Stanford vs California Volleyball: California Wins 3-0

FinalWed, Oct 28, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Stanford 74.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 28, 8:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

California beat visiting Stanford 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 27-25) on Wed, Oct 28, 2026. California's Abby Zimmerman led with 12 kills, and Anna Flores added 22 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 28

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STAN	23	20	25	0
CAL	25	25	27	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

California beat Stanford from a 25% pre-match call.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are California's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Stanford was RallyIQ's 75% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Stanford 23–21 California
California won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.
California 17% → 46%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Stanford 14–12 California
5 straight California points turned a 12–14 deficit into a 17–14 lead.
California 70% → 89%
Turning point 3: Set 3 · Stanford 24–24 California
California closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–0.
California 80% → >99%

California above 50Stanford belowMax swing 12.5%

StanfordCalifornia

Sideout %: Stanford 56.6·California 63.8
Break %: Stanford 36.2·California 43.4
Hitting: Stanford .283·California .296
Longest run: Stanford 5·California 5

Abby Zimmerman
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .345, 13.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

California above 50 · Stanford below

Biggest swing: 12.5% to California — set 3, STAN 25-27 CAL. Attack error by Julia Blyashov. CAL win probability 88% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STAN 72.8%27.2% CAL

Stanford wins

3-0

25.3%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

19.6%

California wins

3-0

5.0%

3-1

9.4%

3-2

12.8%

STAN break %: 42.2% vs this opp
CAL break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Julia BlyashovAttack error+12.5%
Attack error by Julia Blyashov
Set 3 · STAN 25-27 CAL · CAL 88% → 100%
02
Sawyer ThomsenKill+10.3%
Kill by Sawyer Thomsen (set by Anna Flores)
Set 1 · STAN 23-25 CAL · CAL 36% → 46%
03
Abby ZimmermanKill+9.1%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Sophia Johnson)
Set 1 · STAN 23-24 CAL · CAL 27% → 36%
04
Ipar KurtKill+8.4%
Kill by Ipar Kurt (set by Lilly Wagner)
Set 3 · STAN 23-23 CAL · STAN 12% → 20%
05
Abby ZimmermanKill+7.5%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)
Set 3 · STAN 23-24 CAL · CAL 80% → 88%
06
Abby ZimmermanService error+7.5%
Service error by Abby Zimmerman
Set 3 · STAN 24-24 CAL · STAN 12% → 20%
07
Anna FloresKill+7.5%
Kill by Anna Flores (set by Lizzy Andrew)
Set 3 · STAN 24-25 CAL · CAL 80% → 88%
08
Julia BlyashovKill+7.5%
Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Lilly Wagner)
Set 3 · STAN 25-25 CAL · STAN 12% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Stanfordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Lizzy AndrewMB	3	8	1	17	.412	0	1	0	1	0	3	2	4	13
7Julia BlyashovOH	3	9	1	22	.364	2	2	3	11	1	0	0	0	11
5Jordyn HarveyOPP	3	9	3	23	.261	2	1	2	12	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
26Lilly WagnerS	3	4	0	9	.444	27	0	0	8	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
15Ipar KurtOH	3	3	2	16	.063	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Ella AndrewsMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Spencer EtzlerL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	2	2	14	2	0	0	0	2
14Malyssa CawaDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
19Simone RoslonOH	2	3	0	10	.300	2	0	2	5	2	0	0	0	3
6Koko KirschDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	8	106	.283	37	7	10	57	6	4	6	7	68

Californiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Abby ZimmermanOH	3	12	2	29	.345	3	1	4	5	3	0	1	0.5	13.5
18Ashley LiOH	3	8	4	25	.160	0	2	1	4	1	0	2	1	11
5Cari BohmMB	3	8	1	19	.368	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	3	6	2	18	.222	1	0	3	1	0	0	2	1	7
24Anna FloresS	3	5	2	9	.333	37	1	0	22	0	0	0	0	6
4Francesca PopescuDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
11Grace AgolliOPP	3	11	2	25	.360	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	12
14Elise LauL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
7Siena MacCuddenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	11	2	0	0	0	0
21Portia ShermanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	13	125	.296	48	6	9	59	7	1	6	4	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stanford vs California

