Toledo vs Miami (OH) Volleyball: Toledo Wins 3-1 (Oct 31)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 59.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Toledo won at Miami (OH) 3-1 (24-26, 25-18, 25-23, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Toledo's Sophie Catalano led with 15 kills, and Grace Freiberger added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 12:15 AM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
TOLEDO	24	25	25	25	3
MIA OH	26	18	23	20	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 3–7 in the third, Toledo took the set and then the match.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Toledo's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Toledo at 59%.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Toledo 23–23 Miami (OH)
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Miami (OH), enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Miami (OH).
Toledo 57% → 39%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Toledo 23–18 Miami (OH)
5 straight Miami (OH) points erased an 18–23 deficit: 23–23.
Toledo 79% → 58%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Toledo 14–14 Miami (OH)
4 straight Toledo points broke a 14–14 tie and made it 18–14.
Toledo 79% → 95%

Miami (OH) above 50Toledo belowMax swing 12.6%

ToledoMiami (OH)

Sideout %: Toledo 68.2·Miami (OH) 60.2
Break %: Toledo 39.8·Miami (OH) 31.8
Hitting: Toledo .222·Miami (OH) .162
Longest run: Toledo 4·Miami (OH) 5

Sophie Catalano
2 kills inside the turning points, 15 K and .333 for the match (18 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (OH) above 50 · Toledo below

Biggest swing: 12.6% to Toledo — set 3, TOLEDO 25-23 MIA OH. Kill by Lilly Merk. MIA OH win probability 33% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TOLEDO 61.6%38.4% MIA OH

Toledo wins

3-0

18.1%

3-1

23.6%

3-2

20.0%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0

8.2%

3-1

13.9%

3-2

16.2%

TOLEDO break %: 41.7% vs this opp
MIA OH break %: 39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lilly MerkKill+12.6%
Kill by Lilly Merk
Set 3 · TOLEDO 25-23 MIA OH · TOLEDO 67% → 80%
02
Jessica CostlowAttack error+10.6%
Attack error by Jessica Costlow
Set 1 · TOLEDO 24-26 MIA OH · MIA OH 50% → 61%
03
Lauren CoyneKill+10.0%
Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Grace Kreutz)
Set 3 · TOLEDO 23-23 MIA OH · MIA OH 32% → 42%
04
Ava SiefkeKill+9.0%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Grace Freiberger)
Set 3 · TOLEDO 24-23 MIA OH · TOLEDO 58% → 67%
05
Raegan LantzKill+7.0%
Kill by Raegan Lantz (set by Holland Van Deusen)
Set 1 · TOLEDO 23-24 MIA OH · MIA OH 43% → 50%
06
Miami (OH)Service error+7.0%
Miami (OH) service error
Set 1 · TOLEDO 24-24 MIA OH · TOLEDO 50% → 57%
07
ToledoService error+7.0%
Toledo service error
Set 1 · TOLEDO 24-25 MIA OH · MIA OH 43% → 50%
08
Ava Siefke&Lilly MerkBlock+6.6%
Lauren Coyne stuffed by Ava Siefke & Lilly Merk
Set 1 · TOLEDO 22-22 MIA OH · TOLEDO 51% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Toledoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Lilly MerkMB	4	10	3	17	.412	1	1	1	6	0	6	3	14
14Ava SiefkeOH	4	11	6	27	.185	1	1	0	3	1	2	1	13
6Jessica CostlowOH	4	9	4	37	.135	4	1	1	13	1	2	1	11
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	9	5	29	.138	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	10
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	5	2	15	.200	0	0	0	1	0	6	3	8
15Madelyn BachS	4	1	1	3	.000	22	1	0	9	0	0	0	2
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	4	15	6	27	.333	0	0	0	4	0	6	3	18
3Janelle GreenS	4	2	0	3	.667	24	0	0	5	0	0	0	2
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	17	1	0	0	1
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	20	1	0	0	1
Team totals		62	27	158	.222	57	6	3	81	4	24	12	99

