Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Toledo def. Kent St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 98.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo beat visiting Kent St. 3-1 (25-21, 19-25, 25-15, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Sophie Catalano led Toledo with 14 kills; Kent St.'s Vanessa Imoh had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
KENT212515221
TOLEDO251925253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Toledo built it on runs.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.2 points, and Kent St.'s high was 5% in Set 3. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Toledo at 99%.

Kent St.Toledo
  • Longest run+0
    66

    Toledo scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 10–12 deficit into a 16–12 lead. That set ended 25–21.

Toledo above 50Kent St. belowMax swing 1.2%

Kent St.Toledo

Hitting
Kent St. .141·Toledo .216
Aces
Kent St. 5·Toledo 5
Serve err
Kent St. 5·Toledo 6
Blocks
Kent St. 9·Toledo 93 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Kent St. 101·Toledo 101

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Toledo above 50 · Kent St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.2% KENTrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Kent St. — set 4, KENT 21-22 TOLEDO. Kill by Nadia Miller (set by Christina Vigil). TOLEDO win probability 99% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KENT 3.3%96.7% TOLEDO

Kent St. wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.1%

Toledo wins

3-0
61.2%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
7.8%
KENT break %
36.1% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %
50.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nadia MillerKill+1.2%

    Kill by Nadia Miller (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 4 · KENT 21-22 TOLEDO · KENT 1% → 2%

  2. 02

    Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)

    Set 4 · KENT 21-23 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 98% → 99%

  3. 03
    ToledoAce+0.9%

    Toledo ace

    Set 4 · KENT 21-24 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 99% → 100%

  4. 04
    Kent St.Ace+0.8%

    Kent St. ace on Jessica Costlow

    Set 3 · KENT 1-0 TOLEDO · KENT 4% → 5%

  5. 05
    Ava SiefkeAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Ava Siefke

    Set 3 · KENT 4-3 TOLEDO · KENT 5% → 5%

  6. 06
    Vanessa ImohKill+0.7%

    Kill by Vanessa Imoh (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 3 · KENT 3-2 TOLEDO · KENT 5% → 5%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sierra Pertzborn (set by Madelyn Bach)

    Set 3 · KENT 4-5 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    Vanessa ImohKill+0.7%

    Kill by Vanessa Imoh (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 3 · KENT 2-1 TOLEDO · KENT 4% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416536.3060002002117
411335.22900060132.513.5
411949.0411006002112
47119.31600120132.59.5
41110.0004100160111.52.5
4002.0000101320001
4002.000022900002
4000–2211000002
4001.0006013410000
35429.03400030010.55.5
2239-.111000000002
Team totals5326192.14150551015312983
Toledohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414430.3330002002115
410126.3460022004212
47236.139240192010.511.5
46221.190000100428
4002.00022001300000
4000–1011000000
411334.2350002004213
41011.00023101000002
4000–5033300000
37324.16700080010.57.5
22216.000000101013
1000–000000000
Team totals5817190.21653561015116994

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kent St. vs Toledo

Season series · Toledo leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KENT · TOLEDO 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 KENTTOLEDO 6

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 KENTTOLEDO 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 KENTTOLEDO 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 KENTTOLEDO 6

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kent St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
44%7/16
2
56%9/16
18%2/11
3
45%9/20
57%12/21
4
62%8/13
31%4/13
5
73%8/11
11%1/9
6
50%7/14
43%6/14
All
55%51/93
38%32/84

