Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

N.C. Central def. UMES 3–2

N.C. Central won at UMES 3-2 (25-15, 24-26, 25-22, 24-26, 15-12) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. N.C. Central's Shalyn Bell led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set12345Sets
NC CEN25242524153
UMES15262226122

Win probability

UMES above 50 · N.C. Central below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+12.1% NC CENrally 214 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.1% to N.C. Central — set 5, NC CEN 11-9 UMES. Malaysia Shaw stuffed by Allyson Rouse & Shalyn Bell. UMES win probability 31% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC CEN 72.7%27.3% UMES

N.C. Central wins

3-0
25.2%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%

UMES wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%
NC CEN break %
46.1% vs this opp
UMES break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Malaysia Shaw stuffed by Allyson Rouse & Shalyn Bell

    Set 5 · NC CEN 11-9 UMES · NC CEN 69% → 81%

  2. 02
    Aniah BassKill+11.6%

    Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Hailey Gibbons)

    Set 5 · NC CEN 13-11 UMES · NC CEN 74% → 86%

  3. 03
    Dynasty AndrewsKill+11.2%

    Kill by Dynasty Andrews

    Set 4 · NC CEN 24-26 UMES · UMES 28% → 39%

  4. 04
    Shalyn BellKill+10.3%

    Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 5 · NC CEN 12-10 UMES · NC CEN 72% → 83%

  5. 05
    Kyra BradfordAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Kyra Bradford

    Set 5 · NC CEN 14-11 UMES · NC CEN 86% → 96%

  6. 06
    Allyson RouseKill+10.1%

    Kill by Allyson Rouse (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 5 · NC CEN 10-9 UMES · NC CEN 59% → 69%

  7. 07
    Jayda HutchinsKill+10.0%

    Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Kate - Linh Eden)

    Set 5 · NC CEN 6-6 UMES · UMES 30% → 40%

  8. 08
    Malaysia ShawKill+9.6%

    Kill by Malaysia Shaw (set by Kate - Linh Eden)

    Set 5 · NC CEN 9-9 UMES · UMES 32% → 41%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518642.28607613012227
5151037.1351256000017
513218.6110150022317
510326.2690001002111
58620.10010120031.59.5
5014-.250591290010.51.5
5115.0000111100002
5000–211700001
5001.000200510000
33110.200000300003
1000–000000000
Team totals6830163.2336513215763108113
UMEShome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518744.2500107300019
511425.2800324200014
55116.25000030515.510.5
52313-.077000102235
21310-.20010000010.51.5
1000–200300000
52012.167271250010.53.5
51011.000002300001
5003.0002021820000
4114.000100100001
4001.000211500001
1002.00000000010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals4119131.168356950137610101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

N.C. Central vs UMES

Season series · N.C. Central leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NC CEN · UMES 7

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 3 NC CENUMES 2

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 NC CENUMES 7

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 NC CENUMES 6

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 NC CENUMES 6

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 4 NC CENUMES 2

Bars above the line = UMES leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%13/25
39%7/18
2
50%11/22
52%13/25
3
77%10/13
41%7/17
4
71%10/14
50%10/20
5
53%9/17
50%9/18
6
82%9/11
36%5/14
All
61%62/102
46%51/112

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%13/24
43%9/21
2
46%11/24
33%6/18
3
56%10/18
47%9/19
4
60%9/15
33%5/15
5
47%9/19
31%4/13
6
75%9/12
44%7/16
All
54%61/112
39%40/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

