Morgan State vs N.C. Central: N.C. Central Wins 3-2 (Oct 2)

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026MEAC Network

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. Central 57.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. Central beat visiting Morgan St. 3-2 (19-25, 25-22, 25-20, 19-25, 15-11) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. N.C. Central's Talia Emmen led with 24 kills, and Shalyn Bell added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
MORGAN	25	22	20	25	11	2
NC CEN	19	25	25	19	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Breylan Fairley had 56 assists, and N.C. Central outlasted Morgan St.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are N.C. Central's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave N.C. Central 57% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Morgan St. 10–9 N.C. Central
6 straight N.C. Central points turned a 9–10 deficit into a 15–10 lead.
N.C. Central 51% → 73%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Morgan St. 2–2 N.C. Central
From 2–2, N.C. Central scored 3 straight to lead 5–2.
N.C. Central 54% → 78%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Morgan St. 10–12 N.C. Central
3 of the last 4 rallies went to N.C. Central, enough to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.
N.C. Central 80% → >99%

N.C. Central above 50Morgan St. belowMax swing 12.7%

Morgan St.N.C. Central

Sideout %: Morgan St. 53.9·N.C. Central 53.8
Break %: Morgan St. 46.2·N.C. Central 46.1
Hitting: Morgan St. .246·N.C. Central .175
Longest run: Morgan St. 5·N.C. Central 6

Talia Emmen
7 of her kills came in the stretches above. 24 K, .259, 28 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. Central above 50 · Morgan St. below

Biggest swing: 12.7% to N.C. Central — set 5, MORGAN 11-13 NC CEN. Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Shalyn Bell). NC CEN win probability 71% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MORGAN 44.9%55.1% NC CEN

Morgan St. wins

3-0

10.5%

3-1

16.6%

3-2

17.8%

N.C. Central wins

3-0

14.7%

3-1

20.9%

3-2

19.5%

MORGAN break %: 43.4% vs this opp
NC CEN break %: 44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Talia EmmenKill+12.7%
Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Shalyn Bell)
Set 5 · MORGAN 11-13 NC CEN · NC CEN 71% → 84%
02
Talia EmmenKill+11.7%
Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 5 · MORGAN 11-14 NC CEN · NC CEN 84% → 95%
03
Aniah BassKill+11.2%
Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 5 · MORGAN 10-12 NC CEN · NC CEN 69% → 80%
04
Shalyn BellAttack error+11.2%
Attack error by Shalyn Bell
Set 5 · MORGAN 10-11 NC CEN · MORGAN 20% → 31%
05
Michaela PanekovaKill+9.1%
Kill by Michaela Panekova (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 5 · MORGAN 11-12 NC CEN · MORGAN 20% → 29%
06
N.C. CentralAce+8.8%
N.C. Central ace on Michaela Panekova
Set 5 · MORGAN 2-4 NC CEN · NC CEN 61% → 70%
07
Talia EmmenKill+8.1%
Kill by Talia Emmen (set by Hailey Gibbons)
Set 5 · MORGAN 2-5 NC CEN · NC CEN 70% → 78%
08
Shalyn BellKill+8.0%
Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 5 · MORGAN 8-11 NC CEN · NC CEN 78% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Morgan St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Michaela PanekovaOH	5	15	3	36	.333	0	1	1	13	2	0	0	0	16
11Aubrey WilsonMB	5	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	5	10
1Jada WilliamsMB	5	8	5	39	.077	1	0	2	12	0	1	0	1	9
19Chloe ScottOH	5	6	1	10	.500	0	1	4	6	0	2	0	2	9
4Isabelle BrownS	5	4	1	9	.333	32	0	2	9	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Nathalia MoraisOH	5	1	1	8	.000	0	1	1	5	1	0	0	0	2
5Bailey SwintonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	3	2	7	0	0	0	0	3
6Tameary WardlawL/DS	5	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0
14Tyrah WeemsMB	4	8	2	14	.429	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
16Zayda ThomasOH	3	4	2	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
13Alaina WalkerS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		51	17	138	.246	45	7	12	57	9	7	4	9	103

N.C. Centralhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Talia EmmenOH	5	24	10	54	.259	0	3	2	7	0	1	0	1	28
12Shalyn BellOH	5	21	11	62	.161	2	1	4	13	0	0	1	0.5	22.5
7Aniah BassOH	5	11	4	22	.318	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	11
3Allyson RouseMB	5	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
6Breylan FairleyS	5	1	3	9	-.222	56	2	3	8	0	0	0	0	3
2Morgan WingoMB	5	3	3	8	.000	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	3
4Hailey GibbonsDS	5	0	0	1	.000	1	2	1	11	3	0	0	0	2
17Alex FullerDS	5	0	0	2	.000	1	1	0	9	2	0	0	0	1
11Jayla EgertonDS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	33	171	.175	62	9	12	60	7	2	2	3	103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morgan St. vs N.C. Central

