Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Miami (OH) def. Eastern Mich. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Miami (OH) 81.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (OH) won at Eastern Mich. 3-1 (17-25, 25-23, 29-27, 26-24) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Lauren Coyne and Grace Kreutz led Miami (OH) with 13 kills each; Eastern Mich.'s Natalie Slusher had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set1234Sets
MIA OH172529263
E MICH252327241

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Molly Creech, and Miami (OH) needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Miami (OH)'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Miami (OH) went in as RallyIQ's 82% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Miami (OH) 11–18 Eastern Mich.

    Miami (OH) scored 7 straight to erase an 11–18 deficit and tie it at 18. The match swung to Miami (OH).

    Miami (OH) 35% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Miami (OH) 22–22 Eastern Mich.

    Miami (OH) closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 1–1.

    Miami (OH) 56% → 76%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Miami (OH) 20–23 Eastern Mich.

    Miami (OH) scored 4 straight to turn a 20–23 deficit into a 24–23 lead.

    Miami (OH) 70% → 93%

Eastern Mich. above 50Miami (OH) belowMax swing 10.9%

Miami (OH)Eastern Mich.

Sideout %
Miami (OH) 58.0·Eastern Mich. 59.4
Break %
Miami (OH) 40.6·Eastern Mich. 42.0
Hitting
Miami (OH) .118·Eastern Mich. .182
Longest run
Miami (OH) 7·Eastern Mich. 8

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Mich. above 50 · Miami (OH) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.9% MIA OHrally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.9% to Miami (OH) — set 2, MIA OH 24-23 E MICH. Bad set by Lina Govoni. E MICH win probability 44% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIA OH 84.0%16.0% E MICH

Miami (OH) wins

3-0
35.9%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
17.0%

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
8.4%
MIA OH break %
46.4% vs this opp
E MICH break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lina GovoniBad set+10.9%

    Bad set by Lina Govoni

    Set 2 · MIA OH 24-23 E MICH · MIA OH 56% → 67%

  2. 02

    Ace by Rachel Morgan on Surabhi Srinivasan

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-23 E MICH · MIA OH 67% → 76%

  3. 03

    Kill by Chelsea Williams (set by Kamryn Utley)

    Set 3 · MIA OH 29-27 E MICH · MIA OH 80% → 89%

  4. 04
    Grace KreutzKill+8.5%

    Kill by Grace Kreutz (set by Kamryn Utley)

    Set 4 · MIA OH 24-23 E MICH · MIA OH 84% → 93%

  5. 05
    Olivia StewartBad set+8.4%

    Bad set by Olivia Stewart

    Set 3 · MIA OH 24-23 E MICH · MIA OH 72% → 80%

  6. 06
    Lydia MichelinAttack error+8.4%

    Attack error by Lydia Michelin

    Set 3 · MIA OH 24-24 E MICH · E MICH 20% → 28%

  7. 07
    Grace KreutzKill+8.4%

    Kill by Grace Kreutz (set by Kamryn Utley)

    Set 3 · MIA OH 25-24 E MICH · MIA OH 72% → 80%

  8. 08
    Haley TroskyKill+8.4%

    Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Lina Govoni)

    Set 3 · MIA OH 25-25 E MICH · E MICH 20% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413632.21900010052.515.5
413748.125000201010.513.5
410415.40000000132.512.5
45943-.09315223100010
48131.22610080031.59.5
41011.0002400900001
411940.0500003000011
4001.0002101720001
4000–26111300001
2000–200200000
Team totals6136211.1185673964112797
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415645.20002293031.518.5
413237.29700050010518
411749.082100102010.511.5
45118.222103200115.510.5
42310-.10010000254.56.5
4204.50021002800002
46123.217000100217
4001.0008203120002
4000–18001300000
3000–000100000
2000–000200000
1000–000000000
Team totals5420187.182504510272321899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Miami (OH) vs Eastern Mich.

