FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on Pac-12 YouTube, YouTube

San Diego St. def. Texas St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: San Diego St. 89.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Diego St. beat visiting Texas St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-19, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. San Diego St.'s Layla Austin led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
TX ST2119190
SDSU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Layla Austin hit .462 with 15 kills as San Diego St. rolled past Texas St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.2 points. Texas St. peaked at 14% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. San Diego St. went in as RallyIQ's 89% pick.

Texas St.San Diego St.
  • Break %+14.2 pts
    31.745.9

    On serve: 34/74 against 19/60 (Texas St. sideout 54.1%).

  • Hitting+.158
    .277.435

    48 kills, 11 errors vs 39 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight San Diego St. points in the first set turned a 6–7 deficit into an 11–7 lead. That set ended 25–21.

San Diego St. above 50Texas St. belowMax swing 2.2%

Texas St.San Diego St.

Aces
Texas St. 3·San Diego St. 5
Serve err
Texas St. 5·San Diego St. 6
Blocks
Texas St. 3·San Diego St. 51 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Texas St. 22·San Diego St. 21

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Diego St. above 50 · Texas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% TX STrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Texas St. — set 1, TX ST 17-17 SDSU. Kill by Brooke Bentke (set by Kendall Mairs). SDSU win probability 90% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX ST 8.5%91.5% SDSU

Texas St. wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.9%

San Diego St. wins

3-0
47.1%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.0%
TX ST break %
35.7% vs this opp
SDSU break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Brooke BentkeKill+2.2%

    Kill by Brooke Bentke (set by Kendall Mairs)

    Set 1 · TX ST 17-17 SDSU · TX ST 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Brooke BentkeKill+2.0%

    Kill by Brooke Bentke (set by Dylan Gilkey)

    Set 1 · TX ST 20-21 SDSU · TX ST 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Layla AustinKill+2.0%

    Kill by Layla Austin (set by Kendall Mairs)

    Set 1 · TX ST 17-19 SDSU · SDSU 89% → 91%

  4. 04
    Layla AustinKill+1.8%

    Kill by Layla Austin (set by Kendall Mairs)

    Set 1 · TX ST 20-22 SDSU · SDSU 90% → 92%

  5. 05
    Layla AustinKill+1.8%

    Kill by Layla Austin (set by Zara Stewart)

    Set 1 · TX ST 20-23 SDSU · SDSU 92% → 94%

  6. 06
    Texas St.Ace+1.6%

    Texas St. ace on Ella Schabort

    Set 1 · TX ST 16-17 SDSU · TX ST 9% → 10%

  7. 07
    San Diego St.Ace+1.6%

    San Diego St. ace on Camryn Kimes

    Set 1 · TX ST 18-21 SDSU · SDSU 91% → 93%

  8. 08
    Haylee BrownKill+1.6%

    Kill by Haylee Brown (set by Ella Schabort)

    Set 1 · TX ST 17-18 SDSU · SDSU 88% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311421.3331014100011
37419.158010210008
37112.50000210010.57.5
35313.15400000111.56.5
3315.400320040010.53.5
2000–121320002
36211.36400000010.56.5
3000–200500000
2011-1.000000310000
2000–001000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals391683.277363522514359
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315326.4620005002116
311521.2861013202112
3619.55600220031.57.5
3509.556000000216
3214.250361250010.53.5
3000–010310001
39116.500000000009
3000–731300003
3000–000000000
Team totals481185.4354456213010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas St. vs San Diego St.

Season series · San Diego St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TX ST · SDSU 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 TX STSDSU 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 TX STSDSU 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 TX STSDSU 4

Bars above the line = San Diego St. leads, below = Texas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
30%3/10
2
78%7/9
31%4/13
3
67%6/9
13%1/8
4
60%6/10
33%3/9
5
40%6/15
50%6/12
6
50%6/12
25%2/8
All
54%40/74
32%19/60

