FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeLONE-STAR

UT Tyler def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–0

(25-21, 25-17, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARK PB	21	17	22	0
TX TYL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX TYL above 50 · ARK PB below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Ark.-Pine Bluff — set 1, ARK PB 20-18 TX TYL. Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by Martyna Lubowicz). TX TYL win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARK PB 0.4%99.6% TX TYL

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

UT Tyler wins

3-0

82.0%

3-1

15.8%

3-2

1.9%

ARK PB break %: 37.5% vs this opp
TX TYL break %: 58.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ashanti ButlerKill+0.4%
Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by Martyna Lubowicz)
Set 1 · ARK PB 20-18 TX TYL · ARK PB 1% → 1%
02
ARK PB serverAce+0.3%
Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Mia Cross
Set 1 · ARK PB 19-18 TX TYL · ARK PB 1% → 1%
03
TX TYL serverAce+0.3%
UT Tyler ace on Haley Reeves
Set 1 · ARK PB 20-20 TX TYL · TX TYL 99% → 99%
04
Kate ChristiansenKill+0.3%
Kill by Kate Christiansen (set by Mia Cross)
Set 1 · ARK PB 20-19 TX TYL · TX TYL 99% → 99%
05
Kailey ManesKill+0.3%
Kill by Kailey Manes (set by Kate Christiansen)
Set 1 · ARK PB 20-21 TX TYL · TX TYL 99% → 99%
06
Zuzanna ZietekKill+0.2%
Kill by Zuzanna Zietek
Set 1 · ARK PB 11-6 TX TYL · ARK PB 1% → 1%
07
ARK PB serverAce+0.2%
Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Mia Cross
Set 1 · ARK PB 18-18 TX TYL · ARK PB 1% → 1%
08
Ashanti ButlerKill+0.2%
Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by Martyna Lubowicz)
Set 1 · ARK PB 12-8 TX TYL · ARK PB 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ark.-Pine Bluffaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Haley ReevesOH	3	7	5	28	.071	3	2	2	7	2	0	0	0	9
8Zuzanna ZietekOPP	3	8	4	21	.190	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
10Ashanti ButlerMB	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8
20Kennedy AdamsMB	3	3	1	10	.200	0	2	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
5Martyna LubowiczS	3	0	1	4	-.250	17	3	1	10	0	0	0	0	3
22Karli GloverOH	2	2	1	14	.071	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
1Jnireah HenryL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	4	0	1	14	1	0	0	0	0
6Kinsley HooperL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
11Marlina AndersonOH	2	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
14Ngozi NwosuMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
7London KingMB	2	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
12Kaylen RobinsonOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Ava MillerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
4Trinity GibbsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	20	112	.098	28	7	5	52	6	1	4	3	60

UT Tylerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Makhai LewisMB	3	5	2	9	.333	1	1	0	3	0	2	1	2.5	8.5
6Kailey ManesMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
17Melanie MerrillOH	3	6	7	27	-.037	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	6
22Riley ClintonS	3	1	0	2	.500	16	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
19Mia CrossOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	3	4	4	0	0	0	0
20Alyson RobbinsOH	2	5	1	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
15Sydney AtkinsonOH	3	7	0	16	.438	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	7
18Maya JonesOH	3	6	4	24	.083	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
23Kate ChristiansenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	2
9Kaitlyn DavisOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
4Anna ArceneauxL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	17	1	0	0	0	1
12Miley MyersOH	1	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
7Audrey BrandonMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	15	121	.223	40	6	6	51	7	2	2	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 ARK PB · TX TYL 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 7 ARK PBTX TYL 6

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 ARK PBTX TYL 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 ARK PBTX TYL 5

Bars above the line = UT Tyler leads, below = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ark.-Pine Bluff

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%6/17	56%5/9
2	43%6/14	60%9/15
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	38%5/13	63%10/16
5	21%3/14	29%2/7
6	38%3/8	0%0/3
All	39%29/74	51%31/61

