FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

ULM def. Northwestern St. 3–0

(25-20, 25-20, 25-19)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
NW ST	20	20	19	0
LA MON	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LA MON above 50 · NW ST below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to ULM — set 1, NW ST 15-16 LA MON. Bad set by Elsie Sanchez. LA MON win probability 83% → 86%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NW ST 14.8%85.2% LA MON

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.7%

3-2

7.9%

ULM wins

3-0

37.4%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.5%

NW ST break %: 39.1% vs this opp
LA MON break %: 47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Elsie SanchezBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Elsie Sanchez
Set 1 · NW ST 15-16 LA MON · LA MON 83% → 86%
02
Gillian WolfAttack error+2.3%
Gillian Wolf stuffed by Abby Cunningham
Set 1 · NW ST 14-14 LA MON · LA MON 81% → 83%
03
Kenzie BehlAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Kenzie Behl
Set 1 · NW ST 12-8 LA MON · NW ST 22% → 24%
04
Grace TroxellAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Grace Troxell
Set 1 · NW ST 11-8 LA MON · NW ST 19% → 22%
05
Abby CunninghamKill+2.2%
Kill by Abby Cunningham (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 1 · NW ST 13-12 LA MON · LA MON 79% → 81%
06
NW ST serverAce+2.1%
Northwestern St. ace on Briana Raney
Set 1 · NW ST 10-8 LA MON · NW ST 17% → 19%
07
Elsie SanchezAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Elsie Sanchez
Set 1 · NW ST 15-17 LA MON · LA MON 86% → 88%
08
LA MON serverAce+2.0%
ULM ace on Harper Cauley
Set 1 · NW ST 12-10 LA MON · LA MON 78% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northwestern St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
17Elsie SanchezOH	3	7	12	34	-.147	0	2	0	3	1	1	1	10
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	3	5	1	14	.286	0	0	1	2	0	3	3	8
11Jade LongladS	3	1	1	15	.000	23	1	0	8	0	0	0	2
6Amber CraigOH	3	2	1	12	.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
22Olivia NziokiMB	2	3	4	19	-.053	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4
5Gillian WolfOH	2	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	1
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	4	1	0	0	1
16Anna Claire HebertS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	2	4	0	0	0	0
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
1Julia WhitfieldMB	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Ana GjorgjievskaOH	1	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
Team totals		29	23	125	.048	27	5	5	40	5	5	5	59

ULMhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Aniya HallOH	3	13	6	42	.167	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	1	14
2Abby CunninghamOH	3	10	6	23	.174	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
14Tatum ClayMB	3	2	0	9	.222	0	2	1	2	0	3	1	3.5	7.5
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	2	2	1	6	0	0	0	0	3
3Marissa KobelskiMB	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Morgan HowardS	3	0	0	6	.000	14	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
10Grace TroxellOH	3	8	2	17	.353	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	8
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	3	4	15	-.067	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
9Bre PerrinS	3	0	0	7	.000	12	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
4Briana RaneyDS	3	0	0	7	.000	4	0	0	22	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	20	135	.133	35	5	5	50	5	5	2	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NW ST · LA MON 7

Set 1*

20-25

Longest run 5 NW STLA MON 7

Set 2*

20-25

Longest run 4 NW STLA MON 3

Set 3*

19-25

Longest run 4 NW STLA MON 6

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northwestern St.

No clean sets to split.

