Kent State vs Toledo Volleyball: Toledo Wins 3-1 (Oct 8)

Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 8, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 99.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo beat visiting Kent St. 3-1 (25-16, 25-14, 22-25, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Kayla Ozanich led Toledo with 12 kills; Kent St.'s Macie Moreland had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 3, 4:45 PM CT · final Oct 8

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
KENT	16	14	25	23	1
TOLEDO	25	25	22	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Toledo broke it open with a 9–0 run in the second set.

Win probability never moved more than 3.1 points on one rally; Kent St. topped out at 10% in Set 4. RallyIQ gave Toledo 99% before first serve.

Kent St.Toledo

Break %+12.3 pts
36.749.0
On serve: 47/96 against 29/79 (Kent St. sideout 51.0%).
Hitting+.126
.160.286
59 K / 15 E against 46 K / 22 E.
Longest run+4
59
Toledo scored 9 straight in the second set to stretch a 12–11 lead to 21–11. Final score of the set: 25–14.

Toledo above 50Kent St. belowMax swing 3.1%

Kent St.Toledo

Aces: Kent St. 3·Toledo 6
Serve err: Kent St. 7·Toledo 12
Blocks: Kent St. 6·Toledo 74 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Kent St. 70·Toledo 71

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Toledo above 50 · Kent St. below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Toledo — set 4, KENT 23-24 TOLEDO. Attack error by Macie Moreland. TOLEDO win probability 95% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KENT 3.3%96.7% TOLEDO

Kent St. wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Toledo wins

3-0

61.2%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

7.8%

KENT break %: 36.1% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %: 50.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Macie MorelandAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Macie Moreland
Set 4 · KENT 23-24 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 95% → 98%
02
Adalynn GinleyKill+2.7%
Kill by Adalynn Ginley (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 4 · KENT 23-22 TOLEDO · KENT 5% → 7%
03
Olivia HeitkampKill+2.4%
Kill by Olivia Heitkamp (set by Janelle Green)
Set 4 · KENT 22-22 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 93% → 95%
04
Avrey RigneyKill+2.4%
Kill by Avrey Rigney (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 4 · KENT 22-20 TOLEDO · KENT 6% → 9%
05
Olivia HeitkampKill+2.3%
Kill by Olivia Heitkamp (set by Janelle Green)
Set 4 · KENT 23-23 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 93% → 95%
06
Nadia MillerKill+2.1%
Kill by Nadia Miller (set by Christina Vigil)
Set 4 · KENT 21-19 TOLEDO · KENT 6% → 8%
07
Jessica CostlowKill+2.1%
Kill by Jessica Costlow (set by Janelle Green)
Set 4 · KENT 23-25 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 98% → 100%
08
Macie MorelandKill+2.0%
Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Catie Patterson)
Set 4 · KENT 19-15 TOLEDO · KENT 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kent St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Macie MorelandOH	4	15	5	45	.222	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
8Nadia MillerMB	4	10	4	27	.222	0	0	0	4	0	3	1	3.5	13.5
11Vanessa ImohOH	4	7	2	17	.294	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
16Adalynn GinleyMB	4	5	1	11	.364	1	0	3	3	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
14Christina VigilS	4	1	3	10	-.200	37	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
7Mercedez BrownOH	2	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
5Lesley FurutaL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	2	2	1	20	0	0	0	0	2
4Hailey BrennerDS	4	0	0	5	.000	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
12Catie PattersonDS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
1Maggie KachmarikDS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
2Avrey RigneyOH	2	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	5
Team totals		46	22	150	.160	41	3	7	70	6	4	4	6	78

Toledohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	12	5	35	.200	1	1	1	5	0	5	2.5	15.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	4	10	0	37	.270	1	3	0	15	0	3	1.5	14.5
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	4	10	2	25	.320	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	10
23Lilly MerkMB	4	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
3Janelle GreenS	4	2	0	5	.400	26	1	1	9	0	0	0	3
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	9	0	0	0	1
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	11
14Ava SiefkeOH	4	4	5	18	-.056	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4
15Madelyn BachS	4	1	0	2	.500	24	0	5	7	0	0	0	1
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	17	1	0	0	0
4Olivia HeitkampOH	1	4	0	4	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
21Meg JarrettL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	15	154	.286	57	6	12	71	3	14	7	97

