	TOLEDO	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Reese Axness	+0.9
39	23-16	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Sophie Ledbetter	+0.5
40	24-16	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Camryn Wise		+0.2
41	24-17	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
42	25-17	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Reese Axness	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+2.4
2	1-1	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+2.4
3	2-1	TOLEDO	BALLST	Attack err	Madelyn Bach	set Grace Freiberger	+2.5
4	3-1	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+3.5
5	3-2	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Bad set	Reese Axness		+2.4
6	3-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+3.5
7	3-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Ava Siefke, Lilly Merk	+3.5
8	4-4	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Siefke		+2.5
9	5-4	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+3.7
10	5-5	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+2.6
11	6-5	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+2.7
12	7-5	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+3.9
13	7-6	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Madison Buckley	set Kendall Eden	+2.6
14	8-6	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+2.8
15	8-7	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.7
16	8-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		+3.9
17	9-8	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+3.0
18	9-9	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.9
19	10-9	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+3.1
20	10-10	BALLST	TOLEDO	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+3.0
21	11-10	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+3.2
22	12-10	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+4.5
23	12-11	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+3.0
24	12-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+4.5
25	13-12	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		+3.4
26	13-13	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+3.3
27	14-13	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Reese Axness	+3.6
28	15-13	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+5.0
29	15-14	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+3.3
30	15-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+5.1
31	15-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Ava Smith		+5.3
32	16-16	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Sophie Ledbetter	+3.8
33	16-17	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa	set Sophie Ledbetter	+4.0
34	16-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		+5.4
35	17-18	TOLEDO	BALLST	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.5
36	17-19	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+4.1
37	17-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+4.9
38	18-20	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith		+2.7
39	18-21	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+3.7
40	19-21	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+2.7
41	19-22	BALLST	TOLEDO	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Lilly Merk, Sierra Pertzborn	+3.8
42	20-22	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith		+2.5
43	20-23	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp		+4.0
44	20-24	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke		+3.0
45	20-25	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa		+1.3
Set 4
1	0-1	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+2.1
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.9
3	1-2	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+2.1
4	1-3	BALLST	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
5	1-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
6	1-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo		+2.6
7	1-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
8	2-6	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
9	2-7	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Mallory Pike	blk Lilly Merk, Sierra Pertzborn	+1.6
10	2-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Madison Buckley		+1.9
11	2-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Gwen Crull		+1.5
12	3-9	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Mallory Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+0.9
13	3-10	BALLST	TOLEDO	Attack err	Ava Smith	set Gwen Crull	+1.1
14	3-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.1
15	4-11	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+0.6
16	5-11	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Mallory Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+1.2
17	5-12	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.1
18	5-13		TOLEDO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
19	5-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Ava Smith		+0.7
20	6-14	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Sophie Ledbetter	+0.3
21	6-15	BALLST	TOLEDO×5	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.5
22	6-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+0.4
23	6-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Blocked	Camryn Wise	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+0.2
24	6-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Camryn Wise		+0.1
25	6-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Attack err	Audrey Geer		+0.1
26	7-19	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		·
27	8-19		BALLST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
28	8-20	BALLST	TOLEDO	Blocked	Lucy McCollum	blk Sierra Pertzborn	·
29	9-20	TOLEDO	BALLST	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn	set Grace Freiberger	·
30	9-21	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	·
31	10-21	TOLEDO	BALLST	Serve err	Toledo		·
32	10-22	BALLST	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
33	10-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Madison Buckley	blk Lilly Merk	·
34	10-24	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo		·
35	11-24	TOLEDO	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lucy McCollum	·
36	11-25	BALLST	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	·

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Toledo def. Ball St. 3–1

Toledo held Ball St. to .088 hitting.