N.C. Central vs Morgan State: N.C. Central Wins 3-0 (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026MEAC Network

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Morgan St. 59.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. Central won at Morgan St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-21, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Kayla Riley led N.C. Central with 11 kills; Morgan St.'s Hanna Nemeth had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NC CEN	25	25	27	3
MORGAN	23	21	25	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 of the last 8 rallies went to N.C. Central, closing out Morgan St.

The match turned twice; each line shows N.C. Central's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Morgan St. went in at 60% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · N.C. Central 20–20 Morgan St.
4 straight N.C. Central points broke a 20–20 tie and made it 24–20.
N.C. Central 63% → 82%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · N.C. Central 24–24 Morgan St.
N.C. Central won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–0.
N.C. Central 83% → >99%

Morgan St. above 50N.C. Central belowMax swing 8.5%

N.C. CentralMorgan St.

Sideout %: N.C. Central 59.2·Morgan St. 53.3
Break %: N.C. Central 46.7·Morgan St. 40.8
Hitting: N.C. Central .250·Morgan St. .194
Longest run: N.C. Central 5·Morgan St. 7

Kayla Riley
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 11 K, .526, 11 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Morgan St. above 50 · N.C. Central below

Biggest swing: 8.5% to N.C. Central — set 3, NC CEN 27-25 MORGAN. Kill by Kayla Riley (set by Lusiana Damuni). MORGAN win probability 9% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC CEN 39.9%60.1% MORGAN

N.C. Central wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.6%

3-2

16.7%

Morgan St. wins

3-0

17.2%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

19.9%

NC CEN break %: 43.0% vs this opp
MORGAN break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kayla RileyKill+8.5%
Kill by Kayla Riley (set by Lusiana Damuni)
Set 3 · NC CEN 27-25 MORGAN · NC CEN 91% → 100%
02
N.C. CentralAce+8.2%
N.C. Central ace on Michaela Panekova
Set 3 · NC CEN 25-24 MORGAN · NC CEN 83% → 91%
03
Shalyn BellKill+8.1%
Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 1 · NC CEN 25-23 MORGAN · NC CEN 52% → 60%
04
Tyrah WeemsAttack error+7.8%
Attack error by Tyrah Weems
Set 3 · NC CEN 24-24 MORGAN · NC CEN 75% → 83%
05
Michaela PanekovaKill+6.4%
Kill by Michaela Panekova (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 3 · NC CEN 25-25 MORGAN · MORGAN 9% → 15%
06
Isabelle BrownAttack error+6.4%
Attack error by Isabelle Brown
Set 3 · NC CEN 26-25 MORGAN · NC CEN 85% → 91%
07
Allyson RouseKill+6.4%
Kill by Allyson Rouse (set by Lusiana Damuni)
Set 2 · NC CEN 22-20 MORGAN · NC CEN 68% → 74%
08
Hanna NemethKill+5.6%
Kill by Hanna Nemeth (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 2 · NC CEN 20-20 MORGAN · MORGAN 32% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

N.C. Centralaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Talia EmmenOH	3	9	7	32	.063	0	2	1	3	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
12Shalyn BellOH	3	7	0	20	.350	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	0	9
3Allyson RouseMB	3	5	1	8	.500	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	8.5
7Aniah BassOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Morgan WingoMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
6Breylan FairleyS	3	0	0	1	.000	21	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
10Kayla RileyOH	3	11	1	19	.526	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11
4Hailey GibbonsDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	13	4	0	0	0	1
13Lusiana DamuniS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Jayla EgertonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Tabitha NewlinOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	14	108	.250	40	6	7	38	5	4	4	6	77

Morgan St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Hanna NemethOH	3	14	1	23	.565	0	0	1	12	2	0	0	0	14
9Michaela PanekovaOH	3	9	6	29	.103	1	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	11
1Jada WilliamsMB	3	4	4	15	.000	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	2	6
4Isabelle BrownS	3	1	1	5	.000	29	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	2
16Zayda ThomasOH	2	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
11Aubrey WilsonMB	2	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Nathalia MoraisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
6Tameary WardlawL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0
5Bailey SwintonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	0	0
21Kira DevriezeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Tre'Niya MillerMB	1	5	1	6	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
14Tyrah WeemsMB	1	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		38	19	98	.194	33	5	10	42	6	2	2	3	69

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

N.C. Central vs Morgan St.

Season series · N.C. Central leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Morgan St. at N.C. Central · N.C. Central won 3-2Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026N.C. Central at Morgan St. · N.C. Central won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NC CEN · MORGAN 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 NC CENMORGAN 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 NC CENMORGAN 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 5 NC CENMORGAN 7

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. Central

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	65%11/17
2	73%8/11	38%5/13
3	62%8/13	53%9/17
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	35%6/17	33%3/9
All	59%42/71	47%35/75

