Florida State vs Virginia Volleyball: Florida State Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026ACCNX

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida St. 81.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida St. won at Virginia 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 25-23) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Florida St.'s Bailey Higgins led with 13 kills, and Emma Lilo added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Nov 1

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FSU	25	25	25	3
UVA	22	23	23	0

Match story · from the official box score

Florida St. over Virginia, 3–0.

From the official box score. Without play-by-play that matches the result, there are no win-probability numbers here. Florida St. went in as RallyIQ's 81% pick.

The gap was spread thin: nothing reached the thresholds on its own.

Florida St.Virginia

Hitting: Florida St. .297·Virginia .250
Aces: Florida St. 4·Virginia 7
Serve err: Florida St. 11·Virginia 16
Blocks: Florida St. 3·Virginia 10.51 BS · 4 BA vs 6 BS · 9 BA
Digs: Florida St. 37·Virginia 25

Win probability

Virginia above 50 · Florida St. below

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Florida St. — set 2, FSU 24-23 UVA. Virginia service error. UVA win probability 11% → 3%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FSU 80.9%19.1% UVA

Florida St. wins

3-0

32.5%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

18.0%

Virginia wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

9.7%

FSU break %: 44.6% vs this opp
UVA break %: 38.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
VirginiaService error+8.2%
Virginia service error
Set 2 · FSU 24-23 UVA · FSU 89% → 97%
02
Reese WuebkerKill+4.0%
Kill by Reese Wuebker (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 2 · FSU 23-23 UVA · UVA 7% → 11%
03
Florida St.Ace+3.7%
Florida St. ace on Ruby McDermott
Set 1 · FSU 20-19 UVA · FSU 78% → 82%
04
Reese WuebkerAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Reese Wuebker
Set 2 · FSU 22-21 UVA · FSU 88% → 91%
05
Delaney Ewing&Bailey HigginsBlock+3.4%
Reese Wuebker stuffed by Delaney Ewing & Bailey Higgins
Set 1 · FSU 18-18 UVA · FSU 75% → 78%
06
Nenu KpeaKill+3.3%
Kill by Nenu Kpea (set by Emma Lilo)
Set 1 · FSU 21-19 UVA · FSU 82% → 85%
07
VirginiaAce+3.1%
Virginia ace on Payton Whalen
Set 1 · FSU 13-16 UVA · UVA 26% → 29%
08
Bailey HigginsKill+3.1%
Kill by Bailey Higgins (set by Emma Lilo)
Set 2 · FSU 23-21 UVA · FSU 91% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Florida St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Bailey HigginsOPP	3	13	1	25	.480	0	0	1	5	1	1	2	2	15
12Kyleene FilimauaOH	3	9	2	20	.350	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	0	9
16Nenu KpeaMB	3	9	3	14	.429	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	9
0Payton WhalenOH	3	7	6	17	.059	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	0	7
24Delaney EwingMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
9Emma LiloS	3	0	3	6	-.500	37	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
6Victoria DavidOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	1	3	2	0	0	0	3
18Maile ChanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
11Caylan RussL/DS	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
13Bennett RatermanMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	16	91	.297	41	4	11	37	7	1	4	3	75

Virginiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Reese WuebkerOH	3	13	5	31	.258	1	0	4	3	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
10Zoey DoodS	3	3	0	11	.273	15	2	3	5	0	1	2	2	7
5Caroline LangOH	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	4	7
16Emily FowlerMB	3	3	0	10	.300	0	0	2	0	0	2	3	3.5	6.5
11Hannah ScottS	3	1	0	1	1.000	10	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	2
8Ruby McDermottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	1	3	0	0	0	1
6Ella BrodnerOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
33Lauryn BowieOH	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Katie BarrierDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
1Meredith ReegL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
7Teagan HoganL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
30Becca WightOH	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		32	10	88	.250	30	7	16	25	4	6	9	10.5	68

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Florida St. vs Virginia

Season series · Florida St. leads 1-0

Sun, Nov 1, 2026Florida St. at Virginia · Florida St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 28, 2026Virginia at Florida St.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FSU · UVA 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 FSUUVA 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 FSUUVA 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 FSUUVA 3

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = Florida St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida St.

No clean sets to split.

