Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Northwestern St. def. ULM 3–1

Northwestern St. beat ULM 3-1 (21-25, 29-27, 25-21, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
NW ST212925263
LA MON252721241

Win probability

ULM above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+20.7% NW STrally 198 · set 4

Biggest swing: 20.7% to Northwestern St. — set 4, NW ST 26-24 LA MON. Attack error by Aniya Hall. LA MON win probability 21% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 19.9%80.1% LA MON

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
3.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
10.1%

ULM wins

3-0
31.6%
3-1
30.2%
3-2
18.2%
NW ST break %
40.6% vs this opp
LA MON break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aniya HallAttack error+20.7%

    Attack error by Aniya Hall

    Set 4 · NW ST 26-24 LA MON · NW ST 79% → 100%

  2. 02
    Bre PerrinBad set+17.8%

    Bad set by Bre Perrin

    Set 4 · NW ST 24-23 LA MON · NW ST 61% → 79%

  3. 03
    Grace TroxellKill+14.1%

    Kill by Grace Troxell (set by Bre Perrin)

    Set 4 · NW ST 24-24 LA MON · LA MON 21% → 35%

  4. 04
    Elsie SanchezKill+14.1%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · NW ST 25-24 LA MON · NW ST 65% → 79%

  5. 05
    Abby CunninghamAttack error+10.4%

    Attack error by Abby Cunningham

    Set 4 · NW ST 22-22 LA MON · NW ST 51% → 61%

  6. 06
    Olivia NziokiKill+9.6%

    Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 4 · NW ST 23-23 LA MON · NW ST 52% → 61%

  7. 07
    Grace TroxellKill+9.5%

    Kill by Grace Troxell (set by Morgan Howard)

    Set 4 · NW ST 22-23 LA MON · LA MON 39% → 48%

  8. 08

    Amber Craig stuffed by Grace Troxell & Marissa Kobelski

    Set 4 · NW ST 18-19 LA MON · LA MON 38% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414627.29600000153.517.5
414452.19200322031.515.5
47317.2351112004210
4107.1434103120010.51.5
1215.20000011010.52.5
1000–000000000
414234.35300030010.514.5
4000–1331100003
4000–0101010001
4012-.500000610000
4001.0005002400000
31621-.23811170031.53.5
Team totals5323166.1814961178811810101
ULMhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416745.20002317000018
46213.30823230031.510.5
47621.04800111031.58.5
46313.231000200428
4002.00026211100002
4001.000001800000
410637.10800041010.510.5
47429.103100500218
4002.0002311800001
4002.0001021910000
1216.16700020010.52.5
Team totals5429171.14653811806014797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northwestern St. vs ULM

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NW ST · LA MON 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 NW STLA MON 6

Set 2

29-27

Longest run 3 NW STLA MON 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 NW STLA MON 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 5 NW STLA MON 6

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
39%7/18
2
71%12/17
45%10/22
3
63%10/16
38%6/16
4
45%9/20
18%2/11
5
47%9/19
44%7/16
6
90%9/10
47%8/17
All
62%61/98
40%40/100

