Toledo vs Miami (OH) Volleyball: Toledo Wins 3-1 (Oct 30)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 58.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo won at Miami (OH) 3-1 (25-22, 19-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Toledo's Ava Siefke led with 16 kills, and Grace Freiberger added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 12:15 AM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
TOLEDO	25	19	25	25	3
MIA OH	22	25	19	19	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Toledo won every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.0 points, and Miami (OH)'s high was 55% in Set 3. The numbers below are where it was won. Toledo went in as RallyIQ's 58% pick.

No single phase cleared the thresholds (8 pts of break %, .080 of hitting, a 5-point run).

Miami (OH) above 50Toledo belowMax swing 5.0%

ToledoMiami (OH)

Hitting: Toledo .224·Miami (OH) .171
Aces: Toledo 8·Miami (OH) 6
Serve err: Toledo 7·Miami (OH) 5
Blocks: Toledo 9·Miami (OH) 81 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Toledo 87·Miami (OH) 78

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (OH) above 50 · Toledo below

Biggest swing: 5.0% to Toledo — set 1, TOLEDO 24-22 MIA OH. Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Grace Freiberger). MIA OH win probability 34% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TOLEDO 61.6%38.4% MIA OH

Toledo wins

3-0

18.1%

3-1

23.6%

3-2

20.0%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0

8.2%

3-1

13.9%

3-2

16.2%

TOLEDO break %: 41.7% vs this opp
MIA OH break %: 39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ava SiefkeKill+5.0%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Grace Freiberger)
Set 1 · TOLEDO 24-22 MIA OH · TOLEDO 66% → 71%
02
Sierra Pertzborn&Lilly MerkBlock+4.6%
Molly Creech stuffed by Sierra Pertzborn & Lilly Merk
Set 3 · TOLEDO 14-12 MIA OH · TOLEDO 59% → 64%
03
Grace KreutzAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Grace Kreutz
Set 3 · TOLEDO 17-14 MIA OH · TOLEDO 64% → 69%
04
Lauren CoyneKill+4.4%
Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Holland Van Deusen)
Set 3 · TOLEDO 11-11 MIA OH · MIA OH 40% → 44%
05
Jessica CostlowKill+4.3%
Kill by Jessica Costlow (set by Madelyn Bach)
Set 1 · TOLEDO 23-21 MIA OH · TOLEDO 64% → 69%
06
Kayla OzanichAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Kayla Ozanich
Set 1 · TOLEDO 21-20 MIA OH · MIA OH 32% → 36%
07
ToledoAce+4.1%
Toledo ace on Rachel Morgan
Set 3 · TOLEDO 11-9 MIA OH · TOLEDO 59% → 63%
08
Chelsea WilliamsKill+4.1%
Kill by Chelsea Williams (set by Kamryn Utley)
Set 3 · TOLEDO 9-9 MIA OH · MIA OH 40% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Toledoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Lilly MerkMB	4	12	0	22	.545	0	1	1	1	0	0	6	3	16
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	12	5	28	.250	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	4	6	5	39	.026	1	1	0	12	0	0	4	2	9
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	7	5	23	.087	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	9
15Madelyn BachS	4	0	0	0	–	27	3	0	12	0	0	0	0	3
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	14	1	0	0	0	1
14Ava SiefkeOH	4	16	2	33	.424	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	4	7	4	26	.115	0	0	0	7	0	0	2	1	8
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	2	3	17	3	0	0	0	2
3Janelle GreenS	4	0	0	3	.000	24	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	21	174	.224	58	8	7	87	6	1	16	9	94

Miami (OH)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Grace KreutzOH	4	11	4	50	.140	0	1	0	10	2	0	2	1	13
17Lauren CoyneOPP	4	11	1	28	.357	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
1Raegan LantzOH	4	11	1	21	.476	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
6Molly CreechOH	4	9	6	30	.100	1	1	1	22	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
15Lydia MichelinMB	4	1	2	14	-.071	0	0	0	2	0	1	6	4	5
18Holland Van DeusenS	4	1	0	1	1.000	23	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	2
7Chelsea WilliamsOH	4	6	6	30	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Kamryn UtleyS	4	0	0	1	.000	18	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
9Rachel MorganL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	24	5	0	0	0	1
10Madison BrownS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Piper WillingerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	20	175	.171	48	6	5	78	8	1	14	8	85

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Toledo vs Miami (OH)

Season series · Toledo leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Toledo at Miami (OH) · Toledo won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Toledo at Miami (OH) · Toledo won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TOLEDO · MIA OH 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 TOLEDOMIA OH 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 TOLEDOMIA OH 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 3

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Toledo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%12/20	29%4/14
2	73%11/15	31%5/16
3	83%10/12	44%8/18
4	50%8/16	47%8/17
5	80%8/10	43%6/14
6	62%8/13	43%6/14
All	66%57/86	40%37/93