Toledo

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
47%8/17
2
53%9/17
57%12/21
3
50%9/18
47%8/17
4
100%8/8
43%6/14
5
62%8/13
43%6/14
6
62%8/13
20%2/10
All
62%52/84
45%42/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#KENT-TOLEDOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0KENTKENT×3BlockedLilly Merkblk Adalynn Ginley, Macie Moreland+0.2
22-0KENTKENT×3BlockedLilly Merkblk Adalynn Ginley+0.3
33-0KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
43-1KENTTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+0.2
54-1TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
65-1KENTKENTBad setJanelle Green+0.4
75-2KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.3
86-2TOLEDOKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.4
96-3KENTTOLEDO×4KillKayla Ozanichset Janelle Green+0.3
106-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillOlivia Heitkampset Jessica Costlow+0.3
116-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×4BlockedMacie Morelandblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn+0.3
126-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×4KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.3
137-6TOLEDOKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.3
147-7KENTTOLEDOBlockedChristina Vigilblk Olivia Heitkamp+0.2
158-7TOLEDOKENTKillAvrey Rigneyset Christina Vigil+0.3
168-8KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.2
179-8TOLEDOKENT×3BlockedSierra Pertzbornblk Adalynn Ginley, Avrey Rigney+0.3
1810-8KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.4
1911-8KENTKENT×3BlockedJessica Costlowblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+0.5
2011-9KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Grace Freiberger+0.3
2111-10TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errAvrey Rigney+0.4
2212-10TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.4
2312-11KENTTOLEDO×6KillJessica Costlowset Avery Adamski+0.3
2412-12TOLEDOTOLEDO×6Attack errMacie Moreland+0.4
2512-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×6AceToledoaced Lesley Furuta+0.3
2612-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×6AceToledoaced Catie Patterson+0.3
2712-15TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.2
2812-16TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillOlivia Heitkamp+0.2
2913-16TOLEDOKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.1
3013-17KENTTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.1
3114-17TOLEDOKENT×4KillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+0.1
3215-17KENTKENT×4KillMacie Moreland+0.2
3316-17KENTKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.4
3417-17KENTKENT×4AceKent St.+0.5
3517-18KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.4
3618-18TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.5
3718-19KENTTOLEDO×3KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.4
3818-20TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errAvrey Rigney+0.5
3918-21TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.3
4019-21TOLEDOKENTBad setMadelyn Bach+0.2
4120-21KENTKENTKillAvrey Rigneyset Christina Vigil+0.5
4220-22KENTTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.4
4321-22TOLEDOKENTServe errToledo+0.4
4421-23KENTTOLEDO×3KillMadelyn Bachset Jessica Costlow+0.5
4521-24TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Janelle Green+0.4
4621-25TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedVanessa Imohblk Lilly Merk, Jessica Costlow+0.1
Set 2
11-0TOLEDOKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Lesley Furuta+0.1
22-0KENTKENTBlockedOlivia Heitkampblk Vanessa Imoh, Nadia Miller+0.2
32-1KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.1
42-2TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errNadia Miller+0.1
53-2TOLEDOKENT×6Serve errToledo+0.1
64-2KENTKENT×6KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.2
75-2KENTKENT×6BlockedOlivia Heitkampblk Christina Vigil, Nadia Miller+0.2
86-2KENTKENT×6KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.3
97-2KENTKENT×6KillMacie Morelandset Maggie Kachmarik+0.3
108-2KENTKENT×6AceKent St.+0.3
118-3KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.2
129-3TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.3
1310-3KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Jessica Costlow+0.3
1410-4KENTTOLEDOServe errKent St.+0.2
1510-5TOLEDOTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.3
1611-5TOLEDOKENTServe errToledo+0.3
1711-6KENTTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.2
1812-6TOLEDOKENTKillChristina Vigilset Maggie Kachmarik+0.3
1912-7KENTTOLEDOAttack errVanessa Imoh+0.2
2013-7TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+0.3
2113-8KENTTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Grace Freiberger+0.2
2214-8TOLEDOKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.3
2314-9KENTTOLEDO×5Serve errKent St.+0.2
2414-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×5Attack errVanessa Imoh+0.3
2514-11TOLEDOTOLEDO×5KillKayla Ozanichset Christina Vigil+0.3
2614-12TOLEDOTOLEDO×5BlockedMacie Morelandblk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano+0.3
2714-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×5Attack errNadia Miller+0.3
2815-13TOLEDOKENTServe errToledo+0.3
2915-14KENTTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Janelle Green+0.2
3016-14TOLEDOKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.3
3117-14KENTKENT×3BlockedAva Siefkeblk Christina Vigil+0.5
3218-14KENTKENT×3KillAvrey Rigneyset Christina Vigil+0.5
3318-15KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.3
3419-15TOLEDOKENTAttack errSierra Pertzborn+0.4
3519-16KENTTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+0.3
3620-16TOLEDOKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.5
3721-16KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+0.5
3822-16KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.4
