FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Miami (OH) def. Eastern Mich. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Miami (OH) 78.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (OH) won at Eastern Mich. 3-0 (25-16, 25-23, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Miami (OH)'s Lauren Coyne led with 14 kills, and Molly Creech added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
MIA OH2525253
E MICH1623160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Lauren Coyne. Miami (OH) swept Eastern Mich.

Win probability never moved more than 3.8 points on one rally; Eastern Mich. topped out at 24% in Set 2. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Miami (OH) at 78%.

Miami (OH)Eastern Mich.
  • Break %+17.9 pts
    50.032.1

    37 of 74 on serve vs 18 of 56, so Eastern Mich.'s sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.149
    .242.093

    44 kills, 14 errors vs 26 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Down 16–19 in the second set, Miami (OH) scored 6 straight to lead 22–19. Final score of the set: 25–23.

Eastern Mich. above 50Miami (OH) belowMax swing 3.8%

Miami (OH)Eastern Mich.

Aces
Miami (OH) 7·Eastern Mich. 4
Serve err
Miami (OH) 9·Eastern Mich. 6
Blocks
Miami (OH) 5·Eastern Mich. 43 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Miami (OH) 60·Eastern Mich. 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Mich. above 50 · Miami (OH) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.8% MIA OHrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Miami (OH) — set 2, MIA OH 25-23 E MICH. Kill by Molly Creech (set by Rachel Morgan). E MICH win probability 8% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIA OH 84.0%16.0% E MICH

Miami (OH) wins

3-0
35.9%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
17.0%

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
8.4%
MIA OH break %
46.4% vs this opp
E MICH break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Molly CreechKill+3.8%

    Kill by Molly Creech (set by Rachel Morgan)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-23 E MICH · MIA OH 92% → 96%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lydia Michelin (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 24-22 E MICH · MIA OH 91% → 94%

  3. 03
    Miami (OH)Ace+3.0%

    Miami (OH) ace on Madelyn Sipe

    Set 2 · MIA OH 20-19 E MICH · MIA OH 86% → 89%

  4. 04
    Olivia BeaudrieAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Olivia Beaudrie

    Set 2 · MIA OH 19-19 E MICH · MIA OH 83% → 86%

  5. 05
    Lauren CoyneKill+2.7%

    Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 21-19 E MICH · MIA OH 89% → 92%

  6. 06
    Grace KreutzKill+2.6%

    Kill by Grace Kreutz (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 18-19 E MICH · MIA OH 81% → 83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Lydia Michelin (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 23-21 E MICH · MIA OH 90% → 93%

  8. 08

    Lauren Coyne stuffed by Olivia Stewart & Olivia Beaudrie

    Set 2 · MIA OH 22-21 E MICH · E MICH 7% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314531.29000000010.514.5
311226.34602211000013
37229.1720112120008
33310.000000003036
34114.214000000215
3102.5002124700003
34112.25000000010.54.5
3000–1212300001
3000–7101710001
3000–000100000
Team totals4414124.242407960434575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36522.04500022010.56.5
34212.167000100426
35223.130000200005
3205.400020100004
3001.000400500000
1105.200000010001
3438.12515221700006
33318.00010271031.54.5
3001.0004021400000
2105.200000200001
2001.000100320000
1004.000000110000
1001.000000100000
1011-1.000000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals2616107.093254657708455

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Miami (OH) vs Eastern Mich.

Season series · Miami (OH) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIA OH · E MICH 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 MIA OHE MICH 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 6 MIA OHE MICH 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 4 MIA OHE MICH 2

Bars above the line = Eastern Mich. leads, below = Miami (OH) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (OH)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
59%10/17
2
88%7/8
46%6/13
3
75%6/8
54%7/13
4
75%6/8
45%5/11
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
68%38/56
50%37/74

