FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Fairfield def. Manhattan 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Fairfield 98.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fairfield beat visiting Manhattan 3-0 (25-10, 25-17, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Fairfield's Emma Bortolotti led with 14 kills, and Natalie Carlin added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
MANHAT1017200
FAIR2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Emma Bortolotti hit .542 with 14 kills as Fairfield rolled past Manhattan.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.2 points. Manhattan peaked at 1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Fairfield went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

ManhattanFairfield
  • Break %+29.2 pts
    20.850.0

    37 of 74 on serve vs 10 of 48, so Manhattan's sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.291
    .113.404

    53 K / 13 E against 25 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+5
    38

    8 straight Fairfield points in the first set stretched a 16–9 lead to 24–9. That set ended 25–10.

Fairfield above 50Manhattan belowMax swing 0.2%

ManhattanFairfield

Aces
Manhattan 2·Fairfield 5
Serve err
Manhattan 3·Fairfield 6
Blocks
Manhattan 8·Fairfield 52 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Manhattan 25·Fairfield 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fairfield above 50 · Manhattan below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 122 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Fairfield stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MANHAT 1.3%98.7% FAIR

Manhattan wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%

Fairfield wins

3-0
71.3%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
4.6%
MANHAT break %
33.2% vs this opp
FAIR break %
50.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37114.429001200218
36219.211000100217
32316-.06300010233.55.5
34216.125000200004
3001.0001011300001
3036-.50010044010.50.5
33212.08300020031.54.5
3001.000910500001
3000–300200000
3000–000200000
23111.18200010010.53.5
2000–101010000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals251497.1132423255212847
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313123.52210122010.513.5
310014.71400000010.510.5
3419.333011301227
3417.429000000215
3348-.12511080010.54.5
3000–2001600000
314124.54200020010.514.5
31011.0008111800002
3001.0001922400002
2000–000100000
1315.400000100003
1114.000000000001
1033-1.000000000000
Team totals531399.404495645218575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MANHAT · FAIR 8

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 1 MANHATFAIR 8

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 MANHATFAIR 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 MANHATFAIR 3

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
29%2/7
2
50%7/14
0%0/7
3
50%7/14
22%2/9
4
41%7/17
30%3/10
5
63%5/8
30%3/10
6
57%4/7
0%0/5
All
50%37/74
21%10/48