San Diego St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
47%7/15
2
78%7/9
46%6/13
3
78%7/9
22%2/9
4
55%6/11
33%3/9
5
60%6/10
60%9/15
6
75%6/8
54%7/13
All
68%41/60
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#TX ST-SDSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SDSUSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+1.1
21-1SDSUTX ST×3Serve errKendall Mairs+0.8
32-1TX STTX ST×3Attack errLayla Austin+1.3
43-1TX STTX ST×3AceTexas St.aced Ella Schabort+1.5
53-2TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.9
64-2SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+1.1
74-3TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+1.0
85-3SDSUTX STAttack errHaylee Brown+1.1
95-4TX STSDSUServe errTexas St.+1.0
106-4SDSUTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+1.2
116-5TX STSDSUServe errTexas St.+1.0
126-6SDSUSDSUAttack errPeyton McKee+1.4
137-6SDSUTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+1.1
147-7TX STSDSU×5KillLayla Austinset Zara Stewart+1.0
157-8SDSUSDSU×5AceZara Stewartaced Camryn Kimes+1.4
167-9SDSUSDSU×5Attack errDylan Gilkey+1.2
177-10SDSUSDSU×5Bad setDylan Gilkey+1.0
187-11SDSUSDSU×5KillLayla Austinset Zara Stewart+0.8
198-11SDSUTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+0.5
209-11TX STTX STAttack errElla Schabort+1.0
219-12TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.7
229-13SDSUSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.9
2310-13SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
2410-14TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.6
2511-14SDSUTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
2612-14TX STTX STBlockedElla Schabortblk Caelyn Robel, Ashley Euston+1.1
2712-15TX STSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.8
2812-16SDSUSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.9
2913-16SDSUTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
3013-17TX STSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.7
3114-17SDSUTX ST×4KillCaelyn Robelset Brooke Bentke+0.6
3215-17TX STTX ST×4Attack errLayla Austin+1.2
3316-17TX STTX ST×4AceTexas St.aced Ella Schabort+1.6
3417-17TX STTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Kendall Mairs+2.2
3517-18TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Ella Schabort+1.6
3617-19SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+2.0
3718-19SDSUTX STKillDylan Gilkey+1.3
3818-20TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Zara Stewart+1.5
3918-21SDSUSDSUAceSan Diego St.aced Camryn Kimes+1.6
4019-21SDSUTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+0.9
4120-21TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+2.0
4220-22TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+1.8
4320-23SDSUSDSUKillLayla Austinset Zara Stewart+1.8
4421-23SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Jasmine Purakal+0.7
4521-24TX STSDSUBlockedIndia Bennettblk Layla Austin, Taelyn Bentley+1.2
4621-25SDSUSDSUKillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.6
Set 2
10-1TX STSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.5
20-2SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.7
30-3SDSUSDSU×3KillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.6
41-3SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.4
51-4TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.4
62-4SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.4
72-5TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.4
83-5SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.4
93-6TX STSDSU×3KillKendall Mairs+0.4
103-7SDSUSDSU×3Attack errCaelyn Robel+0.5
113-8SDSUSDSU×3AceSan Diego St.aced Brooke Bentke+0.4
124-8SDSUTX ST×3KillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.3
135-8TX STTX ST×3KillDylan Gilkeyset Camryn Kimes+0.5
146-8TX STTX ST×3AceTexas St.aced Nazare Judd+0.6
156-9TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.5
166-10SDSUSDSUKillKendall Mairs+0.6
177-10SDSUTX STServe errSan Diego St.+0.4
187-11TX STSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.4
197-12SDSUSDSUKillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.4
208-12SDSUTX STServe errSan Diego St.+0.3
219-12TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.5
229-13TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.4
2310-13SDSUTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+0.4
2411-13TX STTX STBlockedTaelyn Bentleyblk India Bennett+0.7
2511-14TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.6
2612-14SDSUTX STServe errSan Diego St.+0.6
2712-15TX STSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.6
2813-15SDSUTX STServe errSan Diego St.+0.6
2914-15TX STTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+1.0
3014-16TX STSDSUServe errKaris Carpenter+0.8
3115-16SDSUTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+0.8
3215-17TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.8
3315-18SDSUSDSUAceSan Diego St.aced Ameena Campbell+1.0
3416-18SDSUTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
3516-19TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.7
3617-19SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
3717-20TX STSDSU×3BlockedBrooke Bentkeblk Taelyn Bentley, Ella Schabort+0.7
3817-21SDSUSDSU×3Attack errBrooke Bentke+0.7
3917-22SDSUSDSU×3BlockedBrooke Bentkeblk Ella Schabort, Taelyn Bentley+0.4
4018-22SDSUTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+0.1
4118-23TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.2
4219-23SDSUTX STServe errSan Diego St.+0.1
4319-24TX STSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.2
4419-25SDSUSDSUAttack errAmeena Campbell+0.1
Set 3
10-1SDSUSDSUAceSan Diego St.aced Peyton McKee+0.3
21-1SDSUTX STAttack errElla Schabort+0.3
32-1TX STTX STAttack errElla Schabort+0.4
42-2TX STSDSUKillElla Schabortset Kendall Mairs+0.3
52-3SDSUSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.4
63-3SDSUTX STKillCaelyn Robelset Dylan Gilkey+0.3
73-4TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.3
83-5SDSUSDSUAttack errCaelyn Robel+0.3
94-5SDSUTX STKillDylan Gilkeyset Jasmine Purakal+0.2
104-6TX STSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.2
114-7SDSUSDSU×3Attack errAshley Euston+0.3
124-8SDSUSDSU×3Attack errBrooke Bentke+0.2
135-8SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.2
146-8TX STTX STKillAshley Eustonset Kendall Mairs+0.3
156-9TX STSDSU×3Serve errAshley Euston+0.2
166-10SDSUSDSU×3Attack errIndia Bennett+0.3
176-11SDSUSDSU×3Attack errPeyton McKee+0.2
187-11SDSUTX ST×3BlockedLayla Austinblk Dylan Gilkey, India Bennett+0.1
198-11TX STTX ST×3Attack errElla Schabort+0.2
209-11TX STTX ST×3Attack errKendall Mairs+0.3
219-12TX STSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.2
2210-12SDSUTX STKillIndia Bennettset Dylan Gilkey+0.2
2310-13TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.2
2411-13SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.2
2511-14TX STSDSUKillTaelyn Bentleyset Kendall Mairs+0.3
2612-14SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+0.3
2712-15TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.3
2813-15SDSUTX ST×3KillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.3
2914-15TX STTX ST×3KillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.5
3015-15TX STTX ST×3KillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.6
3115-16TX STSDSUKillHaylee Brownset Kendall Mairs+0.4
3216-16SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.5
3316-17TX STSDSU×4Serve errAshley Euston+0.5
3416-18SDSUSDSU×4BlockedIndia Bennettblk Layla Austin, Tessa Schouten+0.6
3516-19SDSUSDSU×4Attack errPeyton McKee+0.5
3616-20SDSUSDSU×4BlockedPeyton McKeeblk Tessa Schouten, Kendall Mairs+0.3
3717-20SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.2
3817-21TX STSDSUKillTessa Schoutenset Kendall Mairs+0.2
3918-21SDSUTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+0.2
4018-22TX STSDSU×3KillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs+0.2
4118-23SDSUSDSU×3KillElla Schabortset Zara Stewart+0.2
4218-24SDSUSDSU×3KillTaelyn Bentley+0.1
4319-24SDSUTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey·
4419-25TX STSDSUKillLayla Austinset Kendall Mairs·

Score shown after each rally, Texas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).