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Stanford at California · California won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026California at Stanford · Stanford won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STAN · CAL 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 STANCAL 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 STANCAL 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 3 STANCAL 5

Bars above the line = California leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stanford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	42%5/12
2	44%8/18	43%6/14
3	78%7/9	43%6/14
4	88%7/8	36%4/11
5	47%7/15	30%3/10
6	60%6/10	13%1/8
All	57%43/76	36%25/69

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	59%10/17
2	67%8/12	50%8/16
3	62%8/13	33%4/12
4	88%7/8	22%2/9
5	64%7/11	46%6/13
6	55%6/11	33%3/9
All	64%44/69	43%33/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

145 rallies

#	STAN-CAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+2.2
2	0-2	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Ipar Kurt	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+2.3
3	1-2	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Julia Blyashov	+1.4
4	2-2	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew		+2.2
5	3-2	STAN	STAN×3	Bad set	Anna Flores		+2.1
6	3-3	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.5
7	4-3	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.4
8	5-3	STAN	STAN	Ace	Lizzy Andrew	aced Grace Agolli	+2.0
9	5-4	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+1.3
10	6-4	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+1.4
11	6-5	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+1.4
12	6-6	CAL	CAL	Ace	Abby Zimmerman	aced Spencer Etzler	+2.3
13	7-6	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+1.5
14	7-7	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Julia Blyashov		+1.6
15	8-7	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Grace Agolli		+1.6
16	8-8	STAN	CAL	Blocked	Jordyn Harvey	blk Cari Bohm, Ashley Li	+1.7
17	9-8	CAL	STAN×5	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.6
18	10-8	STAN	STAN×5	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Lizzy Andrew, Lilly Wagner	+2.3
19	11-8	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+2.1
20	12-8	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.7
21	13-8	STAN	STAN×5	Ace	Jordyn Harvey	aced Abby Zimmerman	+1.4
22	13-9	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Jordyn Harvey		+0.7
23	13-10	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+1.5
24	14-10	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
25	15-10	STAN	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.4
26	15-11	STAN	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.7
27	15-12	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	Ashley Li	aced Spencer Etzler	+1.5
28	15-13	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.0
29	16-13	CAL	STAN	Blocked	Sawyer Thomsen	blk Lilly Wagner	+1.6
30	16-14	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.4
31	16-15	CAL	CAL	Bad set	Lilly Wagner		+2.7
32	17-15	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+2.0
33	18-15	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+2.6
34	19-15	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Jordyn Harvey	+2.0
35	19-16	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.0
36	20-16	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+1.3
37	20-17	STAN	CAL×3	Serve err	Julia Blyashov		+0.9
38	20-18	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+2.2
39	20-19	CAL	CAL×3	Blocked	Ella Andrews	blk Cari Bohm	+3.2
40	21-19	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Grace Agolli		+2.7
41	21-20	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+2.3
42	22-20	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+2.9
43	23-20	STAN	STAN	Blocked	Anna Flores	blk Lizzy Andrew	+3.2
44	23-21	STAN	CAL×5	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+1.2
45	23-22	CAL	CAL×5	Ace	Anna Flores	aced Julia Blyashov	+3.4
46	23-23	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+6.3
47	23-24	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+9.1
48	23-25	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+10.3
Set 2
1	0-1	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.1
2	1-1	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Grace Agolli		+1.9
3	1-2	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.1
4	1-3	CAL	CAL	Bad set	Lilly Wagner		+3.3
5	2-3	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Sawyer Thomsen		+2.0
6	3-3	STAN	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+3.1
7	3-4	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+2.2
8	4-4	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+2.1
9	5-4	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Anna Flores		+3.1
10	5-5	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.1
11	6-5	CAL	STAN×4	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews	+2.1
12	7-5	STAN	STAN×4	Ace	Spencer Etzler	aced Sophia Johnson	+2.9
13	8-5	STAN	STAN×4	Ace	Spencer Etzler	aced Ashley Li	+2.6
14	9-5	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+2.2
15	9-6	STAN	CAL×3	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+1.3
16	9-7	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+2.5
17	9-8	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	Elise Lau	aced Ipar Kurt	+3.0
18	10-8	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Ashley Li		+2.1
19	10-9	STAN	CAL×4	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+2.1
20	10-10	CAL	CAL×4	Blocked	Lizzy Andrew	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Ashley Li	+3.6