Season series · Miami (OH) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MIA OH · E MICH 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 MIA OHE MICH 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 7 MIA OHE MICH 8

Set 3

29-27

Longest run 3 MIA OHE MICH 4

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 4 MIA OHE MICH 3

Bars above the line = Eastern Mich. leads, below = Miami (OH) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (OH)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%11/31
31%4/13
2
55%11/20
59%16/27
3
83%10/12
33%5/15
4
82%9/11
33%5/15
5
82%9/11
36%5/14
6
53%8/15
33%4/12
All
58%58/100
41%39/96

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
57%12/21
2
41%11/27
62%18/29
3
63%10/16
35%6/17
4
69%9/13
18%2/11
5
69%9/13
18%2/11
6
54%7/13
18%2/11
All
59%57/96
42%42/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#MIA OH-E MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E MICHMIA OHAttack errAshleeKay Christensen+1.2
21-1MIA OHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+1.3
31-2E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+1.8
42-2E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.3
52-3MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+1.4
63-3E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.3
73-4MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.5
84-4E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+1.4
94-5MIA OHE MICHServe errKamryn Utley+1.5
105-5E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.4
115-6MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.6
126-6E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.5
136-7MIA OHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset AshleeKay Christensen+1.6
146-8E MICHE MICH×3AceNatalie Slusheraced Grace Kreutz+2.2
156-9E MICHE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Kamryn Utley+2.3
167-9E MICHMIA OHServe errNatalie Slusher+1.6
177-10MIA OHE MICHBlockedGrace Kreutzblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+1.9
187-11E MICHE MICHBlockedGrace Kreutzblk Taeley Mahler, Olivia Stewart+2.4
198-11E MICHMIA OHServe errMaddie Herman+1.5
208-12MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+1.9
219-12E MICHMIA OH×3KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
2210-12MIA OHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+2.2
2311-12MIA OHMIA OH×3Bad setLina Govoni+2.3
2411-13MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Stewartset Molly Creech+2.1
2511-14E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+2.7
2612-14E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
2712-15MIA OHE MICHBlockedRaegan Lantzblk Olivia Stewart+2.3
2812-16E MICHE MICHBlockedMolly Creechblk Haley Trosky, Maddie Herman+2.7
2913-16E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.6
3013-17MIA OHE MICHServe errMolly Creech+2.2
3113-18E MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.4
3214-18E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Madison Brown+1.3
3314-19MIA OHE MICHAttack errChelsea Williams+1.9
3415-19E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Madison Brown+1.2
3515-20MIA OHE MICH×3KillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+1.9
3615-21E MICHE MICH×3BlockedLauren Coyneblk Olivia Stewart, AshleeKay Christensen+1.7
3715-22E MICHE MICH×3BlockedGrace Kreutzblk Taeley Mahler, Olivia Stewart+1.0
3816-22E MICHMIA OHBlockedAshleeKay Christensenblk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne+0.3
3916-23MIA OHE MICHBad setHolland Van Deusen+0.6
4016-24E MICHE MICHAttack errLydia Michelin+0.3
4117-24E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen·
4217-25MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Stewartset Lina Govoni+0.1
Set 2
10-1MIA OHE MICH×8Attack errMolly Creech+2.2
20-2E MICHE MICH×8BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+2.9
30-3E MICHE MICH×8BlockedMolly Creechblk Natalie Slusher, Maddie Herman+3.1
40-4E MICHE MICH×8KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+3.1
50-5E MICHE MICH×8Attack errMolly Creech+3.1
60-6E MICHE MICH×8BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+3.0
70-7E MICHE MICH×8KillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+2.8
80-8E MICHE MICH×8Attack errChelsea Williams+2.5
91-8E MICHMIA OH×5KillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+1.5
102-8MIA OHMIA OH×5KillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+2.2
113-8MIA OHMIA OH×5KillChelsea Williamsset Raegan Lantz+2.5
124-8MIA OHMIA OH×5AceMolly Creechaced Natalie Slusher+2.7
135-8MIA OHMIA OH×5KillChelsea Williamsset Rachel Morgan+3.0
145-9MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+2.8