Miami (OH)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Raegan LantzOH	4	10	3	23	.304	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	3.5	13.5
6Molly CreechOH	4	11	9	45	.044	0	1	2	13	2	0	2	1	13
17Lauren CoyneOPP	4	10	3	32	.219	1	0	0	4	0	0	6	3	13
13Grace KreutzOH	4	8	2	23	.261	4	1	1	14	1	1	3	2.5	11.5
15Lydia MichelinMB	4	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	4	8
18Holland Van DeusenS	4	2	0	5	.400	23	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
7Chelsea WilliamsOH	4	4	6	22	-.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
10Madison BrownS	4	0	0	0	–	15	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
9Rachel MorganL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	15	3	0	0	0	0
14Kamryn UtleyS	3	2	0	2	1.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
19Kendall BosseMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	24	167	.162	49	4	7	60	6	2	26	15	87

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Toledo vs Miami (OH)

Season series · Toledo leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Toledo at Miami (OH) · Toledo won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Toledo at Miami (OH) · Toledo won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TOLEDO · MIA OH 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 TOLEDOMIA OH 3

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Toledo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%12/22	23%3/13
2	63%12/19	33%6/18
3	77%10/13	41%7/17
4	83%10/12	9%1/11
5	62%8/13	59%13/22
6	89%8/9	53%9/17
All	68%60/88	40%39/98