UT Tyler

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%6/18	58%7/12
2	46%6/13	57%8/14
3	40%6/15	45%5/11
4	67%6/9	54%7/13
5	100%3/3	75%9/12
6	100%3/3	75%9/12
All	49%30/61	61%45/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	ARK PB-TX TYL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
2	0-2	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Alyson Robbins	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
3	1-2	TX TYL	ARK PB×7	Attack err	Melanie Merrill		+0.0
4	2-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Kill	Kennedy Adams	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
5	3-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Attack err	Melanie Merrill		+0.1
6	4-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Attack err	Melanie Merrill		+0.1
7	5-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Team	+0.1
8	6-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
9	7-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×7	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Anna Arceneaux	+0.2
10	7-3	ARK PB	TX TYL×3	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.1
11	7-4	TX TYL	TX TYL×3	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.1
12	7-5	TX TYL	TX TYL×3	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
13	8-5	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
14	9-5	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Melanie Merrill		+0.2
15	9-6	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Alyson Robbins	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
16	10-6	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
17	11-6	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.2
18	11-7	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Maya Jones	set Kate Christiansen	+0.2
19	11-8	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Anna Arceneaux	+0.2
20	12-8	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
21	12-9	ARK PB	TX TYL×4	Kill	Maya Jones	set Kate Christiansen	+0.2
22	12-10	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Kaylen Robinson		+0.2
23	12-11	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Kaylen Robinson		+0.1
24	12-12	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Karli Glover	blk Makhai Lewis	+0.1
25	13-12	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.2
26	13-13	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Makhai Lewis	set Kate Christiansen	+0.1
27	13-14	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Alyson Robbins	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
28	14-14	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.1
29	14-15	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Alyson Robbins	set Makhai Lewis	+0.1
30	15-15	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.2
31	15-16	ARK PB	TX TYL	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
32	16-16	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
33	16-17	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
34	16-18	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Kate Christiansen	+0.1
35	17-18	TX TYL	ARK PB×4	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
36	18-18	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Mia Cross	+0.2
37	19-18	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Mia Cross	+0.3
38	20-18	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.4
39	20-19	ARK PB	TX TYL×6	Kill	Kate Christiansen	set Mia Cross	+0.3
40	20-20	TX TYL	TX TYL×6	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.3
41	20-21	TX TYL	TX TYL×6	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Kate Christiansen	+0.3
42	20-22	TX TYL	TX TYL×6	Kill	Maya Jones	set Anna Arceneaux	+0.2
43	20-23	TX TYL	TX TYL×6	Kill	Maya Jones	set Anna Arceneaux	+0.1
44	20-24	TX TYL	TX TYL×6	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Kate Christiansen	+0.1
45	21-24	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
46	21-25	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Mia Cross	+0.0
2	2-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Melanie Merrill		+0.1
3	3-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Melanie Merrill	blk Zuzanna Zietek, Kennedy Adams	+0.1
4	4-0	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Haley Reeves	+0.1
5	4-1	ARK PB	TX TYL×4	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
6	4-2	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.1
7	4-3	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Kill	Alyson Robbins	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
8	4-4	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
9	5-4	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
10	6-4	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Alyson Robbins		+0.1
11	6-5	ARK PB	TX TYL	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
12	6-6	TX TYL	TX TYL	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.0
13	7-6	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
14	7-7	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
15	7-8	TX TYL	TX TYL	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.0
16	8-8	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
17	9-8	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Maya Jones		+0.1
18	9-9	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Maya Jones	set Kate Christiansen	+0.1
19	10-9	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Karli Glover	set London King	+0.1
20	10-10	ARK PB	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Haley Reeves	blk Makhai Lewis	+0.1
21	10-11	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Kill	Makhai Lewis	set Riley Clinton	+0.1