214 rallies

#NC CEN-UMESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Jocelyn Torres+2.1
21-1UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.6
31-2NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.7
42-2UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.6
52-3NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.7
63-3UMESNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.7
74-3NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Jayda Hutchins+2.1
84-4NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jocelyn Torres+1.7
94-5UMESUMESBad setBreylan Fairley+2.3
105-5UMESNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.7
116-5NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Central+2.2
127-5NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Centralaced Jayda Hutchins+2.1
137-6NC CENUMESBlockedTalia Emmenblk Gabrielle McCoy, Malaysia Shaw+1.6
148-6UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+1.7
159-6NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Jayda Hutchins+1.9
169-7NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.5
179-8UMESUMESBlockedAllyson Rouseblk Dynasty Andrews+2.2
1810-8UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.8
1910-9NC CENUMESBad setAniah Bass+1.8
2011-9UMESNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Allyson Rouse+1.8
2112-9NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errRayah Howell+2.1
2213-9NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Central+1.8
2313-10NC CENUMESAttack errTalia Emmen+1.3
2414-10UMESNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.4
2515-10NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errJayda Hutchins+1.5
2616-10NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.1
2716-11NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+0.7
2817-11UMESNC CEN×3KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.8
2918-11NC CENNC CEN×3KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.7
3019-11NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Alex Fuller+0.4
3119-12NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
3220-12UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.3
3320-13NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+0.2
3421-13UMESNC CEN×3Bad setJayda Hutchins+0.2
3522-13NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errMalaysia Shaw+0.1
3623-13NC CENNC CEN×3KillAllyson Rouse·
3723-14NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central·
3824-14UMESNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley·
3924-15NC CENUMESBlockedAllyson Rouseblk Dynasty Andrews·
4025-15UMESNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley·
Set 2
11-0NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.6
21-1NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Arianna Warner Torres+1.3
32-1UMESNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.2
43-1NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Shalyn Bell+1.5
54-1NC CENNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.4
64-2NC CENUMES×3BlockedShalyn Bellblk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews+1.1
74-3UMESUMES×3KillKarielys Melendezset Rayah Howell+1.5
84-4UMESUMES×3BlockedTalia Emmenblk Dynasty Andrews+1.7
95-4UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.3
105-5NC CENUMES×3Attack errAniah Bass+1.4
115-6UMESUMES×3KillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+1.9
125-7UMESUMES×3Attack errTalia Emmen+2.0
136-7UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Talia Emmen+1.5
147-7NC CENNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.9
157-8NC CENUMESAttack errMorgan Wingo+1.6
168-8UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons+1.5
179-8NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Arianna Warner Torres+1.9
189-9NC CENUMES×7Serve errN.C. Central+1.6
199-10UMESUMES×7KillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.2
209-11UMESUMES×7KillKate - Linh Edenset Breylan Fairley+2.3
219-12UMESUMES×7Attack errMorgan Wingo+2.3
229-13UMESUMES×7Attack errBreylan Fairley+2.2
239-14UMESUMES×7Attack errTalia Emmen+2.0
249-15UMESUMES×7BlockedTalia Emmenblk Kate - Linh Eden, Malaysia Shaw+1.7
2510-15UMESNC CENBlockedMalaysia Shawblk Morgan Wingo+1.0
2610-16NC CENUMESAttack errTalia Emmen+1.3
2711-16UMESNC CENBad setJayda Hutchins+0.9
2812-16NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Karielys Melendez+1.5
2912-17NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.6
3013-17UMESNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.2
3113-18NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.6
3214-18UMESNC CENAttack errRayah Howell+1.1
3314-19NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+1.6
3414-20UMESUMESBlockedShalyn Bellblk Malaysia Shaw+1.5
3515-20UMESNC CEN×3KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+0.7
3616-20NC CENNC CEN×3KillMorgan Wingo+1.3
3717-20NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.8
3817-21NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+2.1
3918-21UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.3
4019-21NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Arianna Warner Torres+2.4
4119-22NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+2.8
4220-22UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.8
4320-23NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+3.0
4421-23UMESNC CEN×3Serve errUMES+1.7
4522-23NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass+3.6
4623-23NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errKarielys Melendez+5.4
4723-24NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+5.7
4824-24UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+5.7
4924-25NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+5.7
5024-26UMESUMESAceUMESaced Hailey Gibbons+8.1
Set 3
10-1UMESUMESAceUMES+3.0
21-1UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.3
31-2NC CENUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.4
42-2UMESNC CEN×4Serve errUMES+2.3
53-2NC CENNC CEN×4KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.9
64-2NC CENNC CEN×4KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+2.8
75-2NC CENNC CEN×4KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+2.5
85-3NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.9
96-3UMESNC CEN×3Serve errUMES+2.0
107-3NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Morgan Wingo, Shalyn Bell+2.3
118-3NC CENNC CEN×3Bad setKyra Bradford+1.9
128-4NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.4
139-4UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+1.5
1410-4NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Central+1.6
1510-5NC CENUMES×3Serve errN.C. Central+1.1
1610-6UMESUMES×3BlockedTabitha Newlinblk Malaysia Shaw+1.7
