Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Jacksonville def. Bellarmine 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Jacksonville 59.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Jacksonville won at Bellarmine 3-1 (18-25, 25-21, 25-19, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Abbie Tuyo and Claire Mrukowski led Jacksonville with 10 kills each; Bellarmine's Mady Yaden had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
JVILLE182525253
BELLAR252119151

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, and Jacksonville needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Jacksonville's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Jacksonville 60% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Jacksonville 21–21 Bellarmine

    Jacksonville closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–21 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Jacksonville.

    Jacksonville 37% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Jacksonville 14–16 Bellarmine

    4 straight Jacksonville points turned a 14–16 deficit into an 18–16 lead. The match swung to Jacksonville.

    Jacksonville 47% → 66%

Bellarmine above 50Jacksonville belowMax swing 6.9%

JacksonvilleBellarmine

Sideout %
Jacksonville 61.7·Bellarmine 53.3
Break %
Jacksonville 46.7·Bellarmine 38.3
Hitting
Jacksonville .267·Bellarmine .136
Longest run
Jacksonville 6·Bellarmine 5

Claire Mrukowski
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .304, 10.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bellarmine above 50 · Jacksonville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.9% JVILLErally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.9% to Jacksonville — set 2, JVILLE 22-21 BELLAR. Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Selah Simien). BELLAR win probability 63% → 56%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JVILLE 51.6%48.4% BELLAR

Jacksonville wins

3-0
13.2%
3-1
19.4%
3-2
19.0%

Bellarmine wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.1%
3-2
18.5%
JVILLE break %
43.3% vs this opp
BELLAR break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Selah Simien)

    Set 2 · JVILLE 22-21 BELLAR · JVILLE 37% → 44%

  2. 02
    Abbie TuyoKill+6.6%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Selah Simien)

    Set 2 · JVILLE 23-21 BELLAR · JVILLE 44% → 51%

  3. 03
    Kathryn AdlerAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Kathryn Adler

    Set 2 · JVILLE 19-20 BELLAR · BELLAR 61% → 67%

  4. 04
    Mady YadenAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Mady Yaden

    Set 3 · JVILLE 17-16 BELLAR · JVILLE 56% → 61%

  5. 05

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 3 · JVILLE 18-16 BELLAR · JVILLE 61% → 66%

  6. 06

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 3 · JVILLE 16-16 BELLAR · JVILLE 50% → 56%

  7. 07

    Kill by Emersen Strain

    Set 3 · JVILLE 21-18 BELLAR · JVILLE 67% → 72%

  8. 08
    JacksonvilleAce+5.0%

    Jacksonville ace on Ava Long

    Set 2 · JVILLE 19-18 BELLAR · JVILLE 38% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49328.214341133031.514.5
410439.154022102010.512.5
410323.30420050010.510.5
47214.35700210031.58.5
46210.40000030031.57.5
22211.0001201510002
4000–3031020000
4000–400700000
3617.71400020010.56.5
32021.0001511400003
31011.0001300600001
15Ana TobarL/DS
3000–010400001
Team totals5317135.26752810708012693
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412638.15800020010.512.5
411634.1470000100011
49643.070002160010.59.5
45214.214001101227
44211.182033300007
4107.1433511400002
4000–042410004
4000–000340000
4000–4001810000
Team totals4222147.136398951814380

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Jacksonville vs Bellarmine

Season series · Jacksonville leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 JVILLE · BELLAR 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 JVILLEBELLAR 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 JVILLEBELLAR 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 JVILLEBELLAR 5

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 6 JVILLEBELLAR 3

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Jacksonville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
64%14/22
2
50%10/20
23%3/13
3
69%9/13
38%6/16
4
78%7/9
56%9/16
5
78%7/9
56%9/16
6
54%7/13
22%2/9
All
62%50/81
47%43/92