ULM

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
21%3/14
2
53%10/19
25%4/16
3
67%10/15
38%6/16
4
64%9/14
23%3/13
5
69%9/13
65%17/26
6
45%9/20
31%4/13
All
60%60/100
38%37/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#NW ST-LA MONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
20-2LA MONLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.5
31-2LA MONNW ST×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Olivia Nzioki+1.2
42-2NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.7
53-2NW STNW ST×3Attack errAbby Cunningham+1.9
63-3NW STLA MONAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.4
74-3LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.5
84-4NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.4
95-4LA MONNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.6
105-5NW STLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.5
115-6LA MONLA MON×3AceULM+1.8
125-7LA MONLA MON×3AceULM+1.7
136-7LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.4
147-7NW STNW STBlockedKenzie Behlblk Gillian Grace Wolf, Kenadii Winfrey+2.0
157-8NW STLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Bre Perrin+1.5
167-9LA MONLA MONAceULM+1.8
178-9LA MONNW ST×3Serve errULM+1.4
189-9NW STNW ST×3Attack errGrace Troxell+2.1
1910-9NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
2010-10NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+1.7
2111-10LA MONNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Emmarie McFarland+1.9
2212-10NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.+2.6
2312-11NW STLA MONAttack errGillian Grace Wolf+1.9
2413-11LA MONNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+2.2
2514-11NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+2.8
2614-12NW STLA MON×3KillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+1.8
2714-13LA MONLA MON×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.6
2814-14LA MONLA MON×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.7
2915-14LA MONNW STAttack errJade Longlad+2.3
3016-14NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Kenadii Winfrey+3.2
3116-15NW STLA MONAttack errHarper Cauley+2.2
3217-15LA MONNW STBlockedKenzie Behlblk Kenadii Winfrey, Elsie Sanchez+2.6
3317-16NW STLA MON×6KillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+2.3
3417-17LA MONLA MON×6Attack errKenadii Winfrey+3.2
3517-18LA MONLA MON×6Attack errAmber Craig+3.1
3617-19LA MONLA MON×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+2.9
3717-20LA MONLA MON×6AceULMaced Elsie Sanchez+2.4
3817-21LA MONLA MON×6KillGrace Troxellset Tatum Clay+1.7
3918-21LA MONNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.9
4019-21NW STNW STAttack errGrace Troxell+1.9
4119-22NW STLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.0
4219-23LA MONLA MONAceULMaced Gillian Grace Wolf+1.6
4320-23LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.6
4420-24NW STLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+1.1
4521-24LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.4
4621-25NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+0.8
Set 2
11-0LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.1
21-1NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.0
32-1LA MONNW STAttack errAbby Cunningham+1.1
42-2NW STLA MON×4KillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+1.0
52-3LA MONLA MON×4KillTatum Clayset Kenzie Behl+1.3
62-4LA MONLA MON×4AceULMaced Elsie Sanchez+1.2
72-5LA MONLA MON×4KillKenzie Behlset Tatum Clay+1.1
83-5LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Elizabeth Muguruza+0.8
93-6NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+0.8
104-6LA MONNW STServe errULM+0.8
114-7NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+0.9
124-8LA MONLA MONAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+1.0
135-8LA MONNW ST×3Serve errULM+0.7
146-8NW STNW ST×3Attack errMarissa Kobelski+1.1
157-8NW STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.3
167-9NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+1.0
178-9LA MONNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.1
189-9NW STNW ST×3Attack errGracie DiNardo+1.6
1910-9NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.8
2010-10NW STLA MON×3Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+1.3
2110-11LA MONLA MON×3KillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+1.6
2210-12LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.5
2311-12LA MONNW STBlockedMarissa Kobelskiblk Elizabeth Muguruza, Olivia Nzioki+1.2
2412-12NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Eden Pietrzak+1.8
2512-13NW STLA MONKillGracie DiNardoset Morgan Howard+1.4
2612-14LA MONLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.6
2713-14LA MONNW STServe errULM+1.3
2813-15NW STLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+1.3
2914-15LA MONNW STAttack errAniya Hall+1.3
3014-16NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.4
3115-16LA MONNW STServe errULM+1.4
3216-16NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.1
3316-17NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+1.7
3417-17LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.8
3517-18NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+1.8
3617-19LA MONLA MONBlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Marissa Kobelski, Gracie DiNardo+2.2
3718-19LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+1.6
3819-19NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Grace Troxell+2.6
3919-20NW STLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+2.1
4020-20LA MONNW STKillJade Longladset Jade Longlad+2.3
4120-21NW STLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+2.4
4221-21LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.5
4321-22NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.7
4422-22LA MONNW STAttack errAniya Hall+2.8
4522-23NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+3.3
4623-23LA MONNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.3
4723-24NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+4.2
4824-24LA MONNW STAttack errGrace Troxell+4.2
4924-25NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+4.2
5025-25LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+4.2
5125-26NW STLA MONKillGracie DiNardoset Eden Pietrzak+4.2
5226-26LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+4.2
5327-26NW STNW STAttack errAniya Hall+6.1