Season series · N.C. Central leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Morgan St. at N.C. Central · N.C. Central won 3-2This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026N.C. Central at Morgan St. · N.C. Central won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MORGAN · NC CEN 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 MORGANNC CEN 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MORGANNC CEN 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 MORGANNC CEN 6

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 MORGANNC CEN 4

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 MORGANNC CEN 3

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = Morgan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morgan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%11/27	31%4/13
2	91%10/11	50%11/22
3	43%9/21	44%8/18
4	45%9/20	36%5/14
5	82%9/11	47%8/17
6	58%7/12	60%12/20
All	54%55/102	46%48/104

N.C. Central

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	58%11/19
2	48%10/21	50%10/20
3	71%10/14	44%8/18
4	64%9/14	53%10/19
5	47%9/19	47%8/17
6	41%7/17	0%0/9
All	54%56/104	46%47/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#	MORGAN-NC CEN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MORGAN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.8
2	0-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
3	0-3	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Jada Williams		+2.2
4	0-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+2.1
5	0-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.8
6	1-5	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
7	2-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Breylan Fairley		+1.9
8	3-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Jada Williams	set Breylan Fairley	+2.2
9	3-6	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.8
10	4-6	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.7
11	4-7	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.9
12	5-7	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.8
13	6-7	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+2.5
14	6-8	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.1
15	6-9	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Nathalia Morais		+2.5
16	7-9	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.8
17	8-9	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+2.7
18	9-9	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+2.9
19	9-10	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
20	10-10	NC CEN	MORGAN×5	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Aubrey Wilson	+2.3
21	11-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Isabelle Brown, Aubrey Wilson	+3.2
22	12-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+3.2
23	13-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+3.1
24	14-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+2.8
25	14-11	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.8
26	14-12	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Jada Williams		+2.8
27	15-12	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.6
28	15-13	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Shalyn Bell	+2.2
29	16-13	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Chloe Scott	set Isabelle Brown	+2.7
30	16-14	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
31	17-14	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.8
32	18-14	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+3.1
33	19-14	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.4
34	19-15	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
35	19-16	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson		+2.3
36	20-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Isabelle Brown		+2.5
37	20-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.7
38	20-18	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.1
39	21-18	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+3.3
40	21-19	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
41	22-19	NC CEN	MORGAN×4	Serve err	N.C. Central		+3.5
42	23-19	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+3.1
43	24-19	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Chloe Scott	set Isabelle Brown	+1.5
44	25-19	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.4
Set 2
1	1-0	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.0
2	2-0	MORGAN	MORGAN	Ace	Morgan St.		+2.7
3	2-1	MORGAN	NC CEN	Bad set	Isabelle Brown		+2.0
4	3-1	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Nathalia Morais	set Isabelle Brown	+2.1
5	4-1	MORGAN	MORGAN	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Jada Williams	+2.7
6	4-2	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.9
7	5-2	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+2.1
8	6-2	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.6
9	6-3	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.8
10	6-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Isabelle Brown		+2.6
11	6-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Nathalia Morais	+2.8
12	6-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.9
13	7-6	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+2.4
14	7-7	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
15	7-8	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+3.0
16	8-8	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.4
17	9-8	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+3.2
18	10-8	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Alex Fuller	+3.3
19	10-9	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.4
20	11-9	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Tameary Wardlaw	+2.6
21	11-10	MORGAN	NC CEN×5	Blocked	Jada Williams	blk Shalyn Bell, Allyson Rouse	+2.4
22	11-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+3.4
23	11-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Bad set	Isabelle Brown		+3.5
24	11-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Jayla Egerton	+3.4
25	11-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+3.1
26	12-14	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
27	12-15	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.5
28	13-15	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Chloe Scott	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
29	13-16	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.6
30	13-17	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Jada Williams		+2.9
31	14-17	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.8
32	14-18	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.3
33	14-19	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson		+2.2
34	15-19	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+1.2
35	16-19	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova		+2.2
36	16-20	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
37	16-21	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.1
38	17-21	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.0
39	17-22	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.5
40	18-22	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Isabelle Brown	set Talia Emmen	+0.8
41	19-22	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.8
42	19-23	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.2
43	19-24	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.4
44	20-24	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Isabelle Brown	set Jada Williams	+0.3
45	21-24	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Breylan Fairley		+0.8
46	22-24	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+1.9
47	22-25	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Tyrah Weems		+3.4
Set 3
1	0-1	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.5
2	0-2	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Chloe Scott		+3.1
3	1-2	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.4
4	2-2	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+3.3
5	2-3	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.6
6	2-4	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen		+3.3