Morgan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	20%2/10
2	44%8/18	33%4/12
3	60%6/10	38%5/13
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	67%6/9	0%0/6
6	38%6/16	65%11/17
All	53%40/75	41%29/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#	NC CEN-MORGAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Hanna Nemeth		+1.9
2	1-1	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+1.8
3	2-1	MORGAN	NC CEN×5	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.9
4	3-1	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Hanna Nemeth	+2.5
5	4-1	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.5
6	5-1	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
7	6-1	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.2
8	6-2	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+1.5
9	7-2	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.7
10	7-3	NC CEN	MORGAN×5	Bad set	Talia Emmen		+1.5
11	7-4	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Blocked	Morgan Wingo	blk Jada Williams	+2.2
12	7-5	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Michaela Panekova	+2.4
13	7-6	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Kill	Jada Williams		+2.6
14	7-7	MORGAN	MORGAN×5	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+2.7
15	8-7	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.2
16	9-7	NC CEN	NC CEN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.9
17	9-8	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.1
18	10-8	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.3
19	10-9	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
20	10-10	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+3.0
21	11-10	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.5
22	12-10	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.2
23	13-10	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson		+3.1
24	13-11	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+2.1
25	14-11	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Hailey Gibbons	+2.5
26	14-12	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
27	15-12	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.6
28	16-12	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+3.0
29	16-13	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Isabelle Brown	+1.9
30	16-14	MORGAN	MORGAN	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Talia Emmen	+2.9
31	17-14	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.8
32	18-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Michaela Panekova	blk Morgan Wingo, Aniah Bass	+3.1
33	19-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Jada Williams		+2.5
34	19-15	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
35	20-15	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.9
36	20-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+1.2
37	21-16	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.8
38	21-17	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.1
39	22-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.7
40	22-18	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+0.9
41	23-18	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.5
42	23-19	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+0.6
43	23-20	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Bailey Swinton	+1.5
44	24-20	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.2
45	24-21	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Talia Emmen	+0.7
46	24-22	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.0
47	24-23	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+4.5
48	25-23	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+8.1
Set 2
1	1-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.7
2	2-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.7
3	3-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+2.7
4	3-1	NC CEN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Zayda Thomas	set Isabelle Brown	+1.9
5	3-2	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+2.7
6	3-3	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+2.7
7	3-4	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Jada Williams	+2.8
8	4-4	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Serve err	Morgan St.		+2.2
9	5-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Zayda Thomas	blk Allyson Rouse	+2.9
10	6-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+3.0
11	6-5	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
12	6-6	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Bad set	Breylan Fairley		+2.9
13	6-7	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+3.0
14	7-7	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
15	8-7	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Allyson Rouse	+3.2
16	8-8	NC CEN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+2.4
17	8-9	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+3.2
18	8-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+3.1
19	9-10	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
20	9-11	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+2.5
21	10-11	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.4
22	11-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+3.4
23	12-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Jada Williams	blk Morgan Wingo	+3.6
24	12-12	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+2.8
25	13-12	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.0
26	13-13	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.9
27	13-14	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Kayla Riley		+3.8
28	14-14	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.0
29	15-14	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Tameary Wardlaw		+4.1
30	15-15	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+3.1
31	16-15	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+3.4
32	16-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+3.3
33	17-16	MORGAN	NC CEN	Blocked	Jada Williams	blk Allyson Rouse	+3.6
34	17-17	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Tameary Wardlaw	+3.5
35	18-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+3.8
36	18-18	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+3.7
37	19-18	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+4.1
38	20-18	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Hanna Nemeth	+5.3
39	20-19	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+3.6
40	20-20	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+5.6
41	21-20	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+5.0
42	22-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+6.4
43	23-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Zayda Thomas		+5.3
44	24-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.2
45	24-21	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+0.8
46	25-21	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.8
Set 3
1	0-1	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Isabelle Brown		+1.9
2	1-1	MORGAN	NC CEN	Blocked	Michaela Panekova	blk Allyson Rouse, Talia Emmen	+1.5
3	1-2	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+1.5
4	2-2	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Jada Williams		+1.6
5	3-2	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.1
6	3-3	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.6
7	4-3	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+1.7
8	4-4	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Isabelle Brown		+1.6
9	5-4	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.7
10	5-5	NC CEN	MORGAN	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.7
11	6-5	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.8
12	6-6	NC CEN	MORGAN×7	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+1.7
13	6-7	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
14	6-8	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Tyrah Weems, Tre'Niya Miller	+2.2
15	6-9	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+2.0
16	6-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Attack err	Allyson Rouse		+1.8
17	6-11	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Bailey Swinton	+1.6
18	6-12	MORGAN	MORGAN×7	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+1.3
19	7-12	MORGAN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.8
20	8-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
21	9-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.7
22	10-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
23	11-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
24	11-13	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+2.0
25	12-13	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.9
26	12-14	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+2.0
27	13-14	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+2.0
28	13-15	NC CEN	MORGAN	Bad set	Shalyn Bell		+2.1
29	14-15	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
30	14-16	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+2.2
31	14-17	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+2.6
32	15-17	MORGAN	NC CEN	Serve err	Morgan St.		+1.8
33	15-18	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Isabelle Brown	+2.1
34	16-18	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.8
35	16-19	NC CEN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Hanna Nemeth	set Kira Devrieze	+2.2
36	16-20	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Ace	Morgan St.	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.2
37	16-21	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+1.5
38	16-22	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Tyrah Weems	set Isabelle Brown	+0.9
39	17-22	MORGAN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.3
40	18-22	NC CEN	NC CEN	Blocked	Tre'Niya Miller	blk Allyson Rouse	+0.8
41	18-23	NC CEN	MORGAN	Attack err	Hanna Nemeth		+1.0
42	19-23	MORGAN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+0.4
43	20-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Tyrah Weems		+1.1
44	21-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
45	22-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+3.6
46	22-24	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+4.5
47	23-24	MORGAN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.6
48	24-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Tyrah Weems		+7.8
49	25-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Michaela Panekova	+8.2
50	25-25	NC CEN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+6.4
51	26-25	MORGAN	NC CEN	Attack err	Isabelle Brown		+6.4
52	27-25	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+8.5

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

N.C. Central def. Morgan St. 3–0

6 of the last 8 rallies went to N.C. Central, closing out Morgan St.