California vs Stanford Volleyball: Stanford Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Stanford 82.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 8:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stanford beat visiting California 3-0 (25-17, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Lizzy Andrew and Ipar Kurt led Stanford with 12 kills each; California's Abby Zimmerman had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CAL	17	19	23	0
STAN	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lizzy Andrew hit .526 with 12 kills as Stanford rolled past California.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.3 points, and California's high was 18% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Stanford 82% before first serve.

CaliforniaStanford

Break %+14.3 pts
29.543.8
32 of 73 on serve vs 18 of 61, so California's sideout was 56.2%.
Hitting+.132
.255.387
51 K / 8 E against 38 K / 11 E.
Longest run+2
57
Stanford scored 7 straight in the second set to turn a 3–7 deficit into a 10–7 lead. The set finished 25–19.

Stanford above 50California belowMax swing 2.3%

CaliforniaStanford

Aces: California 1·Stanford 7
Serve err: California 6·Stanford 9
Blocks: California 6·Stanford 40 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: California 45·Stanford 51

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stanford above 50 · California below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Stanford — set 3, CAL 23-25 STAN. Attack error by Abby Zimmerman. STAN win probability 98% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CAL 16.3%83.7% STAN

California wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.3%

3-2

8.5%

Stanford wins

3-0

35.5%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.1%

CAL break %: 36.3% vs this opp
STAN break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Abby ZimmermanAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Abby Zimmerman
Set 3 · CAL 23-25 STAN · STAN 98% → 100%
02
Abby ZimmermanKill+1.8%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)
Set 1 · CAL 5-5 STAN · CAL 16% → 18%
03
Lilly WagnerKill+1.8%
Kill by Lilly Wagner (set by Julia Blyashov)
Set 3 · CAL 23-24 STAN · STAN 96% → 98%
04
Lizzy AndrewAce+1.7%
Ace by Lizzy Andrew on Siena MacCudden
Set 1 · CAL 6-8 STAN · STAN 83% → 85%
05
Spencer EtzlerBad set+1.7%
Bad set by Spencer Etzler
Set 2 · CAL 7-3 STAN · CAL 14% → 16%
06
Grace AgolliKill+1.7%
Kill by Grace Agolli (set by Siena MacCudden)
Set 2 · CAL 6-3 STAN · CAL 12% → 14%
07
Sawyer Thomsen&Anna FloresBlock+1.6%
Jordyn Harvey stuffed by Sawyer Thomsen & Anna Flores
Set 3 · CAL 21-21 STAN · CAL 2% → 4%
08
Lizzy AndrewAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Lizzy Andrew
Set 1 · CAL 4-5 STAN · CAL 15% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Californiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Abby ZimmermanOH	3	14	4	38	.263	2	1	4	5	2	3	1.5	16.5
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
18Ashley LiOH	3	6	3	14	.214	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	6
5Cari BohmMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
24Anna FloresS	3	2	0	7	.286	31	0	2	7	0	3	1.5	3.5
4Francesca PopescuDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
11Grace AgolliOPP	3	4	1	19	.158	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	4
7Siena MacCuddenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
14Elise LauL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Portia ShermanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	11	106	.255	36	1	6	45	7	12	6	59

Stanfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Lizzy AndrewMB	3	12	2	19	.526	1	3	2	7	0	1	1	1.5	16.5
15Ipar KurtOH	3	12	2	29	.345	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12
5Jordyn HarveyOPP	3	8	2	17	.353	0	1	1	13	0	0	2	1	10
16Ella AndrewsMB	3	8	0	11	.727	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
7Julia BlyashovOH	3	6	2	24	.167	2	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	6
26Lilly WagnerS	3	5	0	11	.455	36	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Spencer EtzlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	1	9	1	0	0	0	2
6Koko KirschDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
14Malyssa CawaDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
1Sarah HickmanOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		51	8	111	.387	44	7	9	51	1	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

California vs Stanford

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Stanford at California · California won 3-0Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026California at Stanford · Stanford won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CAL · STAN 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 CALSTAN 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 CALSTAN 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 CALSTAN 3

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	38%3/8
2	56%5/9	17%1/6
3	63%5/8	44%4/9
4	45%5/11	44%4/9
5	67%4/6	29%2/7
6	57%4/7	0%0/4
All	57%28/49	33%14/43