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kent St. vs Toledo

Season series · Toledo leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 8, 2026Kent St. at Toledo · Toledo won 3-1This match
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Kent St. at Toledo · Toledo won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 KENT · TOLEDO 9

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 KENTTOLEDO 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 KENTTOLEDO 9

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 KENTTOLEDO 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 KENTTOLEDO 5

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kent St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%9/21	11%1/9
2	75%9/12	40%6/15
3	39%9/23	44%7/16
4	47%9/19	44%7/16
5	58%7/12	33%4/12
6	67%6/9	36%4/11
All	51%49/96	37%29/79

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%10/14	43%6/14
2	60%9/15	50%9/18
3	50%9/18	40%6/15
4	67%8/12	59%13/22
5	64%7/11	59%10/17
6	78%7/9	30%3/10
All	63%50/79	49%47/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#	KENT-TOLEDO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.1
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+0.1
3	0-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.1
4	0-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Lilly Merk		+0.1
5	0-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	·
6	1-5	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		·
7	1-6	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	·
8	2-6	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	·
9	3-6	KENT	KENT	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Nadia Miller	+0.1
10	3-7	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
11	3-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Bad set	Christina Vigil		+0.1
12	4-8	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Serve err	Toledo		·
13	5-8	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
14	6-8	KENT	KENT×3	Ace	Kent St.		+0.1
15	6-9	KENT	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+0.1
16	6-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.1
17	6-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
18	6-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo		·
19	7-12	TOLEDO	KENT	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		·
20	7-13	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
21	8-13	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	·
22	8-14	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	·
23	9-14	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	·
24	9-15	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	·
25	10-15	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	·
26	11-15	KENT	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
27	11-16	KENT	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Avery Adamski	+0.1
28	11-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh		·
29	11-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	·
30	12-18	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		·
31	12-19	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	·
32	12-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	·
33	13-20	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Serve err	Toledo		·
34	14-20	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	·
35	15-20	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Mercedez Brown	set Christina Vigil	·
36	15-21	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	·
37	16-21	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	·
38	16-22	KENT	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	·
39	16-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo		·
40	16-24	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Madelyn Bach	set Kayla Ozanich	·
41	16-25	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Mercedez Brown	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Lilly Merk	·
Set 2
1	0-1	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Adalynn Ginley	blk Jessica Costlow, Lilly Merk	+0.1
3	1-2	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
4	2-2	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Adalynn Ginley	+0.1
5	3-2	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
6	3-3	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		+0.1
7	4-3	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
8	4-4	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
9	5-4	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
10	5-5	KENT	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
11	5-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Mercedez Brown	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn	+0.1
12	5-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo		+0.1
13	5-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
14	6-8	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
15	7-8	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+0.1
16	7-9	KENT	TOLEDO	Attack err	Mercedez Brown		+0.1
17	8-9	TOLEDO	KENT	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+0.1
18	8-10	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
19	9-10	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
20	9-11	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+0.1
21	10-11	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
22	10-12	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green	set Jessica Costlow	+0.1
23	11-12	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
24	11-13	KENT	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
25	11-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Bad set	Catie Patterson		+0.1
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
27	11-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	·
28	11-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Blocked	Macie Moreland	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn	·
29	11-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	·
30	11-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Attack err	Macie Moreland		·
31	11-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Jessica Costlow		·
32	11-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Bad set	Christina Vigil		·
33	12-21	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Christina Vigil		·
34	12-22	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		·
35	12-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Christina Vigil		·
36	13-23	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	·
37	13-24	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
38	14-24	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		·
39	14-25	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
Set 3
1	1-0	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	·