7	3-4	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+2.5
8	3-5	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.6
9	4-5	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+2.5
10	5-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+3.5
11	6-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+3.7
12	6-6	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.8
13	6-7	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Breylan Fairley	set Alex Fuller	+3.7
14	7-7	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+2.9
15	7-8	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.9
16	8-8	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Breylan Fairley		+2.9
17	9-8	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams		+4.0
18	9-9	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+3.0
19	10-9	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+3.2
20	10-10	MORGAN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.1
21	10-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Jada Williams		+4.2
22	10-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+4.1
23	10-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	N.C. Central		+3.8
24	10-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.3
25	10-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.8
26	11-15	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+1.7
27	12-15	MORGAN	MORGAN	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.8
28	12-16	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.7
29	13-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
30	13-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.7
31	14-17	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
32	14-18	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.8
33	14-19	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central		+2.8
34	14-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+1.8
35	14-21	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.1
36	15-21	NC CEN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Alaina Walker	+0.4
37	16-21	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Bailey Swinton	+0.9
38	17-21	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Chloe Scott		+1.5
39	18-21	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Ace	Morgan St.		+2.5
40	19-21	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Alex Fuller	+3.9
41	19-22	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+4.2
42	20-22	NC CEN	MORGAN	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Chloe Scott	+2.9
43	20-23	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+4.4
44	20-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+3.2
45	20-25	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Michaela Panekova	blk Allyson Rouse	+1.0
Set 4
1	1-0	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.4
2	2-0	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+3.1
3	3-0	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+3.1
4	3-1	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.2
5	4-1	NC CEN	MORGAN×4	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Aubrey Wilson	+2.4
6	5-1	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Blocked	Aniah Bass	blk Tyrah Weems, Aubrey Wilson	+3.0
7	6-1	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Alaina Walker	+2.8
8	7-1	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Aubrey Wilson	+2.4
9	7-2	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
10	7-3	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
11	7-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Tyrah Weems		+2.8
12	7-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.1
13	8-5	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.6
14	9-5	MORGAN	MORGAN	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+3.2
15	9-6	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Morgan Wingo	+2.2
16	9-7	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.2
17	10-7	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Alaina Walker	+2.8
18	10-8	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Zayda Thomas		+2.5
19	11-8	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.9
20	11-9	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.6
21	12-9	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.9
22	13-9	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+3.5
23	13-10	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
24	13-11	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tyrah Weems	+3.5
25	14-11	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+3.1
26	15-11	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+3.6
27	15-12	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
28	16-12	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.9
29	17-12	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+3.1
30	18-12	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+2.3
31	18-13	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.2
32	18-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.2
33	18-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+3.0
34	18-16	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Michaela Panekova	+3.9
35	19-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Blocked	Aniah Bass	blk Aubrey Wilson	+3.8
36	19-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Blocked	Zayda Thomas	blk Talia Emmen	+3.0
37	20-17	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Alaina Walker	+4.0
38	21-17	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Bailey Swinton	+4.1
39	21-18	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
40	22-18	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Alaina Walker	+3.1
41	23-18	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Chloe Scott	+2.4
42	24-18	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Bailey Swinton	+1.0
43	24-19	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.2
44	25-19	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Chloe Scott	set Isabelle Brown	+0.6
Set 5
1	0-1	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+6.4
2	1-1	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Alaina Walker	+6.5
3	1-2	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+6.7
4	2-2	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Alaina Walker	+6.7
5	2-3	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+6.9
6	2-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Michaela Panekova	+8.8
7	2-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Hailey Gibbons	+8.1
8	3-5	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+5.6
9	3-6	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+6.5
10	4-6	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Chloe Scott	set Isabelle Brown	+5.7
11	4-7	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+6.7
12	5-7	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+5.8
13	5-8	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+7.0
14	5-9	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+7.4
15	5-10	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+5.4
16	6-10	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.7
17	7-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+5.3
18	8-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Isabelle Brown	set Bailey Swinton	+7.8
19	8-11	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+8.0
20	9-11	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+6.0
21	10-11	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+11.2
22	10-12	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+11.2
23	11-12	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+9.1
24	11-13	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Shalyn Bell	+12.7
25	11-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+11.7
26	11-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+4.7

Score shown after each rally, Morgan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

N.C. Central def. Morgan St. 3–2

Breylan Fairley had 56 assists, and N.C. Central outlasted Morgan St.