UMES vs N.C. Central Volleyball: N.C. Central Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 25, 2026MEAC Network

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. Central 79.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. Central beat visiting UMES 3-0 (25-18, 25-14, 25-19) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. N.C. Central's Shalyn Bell and Talia Emmen led with 9 kills each, and Hailey Gibbons added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:15 PM CT · final Oct 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UMES	18	14	19	0
NC CEN	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Shalyn Bell in a N.C. Central rout.

Win probability never moved more than 2.3 points on one rally; UMES topped out at 24% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave N.C. Central 79% before first serve.

UMESN.C. Central

Break %+19.1 pts
40.459.5
44 of 74 on serve vs 21 of 52, so UMES's sideout was 40.5%.
Hitting+.235
.072.307
Kills and errors: 41–10 vs 23–16.
Longest run+1
45
N.C. Central scored 5 straight in the second set to open the set 5–0. Final score of the set: 25–14.

N.C. Central above 50UMES belowMax swing 2.3%

UMESN.C. Central

Aces: UMES 7·N.C. Central 14
Serve err: UMES 2·N.C. Central 10
Blocks: UMES 2·N.C. Central 50 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs: UMES 43·N.C. Central 51

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. Central above 50 · UMES below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to UMES — set 1, UMES 9-8 NC CEN. UMES ace on Hailey Gibbons. NC CEN win probability 79% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 16.3%83.7% NC CEN

UMES wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.3%

3-2

8.5%

N.C. Central wins

3-0

35.6%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.1%

UMES break %: 40.1% vs this opp
NC CEN break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
UMESAce+2.3%
UMES ace on Hailey Gibbons
Set 1 · UMES 9-8 NC CEN · UMES 21% → 24%
02
Jayda HutchinsKill+2.2%
Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Jocelyn Torres)
Set 1 · UMES 7-6 NC CEN · UMES 21% → 23%
03
Malaysia ShawAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Malaysia Shaw
Set 1 · UMES 9-10 NC CEN · NC CEN 78% → 80%
04
Talia EmmenKill+2.1%
Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 1 · UMES 10-12 NC CEN · NC CEN 80% → 82%
05
Shalyn BellAce+2.0%
Ace by Shalyn Bell on Karielys Melendez
Set 1 · UMES 7-8 NC CEN · NC CEN 78% → 80%
06
UMESAce+1.9%
UMES ace on Talia Emmen
Set 1 · UMES 5-5 NC CEN · UMES 19% → 21%
07
Talia EmmenKill+1.8%
Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 1 · UMES 10-13 NC CEN · NC CEN 82% → 84%
08
Jayda HutchinsKill+1.7%
Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Karielys Melendez)
Set 1 · UMES 10-10 NC CEN · UMES 20% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Jayda HutchinsS	3	9	7	33	.061	0	2	1	10	1	0	0	11
8Kyra BradfordOH	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Shayla HenryOH	3	1	1	7	.000	0	3	0	2	0	1	0.5	4.5
23Malaysia ShawMB	3	3	2	16	.063	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
1Arianna Warner TorresS	3	0	0	3	.000	8	1	0	5	0	0	0	1
18Gabrielle McCoyOPP	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
11Karielys MelendezOH	3	2	0	3	.667	2	0	0	9	4	0	0	2
4Jocelyn TorresS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	5	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
9Rayah HowellMB	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
30Dynasty AndrewsMB	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
5Alivia ProctorDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	0
3Kate - Linh EdenOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Jaslyn DawkinsOH	1	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lila BryantL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0
Team totals		23	16	97	.072	20	7	2	43	14	4	2	51

N.C. Centralhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Shalyn BellOH	3	9	3	27	.222	0	5	4	7	0	0	2	1	15
16Talia EmmenOH	3	9	3	19	.316	0	2	1	9	4	0	0	0	11
3Allyson RouseMB	3	8	0	11	.727	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
7Aniah BassOH	3	7	2	21	.238	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
2Morgan WingoMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
6Breylan FairleyS	3	0	0	0	–	25	3	1	7	0	0	0	0	3
10Kayla RileyOH	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	3
4Hailey GibbonsDS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	2	3	15	3	0	0	0	2
13Lusiana DamuniS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
11Jayla EgertonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	101	.307	40	14	10	51	7	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMES vs N.C. Central

