Northwestern St. def. ULM 3–1
(21-25, 29-27, 25-21, 26-24)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW ST | 21 | 29 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
| LA MON | 25 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 22.8% to Northwestern St. — set 4, NW ST 26-24 LA MON. Attack error by Aniya Hall. LA MON win probability 23% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Northwestern St. wins
ULM wins
- NW ST break %
- 39.1% vs this opp
- LA MON break %
- 47.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02
- 03Grace TroxellKill+14.6%
Kill by Grace Troxell (set by Bre Perrin)
Set 4 · NW ST 24-24 LA MON · LA MON 23% → 37%
- 04Elsie SanchezKill+14.6%
Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · NW ST 25-24 LA MON · NW ST 63% → 77%
- 05Abby CunninghamAttack error+10.8%
Attack error by Abby Cunningham
Set 4 · NW ST 22-22 LA MON · NW ST 47% → 58%
- 06Olivia NziokiKill+9.6%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · NW ST 23-23 LA MON · NW ST 49% → 58%
- 07Grace TroxellKill+9.5%
Kill by Grace Troxell (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 4 · NW ST 22-23 LA MON · LA MON 42% → 51%
- 08LA MON serverAce+7.8%
ULM ace on Valerie Brown
Set 4 · NW ST 18-18 LA MON · LA MON 34% → 41%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 27 | .296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 52 | .192 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .143 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 14 | 2 | 34 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | -.238 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 23 | 166 | .181 | 49 | 6 | 11 | 78 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 101 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 45 | .200 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 13 | .308 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 21 | .048 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 37 | .108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 29 | .103 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 29 | 171 | .146 | 53 | 8 | 11 | 80 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
29-27
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
26-24
Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Northwestern St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%12/16 | 39%7/18 |
| 2 | 71%12/17 | 45%10/22 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 38%6/16 |
| 4 | 45%9/20 | 18%2/11 |
| 5 | 47%9/19 | 44%7/16 |
| 6 | 90%9/10 | 47%8/17 |
| All | 62%61/98 | 40%40/100 |
ULM
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68%13/19 | 21%3/14 |
| 2 | 53%10/19 | 25%4/16 |
| 3 | 67%10/15 | 38%6/16 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 23%3/13 |
| 5 | 69%9/13 | 65%17/26 |
| 6 | 45%9/20 | 31%4/13 |
| All | 60%60/100 | 38%37/98 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
198 rallies
Rally log
| # | NW ST-LA MON | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | LA MON | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +1.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Aniya Hall | blk Olivia Nzioki | +1.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +1.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW ST | LA MON×3 | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Ace | LA MON server | aced Team | +1.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Ace | LA MON server | aced Team | +1.4 |
| 13 | 6-7 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Kenzie Behl | blk Gillian Grace Wolf, Kenadii Winfrey | +1.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | set Bre Perrin | +1.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | LA MON | LA MON | Ace | LA MON server | aced Team | +1.5 |
| 17 | 8-9 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Serve err | LA MON server | +1.2 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Grace Troxell | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Morgan Howard | +1.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Emmarie McFarland | +1.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Gillian Grace Wolf | +1.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +2.5 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NW ST | LA MON×3 | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +1.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +2.3 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Jade Longlad | +2.0 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Kenadii Winfrey | +2.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Harper Cauley | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Kenzie Behl | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Elsie Sanchez | +2.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NW ST | LA MON×6 | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +1.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +2.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Amber Craig | +2.7 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.4 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Ace | LA MON server | aced Elsie Sanchez | +1.9 |
| 38 | 17-21 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Tatum Clay | +1.4 |
| 39 | 18-21 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +0.7 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Grace Troxell | +1.6 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +1.6 |
| 42 | 19-23 | LA MON | LA MON | Ace | LA MON server | aced Gillian Grace Wolf | +1.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.5 |
| 44 | 20-24 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | set Morgan Howard | +0.8 |
| 45 | 21-24 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 46 | 21-25 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +0.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | +0.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | LA MON×4 | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Morgan Howard | +0.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | LA MON | LA MON×4 | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Kenzie Behl | +1.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | LA MON | LA MON×4 | Ace | LA MON server | aced Elsie Sanchez | +0.9 |
| 7 | 2-5 | LA MON | LA MON×4 | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Tatum Clay | +0.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Elizabeth Muguruza | +0.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.6 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | +0.7 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Serve err | LA MON server | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Marissa Kobelski | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +0.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Gracie DiNardo | +1.3 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NW ST | LA MON×3 | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | +1.0 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | set Morgan Howard | +1.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +1.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Marissa Kobelski | blk Elizabeth Muguruza, Olivia Nzioki | +0.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Eden Pietrzak | +1.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Gracie DiNardo | set Morgan Howard | +1.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | LA MON | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +1.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +1.0 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Morgan Howard | +1.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +1.0 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +1.1 |
| 31 | 15-16 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.3 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.4 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | blk Marissa Kobelski, Gracie DiNardo | +1.7 |
| 37 | 18-19 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +1.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Grace Troxell | +2.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | set Morgan Howard | +1.7 |
