N.C. Central def. UMES 3–2
N.C. Central won at UMES 3-2 (25-15, 24-26, 25-22, 24-26, 15-12) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. N.C. Central's Shalyn Bell led with 18 kills.
Data through · final Sep 27
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC CEN | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 3 |
| UMES | 15 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 12 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.1% to N.C. Central — set 5, NC CEN 11-9 UMES. Malaysia Shaw stuffed by Allyson Rouse & Shalyn Bell. UMES win probability 31% → 19%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
N.C. Central wins
UMES wins
- NC CEN break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
- UMES break %
- 41.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Allyson Rouse&Shalyn BellBlock+12.1%
Malaysia Shaw stuffed by Allyson Rouse & Shalyn Bell
Set 5 · NC CEN 11-9 UMES · NC CEN 69% → 81%
- 02Aniah BassKill+11.6%
Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Hailey Gibbons)
Set 5 · NC CEN 13-11 UMES · NC CEN 74% → 86%
- 03
- 04Shalyn BellKill+10.3%
Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 5 · NC CEN 12-10 UMES · NC CEN 72% → 83%
- 05Kyra BradfordAttack error+10.3%
Attack error by Kyra Bradford
Set 5 · NC CEN 14-11 UMES · NC CEN 86% → 96%
- 06Allyson RouseKill+10.1%
Kill by Allyson Rouse (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 5 · NC CEN 10-9 UMES · NC CEN 59% → 69%
- 07Jayda HutchinsKill+10.0%
Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Kate - Linh Eden)
Set 5 · NC CEN 6-6 UMES · UMES 30% → 40%
- 08Malaysia ShawKill+9.6%
Kill by Malaysia Shaw (set by Kate - Linh Eden)
Set 5 · NC CEN 9-9 UMES · UMES 32% → 41%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 6 | 42 | .286 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 27 | |
| 5 | 15 | 10 | 37 | .135 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 5 | 13 | 2 | 18 | .611 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| 5 | 10 | 3 | 26 | .269 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 20 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 68 | 30 | 163 | .233 | 65 | 13 | 21 | 57 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 113 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 44 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -.077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -.200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .167 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 19 | 131 | .168 | 35 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 101 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
N.C. Central vs UMES
Season series · N.C. Central leads 2-0
- Sun, Sep 27, 2026N.C. Central at UMES · N.C. Central won 3-2This match
- Sun, Oct 25, 2026UMES at N.C. Central · N.C. Central won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-15
Set 2
24-26
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
24-26
Set 5
15-12
Bars above the line = UMES leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
N.C. Central
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%13/25 | 39%7/18 |
| 2 | 50%11/22 | 52%13/25 |
| 3 | 77%10/13 | 41%7/17 |
| 4 | 71%10/14 | 50%10/20 |
| 5 | 53%9/17 | 50%9/18 |
| 6 | 82%9/11 | 36%5/14 |
| All | 61%62/102 | 46%51/112 |
UMES
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%13/24 | 43%9/21 |
| 2 | 46%11/24 | 33%6/18 |
| 3 | 56%10/18 | 47%9/19 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 33%5/15 |
| 5 | 47%9/19 | 31%4/13 |
| 6 | 75%9/12 | 44%7/16 |
| All | 54%61/112 | 39%40/102 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
214 rallies
| # | NC CEN-UMES | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UMES | UMES | Kill | Rayah Howell | set Jocelyn Torres | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.7 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Jayda Hutchins | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Jocelyn Torres | +1.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UMES | UMES | Bad set | Breylan Fairley | +2.3 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Ace | N.C. Central | +2.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Jayda Hutchins | +2.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NC CEN | UMES | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Gabrielle McCoy, Malaysia Shaw | +1.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +1.7 |
| 15 | 9-6 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Jayda Hutchins | +1.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UMES | UMES | Blocked | Allyson Rouse | blk Dynasty Andrews | +2.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NC CEN | UMES | Bad set | Aniah Bass | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Allyson Rouse | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Attack err | Rayah Howell | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Ace | N.C. Central | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +1.3 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Attack err | Jayda Hutchins | +1.5 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.1 |
| 27 | 16-11 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.7 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +0.8 |
| 29 | 18-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +0.7 |
| 30 | 19-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Alex Fuller | +0.4 |
| 31 | 19-12 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +0.2 |
| 32 | 20-12 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +0.3 |
| 33 | 20-13 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 21-13 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Bad set | Jayda Hutchins | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Attack err | Malaysia Shaw | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Allyson Rouse | · | |
| 37 | 23-14 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | · | |
| 38 | 24-14 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | NC CEN | UMES | Blocked | Allyson Rouse | blk Dynasty Andrews | · |