Season series · N.C. Central leads 2-0

Sun, Sep 27, 2026N.C. Central at UMES · N.C. Central won 3-2Result →
Sun, Oct 25, 2026UMES at N.C. Central · N.C. Central won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UMES · NC CEN 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 UMESNC CEN 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 4 UMESNC CEN 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 UMESNC CEN 4

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%6/18	20%1/5
2	46%6/13	54%7/13
3	42%5/12	33%3/9
4	50%5/10	44%4/9
5	42%5/12	38%3/8
6	33%3/9	38%3/8
All	41%30/74	40%21/52

N.C. Central

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	64%9/14
2	75%6/8	65%11/17
3	46%6/13	57%8/14
4	71%5/7	44%4/9
5	56%5/9	58%7/12
6	75%3/4	63%5/8
All	60%31/52	59%44/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	UMES-NC CEN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez		+1.4
2	1-1	UMES	NC CEN×3	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
3	1-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Talia Emmen	aced Jayda Hutchins	+1.7
4	1-3	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
5	2-3	NC CEN	UMES	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.2
6	2-4	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.2
7	2-5	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+1.4
8	3-5	NC CEN	UMES×3	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jocelyn Torres	+1.1
9	4-5	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES	aced Talia Emmen	+1.7
10	5-5	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES	aced Talia Emmen	+1.9
11	5-6	UMES	NC CEN	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+1.4
12	6-6	NC CEN	UMES	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+1.5
13	7-6	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Jocelyn Torres	+2.2
14	7-7	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.6
15	7-8	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Shalyn Bell	aced Karielys Melendez	+2.0
16	8-8	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+1.6
17	9-8	UMES	UMES	Ace	UMES	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.3
18	9-9	UMES	NC CEN	Bad set	Arianna Warner Torres		+1.7
19	9-10	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+2.2
20	10-10	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Karielys Melendez	+1.7
21	10-11	UMES	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.7
22	10-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.1
23	10-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.8
24	11-13	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Gabrielle McCoy	set Arianna Warner Torres	+1.3
25	11-14	UMES	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+1.4
26	11-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Hailey Gibbons	+1.6
27	11-16	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Gabrielle McCoy	blk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell	+1.2
28	12-16	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez		+0.7
29	12-17	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+0.9
30	12-18	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.8
31	13-18	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+0.5
32	14-18	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+0.9
33	14-19	UMES	NC CEN×4	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+0.9
34	14-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.8
35	14-21	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Lusiana Damuni	aced Lila Bryant	+0.4
36	14-22	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Lusiana Damuni	aced Lila Bryant	+0.2
37	15-22	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Jocelyn Torres	+0.1
38	15-23	UMES	NC CEN	Blocked	Jayda Hutchins	blk Morgan Wingo, Shalyn Bell	+0.1
39	15-24	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Shalyn Bell	aced Lila Bryant	·
40	16-24	NC CEN	UMES×3	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		·
41	17-24	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Arianna Warner Torres	·
42	18-24	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Talia Emmen		·
43	18-25	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	UMES	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.0
2	0-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Kyra Bradford		+1.2
3	0-3	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+1.1
4	0-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+0.9
5	0-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Blocked	Jayda Hutchins	blk Aniah Bass	+0.8
6	1-5	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Arianna Warner Torres	+0.6
7	1-6	UMES	NC CEN×3	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.6
8	1-7	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Hailey Gibbons	aced Karielys Melendez	+0.7
9	1-8	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+0.5
10	2-8	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Karielys Melendez	+0.3
11	2-9	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.4
12	2-10	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.4
13	3-10	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Arianna Warner Torres	+0.2