Miami (OH)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%12/16	47%9/19
2	59%10/17	29%5/17
3	53%9/17	9%1/11
4	60%9/15	36%5/14
5	62%8/13	38%5/13
6	53%8/15	33%4/12
All	60%56/93	34%29/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#	TOLEDO-MIA OH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.6
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Grace Freiberger	+2.6
3	1-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
4	2-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.6
5	3-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo	aced Grace Kreutz	+2.6
6	3-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.8
7	4-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
8	5-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.6
9	5-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.8
10	6-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
11	6-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.8
12	6-6	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+2.8
13	7-6	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.0
14	7-7	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+2.0
15	8-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.0
16	8-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.1
17	9-8	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.1
18	10-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Grace Freiberger	+3.0
19	10-9	TOLEDO	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+2.0
20	10-10	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Lydia Michelin, Grace Kreutz	+3.1
21	10-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin	+3.3
22	10-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.4
23	11-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
24	11-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.4
25	12-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
26	13-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+3.5
27	14-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Jessica Costlow	+3.7
28	14-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+2.5
29	15-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+2.6
30	16-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+3.7
31	17-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk	+3.3
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.7
33	18-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH×3	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.4
34	18-16	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Grace Freiberger	+2.8
35	18-17	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+3.7
36	19-17	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.0
37	19-18	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+2.7
38	20-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.2
39	21-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+3.9
40	21-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+1.9
41	21-20	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+4.2
42	22-20	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.9
43	22-21	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Bad set	Madelyn Bach		+3.0
44	23-21	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+4.3
45	23-22	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.1
46	24-22	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+5.0
47	25-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Bad set	Holland Van Deusen		+3.8
Set 2
1	0-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Lydia Michelin	+1.6
2	1-1	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
3	1-2	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.7
4	2-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Molly Creech		+1.6
5	2-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.7
6	2-4	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	Miami (OH)		+2.5
7	3-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+1.6
8	3-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+1.8
9	3-6	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Avery Adamski	+2.5
10	3-7	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.4
11	3-8	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Avery Adamski	+2.1
12	4-8	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.2
13	5-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Raegan Lantz		+2.1
14	5-9	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Raegan Lantz, Chelsea Williams	+1.7
15	6-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+1.5
16	6-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH×3	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+1.7
17	6-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.2
18	6-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+1.8
19	7-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.0
20	7-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.3
21	8-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.9
22	8-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.3
23	9-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+0.9
24	9-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.2
25	10-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+0.9
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk	+1.7
27	11-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+1.6
28	12-16	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.1
29	12-17	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+1.6
30	13-17	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+1.1
31	14-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+2.2
32	14-18	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.0
33	15-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
34	15-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.1
35	16-19	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.4
36	16-20	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Holland Van Deusen	set Rachel Morgan	+2.1
37	16-21	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.0
38	17-21	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.8
39	18-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.8
40	18-22	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.0
41	18-23	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+1.6
42	19-23	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+0.4
43	19-24	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.9
44	19-25	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
2	1-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+2.3
3	1-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+3.5
4	1-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Ace	Miami (OH)		+3.6
5	1-4	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Molly Creech, Lydia Michelin	+3.5
6	2-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+2.2
7	2-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.5
8	3-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
9	4-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.6
10	5-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.7
11	5-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.7
12	6-6	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.6
13	7-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.9
14	7-7	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+2.7
15	8-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+2.7
16	9-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo	aced Grace Kreutz	+3.9
17	9-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.6
18	9-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+4.1
19	10-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.9
20	11-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo	aced Rachel Morgan	+4.1
21	11-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+2.7
22	11-11	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+4.4
23	12-11	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+3.1
24	12-12	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+3.2
25	13-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.3
26	14-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Lilly Merk	+4.6
27	14-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.0
28	15-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.3
29	15-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.1
30	16-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+3.4
31	17-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+4.5
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Lilly Merk, Jessica Costlow	+3.6
33	18-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.9
34	19-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.5
35	19-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+1.9
36	20-16	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.6
37	21-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+2.5
38	21-17	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+1.0
39	22-17	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
40	23-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+1.1
41	23-18	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
42	24-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.5
43	24-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
44	25-19	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2
Set 4
1	1-0	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Molly Creech		+3.1
2	1-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+2.2
3	1-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+3.3
4	2-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
5	2-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.3
6	3-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.3
7	4-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.3
8	5-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke	+3.3
9	5-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Janelle Green		+2.2
10	6-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+2.3
11	7-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Lauren Coyne	blk Lilly Merk, Jessica Costlow	+3.1
12	7-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Grace Kreutz, Lydia Michelin	+2.0
13	8-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.2
14	9-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Lydia Michelin	blk Kayla Ozanich	+2.9
15	9-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.8
16	10-6	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.0
17	11-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Madelyn Bach	aced Rachel Morgan	+2.5
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
19	13-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Madelyn Bach	aced Rachel Morgan	+1.5
20	13-7	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Molly Creech	+0.8
21	13-8	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+1.5
22	14-8	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.4
23	14-9	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+1.0
24	14-10	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Madison Brown	+2.0
25	15-10	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.8
26	16-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Grace Freiberger	aced Rachel Morgan	+1.9
27	17-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Grace Freiberger	aced Rachel Morgan	+1.3
28	17-11	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+0.6
29	18-11	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.8
30	18-12	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Janelle Green		+0.5
31	19-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.8
32	20-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Avery Adamski	aced Molly Creech	+0.6
33	20-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+0.2
34	20-14	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
35	21-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+0.6
36	22-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.4
37	22-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH×3	Serve err	Lilly Merk		+0.1
38	22-16	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Ace	Rachel Morgan	aced Grace Freiberger	+0.3
39	22-17	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+0.5
40	23-17	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.7
41	23-18	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
42	24-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.5
43	24-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+0.1
44	25-19	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Toledo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Toledo def. Miami (OH) 3–1

Toledo won every phase.