1710-7UMESUMES×3KillMargarette Vasquezset Alex Fuller+2.2
1811-7UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+1.9
1911-8NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+1.8
2012-8UMESNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+2.0
2112-9NC CENUMESAttack errAllyson Rouse+1.8
2213-9UMESNC CENServe errUMES+2.0
2313-10NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
2414-10UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.1
2515-10NC CENNC CENBlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Morgan Wingo+2.1
2615-11NC CENUMESAttack errJayla Egerton+1.4
2716-11UMESNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.7
2817-11NC CENNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+1.6
2917-12NC CENUMESBlockedAllyson Rouseblk Dynasty Andrews+0.9
3018-12UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons+1.2
3118-13NC CENUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
3219-13UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.1
3320-13NC CENNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.9
3420-14NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+0.4
3521-14UMESNC CEN×3KillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.6
3622-14NC CENNC CEN×3KillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.4
3723-14NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedKarielys Melendezblk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse+0.1
3823-15NC CENUMES×6Serve errN.C. Central·
3923-16UMESUMES×6KillJayda Hutchinsset Breylan Fairley+0.1
4023-17UMESUMES×6KillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
4123-18UMESUMES×6KillJayda Hutchinsset Lila Bryant+0.3
4223-19UMESUMES×6Attack errShalyn Bell+0.7
4323-20UMESUMES×6KillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+1.4
4424-20UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+2.0
4524-21NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+0.7
4624-22UMESUMESAttack errAllyson Rouse+2.0
4725-22UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+3.4
Set 4
11-0NC CENNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+2.3
21-1NC CENUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.9
32-1UMESNC CENServe errUMES+1.8
43-1NC CENNC CENBad setArianna Warner Torres+2.2
53-2NC CENUMES×6Serve errN.C. Central+1.8
63-3UMESUMES×6Attack errShalyn Bell+2.5
73-4UMESUMES×6Bad setBreylan Fairley+2.7
83-5UMESUMES×6KillKarielys Melendezset Arianna Warner Torres+2.9
93-6UMESUMES×6Attack errAniah Bass+2.9
103-7UMESUMES×6AceUMES+2.9
114-7UMESNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+1.9
124-8NC CENUMESAttack errTalia Emmen+2.3
135-8UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+2.0
145-9NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.4
155-10UMESUMESAceUMES+2.8
166-10UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.8
177-10NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Central+2.6
187-11NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.5
198-11UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+2.1
209-11NC CENNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+3.0
219-12NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+2.7
229-13UMESUMESAttack errTalia Emmen+3.3
2310-13UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+2.1
2410-14NC CENUMES×4KillKate - Linh Eden+2.7
2510-15UMESUMES×4Attack errShalyn Bell+3.0
2610-16UMESUMES×4KillJayda Hutchinsset Kyra Bradford+2.5
2710-17UMESUMES×4AceUMES+1.9
2811-17UMESNC CEN×5KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.0
2912-17NC CENNC CEN×5KillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+1.7
3013-17NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Central+2.2
3114-17NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errKarielys Melendez+2.8
3215-17NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errDynasty Andrews+3.4
3315-18NC CENUMESAttack errAllyson Rouse+3.4
3415-19UMESUMESAceUMES+3.8
3516-19UMESNC CENServe errUMES+2.1
3617-19NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Karielys Melendez+3.6
3717-20NC CENUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Kate - Linh Eden+3.7
3818-20UMESNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+2.8
3918-21NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+3.9
4018-22UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Lila Bryant+3.9
4119-22UMESNC CEN×4Serve errUMES+1.7
4220-22NC CENNC CEN×4BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Morgan Wingo, Breylan Fairley+3.5
4321-22NC CENNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Alex Fuller+5.1
4422-22NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Central+6.8
4522-23NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+6.7
4623-23UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+6.2
4723-24NC CENUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+8.5
4824-24UMESNC CENServe errUMES+8.5
4924-25NC CENUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+8.5
5024-26UMESUMESKillDynasty Andrews+11.2
Set 5
10-1UMESUMESAttack errTalia Emmen+8.5
21-1UMESNC CEN×4Attack errKarielys Melendez+6.3
32-1NC CENNC CEN×4KillJayla Egertonset Breylan Fairley+8.1
43-1NC CENNC CEN×4KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+7.7
54-1NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errJayda Hutchins+6.8
64-2NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+4.9
74-3UMESUMESAttack errAniah Bass+7.7
85-3UMESNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+6.4
95-4NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+6.3
106-4UMESNC CENAttack errJayda Hutchins+6.7
116-5NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+6.5
126-6UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+10.0
137-6UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+8.0
147-7NC CENUMESServe errN.C. Central+8.3
158-7UMESNC CENServe errUMES+8.6
168-8NC CENUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+8.9
179-8UMESNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+9.2
189-9NC CENUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+9.6
1910-9UMESNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+10.1
2011-9NC CENNC CENBlockedMalaysia Shawblk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell+12.1
2111-10NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+8.3
2212-10UMESNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+10.3
2312-11NC CENUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+8.6
2413-11UMESNC CENKillAniah Bassset Hailey Gibbons+11.6
2514-11NC CENNC CENAttack errKyra Bradford+10.3
2614-12NC CENUMESBlockedShalyn Bellblk Dynasty Andrews+3.3
2715-12UMESNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+7.3

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).