Stanford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	33%2/6
2	100%5/5	44%4/9
3	38%5/13	44%4/9
4	100%5/5	58%7/12
5	71%5/7	0%0/5
6	67%4/6	50%4/8
All	67%29/43	43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	CAL-STAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+1.1
2	0-2	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+1.5
3	0-3	STAN	STAN×3	Ace	Spencer Etzler	aced Abby Zimmerman	+1.3
4	1-3	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.9
5	1-4	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	+0.9
6	1-5	STAN	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Spencer Etzler	+1.1
7	2-5	STAN	CAL×4	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.7
8	3-5	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+1.3
9	4-5	CAL	CAL×4	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+1.6
10	5-5	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.8
11	5-6	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
12	6-6	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.3
13	6-7	CAL	STAN×3	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+1.2
14	6-8	STAN	STAN×3	Ace	Lizzy Andrew	aced Siena MacCudden	+1.7
15	6-9	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+1.5
16	7-9	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Lizzy Andrew		+1.0
17	7-10	CAL	STAN	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Ella Andrews, Lilly Wagner	+1.0
18	8-10	STAN	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+1.0
19	8-11	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.0
20	9-11	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.0
21	9-12	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen		+1.1
22	9-13	STAN	STAN	Ace	Spencer Etzler	aced Abby Zimmerman	+1.3
23	10-13	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.8
24	10-14	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.9
25	10-15	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+1.0
26	11-15	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.5
27	11-16	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Julia Blyashov	+0.7
28	11-17	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+0.7
29	11-18		STAN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.4
30	12-18	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.2
31	12-19	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Spencer Etzler	+0.2
32	13-19	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+0.1
33	14-19	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+0.4
34	14-20	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.4
35	15-20	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.2
36	15-21	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Spencer Etzler	+0.3
37	16-21	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Julia Blyashov		+0.2
38	16-22	CAL	STAN×3	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Ella Andrews, Jordyn Harvey	+0.3
39	16-23	STAN	STAN×3	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Jordyn Harvey, Lizzy Andrew	+0.2
40	16-24	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	·
41	17-24	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	·
42	17-25	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	·
Set 2
1	0-1	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
2	1-1	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Spencer Etzler		+0.8
3	2-1	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Lizzy Andrew	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+1.4
4	2-2	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+0.9
5	3-2	STAN	CAL	Blocked	Ipar Kurt	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+1.0
6	3-3	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.9
7	4-3	STAN	CAL×4	Blocked	Julia Blyashov	blk Abby Zimmerman, Cari Bohm	+1.0
8	5-3	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Anna Flores		+1.6
9	6-3	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Siena MacCudden	+1.7
10	7-3	CAL	CAL×4	Bad set	Spencer Etzler		+1.7
11	7-4	CAL	STAN×7	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.9
12	7-5	STAN	STAN×7	Attack err	Grace Agolli		+1.5
13	7-6	STAN	STAN×7	Ace	Lizzy Andrew	aced Sophia Johnson	+1.6
14	7-7	STAN	STAN×7	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Lizzy Andrew	+1.5
15	7-8	STAN	STAN×7	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.5
16	7-9	STAN	STAN×7	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+1.3
17	7-10	STAN	STAN×7	Ace	Lizzy Andrew	aced Grace Agolli	+1.1
18	8-10	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.7
19	8-11	CAL	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+0.8
20	9-11	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.7
21	9-12	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+0.8
22	9-13	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Ashley Li		+1.0
23	10-13	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.6
24	10-14	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Anna Flores		+0.7
25	11-14	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.6
26	11-15	CAL	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.7
27	11-16	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.8
28	11-17	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	+0.5
29	12-17	STAN	CAL	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+0.2
30	12-18	CAL	STAN×3	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Lizzy Andrew	+0.3
31	12-19	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
32	12-20	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.1
33	13-20	STAN	CAL	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		·
34	14-20	CAL	CAL	Ace	Abby Zimmerman	aced Spencer Etzler	+0.1
35	14-21	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.1
36	15-21	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.1
37	15-22	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.1
38	16-22	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Lilly Wagner		·
39	16-23	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen		+0.1
40	16-24	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	·
41	17-24	STAN	CAL×3	Serve err	Julia Blyashov		·
42	18-24	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen		·
43	19-24	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen		·
44	19-25	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	CAL	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.7
2	1-1	CAL	STAN×3	Serve err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.4
3	1-2	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+0.6
4	1-3	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.6
5	2-3	STAN	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+0.4
6	2-4	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.4
7	2-5	STAN	STAN	Ace	Jordyn Harvey	aced Francesca Popescu	+0.5
8	3-5	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Jordyn Harvey		+0.3
9	3-6	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Spencer Etzler	+0.3
10	3-7	STAN	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+0.5
11	4-7	STAN	CAL	Blocked	Julia Blyashov	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores	+0.3
12	4-8	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
13	5-8	STAN	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.3
14	6-8	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Grace Agolli	+0.5
15	6-9	CAL	STAN	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.4
16	6-10	STAN	STAN	Ace	Sarah Hickman	aced Grace Agolli	+0.5
17	7-10	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Sarah Hickman		+0.3
18	7-11	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Malyssa Cawa	+0.3
19	7-12	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+0.4
20	8-12	STAN	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+0.2
21	8-13	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
22	9-13	STAN	CAL	Blocked	Ipar Kurt	blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores	+0.2
23	9-14	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
24	9-15	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt		+0.3
25	10-15	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
26	10-16	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+0.2
27	11-16	STAN	CAL	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Anna Flores	+0.1
28	11-17	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.2
29	12-17	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.1
30	13-17	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.3
31	13-18	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
32	14-18	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Sarah Hickman		+0.2
33	14-19	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.3
34	15-19	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.2
35	15-20	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Lilly Wagner	+0.2
36	16-20	STAN	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.2
37	16-21	CAL	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+0.2
38	17-21	STAN	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.1
39	18-21	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.4
40	19-21	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.6
41	20-21	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.1
42	21-21	CAL	CAL×5	Blocked	Jordyn Harvey	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores	+1.6
43	21-22	CAL	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
44	22-22	STAN	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.2
45	22-23	CAL	STAN	Serve err	Anna Flores		+1.4
46	23-23	STAN	CAL	Serve err	Lizzy Andrew		+1.4
47	23-24	CAL	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Julia Blyashov	+1.8
48	23-25	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+2.3

Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Stanford def. California 3–0

Lizzy Andrew hit .526 with 12 kills as Stanford rolled past California.