Virginia vs Florida State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 28, 2026ACCNX

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Virginia (6-15) at Florida St. (13-10), Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ACCNX. RallyIQ gives Florida St. an 89% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Florida St. won 3-0 on Nov 1.

Data through Nov 4, 3:55 PM CT

Match prediction

UVA 10.6%89.4% FSU

Virginia wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.2%

3-2

5.9%

Florida St. wins

3-0

43.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.4%

UVA break %: 36.6% vs this opp
FSU break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.