22	10-12	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Jnireah Henry		+0.0
23	10-13	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Team	+0.0
24	10-14	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.0
25	11-14	TX TYL	ARK PB	Attack err	Makhai Lewis		+0.0
26	11-15	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Riley Clinton	set Sydney Atkinson	+0.0
27	12-15	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Marlina Anderson	set London King	+0.0
28	13-15	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
29	13-16	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Makhai Lewis	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
30	13-17	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
31	14-17	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
32	15-17	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Melanie Merrill	blk Zuzanna Zietek, Kennedy Adams	+0.1
33	15-18	ARK PB	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.0
34	15-19	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.0
35	15-20	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Kill	Maya Jones	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
36	15-21	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
37	16-21	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.0
38	16-22	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Kailey Manes	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
39	17-22	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.0
40	17-23	ARK PB	TX TYL×3	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
41	17-24	TX TYL	TX TYL×3	Kill	Makhai Lewis	set Maya Jones	+0.0
42	17-25	TX TYL	TX TYL×3	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.0
2	0-2	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.0
3	0-3	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
4	0-4	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.0
5	0-5	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Kill	Melanie Merrill	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
6	1-5	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.0
7	1-6	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Miley Myers	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
8	1-7	TX TYL	TX TYL	Kill	Miley Myers	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
9	2-7	TX TYL	ARK PB×5	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Jnireah Henry	+0.0
10	3-7	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Mia Cross	+0.0
11	4-7	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Jnireah Henry	+0.0
12	5-7	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Team	+0.0
13	6-7	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Jnireah Henry	+0.0
14	6-8	ARK PB	TX TYL	Attack err	Ngozi Nwosu		+0.0
15	7-8	TX TYL	ARK PB×4	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
16	8-8	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Haley Reeves	+0.0
17	9-8	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Melanie Merrill	blk Ashanti Butler	+0.0
18	10-8	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Maya Jones		+0.0
19	10-9	ARK PB	TX TYL	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.0
20	11-9	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
21	11-10	ARK PB	TX TYL×4	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
22	11-11	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Jnireah Henry	+0.0
23	11-12	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Bad set	Ava Miller		+0.0
24	11-13	TX TYL	TX TYL×4	Attack err	Marlina Anderson		+0.0
25	12-13	TX TYL	ARK PB	Attack err	Maya Jones		+0.0
26	12-14	ARK PB	TX TYL×5	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Kate Christiansen	+0.0
27	12-15	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Trinity Gibbs	+0.0
28	12-16	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.0
29	12-17	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Attack err	Kennedy Adams		+0.0
30	12-18	TX TYL	TX TYL×5	Kill	Sydney Atkinson	set Anna Arceneaux	+0.0
31	13-18	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.0
32	13-19	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Makhai Lewis	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
33	14-19	TX TYL	ARK PB	Serve err	TX TYL server		+0.0
34	15-19	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Makhai Lewis		+0.0
35	15-20	ARK PB	TX TYL	Kill	Miley Myers	set Riley Clinton	+0.0
36	15-21	TX TYL	TX TYL	Ace	TX TYL server	aced Trinity Gibbs	+0.0
37	16-21	TX TYL	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Jnireah Henry	+0.0
38	16-22	ARK PB	TX TYL	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.0
39	17-22	TX TYL	ARK PB×3	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Jnireah Henry	+0.0
40	18-22	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Kill	Kennedy Adams	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
41	19-22	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Miley Myers		+0.0
42	19-23	ARK PB	TX TYL	Attack err	Martyna Lubowicz		+0.0
43	20-23	TX TYL	ARK PB×3	Kill	Kennedy Adams	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.0
44	21-23	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Kill	Marlina Anderson	set Haley Reeves	+0.0
45	22-23	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Maya Jones		+0.1
46	22-24	ARK PB	TX TYL	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
47	22-25	TX TYL	TX TYL	Attack err	Marlina Anderson	blk Makhai Lewis, Maya Jones	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Ark.-Pine Bluff first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.