5427-27NW STLA MONAttack errOlivia Nzioki+4.8
5528-27LA MONNW STBlockedAbby Cunninghamblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+4.8
5629-27NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+7.1
Set 3
11-0NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.+2.8
21-1NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+2.0
32-1LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.2
43-1NW STNW STAttack errAniya Hall+3.1
53-2NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+2.2
64-2LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.5
74-3NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+2.2
84-4LA MONLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+2.9
95-4LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.4
105-5NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+2.3
115-6LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.8
126-6LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.3
136-7NW STLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+2.2
146-8LA MONLA MONAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+2.7
157-8LA MONNW ST×4KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.1
168-8NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Abby Cunningham+3.1
179-8NW STNW ST×4BlockedGrace Troxellblk Elizabeth Muguruza, Olivia Nzioki+3.5
1810-8NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.8
1910-9NW STLA MONBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham+2.7
2011-9LA MONNW STAttack errAbby Cunningham+3.1
2111-10NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+2.7
2212-10LA MONNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.2
2313-10NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+4.2
2414-10NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchez+4.0
2514-11NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+2.5
2615-11LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.3
2716-11NW STNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.7
2816-12NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+2.1
2916-13LA MONLA MONAceULMaced Harper Cauley+3.4
3017-13LA MONNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.5
3117-14NW STLA MON×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+2.6
3217-15LA MONLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+4.0
3317-16LA MONLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+4.5
3418-16LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+4.3
3518-17NW STLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+3.7
3619-17LA MONNW STAttack errTatum Clay+4.6
3720-17NW STNW STAttack errGrace Troxell+5.6
3820-18NW STLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+3.3
3921-18LA MONNW STServe errULM+4.7
4021-19NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+3.3
4122-19LA MONNW STServe errULM+5.0
4222-20NW STLA MONAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.2
4323-20LA MONNW STServe errULM+5.3
4424-20NW STNW STBlockedMarissa Kobelskiblk Elsie Sanchez, Kenadii Winfrey+4.3
4524-21NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.0
4625-21LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.5
Set 4
10-1LA MONLA MONBad setJade Longlad+3.5
21-1LA MONNW STServe errULM+2.9
32-1NW STNW STBlockedGrace Troxellblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+4.1
42-2NW STLA MONServe errNorthwestern St.+3.0
53-2LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.3
64-2NW STNW STAttack errKenzie Behl+4.5
74-3NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+3.2
85-3LA MONNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.7
96-3NW STNW ST×3Attack errKenzie Behl+4.8
107-3NW STNW ST×3Attack errAniya Hall+4.9
117-4NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+3.2
127-5LA MONLA MONAttack errKenadii Winfrey+4.4
138-5LA MONNW ST×5KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+4.0
149-5NW STNW ST×5BlockedAbby Cunninghamblk Amber Craig, Kenadii Winfrey+5.1
1510-5NW STNW ST×5AceNorthwestern St.+4.9
1611-5NW STNW ST×5KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+4.5
1712-5NW STNW ST×5KillElizabeth Muguruza+3.9
1812-6NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.2
1912-7LA MONLA MONAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+3.5
2013-7LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.6
2113-8NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+2.6
2214-8LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.6
2314-9NW STLA MONBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham+2.6
2415-9LA MONNW STBlockedTatum Clayblk Olivia Nzioki, Elizabeth Muguruza+3.6
2515-10NW STLA MON×3KillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+2.5
2615-11LA MONLA MON×3BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Tatum Clay, Kenzie Behl+4.0
2715-12LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+4.8
2816-12LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+4.8
2916-13NW STLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+3.7
3016-14LA MONLA MONBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Kenzie Behl, Marissa Kobelski+5.6
3117-14LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+5.5
3217-15NW STLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+4.4
3318-15LA MONNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+5.8
3418-16NW STLA MON×6KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+4.5
3518-17LA MONLA MON×6KillMarissa Kobelski+6.8
3618-18LA MONLA MON×6AceULMaced Valerie Brown+7.4
3718-19LA MONLA MON×6BlockedAmber Craigblk Grace Troxell, Marissa Kobelski+7.5
3818-20LA MONLA MON×6Attack errKenadii Winfrey+6.8
3918-21LA MONLA MON×6BlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Marissa Kobelski, Abby Cunningham+5.5
4019-21LA MONNW STServe errULM+3.3
4119-22NW STLA MONKillAbby Cunninghamset Morgan Howard+4.4
4220-22LA MONNW ST×3Serve errULM+3.2
4321-22NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+6.7
4422-22NW STNW ST×3Attack errAbby Cunningham+10.4
4522-23NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+9.5
4623-23LA MONNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+9.6
4724-23NW STNW STBad setBre Perrin+17.8
4824-24NW STLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+14.1
4925-24LA MONNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+14.1
5026-24NW STNW STAttack errAniya Hall+20.7

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).