3922-17KENTTOLEDOKillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+0.1
4022-18TOLEDOTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.2
4123-18TOLEDOKENTKillAvrey Rigneyset Christina Vigil+0.4
4224-18KENTKENTAttack errSophie Catalano+0.2
4324-19KENTTOLEDOAttack errMacie Moreland·
4425-19TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.1
Set 3
11-0KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Jessica Costlow+0.8
21-1KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.6
32-1TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.7
42-2KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.6
53-2TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.7
63-3KENTTOLEDOServe errKent St.+0.6
74-3TOLEDOKENTAttack errAva Siefke+0.8
84-4KENTTOLEDOServe errKent St.+0.7
94-5TOLEDOTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.7
105-5TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.7
115-6KENTTOLEDOKillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.6
125-7TOLEDOTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.6
136-7TOLEDOKENTKillAvrey Rigneyset Christina Vigil+0.6
146-8KENTTOLEDO×3BlockedAdalynn Ginleyblk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke+0.5
156-9TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errAvrey Rigney+0.5
166-10TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSophie Catalanoset Christina Vigil+0.4
177-10TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
187-11KENTTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.3
198-11TOLEDOKENTServe errToledo+0.4
208-12KENTTOLEDO×3Attack errMacie Moreland+0.3
218-13TOLEDOTOLEDO×3AceToledoaced Catie Patterson+0.3
228-14TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedNadia Millerblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn+0.2
239-14TOLEDOKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.2
2410-14KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Macie Moreland+0.3
2511-14KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.5
2611-15KENTTOLEDO×3KillJessica Costlowset Madelyn Bach+0.4
2711-16TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.4
2811-17TOLEDOTOLEDO×3BlockedMacie Morelandblk Kayla Ozanich, Sierra Pertzborn+0.2
2912-17TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.2
3012-18KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.2
3112-19TOLEDOTOLEDOBlockedAvrey Rigneyblk Sierra Pertzborn, Lilly Merk+0.1
3213-19TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.1
3313-20KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.1
3414-20TOLEDOKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.1
3514-21KENTTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.1
3614-22TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errVanessa Imoh·
3715-22TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil·
3815-23KENTTOLEDO×3KillLilly Merkset Janelle Green·
3915-24TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errVanessa Imoh·
4015-25TOLEDOTOLEDO×3Attack errMacie Moreland·
Set 4
10-1TOLEDOTOLEDOAttack errMacie Moreland+0.4
21-1TOLEDOKENTAttack errSophie Catalano+0.4
31-2KENTTOLEDOAttack errMacie Moreland+0.3
42-2TOLEDOKENTKillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+0.4
53-2KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+0.6
63-3KENTTOLEDO×6KillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.4
73-4TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+0.5
83-5TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.4
93-6TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.3
103-7TOLEDOTOLEDO×6KillAva Siefkeset Madelyn Bach+0.2
113-8TOLEDOTOLEDO×6AceToledo+0.2
124-8TOLEDOKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.2
134-9KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.1
145-9TOLEDOKENTServe errToledo+0.2
155-10KENTTOLEDOAttack errMercedez Brown+0.2
166-10TOLEDOKENTAttack errAva Siefke+0.2
176-11KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.2
187-11TOLEDOKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.2
198-11KENTKENT×3Attack errSophie Catalano+0.3
209-11KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+0.4
219-12KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.3
229-13TOLEDOTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanich+0.3
2310-13TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.3
2410-14KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.3
2511-14TOLEDOKENTBlockedKayla Ozanichblk Nadia Miller+0.3
2611-15KENTTOLEDOKillKayla Ozanichset Madelyn Bach+0.3
2712-15TOLEDOKENTBlockedSierra Pertzbornblk Macie Moreland, Nadia Miller+0.3
2813-15KENTKENTAceKent St.+0.5
2913-16KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+0.4
3014-16TOLEDOKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.5
3114-17KENTTOLEDO×3Serve errKent St.+0.5
3214-18TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillSophie Catalanoset Grace Freiberger+0.4
3314-19TOLEDOTOLEDO×3KillAva Siefkeset Grace Freiberger+0.3
3415-19TOLEDOKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.2
3516-19KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Janelle Green+0.4
3617-19KENTKENT×3Attack errSophie Catalano+0.6
3717-20KENTTOLEDOBlockedMercedez Brownblk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk+0.6
3818-20TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.5
3918-21KENTTOLEDOKillLilly Merkset Janelle Green+0.6
4019-21TOLEDOKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.5
4119-22KENTTOLEDOKillSophie Catalanoset Janelle Green+0.7
4220-22TOLEDOKENTAttack errJessica Costlow+0.5
4321-22KENTKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+1.2
4421-23KENTTOLEDOKillSierra Pertzbornset Madelyn Bach+1.2
4521-24TOLEDOTOLEDOAceToledo+0.9
4622-24TOLEDOKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.3
4722-25KENTTOLEDOAttack errMercedez Brown+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).