| 40 | 20-20 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | set Morgan Howard | +1.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +2.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +2.3 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.6 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 47 | 23-24 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +3.3 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Grace Troxell | +3.3 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Morgan Howard | +3.3 |
| 50 | 25-25 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +3.3 |
| 51 | 25-26 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Gracie DiNardo | set Eden Pietrzak | +3.3 |
| 52 | 26-26 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +3.3 |
| 53 | 27-26 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +5.1 | |
| 54 | 27-27 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +4.0 | |
| 55 | 28-27 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | blk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez | +4.0 |
| 56 | 29-27 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +6.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +2.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +2.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +2.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | LA MON | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +2.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | LA MON | LA MON | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Bre Perrin | +1.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | +2.4 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | LA MON | NW ST×4 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Abby Cunningham | +2.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Grace Troxell | blk Elizabeth Muguruza, Olivia Nzioki | +3.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +3.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | blk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham | +2.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | +2.9 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.5 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +3.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +4.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | +4.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +2.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +3.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +3.8 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +2.0 |
| 29 | 16-13 | LA MON | LA MON | Ace | LA MON server | aced Harper Cauley | +3.3 |
| 30 | 17-13 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +3.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NW ST | LA MON×3 | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.4 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +3.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +4.4 |
| 34 | 18-16 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +4.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Kenzie Behl | set Bre Perrin | +3.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Tatum Clay | +4.4 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Grace Troxell | +5.6 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Morgan Howard | +3.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +4.6 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +3.1 |
| 41 | 22-19 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +4.9 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +3.0 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +5.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Marissa Kobelski | blk Elsie Sanchez, Kenadii Winfrey | +4.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +1.0 |
| 46 | 25-21 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LA MON | LA MON | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +3.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +2.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Grace Troxell | blk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki | +4.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW ST | LA MON | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +3.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Kenzie Behl | +4.7 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +3.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +3.7 |
| 9 | 6-3 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Kenzie Behl | +5.1 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +5.3 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +3.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +4.7 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | LA MON | NW ST×5 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +4.2 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | blk Amber Craig, Kenadii Winfrey | +5.6 |
| 15 | 10-5 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +5.4 |
| 16 | 11-5 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +5.1 |
| 17 | 12-5 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Elizabeth Muguruza | +4.5 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +2.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | +3.9 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +4.0 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +2.8 |
| 22 | 14-8 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +4.0 |
| 23 | 14-9 | NW ST | LA MON | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | blk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham | +2.8 |
| 24 | 15-9 | LA MON | NW ST | Attack err | Tatum Clay | blk Olivia Nzioki, Elizabeth Muguruza | +4.0 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NW ST | LA MON×3 | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +2.7 |
| 26 | 15-11 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | blk Tatum Clay, Kenzie Behl | +4.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | LA MON | LA MON×3 | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +5.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +5.2 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Tatum Clay | set Bre Perrin | +3.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | LA MON | LA MON | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | blk Kenzie Behl, Marissa Kobelski | +6.0 |
| 31 | 17-14 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +5.9 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Bre Perrin | +4.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +6.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | NW ST | LA MON×6 | Kill | Aniya Hall | set Morgan Howard | +4.7 |
| 35 | 18-17 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Kill | Marissa Kobelski | +7.3 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Ace | LA MON server | aced Valerie Brown | +7.8 |
| 37 | 18-19 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Amber Craig | blk Grace Troxell, Marissa Kobelski | +7.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +6.9 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | LA MON | LA MON×6 | Attack err | Elizabeth Muguruza | blk Marissa Kobelski, Abby Cunningham | +5.4 |
| 40 | 19-21 | LA MON | NW ST | Serve err | LA MON server | +3.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Abby Cunningham | set Morgan Howard | +4.2 |
| 42 | 20-22 | LA MON | NW ST×3 | Serve err | LA MON server | +3.0 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +6.8 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Abby Cunningham | +10.8 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Morgan Howard | +9.5 |
| 46 | 23-23 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +9.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NW ST | NW ST | Bad set | Bre Perrin | +19.0 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | NW ST | LA MON | Kill | Grace Troxell | set Bre Perrin | +14.6 |
| 49 | 25-24 | LA MON | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +14.6 |
| 50 | 26-24 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Aniya Hall | +22.8 | |
Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.