ULM

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	NW ST-LA MON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+1.2
2	2-0	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski		+1.7
3	2-1	NW ST	LA MON×3	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.1
4	2-2	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+1.5
5	2-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Gillian Wolf	blk Abby Cunningham, Tatum Clay	+1.4
6	3-3	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.1
7	3-4	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+1.1
8	4-4	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.2
9	5-4	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+1.7
10	5-5	NW ST	LA MON×3	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.2
11	5-6	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.5
12	5-7	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.4
13	6-7	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Grace Troxell	+1.1
14	7-7	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Aniya Hall	+1.6
15	7-8	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+1.2
16	8-8	LA MON	NW ST×5	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.3
17	9-8	NW ST	NW ST×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
18	10-8	NW ST	NW ST×5	Ace	NW ST server	aced Briana Raney	+2.1
19	11-8	NW ST	NW ST×5	Attack err	Grace Troxell		+2.3
20	12-8	NW ST	NW ST×5	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+2.3
21	12-9	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+1.4
22	12-10	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	LA MON server	aced Harper Cauley	+2.0
23	13-10	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.9
24	13-11	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Morgan Howard	+1.5
25	13-12	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+2.2
26	14-12	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Olivia Nzioki	+1.9
27	14-13	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Eden Pietrzak	+1.7
28	14-14	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Gillian Wolf	blk Abby Cunningham	+2.3
29	15-14	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+2.0
30	15-15	NW ST	LA MON×7	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Briana Raney	+1.8
31	15-16	LA MON	LA MON×7	Bad set	Elsie Sanchez		+2.3
32	15-17	LA MON	LA MON×7	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+2.1
33	15-18	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Briana Raney	+1.7
34	15-19	LA MON	LA MON×7	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.3
35	15-20	LA MON	LA MON×7	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.9
36	15-21	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Kenzie Behl	+0.5
37	16-21	LA MON	NW ST×3	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.2
38	17-21	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
39	18-21	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Aniya Hall	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+0.9
40	18-22	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+1.0
41	19-22	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.6
42	19-23	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.9
43	19-24	LA MON	LA MON	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
44	20-24	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
45	20-25	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	NW ST	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
2	1-1	NW ST	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
3	1-2	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Amber Craig		+1.0
4	1-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey	blk Tatum Clay	+0.9
5	2-3	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.7
6	2-4	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.7
7	2-5	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Bre Perrin	+0.8
8	3-5	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+0.6
9	3-6	NW ST	LA MON	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.6
10	4-6	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.6
11	4-7	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Kenzie Behl	+0.6
12	4-8	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.7
13	5-8	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Julia Whitfield	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
14	6-8	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Grace Troxell		+0.8
15	6-9	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.7
16	7-9	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.7
17	8-9	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+1.1
18	8-10	NW ST	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.8
19	8-11	LA MON	LA MON×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.0
20	8-12	LA MON	LA MON×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
21	9-12	LA MON	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
22	10-12	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+0.9
23	10-13	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
24	10-14	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
25	11-14	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.6
26	11-15	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
27	11-16	LA MON	LA MON	Bad set	Jade Longlad		+0.6
28	12-16	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Julia Whitfield	set Jade Longlad	+0.4
29	12-17	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+0.5
30	13-17	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+0.4
31	13-18	NW ST	LA MON×3	Attack err	Julia Whitfield	blk Tatum Clay	+0.5
32	13-19	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	LA MON server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+0.4
33	13-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Marissa Kobelski		+0.2
34	14-20	LA MON	NW ST×4	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
35	15-20	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.2
36	16-20	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.4
37	17-20	NW ST	NW ST×4	Ace	NW ST server	aced Grace Troxell	+0.7
38	17-21	NW ST	LA MON×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.7
39	17-22	LA MON	LA MON×3	Bad set	Kenadii Winfrey		+0.6
40	17-23	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
41	18-23	LA MON	NW ST	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
42	19-23	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.2
43	19-24	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
44	20-24	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
45	20-25	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	LA MON	NW ST×4	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.4
2	2-0	NW ST	NW ST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
3	3-0	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Ana Gjorgjievska		+0.6
4	4-0	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.6
5	4-1	NW ST	LA MON×4	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.4
6	4-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Jade Longlad	+0.6
7	4-3	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.6
8	4-4	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Aniya Hall		+0.5
9	5-4	LA MON	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
10	6-4	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Anna Claire Hebert	+0.7
11	6-5	NW ST	LA MON×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.4
12	6-6	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki	blk Aniya Hall	+0.6
13	6-7	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.5
14	7-7	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.4
15	8-7	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.7
16	8-8	NW ST	LA MON	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.5
17	9-8	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+0.5
18	9-9	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.5
19	10-9	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
20	10-10	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.5
21	11-10	LA MON	NW ST	Kill	Ana Gjorgjievska		+0.6
22	12-10	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Harper Cauley	+0.8
23	12-11	NW ST	LA MON	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.5
24	12-12	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.7
25	13-12	LA MON	NW ST	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.6
26	14-12	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.9
27	14-13	NW ST	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
28	14-14	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Jade Longlad		+0.8
29	14-15	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.8
30	14-16	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Briana Raney	+0.7
31	15-16	LA MON	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
32	16-16	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Elsie Sanchez	+0.8
33	16-17	NW ST	LA MON×6	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
34	16-18	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.8
35	16-19	LA MON	LA MON×6	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+0.6
36	16-20	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.5
37	16-21	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+0.3
38	16-22	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.2
39	17-22	LA MON	NW ST	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
40	18-22	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Anna Claire Hebert	+0.1
41	18-23	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Eden Pietrzak	set Aniya Hall	+0.2
42	18-24	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Briana Raney	+0.1
43	19-24	LA MON	NW ST	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
44	19-25	NW ST	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.