Miami (OH)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%12/15	38%6/16
2	61%11/18	37%7/19
3	63%10/16	35%6/17
4	56%9/16	23%3/13
5	39%9/23	18%2/11
6	80%8/10	33%4/12
All	60%59/98	32%28/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#	TOLEDO-MIA OH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.8
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.6
3	1-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
4	1-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.8
5	2-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
6	3-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.6
7	3-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.9
8	4-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.8
9	4-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.9
10	5-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk	+1.9
11	6-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano	+2.8
12	7-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sophie Catalano, Kayla Ozanich	+2.7
13	8-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Kayla Ozanich, Jessica Costlow	+2.5
14	8-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+1.6
15	8-7	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Grace Kreutz	+2.7
16	9-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green	set Jessica Costlow	+1.9
17	9-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Rachel Morgan	+1.9
18	9-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Bad set	Madelyn Bach		+3.0
19	10-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
20	10-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH×3	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Madison Brown	+2.2
21	10-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.3
22	10-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lauren Coyne		+3.4
23	11-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
24	12-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Jessica Costlow	+3.4
25	12-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Holland Van Deusen	set Lauren Coyne	+2.5
26	13-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
27	13-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.6
28	14-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+2.5
29	14-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.7
30	15-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+2.6
31	15-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH×3	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+2.9
32	15-17	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+4.2
33	15-18	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Avery Adamski	+3.9
34	16-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.1
35	17-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+3.9
36	17-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+3.2
37	18-19	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
38	18-20	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+3.5
39	19-20	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Molly Creech	+2.9
40	20-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+5.3
41	20-21	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+4.2
42	20-22	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+6.0
43	21-22	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+3.1
44	22-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Lauren Coyne	blk Ava Siefke, Lilly Merk	+6.6
45	22-23	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+5.6
46	23-23	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+5.2
47	23-24	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+7.0
48	24-24	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+7.0
49	24-25	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Toledo		+7.0
50	24-26	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+10.6
Set 2
1	1-0	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+1.9
2	1-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+1.9
3	1-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.9
4	2-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.9
5	2-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.0
6	3-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+2.0
7	4-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Grace Freiberger	aced Rachel Morgan	+2.9
8	4-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.0
9	4-5	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Ava Siefke	+3.1
10	5-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
11	6-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+3.1
12	7-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Ava Siefke, Lilly Merk	+3.0
13	8-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Raegan Lantz		+2.8
14	8-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+1.8
15	9-6	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Janelle Green		+2.0
16	10-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.5
17	11-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Lilly Merk	+2.2
18	12-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Lilly Merk, Jessica Costlow	+1.7
19	12-7	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+0.9
20	13-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.2
21	14-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.3
22	14-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Kamryn Utley	set Grace Kreutz	+0.6
23	14-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+1.3
24	15-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Jessica Costlow	+1.1
25	15-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.8
26	16-10	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+1.1
27	16-11	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.8
28	16-12	MIA OH	MIA OH	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Lauren Coyne, Raegan Lantz	+1.6
29	17-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+1.5
30	17-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.1
31	18-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
32	18-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Kamryn Utley	+1.0
33	19-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.5
34	20-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.4
35	20-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Grace Kreutz	+0.5
36	21-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+0.8
37	21-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Kamryn Utley	set Rachel Morgan	+0.4
38	21-17	MIA OH	MIA OH	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Lydia Michelin, Grace Kreutz	+1.1
39	22-17	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.2
40	22-18	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+0.6
41	23-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Miami (OH)		+1.1
42	24-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.6
43	25-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Lauren Coyne		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.4
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.5
3	1-2	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+2.3
4	1-3	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.5
5	2-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
6	2-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+2.5
7	2-5	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+3.6
8	3-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
9	3-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Lilly Merk	blk Raegan Lantz	+2.5
10	3-7	MIA OH	MIA OH	Blocked	Lilly Merk	blk Chelsea Williams	+3.5
11	4-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Ava Siefke	+2.1
12	5-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+3.4
13	6-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Lilly Merk, Sophie Catalano	+3.7
14	7-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Molly Creech		+3.9
15	7-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Raegan Lantz, Molly Creech	+2.8
16	8-8	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Molly Creech		+2.7
17	8-9	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Kamryn Utley	+2.9
18	9-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+2.8
19	9-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Grace Kreutz, Lydia Michelin	+3.0
20	10-10	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.9
21	11-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Grace Kreutz		+4.4
22	12-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+4.2
23	12-11	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.8
24	13-11	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+3.0
25	14-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke		+4.0
26	15-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Molly Creech		+3.4
27	15-12	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+1.9
28	15-13	MIA OH	MIA OH	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Molly Creech, Raegan Lantz	+3.6
29	16-13	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Madelyn Bach	set Jessica Costlow	+2.9
30	16-14	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.5
31	17-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.0
32	17-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+2.5
33	18-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.1
34	18-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+2.6
35	19-16	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.3
36	20-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+3.7
37	21-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Madelyn Bach	aced Molly Creech	+2.4
38	21-17	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Madison Brown	+0.9
39	21-18	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+2.3
40	22-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Molly Creech		+2.4
41	23-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.9
42	23-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH×5	Blocked	Madelyn Bach	blk Lydia Michelin, Grace Kreutz	+0.5
43	23-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Grace Freiberger	+1.5
44	23-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+3.0
45	23-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Grace Freiberger	+5.8
46	23-23	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Grace Kreutz	+10.0
47	24-23	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+9.0
48	25-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk		+12.6
Set 4
1	0-1	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Jessica Costlow	+3.2
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin	+3.2
3	0-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Bad set	Sierra Pertzborn		+3.2
4	1-3	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
5	1-4	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Serve err	Jessica Costlow		+2.3
6	2-4	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
7	2-5	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.3
8	3-5	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
9	3-6	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Holland Van Deusen	set Grace Kreutz	+2.3
10	4-6	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.1
11	5-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Avery Adamski	aced Rachel Morgan	+3.4
12	5-7	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+2.5
13	6-7	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.3
14	7-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano	+3.6
15	7-8	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Raegan Lantz, Chelsea Williams	+2.6
16	8-8	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.5
17	8-9	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+2.7
18	9-9	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Chelsea Williams	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Kayla Ozanich	+2.6
19	10-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Jessica Costlow	aced Molly Creech	+3.9
20	10-10	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+2.7
21	11-10	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
22	11-11	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.8
23	12-11	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Raegan Lantz		+2.9
24	12-12	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+2.9
25	13-12	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.0
26	14-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Raegan Lantz		+4.2
27	14-13	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+2.7
28	14-14	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+4.5
29	15-14	MIA OH	TOLEDO×4	Serve err	Molly Creech		+3.2
30	16-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+4.6
31	17-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+4.1
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Lilly Merk	aced Rachel Morgan	+3.3
33	18-15	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+1.7
34	19-15	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.3
35	19-16	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+1.7
36	20-16	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Lauren Coyne		+2.3
37	20-17	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.6
38	20-18	MIA OH	MIA OH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin	+3.5
39	21-18	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.3
40	21-19	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin	+2.4
41	22-19	MIA OH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.4
42	22-20	TOLEDO	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Rachel Morgan	+2.2
43	23-20	MIA OH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+3.5
44	24-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Lilly Merk, Sophie Catalano	+2.7
45	25-20	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Ava Siefke	aced Grace Kreutz	+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Toledo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Toledo def. Miami (OH) 3–1

Down 3–7 in the third, Toledo took the set and then the match.