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
40%4/10
2
88%7/8
42%5/12
3
78%7/9
50%7/14
4
70%7/10
67%14/21
5
75%6/8
40%4/10
6
100%4/4
43%3/7
All
79%38/48
50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#MANHAT-FAIRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
21-1FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
31-2MANHATFAIRKillNatalie Carlin
42-2FAIRMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Ori Briger
52-3MANHATFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
62-4FAIRFAIRAttack errKatie Powers
73-4FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
83-5MANHATFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
94-5FAIRMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emma Francesconi
104-6MANHATFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri
114-7FAIRFAIR×3Attack errEmma Francesconi
124-8FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHanna Kaczynska
135-8FAIRMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar
145-9MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
155-10FAIRFAIRAttack errAbby Morreale
166-10FAIRMANHATServe errSophia Nagy
176-11MANHATFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
186-12FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wyche
196-13FAIRFAIR×3BlockedEmma Francesconiblk Harlan Wyche, Katelyn Cook
207-13FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
217-14MANHATFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
228-14FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
238-15MANHATFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
248-16FAIRFAIRAceNatalie Carlinaced Emma Francesconi
259-16FAIRMANHATBad setZofia Sykut
269-17MANHATFAIR×8KillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
279-18FAIRFAIR×8Attack errHanna Kaczynska
289-19FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
299-20FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolottiset Natalie Carlin
309-21FAIRFAIR×8KillCourtney Vines
319-22FAIRFAIR×8KillEmma Bortolottiset Natalie Carlin
329-23FAIRFAIR×8AceNoella Migliuriaced Emma Francesconi
339-24FAIRFAIR×8AceNoella Migliuriaced Emma Francesconi
3410-24FAIRMANHATBlockedCourtney Vinesblk Helenn Montilla
3510-25MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
Set 2
11-0MANHATMANHATBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers
21-1MANHATFAIRServe errOri Briger
32-1FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
42-2MANHATFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut
52-3FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
63-3FAIRMANHATServe errNatalie Carlin
73-4MANHATFAIR×6KillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
83-5FAIRFAIR×6Attack errMikalah Curran
93-6FAIRFAIR×6BlockedMikalah Curranblk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti
103-7FAIRFAIR×6KillEmma Bortolottiset Natalie Carlin
113-8FAIRFAIR×6BlockedHelenn Montillablk Sophia Nagy
123-9FAIRFAIR×6KillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri
134-9FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
144-10MANHATFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Katelyn Cook
154-11FAIRFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri
165-11FAIRMANHAT×3KillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar
176-11MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedSophia Nagyblk Helenn Montilla
187-11MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedKatelyn Cookblk Emma Francesconi, Hanna Kaczynska
197-12MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
208-12FAIRMANHATAttack errKatelyn Cook
218-13MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
229-13FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar
2310-13MANHATMANHATAceOri Brigeraced Julie Dufourt
2410-14MANHATFAIR×4KillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut
2510-15FAIRFAIR×4BlockedEmma Francesconiblk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally
2610-16FAIRFAIR×4AceKatelyn Cookaced Kaitlyn Doyle
2710-17FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
2811-17FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
2911-18MANHATFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
3011-19FAIRFAIR×5KillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
3111-20FAIRFAIR×5KillJulie Dufourtset Natalie Carlin
3211-21FAIRFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin
3311-22FAIRFAIR×5BlockedKatie Powersblk Sophia Nagy, Julie Dufourt
3412-22FAIRMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Anna Duncan
3513-22MANHATMANHATAttack errLindsey Healey
3613-23MANHATFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut
3714-23FAIRMANHAT×3Serve errNoella Migliuri
3815-23MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errLindsey Healey
3916-23MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errLindsey Healey
4016-24MANHATFAIRAttack errHelenn Montilla
4117-24FAIRMANHATBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Hanna Kaczynska, Helenn Montilla
4217-25MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
Set 3
11-0FAIRMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Kaitlyn Doyle
21-1MANHATFAIRServe errAbby Morreale
32-1FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
42-2MANHATFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
53-2FAIRMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
63-3MANHATFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
74-3FAIRMANHATKillKarsyn Harrisset Emilia Kuzniar
85-3MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Anna Duncan
95-4MANHATFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri
105-5FAIRFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri
116-5FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar
126-6MANHATFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri
136-7FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri
146-8FAIRFAIR×3AceSophia Nagyaced Emma Francesconi
157-8FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
167-9MANHATFAIRServe errKaitlyn Doyle
178-9FAIRMANHATServe errZofia Sykut
188-10MANHATFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Natalie Carlin
198-11FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHelenn Montilla
208-12FAIRFAIR×3KillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut
219-12FAIRMANHATAttack errHarlan Wyche
229-13MANHATFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
2310-13FAIRMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar
2411-13MANHATMANHATBlockedJulie Dufourtblk Helenn Montilla, Hanna Kaczynska
2511-14MANHATFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
2611-15FAIRFAIR×3Attack errKarsyn Harris
2711-16FAIRFAIR×3KillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri
2812-16FAIRMANHATBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Karsyn Harris, Helenn Montilla
2912-17MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
3013-17FAIRMANHATServe errJulie Dufourt
3113-18MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
3214-18FAIRMANHATKillKatie Powersset Anna Duncan
3314-19MANHATFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
3414-20FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut
3515-20FAIRMANHATBlockedAislin Oldachblk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers
3615-21MANHATFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Julie Dufourt
3716-21FAIRMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Ori Briger
3817-21MANHATMANHATAceEmilia Kuzniaraced Julie Dufourt
3917-22MANHATFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
4018-22FAIRMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar
4118-23MANHATFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut
4219-23FAIRMANHATServe errNoella Migliuri
4319-24MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
4420-24FAIRMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar
4520-25MANHATFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).