Virginia

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#	FSU-UVA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Zoey Dood		+1.8
2	1-1	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.2
3	1-2	FSU	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+1.4
4	2-2	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.2
5	2-3	FSU	UVA	Kill	Zoey Dood	set Hannah Scott	+1.4
6	2-4	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Zoey Dood	+2.1
7	3-4	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.3
8	3-5	FSU	UVA	Blocked	Emma Lilo	blk Caroline Lang	+1.6
9	4-5	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.4
10	5-5	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Caroline Lang		+1.9
11	5-6	FSU	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Zoey Dood	+1.5
12	5-7	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Nenu Kpea		+2.2
13	6-7	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.5
14	6-8	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+1.7
15	7-8	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.5
16	7-9	FSU	UVA	Kill	Zoey Dood	set Reese Wuebker	+1.8
17	8-9	UVA	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.5
18	8-10	FSU	UVA	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+1.8
19	9-10	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.6
20	9-11	FSU	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+1.9
21	10-11	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.7
22	10-12	FSU	UVA	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+2.0
23	11-12	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.7
24	12-12	FSU	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+2.5
25	12-13	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+2.0
26	13-13	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+1.8
27	13-14	FSU	UVA×4	Kill	Ella Brodner	set Zoey Dood	+2.1
28	13-15	UVA	UVA×4	Bad set	Emma Lilo		+3.0
29	13-16	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	Virginia	aced Payton Whalen	+3.1
30	13-17		UVA	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.9
31	14-17	UVA	FSU×3	Attack err	Ella Brodner		+1.5
32	15-17	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+2.6
33	16-17	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+3.0
34	16-18	FSU	UVA	Kill	Zoey Dood	set Hannah Scott	+2.6
35	17-18	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+2.2
36	18-18	FSU	FSU	Blocked	Reese Wuebker	blk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins	+3.4
37	18-19	FSU	UVA	Attack err	Payton Whalen		+2.8
38	19-19	UVA	FSU×5	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Victoria David	+2.6
39	20-19	FSU	FSU×5	Ace	Florida St.	aced Ruby McDermott	+3.7
40	21-19	FSU	FSU×5	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+3.3
41	22-19	FSU	FSU×5	Ace	Florida St.	aced Ruby McDermott	+2.5
42	23-19	FSU	FSU×5	Ace	Florida St.	aced Ruby McDermott	+1.5
43	23-20	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.5
44	23-21	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker		+1.5
45	24-21	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.8
46	24-22	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Zoey Dood	+0.7
47	25-22	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.6
Set 2
1	1-0	FSU	FSU×4	Blocked	Reese Wuebker	blk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins	+1.2
2	2-0	FSU	FSU×4	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+1.1
3	3-0	FSU	FSU×4	Attack err	Delaney Ewing		+1.0
4	4-0	FSU	FSU×4	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.8
5	4-1	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.6
6	5-1	UVA	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+0.6
7	6-1	FSU	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.7
8	6-2	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.5
9	7-2	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+0.5
10	8-2	FSU	FSU	Blocked	Reese Wuebker	blk Bailey Higgins	+0.6
11	8-3	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Katie Barrier	+0.4
12	9-3	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
13	9-4	FSU	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Zoey Dood	+0.4
14	9-5	UVA	UVA	Blocked	Bailey Higgins	blk Emily Fowler	+0.6
15	10-5	UVA	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.5
16	11-5	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+0.6
17	11-6	FSU	UVA	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler	+0.3
18	12-6	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+0.4
19	12-7	FSU	UVA×3	Kill	Ella Brodner	set Hannah Scott	+0.3
20	12-8	UVA	UVA×3	Ace	Virginia	aced Delaney Ewing	+0.6
21	12-9	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Emma Lilo		+0.9
22	13-9	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+0.7
23	13-10	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Zoey Dood	+0.7