| 40 | 25-15 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Arianna Warner Torres | +1.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.2 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Blocked | Rayah Howell | blk Shalyn Bell | +1.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NC CEN | UMES×3 | Blocked | Shalyn Bell | blk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews | +1.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UMES | UMES×3 | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Rayah Howell | +1.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UMES | UMES×3 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Dynasty Andrews | +1.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC CEN | UMES×3 | Attack err | Aniah Bass | +1.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UMES | UMES×3 | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UMES | UMES×3 | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Talia Emmen | +1.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Morgan Wingo | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Hailey Gibbons | +1.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Arianna Warner Torres | +1.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NC CEN | UMES×7 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | UMES | UMES×7 | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +2.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UMES | UMES×7 | Kill | Kate - Linh Eden | set Breylan Fairley | +2.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UMES | UMES×7 | Attack err | Morgan Wingo | +2.3 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UMES | UMES×7 | Attack err | Breylan Fairley | +2.2 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | UMES | UMES×7 | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | UMES | UMES×7 | Blocked | Talia Emmen | blk Kate - Linh Eden, Malaysia Shaw | +1.7 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UMES | NC CEN | Blocked | Malaysia Shaw | blk Morgan Wingo | +1.0 |
| 26 | 10-16 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +1.3 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | UMES | NC CEN | Bad set | Jayda Hutchins | +0.9 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Karielys Melendez | +1.5 |
| 29 | 12-17 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.6 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.2 |
| 31 | 13-18 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.6 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | UMES | NC CEN | Attack err | Rayah Howell | +1.1 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.6 |
| 34 | 14-20 | UMES | UMES | Blocked | Shalyn Bell | blk Malaysia Shaw | +1.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +0.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Morgan Wingo | +1.3 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.8 |
| 38 | 17-21 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +2.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.3 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Arianna Warner Torres | +2.4 |
| 41 | 19-22 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +2.8 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +3.0 |
| 44 | 21-23 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Serve err | UMES | +1.7 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Blocked | Jayda Hutchins | blk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass | +3.6 |
| 46 | 23-23 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Attack err | Karielys Melendez | +5.4 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +5.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +5.7 |
| 49 | 24-25 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +5.7 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | UMES | UMES | Ace | UMES | aced Hailey Gibbons | +8.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UMES | UMES | Ace | UMES | +3.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +2.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Dynasty Andrews | set Kate - Linh Eden | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UMES | NC CEN×4 | Serve err | UMES | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +2.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +2.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +2.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.9 |
| 9 | 6-3 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Serve err | UMES | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Blocked | Jayda Hutchins | blk Morgan Wingo, Shalyn Bell | +2.3 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Bad set | Kyra Bradford | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.4 |
| 13 | 9-4 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +1.5 |
| 14 | 10-4 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | NC CEN | UMES×3 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | UMES | UMES×3 | Blocked | Tabitha Newlin | blk Malaysia Shaw | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | UMES | UMES×3 | Kill | Margarette Vasquez | set Alex Fuller | +2.2 |
| 18 | 11-7 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +1.9 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Tabitha Newlin | set Breylan Fairley | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Allyson Rouse | +1.8 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | UMES | NC CEN | Serve err | UMES | +2.0 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.8 |
| 24 | 14-10 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +2.1 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Blocked | Jayda Hutchins | blk Morgan Wingo | +2.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Jayla Egerton | +1.4 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +1.6 |
| 29 | 17-12 | NC CEN | UMES | Blocked | Allyson Rouse | blk Dynasty Andrews | +0.9 |
| 30 | 18-12 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Hailey Gibbons | +1.2 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Dynasty Andrews | set Kate - Linh Eden | +0.8 |
| 32 | 19-13 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +1.1 |
| 33 | 20-13 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +0.9 |
| 34 | 20-14 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | UMES | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Tabitha Newlin | set Breylan Fairley | +0.6 |
| 36 | 22-14 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Kill | Tabitha Newlin | set Breylan Fairley | +0.4 |
| 37 | 23-14 | NC CEN | NC CEN×3 | Blocked | Karielys Melendez | blk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse | +0.1 |
| 38 | 23-15 | NC CEN | UMES×6 | Serve err | N.C. Central | · | |
| 39 | 23-16 | UMES | UMES×6 | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Breylan Fairley | +0.1 |
| 40 | 23-17 | UMES | UMES×6 | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +0.2 |
| 41 | 23-18 | UMES | UMES×6 | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Lila Bryant | +0.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | UMES | UMES×6 | Attack err | Shalyn Bell | +0.7 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | UMES | UMES×6 | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.4 |