2	1-1	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	·
3	2-1	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	·
4	2-2	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		·
5	3-2	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	·
6	3-3	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	·
7	3-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		·
8	4-4	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	·
9	4-5	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	·
10	4-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Avrey Rigney		·
11	5-6	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Avrey Rigney	set Hailey Brenner	·
12	5-7	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	·
13	6-7	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	·
14	6-8	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	·
15	7-8	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Serve err	Toledo		·
16	8-8	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
17	9-8	KENT	KENT×3	Bad set	Avery Adamski		+0.1
18	9-9	KENT	TOLEDO	Attack err	Christina Vigil		·
19	10-9	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
20	11-9	KENT	KENT	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Nadia Miller	+0.1
21	11-10	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.1
22	11-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Christina Vigil		+0.1
23	12-11	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
24	13-11	KENT	KENT	Kill	Avrey Rigney	set Christina Vigil	+0.1
25	13-12	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
26	14-12	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+0.1
27	15-12	KENT	KENT×3	Ace	Kent St.	aced Grace Freiberger	+0.1
28	16-12	KENT	KENT×3	Ace	Kent St.		+0.2
29	16-13	KENT	TOLEDO	Attack err	Avrey Rigney		+0.1
30	17-13	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+0.1
31	18-13	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Adalynn Ginley		+0.2
32	19-13	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Christina Vigil	+0.2
33	19-14	KENT	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Avrey Rigney		+0.1
34	19-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo		+0.1
35	19-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Vanessa Imoh		+0.1
36	20-16	TOLEDO	KENT	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley	+0.2
37	20-17	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		+0.1
38	21-17	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.2
39	21-18	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+0.1
40	22-18	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.2
41	23-18	KENT	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.2
42	23-19	KENT	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.1
43	23-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Nadia Miller	blk Jessica Costlow, Kayla Ozanich	+0.1
44	23-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2
45	24-21	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.3
46	24-22	KENT	TOLEDO	Attack err	Nadia Miller		+0.1
47	25-22	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Avrey Rigney	set Christina Vigil	+0.3
Set 4
1	1-0	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+0.5
2	1-1	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green	set Sophie Catalano	+0.3
3	2-1	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+0.4
4	3-1	KENT	KENT	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+0.6
5	3-2	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		+0.4
6	4-2	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		+0.6
7	4-3	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.5
8	5-3	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Serve err	Toledo		+0.6
9	6-3	KENT	KENT×3	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Nadia Miller	+0.9
10	7-3	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+1.0
11	7-4	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+0.6
12	7-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+0.8
13	8-5	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Avrey Rigney	set Christina Vigil	+0.8
14	9-5	KENT	KENT	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Adalynn Ginley	+1.1
15	9-6	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		+0.7
16	9-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.9
17	10-7	TOLEDO	KENT×3	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+0.9
18	11-7	KENT	KENT×3	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+1.3
19	12-7	KENT	KENT×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.4
20	12-8	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.8
21	13-8	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Vanessa Imoh	set Lesley Furuta	+1.2
22	13-9	KENT	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.8
23	13-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo	aced Catie Patterson	+1.1
24	13-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.1
25	13-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.0
26	13-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+0.9
27	14-13	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+0.9
28	14-14	KENT	TOLEDO	Serve err	Kent St.		+0.8
29	14-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+0.9
30	15-15	TOLEDO	KENT×5	Bad set	Avery Adamski		+0.8
31	16-15	KENT	KENT×5	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Macie Moreland, Nadia Miller	+1.3
32	17-15	KENT	KENT×5	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Lesley Furuta	+1.6
33	18-15	KENT	KENT×5	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Christina Vigil	+1.9
34	19-15	KENT	KENT×5	Kill	Macie Moreland	set Catie Patterson	+2.0
35	19-16	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+1.1
36	19-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Macie Moreland	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+1.5
37	20-17	TOLEDO	KENT	Serve err	Toledo		+1.9
38	20-18	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+1.2
39	20-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
40	21-19	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Nadia Miller	set Christina Vigil	+2.1
41	21-20	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
42	22-20	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Avrey Rigney	set Christina Vigil	+2.4
43	22-21	KENT	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
44	22-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+2.4
45	23-22	TOLEDO	KENT	Kill	Adalynn Ginley	set Christina Vigil	+2.7
46	23-23	KENT	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+2.3
47	23-24	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Macie Moreland		+3.1
48	23-25	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.1

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Toledo def. Kent St. 3–1

Toledo broke it open with a 9–0 run in the second set.