155-10E MICHE MICHBlockedMolly Creechblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+3.4
166-10E MICHMIA OHServe errNatalie Slusher+2.2
177-10MIA OHMIA OHAttack errAshleeKay Christensen+3.1
187-11MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+3.0
198-11E MICHMIA OHServe errMaddie Herman+2.4
208-12MIA OHE MICHBlockedMolly Creechblk Olivia Stewart+3.1
219-12E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.5
229-13MIA OHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.1
2310-13E MICHMIA OHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne+2.5
2410-14MIA OHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.2
2510-15E MICHE MICH×3BlockedMolly Creechblk Haley Trosky, Maddie Herman+3.7
2610-16E MICHE MICH×3Attack errLauren Coyne+3.2
2711-16E MICHMIA OHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lauren Coyne, Raegan Lantz+1.7
2811-17MIA OHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+2.5
2911-18E MICHE MICHKillKaylin Schroederset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.4
3012-18E MICHMIA OH×7KillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+1.1
3113-18MIA OHMIA OH×7KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+2.0
3214-18MIA OHMIA OH×7AceMolly Creechaced AshleeKay Christensen+2.7
3315-18MIA OHMIA OH×7Attack errNatalie Slusher+3.4
3416-18MIA OHMIA OH×7Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+4.1
3517-18MIA OHMIA OH×7Attack errMaddie Herman+4.7
3618-18MIA OHMIA OH×7AceMolly Creechaced AshleeKay Christensen+5.1
3718-19MIA OHE MICHBlockedGrace Kreutzblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+4.6
3818-20E MICHE MICHAttack errTaeley Mahler+6.2
3919-20E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+4.1
4020-20MIA OHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+6.0
4120-21MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+5.6
4221-21E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Kamryn Utley+5.2
4321-22MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+6.4
4422-22E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+5.9
4522-23MIA OHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+7.7
4623-23E MICHMIA OH×3KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+7.1
4724-23MIA OHMIA OH×3Bad setLina Govoni+10.9
4825-23MIA OHMIA OH×3AceRachel Morganaced Surabhi Srinivasan+9.3
Set 3
10-1E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.7
20-2E MICHE MICHKillKaylin Schroederset Olivia Stewart+2.9
31-2E MICHMIA OHServe errMaddie Herman+2.1
41-3MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+2.4
52-3E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+2.1
62-4MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+2.4
72-5E MICHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+3.2
83-5E MICHMIA OHBlockedOlivia Stewartblk Lydia Michelin+2.2
93-6MIA OHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+2.6
103-7E MICHE MICHAceSurabhi Srinivasanaced Molly Creech+3.3
114-7E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Molly Creech+2.2
125-7MIA OHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+3.0
135-8MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.8
146-8E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.4
157-8MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+3.2
167-9MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+2.8
177-10E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+3.7
188-10E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Holland Van Deusen+2.5
198-11MIA OHE MICH×4KillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+3.1
208-12E MICHE MICH×4BlockedMolly Creechblk Taeley Mahler, Olivia Stewart+3.8
218-13E MICHE MICH×4BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Taeley Mahler, Olivia Stewart+3.6
228-14E MICHE MICH×4KillAshleeKay Christensenset Maddie Herman+3.2
239-14E MICHMIA OH×3Attack errOlivia Stewart+1.8
2410-14MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMolly Creechaced Natalie Slusher+2.8
2511-14MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMolly Creechaced Natalie Slusher+3.3
2611-15MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+3.3
2711-16E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+3.7
2812-16E MICHMIA OH×3BlockedHaley Troskyblk Raegan Lantz, Grace Kreutz+2.1
2913-16MIA OHMIA OH×3KillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+3.3
3014-16MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+3.8
3114-17MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+3.9
3215-17E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Kamryn Utley+3.1
3316-17MIA OHMIA OHAttack errNatalie Slusher+4.4
3416-18MIA OHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+4.3
3517-18E MICHMIA OHAttack errNatalie Slusher+3.6