21	10-11	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+4.0
22	10-12	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+4.3
23	11-12	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Simone Roslon	+2.6
24	11-13	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Malyssa Cawa		+3.0
25	11-14	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+4.4
26	12-14	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+2.5
27	12-15	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+3.1
28	12-16	CAL	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+4.2
29	13-16	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Malyssa Cawa	+2.1
30	14-16	STAN	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+3.9
31	14-17	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Malyssa Cawa	+3.4
32	15-17	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+2.6
33	15-18	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+3.5
34	16-18	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+2.7
35	16-19	STAN	CAL	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+3.7
36	17-19	CAL	STAN	Kill	Simone Roslon	set Julia Blyashov	+2.7
37	17-20	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+3.8
38	18-20	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+2.7
39	18-21	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Simone Roslon		+4.0
40	19-21	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+2.7
41	19-22	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+4.2
42	19-23	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sawyer Thomsen	+4.2
43	20-23	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
44	20-24	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.5
45	20-25	CAL	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+1.1
Set 3
1	1-0	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.6
2	1-1	STAN	CAL×4	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.7
3	1-2	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+2.7
4	1-3	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.9
5	1-4	CAL	CAL×4	Ace	Ashley Li	aced Simone Roslon	+3.0
6	2-4	CAL	STAN	Kill	Simone Roslon	set Jordyn Harvey	+1.8
7	3-4	STAN	STAN	Kill	Simone Roslon	set Lilly Wagner	+2.8
8	3-5	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Spencer Etzler		+2.1
9	4-5	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Sawyer Thomsen		+1.9
10	4-6	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Jordyn Harvey		+2.1
11	5-6	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+1.9
12	5-7	STAN	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Sophia Johnson	+2.2
13	6-7	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+2.0
14	7-7	STAN	STAN	Ace	Malyssa Cawa	aced Abby Zimmerman	+3.0
15	7-8	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+2.2
16	8-8	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Simone Roslon	+2.0
17	8-9	STAN	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Francesca Popescu	+2.3
18	9-9	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+2.1
19	10-9	STAN	STAN×3	Ace	Julia Blyashov	aced Abby Zimmerman	+3.2
20	11-9	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+2.9
21	11-10	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Julia Blyashov		+1.9
22	12-10	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Ashley Li		+2.0
23	12-11	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Spencer Etzler		+2.0
24	13-11	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Sawyer Thomsen		+2.1
25	13-12	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+2.0
26	14-12	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Spencer Etzler	+2.1
27	14-13	STAN	CAL×5	Serve err	Simone Roslon		+2.1
28	14-14	CAL	CAL×5	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+3.7
29	14-15	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+4.2
30	14-16	CAL	CAL×5	Ace	Grace Agolli	aced Simone Roslon	+4.5
31	14-17	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+4.4
32	15-17	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+2.3
33	15-18	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+3.1
34	16-18	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+2.4
35	16-19	STAN	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+3.2
36	17-19	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Ashley Li		+2.4
37	18-19	STAN	STAN	Ace	Julia Blyashov	aced Sophia Johnson	+4.6
38	18-20	STAN	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+3.9
39	18-21	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Abby Zimmerman	+5.2
40	18-22	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+3.9
41	19-22	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+1.4
42	20-22	STAN	STAN×3	Blocked	Sawyer Thomsen	blk Lizzy Andrew	+3.4
43	21-22	STAN	STAN×3	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Lizzy Andrew, Ipar Kurt	+5.2
44	21-23	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+5.3
45	22-23	CAL	STAN	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Lizzy Andrew	+3.5
46	23-23	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+8.4
47	23-24	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+7.5
48	24-24	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+7.5
49	24-25	STAN	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Lizzy Andrew	+7.5
50	25-25	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+7.5
51	25-26	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+7.5
52	25-27	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		+12.5

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

California def. Stanford 3–0

California beat Stanford from a 25% pre-match call.