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
50%6/12
2
55%6/11
38%5/13
3
50%6/12
0%0/6
4
55%6/11
33%3/9
5
43%6/14
14%1/7
6
56%5/9
33%3/9
All
50%37/74
32%18/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#MIA OH-E MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIA OHMIA OHAttack errTaeley Mahler+1.7
21-1MIA OHE MICHAttack errLydia Michelin+1.4
32-1E MICHMIA OHAttack errAshleeKay Christensen+1.3
43-1MIA OHMIA OHBlockedOlivia Stewartblk Lydia Michelin+1.6
53-2MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+1.3
64-2E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+1.3
75-2MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.5
85-3MIA OHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+1.1
96-3E MICHMIA OH×3KillHolland Van Deusenset Rachel Morgan+1.2
107-3MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced AshleeKay Christensen+1.3
118-3MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errOlivia Stewart+1.1
128-4MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Stewartset Lina Govoni+0.8
139-4E MICHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+0.9
149-5MIA OHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.8
1510-5E MICHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+0.9
1610-6MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Richter+0.8
1711-6E MICHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.9
1812-6MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Natalie Slusher+0.9
1913-6MIA OHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+0.7
2013-7MIA OHE MICH×5Serve errMiami (OH)+0.4
2113-8E MICHE MICH×5Bad setHolland Van Deusen+0.7
2213-9E MICHE MICH×5Attack errMolly Creech+1.0
2313-10E MICHE MICH×5Attack errLydia Michelin+1.3
2413-11E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Molly Creech+1.7
2514-11E MICHMIA OH×3KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+1.5
2615-11MIA OHMIA OH×3KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
2716-11MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Lily Spark+1.2
2816-12MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Stewartset Kaylin Richter+0.8
2917-12E MICHMIA OH×5KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+0.9
3018-12MIA OHMIA OH×5KillRaegan Lantzset Holland Van Deusen+0.9
3119-12MIA OHMIA OH×5KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.5
3220-12MIA OHMIA OH×5AceMiami (OH)aced Natalie Slusher+0.3
3321-12MIA OHMIA OH×5KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+0.1
3421-13MIA OHE MICHAttack errMolly Creech·
3521-14E MICHE MICHAttack errRaegan Lantz+0.1
3622-14E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.1
3722-15MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Stewartset Lina Govoni+0.1
3823-15E MICHMIA OHAttack errLina Govoni+0.1
3923-16MIA OHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni·
4024-16E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.1
4125-16MIA OHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley·
Set 2
10-1E MICHE MICH×5KillOlivia Stewartset Lina Govoni+1.4
20-2E MICHE MICH×5BlockedLauren Coyneblk Olivia Stewart, Olivia Beaudrie+1.5
30-3E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Molly Creech+1.6
40-4E MICHE MICH×5BlockedLauren Coyneblk Olivia Beaudrie, Olivia Stewart+1.6
50-5E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Rachel Morgan+1.6
61-5E MICHMIA OHAttack errNatalie Slusher+1.0
71-6MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni+1.3
81-7E MICHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+1.5
92-7E MICHMIA OHServe errEastern Mich.+1.0
103-7MIA OHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Kamryn Utley+1.4
113-8MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+1.3
124-8E MICHMIA OHServe errEastern Mich.+1.1
134-9MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.3
144-10E MICHE MICHKillLina Govoniset Olivia Beaudrie+1.6
155-10E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.9
165-11MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.2
176-11E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+0.9
186-12MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+1.3
196-13E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.+1.4
207-13E MICHMIA OH×4KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.8
218-13MIA OHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.2
229-13MIA OHMIA OH×4Attack errOlivia Beaudrie+1.4
2310-13MIA OHMIA OH×4AceMiami (OH)aced Madelyn Sipe+1.7
2410-14MIA OHE MICHKillLina Govoniset Madelyn Sipe+1.6
2510-15E MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.9
2611-15E MICHMIA OH×3Serve errEastern Mich.+1.1
2712-15MIA OHMIA OH×3KillRaegan Lantz+1.7
2813-15MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errOlivia Beaudrie+1.9
2913-16MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.9
3014-16E MICHMIA OHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lauren Coyne, Raegan Lantz+1.5
3114-17MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.0
3215-17E MICHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+1.6
3315-18MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+2.1
3416-18E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+1.6
3516-19MIA OHE MICHKillLina Govoniset Lina Govoni+2.2
3617-19E MICHMIA OH×6KillLydia Michelinset Kamryn Utley+1.6
3718-19MIA OHMIA OH×6KillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+2.6
3819-19MIA OHMIA OH×6Attack errOlivia Beaudrie+2.9
3920-19MIA OHMIA OH×6AceMiami (OH)aced Madelyn Sipe+3.0
4021-19MIA OHMIA OH×6KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.7
4122-19MIA OHMIA OH×6KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+2.1
4222-20MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+1.2
4322-21E MICHE MICHBlockedLauren Coyneblk Olivia Stewart, Olivia Beaudrie+2.4
4423-21E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+2.6
4523-22MIA OHE MICHAttack errLydia Michelin+2.0
4624-22E MICHMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+3.0
4724-23MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.8
4825-23E MICHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+3.8
Set 3
11-0MIA OHMIA OHAttack errNatalie Slusher+0.7
22-0MIA OHMIA OHBlockedLina Govoniblk Lydia Michelin+0.6
32-1MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+0.5
43-1E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+0.5
53-2MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.5
64-2E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.5
75-2MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+0.6
85-3MIA OHE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.4
96-3E MICHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+0.5
106-4MIA OHE MICHBad setKamryn Utley+0.5
117-4E MICHMIA OHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Chelsea Williams, Raegan Lantz+0.5
128-4MIA OHMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Kamryn Utley+0.5
138-5MIA OHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+0.4
149-5E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.4
159-6MIA OHE MICHBlockedChelsea Williamsblk Natalie Slusher, Olivia Stewart+0.4
1610-6E MICHMIA OHAttack errTaeley Mahler+0.4
1710-7MIA OHE MICHAttack errLauren Coyne+0.4
1811-7E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.4
1911-8MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+0.4
2012-8E MICHMIA OHServe errEastern Mich.+0.4
2112-9MIA OHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.4
2212-10E MICHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+0.7
2313-10E MICHMIA OH×4KillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+0.6
2414-10MIA OHMIA OH×4KillChelsea Williamsset Kamryn Utley+0.6
2515-10MIA OHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Raegan Lantz+0.5
2616-10MIA OHMIA OH×4Attack errKaylin Richter+0.4
2716-11MIA OHE MICHServe errMiami (OH)+0.2
2816-12E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.4
2917-12E MICHMIA OH×3Serve errEastern Mich.+0.4
3018-12MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Olivia Beaudrie+0.3
3119-12MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errLina Govoni+0.2
3219-13MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Richter+0.1
3319-14E MICHE MICHAttack errGrace Kreutz+0.2
3420-14E MICHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Kamryn Utley+0.2
3520-15MIA OHE MICHKillLina Govoniset Kaylin Richter+0.1
3621-15E MICHMIA OH×3Serve errEastern Mich.+0.2
3722-15MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errNatalie Slusher+0.1
3823-15MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errMya Eberlein+0.1
3923-16MIA OHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni·
4024-16E MICHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen·
4125-16MIA OHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan·

Score shown after each rally, Miami (OH) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).