14	3-11	UMES	NC CEN×3	Bad set	Jayda Hutchins		+0.3
15	3-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Shalyn Bell		+0.3
16	3-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Shalyn Bell		+0.2
17	4-13	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+0.1
18	5-13	UMES	UMES	Ace	UMES	aced Hailey Gibbons	+0.2
19	5-14	UMES	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Jocelyn Torres	blk Kayla Riley	+0.2
20	5-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.1
21	5-16	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.1
22	6-16	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Jayla Egerton		·
23	6-17	UMES	NC CEN×4	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.1
24	6-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Breylan Fairley	aced Alivia Proctor	·
25	6-19	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	·
26	6-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Breylan Fairley		·
27	7-20	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Jocelyn Torres	·
28	7-21	UMES	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	·
29	7-22	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Talia Emmen	aced Karielys Melendez	·
30	7-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	·
31	8-23	NC CEN	UMES×3	Serve err	Talia Emmen		·
32	9-23	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Arianna Warner Torres	·
33	10-23	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Arianna Warner Torres	·
34	10-24	UMES	NC CEN	Serve err	Jayda Hutchins		·
35	11-24	NC CEN	UMES×4	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Arianna Warner Torres	·
36	12-24	UMES	UMES×4	Blocked	Aniah Bass	blk Dynasty Andrews, Shayla Henry	·
37	13-24	UMES	UMES×4	Blocked	Shalyn Bell	blk Kyra Bradford, Dynasty Andrews	·
38	14-24	UMES	UMES×4	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		·
39	14-25	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	·
Set 3
1	0-1	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Hailey Gibbons	+0.6
2	0-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.6
3	0-3	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Blocked	Rayah Howell	blk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass	+0.5
4	0-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Breylan Fairley	aced Alivia Proctor	+0.5
5	1-4	NC CEN	UMES×3	Serve err	Breylan Fairley		+0.4
6	2-4	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Arianna Warner Torres	+0.5
7	3-4	UMES	UMES×3	Bad set	Breylan Fairley		+0.6
8	3-5	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+0.5
9	4-5	NC CEN	UMES	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+0.5
10	4-6	UMES	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.5
11	4-7	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+0.6
12	4-8	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+0.5
13	4-9	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Hailey Gibbons	+0.4
14	5-9	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+0.3
15	6-9	UMES	UMES	Ace	UMES	aced Talia Emmen	+0.5
16	6-10	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+0.4
17	7-10	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.4
18	8-10	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.6
19	8-11	UMES	NC CEN	Serve err	Alivia Proctor		+0.5
20	9-11	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.5
21	9-12	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.5
22	10-12	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.5
23	11-12	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins		+0.8
24	11-13	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.6
25	12-13	NC CEN	UMES×4	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jocelyn Torres	+0.6
26	13-13	UMES	UMES×4	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+1.0
27	14-13	UMES	UMES×4	Ace	UMES	aced Talia Emmen	+1.1
28	15-13	UMES	UMES×4	Ace	UMES	aced Hailey Gibbons	+1.2
29	15-14	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.8
30	15-15	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Kate - Linh Eden		+1.1
31	16-15	NC CEN	UMES	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+1.0
32	16-16	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+0.9
33	16-17	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Hailey Gibbons	aced Karielys Melendez	+1.2
34	17-17	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+0.9
35	17-18	UMES	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.0
36	18-18	NC CEN	UMES	Kill	Kyra Bradford	set Jaslyn Dawkins	+1.0
37	18-19	UMES	NC CEN×4	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.0
38	18-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Shalyn Bell		+1.2
39	18-21	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+1.0
40	18-22	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Morgan Wingo		+0.7
41	19-22	NC CEN	UMES	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+0.3
42	19-23	UMES	NC CEN×3	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.5
43	19-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.3
44	19-25	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

N.C. Central def. UMES 3–0

5 aces from Shalyn Bell in a N.C. Central rout.