3618-18MIA OHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+5.1
3718-19MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+4.6
3818-20E MICHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+6.2
3919-20E MICHMIA OHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lauren Coyne, Lydia Michelin+4.1
4019-21MIA OHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+5.4
4120-21E MICHMIA OH×3KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+4.3
4221-21MIA OHMIA OH×3AceKamryn Utleyaced Surabhi Srinivasan+6.7
4322-21MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+7.1
4422-22MIA OHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+5.7
4523-22E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+6.5
4623-23MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+6.6
4724-23E MICHMIA OHBad setOlivia Stewart+8.4
4824-24MIA OHE MICHAttack errLydia Michelin+8.4
4925-24E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+8.4
5025-25MIA OHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+8.4
5126-25E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+8.4
5226-26MIA OHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+8.4
5327-26E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+8.4
5427-27MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+8.4
5528-27E MICHMIA OHBlockedAshleeKay Christensenblk Lauren Coyne, Raegan Lantz+8.4
5629-27MIA OHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+9.2
Set 4
10-1MIA OHE MICHAttack errChelsea Williams+1.7
20-2E MICHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+2.3
31-2E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+1.6
41-3MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.9
51-4E MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+2.4
62-4E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.7
72-5MIA OHE MICHAttack errChelsea Williams+2.0
83-5E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.8
93-6MIA OHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+2.1
104-6E MICHMIA OH×4KillHolland Van Deusenset Molly Creech+1.8
115-6MIA OHMIA OH×4KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.3
126-6MIA OHMIA OH×4KillLydia Michelinset Lina Govoni+2.3
137-6MIA OHMIA OH×4KillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.2
147-7MIA OHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+1.8
158-7E MICHMIA OHBad setOlivia Stewart+1.8
168-8MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.9
178-9E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.7
189-9E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
199-10MIA OHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+2.2
209-11E MICHE MICH×3BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+3.0
219-12E MICHE MICH×3BlockedMolly Creechblk Natalie Slusher, Maddie Herman+3.1
2210-12E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+2.1
2311-12MIA OHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+2.8
2411-13MIA OHE MICHBlockedChelsea Williamsblk Natalie Slusher, Maddie Herman+2.6
2511-14E MICHE MICHAceNatalie Slusheraced Rachel Morgan+3.3
2612-14E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+2.2
2712-15MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.8
2813-15E MICHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+2.3
2914-15MIA OHMIA OH×3KillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+3.2
3015-15MIA OHMIA OH×3KillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+3.3
3115-16MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+2.9
3216-16E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.7
3316-17MIA OHE MICHAttack errLydia Michelin+3.1
3417-17E MICHMIA OHAttack errOlivia Stewart+2.9
3518-17MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+3.7
3618-18MIA OHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+3.0
3718-19E MICHE MICH×3AceSurabhi Srinivasanaced Rachel Morgan+4.5
3818-20E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+4.8
3919-20E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+3.2
4020-20MIA OHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+4.7
4120-21MIA OHE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+4.4
4220-22E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+5.9
4320-23E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+5.2
4421-23E MICHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+2.3
4522-23MIA OHMIA OH×4Attack errTaeley Mahler+4.8
4623-23MIA OHMIA OH×4KillGrace Kreutz+7.1
4724-23MIA OHMIA OH×4KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+8.5
4824-24MIA OHE MICHServe errMolly Creech+6.6
4925-24E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+6.6
5026-24MIA OHMIA OHAttack errTaeley Mahler+7.2

Score shown after each rally, Miami (OH) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).