| 44 | 24-20 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +2.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +0.7 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | UMES | UMES | Attack err | Allyson Rouse | +2.0 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +3.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Dynasty Andrews | set Kate - Linh Eden | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UMES | NC CEN | Serve err | UMES | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Bad set | Arianna Warner Torres | +2.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NC CEN | UMES×6 | Serve err | N.C. Central | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UMES | UMES×6 | Attack err | Shalyn Bell | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | UMES | UMES×6 | Bad set | Breylan Fairley | +2.7 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | UMES | UMES×6 | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Arianna Warner Torres | +2.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | UMES | UMES×6 | Attack err | Aniah Bass | +2.9 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | UMES | UMES×6 | Ace | UMES | +2.9 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +1.9 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +2.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +2.4 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UMES | UMES | Ace | UMES | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +1.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | +2.6 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +3.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +2.7 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | UMES | UMES | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +3.3 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +2.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NC CEN | UMES×4 | Kill | Kate - Linh Eden | +2.7 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | UMES | UMES×4 | Attack err | Shalyn Bell | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | UMES | UMES×4 | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kyra Bradford | +2.5 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UMES | UMES×4 | Ace | UMES | +1.9 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | UMES | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +1.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +1.7 |
| 30 | 13-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Ace | N.C. Central | +2.2 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Attack err | Karielys Melendez | +2.8 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | NC CEN | NC CEN×5 | Attack err | Dynasty Andrews | +3.4 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | NC CEN | UMES | Attack err | Allyson Rouse | +3.4 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | UMES | UMES | Ace | UMES | +3.8 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | UMES | NC CEN | Serve err | UMES | +2.1 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Ace | N.C. Central | aced Karielys Melendez | +3.6 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Kyra Bradford | set Kate - Linh Eden | +3.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Breylan Fairley | +2.8 |
| 39 | 18-21 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +3.9 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UMES | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Lila Bryant | +3.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | UMES | NC CEN×4 | Serve err | UMES | +1.7 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Blocked | Jayda Hutchins | blk Morgan Wingo, Breylan Fairley | +3.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Alex Fuller | +5.1 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Ace | N.C. Central | +6.8 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +6.7 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +6.2 |
| 47 | 23-24 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Malaysia Shaw | set Kate - Linh Eden | +8.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | UMES | NC CEN | Serve err | UMES | +8.5 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Dynasty Andrews | set Kate - Linh Eden | +8.5 |
| 50 | 24-26 | UMES | UMES | Kill | Dynasty Andrews | +11.2 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UMES | UMES | Attack err | Talia Emmen | +8.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMES | NC CEN×4 | Attack err | Karielys Melendez | +6.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Jayla Egerton | set Breylan Fairley | +8.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +7.7 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NC CEN | NC CEN×4 | Attack err | Jayda Hutchins | +6.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +4.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UMES | UMES | Attack err | Aniah Bass | +7.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Talia Emmen | set Breylan Fairley | +6.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +6.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UMES | NC CEN | Attack err | Jayda Hutchins | +6.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +6.5 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | UMES | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +10.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +8.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NC CEN | UMES | Serve err | N.C. Central | +8.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | UMES | NC CEN | Serve err | UMES | +8.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Jayda Hutchins | set Kate - Linh Eden | +8.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +9.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Malaysia Shaw | set Kate - Linh Eden | +9.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Allyson Rouse | set Breylan Fairley | +10.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Blocked | Malaysia Shaw | blk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell | +12.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +8.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Shalyn Bell | set Breylan Fairley | +10.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NC CEN | UMES | Kill | Karielys Melendez | set Kate - Linh Eden | +8.6 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Aniah Bass | set Hailey Gibbons | +11.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NC CEN | NC CEN | Attack err | Kyra Bradford | +10.3 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NC CEN | UMES | Blocked | Shalyn Bell | blk Dynasty Andrews | +3.3 |
| 27 | 15-12 | UMES | NC CEN | Kill | Morgan Wingo | set Breylan Fairley | +7.3 |
Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).