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
40%6/15
2
56%10/18
52%11/21
3
73%8/11
31%4/13
4
47%7/15
33%4/12
5
44%7/16
22%2/9
6
54%7/13
36%4/11
All
53%49/92
38%31/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#JVILLE-BELLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BELLARBELLARAttack errAddison Krieger+2.4
20-2BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.4
31-2BELLARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+1.8
41-3JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+2.0
52-3BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.9
63-3JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Abbie Lyttle+2.5
73-4JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.0
84-4BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.0
94-5JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.1
105-5BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+2.0
115-6JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+2.1
126-6BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+2.1
136-7JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.2
146-8BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.8
157-8BELLARJVILLE×3Serve errBellarmine+2.1
168-8JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errMady Yaden+2.8
179-8JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Ava Long+2.8
189-9JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.3
199-10BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Elle Kennedy+3.0
2010-10BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.3
2110-11JVILLEBELLAR×3Attack errAbbie Tuyo+2.5
2210-12BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Abbie Tuyo+3.2
2310-13BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.1
2411-13BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+2.2
2511-14JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.5
2612-14BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+2.2
2712-15JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.6
2812-16BELLARBELLARBlockedAna Nastaseblk Natalie Bland, Mary Herman+3.0
2913-16BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+1.9
3013-17JVILLEBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.4
3113-18BELLARBELLARAttack errAbbie Tuyo+2.5
3214-18BELLARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+1.4
3314-19JVILLEBELLARBlockedClaire Mrukowskiblk Mary Herman, Mady Yaden+2.0
3414-20BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.7
3515-20BELLARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+0.8
3615-21JVILLEBELLARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.3
3716-21BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.7
3816-22JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+1.1
3916-23BELLARBELLARBad setAna Nastase+0.7
4017-23BELLARJVILLEAttack errAbby Julius+0.2
4118-23JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.4
4218-24JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+0.7
4318-25BELLARBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.2
Set 2
10-1JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+2.1
21-1BELLARJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+2.1
32-1JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedMya Whiteblk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger+2.6
43-1JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonville+2.5
53-2JVILLEBELLAR×3Attack errClaire Mrukowski+2.0
63-3BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.7
73-4BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAbbie Tuyo+2.8
84-4BELLARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+2.2
94-5JVILLEBELLARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.3
104-6BELLARBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Payton Parsons+2.9
115-6BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.2
126-6JVILLEJVILLEAttack errMary Herman+2.9
136-7JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.4
147-7BELLARJVILLE×3KillJade Cuya Cobosset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.4
158-7JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Ava Long+3.0
169-7JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+3.0
179-8JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.3
1810-8BELLARJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.4
1911-8JVILLEJVILLEAttack errMady Yaden+2.9
2011-9JVILLEBELLAR×3KillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+2.1
2111-10BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAna Nastase+3.0
2211-11BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.4
2312-11BELLARJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.7
2413-11JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Selah Simien+3.4
2513-12JVILLEBELLAR×3KillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+2.6
2613-13BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Elle Kennedy+3.6
2713-14BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Ana Nastase+3.9
2814-14BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+3.0
2914-15JVILLEBELLARBad setAna Nastase+3.2
3014-16BELLARBELLARAttack errAddison Krieger+4.1
3115-16BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Claire Mrukowski+3.0
3215-17JVILLEBELLARAttack errClaire Mrukowski+3.5
3316-17BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+3.1
3416-18JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+3.7
3517-18BELLARJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+3.3
3618-18JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedAbby Juliusblk Haley Yount, Abbie Tuyo+4.7
3719-18JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Ava Long+5.0
3819-19JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+4.0
3919-20BELLARBELLARAttack errKathryn Adler+5.7
4020-20BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+4.4
4120-21JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+5.0
4221-21BELLARJVILLE×5KillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+4.8
4322-21JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Selah Simien+6.9
4423-21JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Selah Simien+6.6
4524-21JVILLEJVILLE×5KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+4.7
4625-21JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errNatalie Bland+1.9
Set 3
11-0BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.5
21-1JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+2.5
32-1BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.5
42-2JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.6
53-2BELLARJVILLEAttack errNatalie Bland+2.6
64-2JVILLEJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Selah Simien+3.2
74-3JVILLEBELLARBlockedHaley Yountblk Mary Herman+2.5
85-3BELLARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.6
95-4JVILLEBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.5
106-4BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+2.6
116-5JVILLEBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.6
127-5BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.7
137-6JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+2.6
148-6BELLARJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+2.8
158-7JVILLEBELLAR×5Serve errJacksonville+2.7
168-8BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.7
178-9BELLARBELLAR×5Bad setElle Kennedy+3.9
188-10BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Abbie Tuyo+4.0
198-11BELLARBELLAR×5KillMya White+3.9
209-11BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+2.8
219-12JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.2
2210-12BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+2.8
2310-13JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+3.3
2411-13BELLARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.9
2512-13JVILLEJVILLEBlockedNatalie Blandblk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler+4.1
2612-14JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.7
2713-14BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+3.4
2814-14JVILLEJVILLEAttack errMady Yaden+4.6
2914-15JVILLEBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+3.9
3014-16BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+5.0
3115-16BELLARJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+3.6
3216-16JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+5.1
3317-16JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errMady Yaden+5.3
3418-16JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+5.2
3518-17JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+3.8
3619-17BELLARJVILLEServe errBellarmine+4.4
3719-18JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+4.0
3820-18BELLARJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+4.7
3921-18JVILLEJVILLE×4KillEmersen Strain+5.1
4022-18JVILLEJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+3.7
4123-18JVILLEJVILLE×4KillEmersen Strainset Claire Mrukowski+2.1
4223-19JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.7
4324-19BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.3
4425-19JVILLEJVILLEBad setAbbie Lyttle+0.4
Set 4
11-0JVILLEJVILLEAttack errMady Yaden+2.9
22-0JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.8
32-1JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+2.2
43-1BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+2.3
53-2JVILLEBELLARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.2
64-2BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.3
74-3JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.3
85-3BELLARJVILLE×6Serve errBellarmine+2.4
96-3JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errNatalie Bland+2.8
107-3JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errMary Herman+2.6
118-3JVILLEJVILLE×6KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.3
129-3JVILLEJVILLE×6KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.9
1310-3JVILLEJVILLE×6BlockedMya Whiteblk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Haley Yount+1.6
1410-4JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.0
1510-5BELLARBELLARAttack errHaley Yount+1.6
1611-5BELLARJVILLE×5KillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.5
1712-5JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errNatalie Bland+1.5
1813-5JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Payton Parsons+1.2
1914-5JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Ava Long+0.8
2015-5JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errNatalie Bland+0.5
2115-6JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+0.3
2216-6BELLARJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+0.4
2316-7JVILLEBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.2
2416-8BELLARBELLARKillMady Yadenset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
2517-8BELLARJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
2618-8JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Mya White+0.4
2719-8JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errMady Yaden+0.2
2819-9JVILLEBELLAR×3Serve errJacksonville+0.1
2919-10BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAbbie Tuyo+0.2
3019-11BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.3
3120-11BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.3
3221-11JVILLEJVILLEBlockedMya Whiteblk Addison Krieger, Claire Mrukowski+0.2
3321-12JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3422-12BELLARJVILLEAttack errMya White+0.1
3523-12JVILLEJVILLEAttack errMya White·
3623-13JVILLEBELLAR×3KillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes·
3723-14BELLARBELLAR×3AceBellarmineaced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo·
3823-15BELLARBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Emersen Strain·
3924-15BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.1
4025-15JVILLEJVILLEBlockedMya Whiteblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo·

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).