24	13-11	UVA	UVA	Blocked	Kyleene Filimaua	blk Caroline Lang, Reese Wuebker	+1.2
25	14-11	UVA	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+0.9
26	14-12	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.9
27	14-13	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Katie Barrier	+1.5
28	15-13	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+1.2
29	15-14	FSU	UVA×4	Serve err	Florida St.		+1.2
30	15-15	UVA	UVA×4	Blocked	Nenu Kpea	blk Caroline Lang, Lauryn Bowie	+2.0
31	15-16	UVA	UVA×4	Blocked	Nenu Kpea	blk Caroline Lang	+2.3
32	15-17	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	Virginia	aced Bailey Higgins	+2.5
33	16-17	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+1.5
34	16-18	FSU	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Zoey Dood	+1.9
35	17-18	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+1.6
36	17-19	FSU	UVA	Kill	Ella Brodner	set Zoey Dood	+2.1
37	18-19	UVA	FSU	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+1.7
38	19-19	FSU	FSU	Bad set	Hannah Scott		+2.7
39	19-20	FSU	UVA	Kill	Ella Brodner	set Teagan Hogan	+2.3
40	20-20	UVA	FSU	Kill	Delaney Ewing	set Emma Lilo	+2.1
41	20-21	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+2.5
42	21-21	UVA	FSU×3	Serve err	Virginia		+2.3
43	22-21	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+3.5
44	23-21	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+3.1
45	23-22	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+1.6
46	23-23	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+4.0
47	24-23	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+8.2
Set 3
1	1-0	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+0.4
2	2-0	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Ella Brodner		+0.6
3	2-1		UVA	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.4
4	3-1	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
5	4-1	FSU	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Nenu Kpea	+0.5
6	4-2	FSU	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Zoey Dood	+0.4
7	5-2	UVA	FSU	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
8	5-3	FSU	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
9	6-3	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.4
10	6-4	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Zoey Dood	+0.4
11	7-4	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+0.4
12	7-5	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
13	7-6	UVA	UVA	Ace	Virginia	aced Kyleene Filimaua	+0.6
14	8-6	UVA	FSU×3	Serve err	Virginia		+0.5
15	9-6	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.6
16	10-6	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.5
17	10-7	FSU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Zoey Dood	+0.3
18	11-7	UVA	FSU	Kill	Emma Lilo	set Victoria David	+0.4
19	12-7	FSU	FSU	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+0.4
20	12-8	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.2
21	13-8	UVA	FSU×3	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.3
22	14-8	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Payton Whalen	set Emma Lilo	+0.3
23	15-8	FSU	FSU×3	Attack err	Ella Brodner		+0.2
24	15-9	FSU	UVA×3	Kill	Becca Wight	set Zoey Dood	+0.1
25	15-10	UVA	UVA×3	Blocked	Payton Whalen	blk Emily Fowler, Zoey Dood	+0.2
26	15-11	UVA	UVA×3	Blocked	Payton Whalen	blk Zoey Dood	+0.3
27	16-11	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.3
28	16-12	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.2
29	17-12	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+0.3
30	17-13	FSU	UVA×3	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.2
31	17-14	UVA	UVA×3	Ace	Virginia	aced Caylan Russ	+0.5
32	17-15	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Ruby McDermott	+0.7
33	18-15	UVA	FSU	Serve err	Virginia		+0.6
34	18-16	FSU	UVA	Serve err	Florida St.		+0.5
35	18-17	UVA	UVA	Ace	Virginia	aced Victoria David	+1.0
36	19-17	UVA	FSU×3	Kill	Kyleene Filimaua	set Emma Lilo	+0.8
37	20-17	FSU	FSU×3	Ace	Florida St.	aced Reese Wuebker	+0.9
38	21-17	FSU	FSU×3	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Maile Chan	+0.6
39	21-18	FSU	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Zoey Dood	+0.3
40	22-18	UVA	FSU	Kill	Caylan Russ		+0.4
41	22-19	FSU	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Zoey Dood	+0.3
42	22-20	UVA	UVA	Ace	Virginia	aced Victoria David	+0.6
43	23-20	UVA	FSU	Kill	Bailey Higgins	set Emma Lilo	+0.7
44	23-21	FSU	UVA	Kill	Ella Brodner	set Zoey Dood	+0.4
45	23-22	UVA	UVA	Kill	Hannah Scott	set Emma Lilo	+1.1
46	24-22	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+1.3
47	24-23	FSU	UVA	Blocked	Payton Whalen	blk Zoey Dood, Emily Fowler	+0.7
48	25-23	UVA	FSU	Kill	Nenu Kpea	set Emma Lilo	+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Florida St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Florida St. def. Virginia 3–0

Florida St. over Virginia, 3–0.