FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Jacksonville def. Bellarmine 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Jacksonville 67.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Jacksonville beat visiting Bellarmine 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 25-18) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Jacksonville's Abbie Tuyo led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
BELLAR2018180
JVILLE2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Jacksonville swept Bellarmine.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.4 points. Bellarmine peaked at 41% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Jacksonville went in as RallyIQ's 68% pick.

BellarmineJacksonville
  • Break %+17.3 pts
    29.346.6

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 73 vs 17 of 58. Bellarmine sided out 53.4% of the time.

  • Hitting+.162
    .191.353

    46 kills, 10 errors vs 39 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    Jacksonville scored 7 straight in the second set to turn a 7–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead. The set finished 25–18.

Jacksonville above 50Bellarmine belowMax swing 3.4%

BellarmineJacksonville

Aces
Bellarmine 3·Jacksonville 2
Serve err
Bellarmine 7·Jacksonville 3
Blocks
Bellarmine 8·Jacksonville 81 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Bellarmine 40·Jacksonville 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Jacksonville above 50 · Bellarmine below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% JVILLErally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Jacksonville — set 1, BELLAR 18-21 JVILLE. Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Alija Heins). JVILLE win probability 74% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELLAR 29.6%70.4% JVILLE

Bellarmine wins

3-0
5.6%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.6%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
23.5%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
19.8%
BELLAR break %
40.8% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Alija Heins)

    Set 1 · BELLAR 18-21 JVILLE · JVILLE 74% → 77%

  2. 02
    Mya WhiteKill+3.3%

    Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 1 · BELLAR 17-18 JVILLE · BELLAR 26% → 30%

  3. 03

    Maddie Hagan stuffed by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo & Alija Heins

    Set 1 · BELLAR 18-20 JVILLE · JVILLE 71% → 74%

  4. 04
    Payton ParsonsAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Payton Parsons

    Set 1 · BELLAR 10-10 JVILLE · JVILLE 63% → 66%

  5. 05

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Elle Kennedy)

    Set 1 · BELLAR 10-11 JVILLE · JVILLE 66% → 69%

  6. 06

    Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Elle Kennedy)

    Set 1 · BELLAR 17-19 JVILLE · JVILLE 70% → 73%

  7. 07

    Abbie Tuyo stuffed by Maddie Carnes & Abby Julius

    Set 1 · BELLAR 9-6 JVILLE · BELLAR 38% → 41%

  8. 08
    Abbie TuyoKill+2.7%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)

    Set 1 · BELLAR 13-16 JVILLE · JVILLE 72% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39419.26300000153.512.5
310538.1320109000011
38324.208000200219
35210.300022000218
36315.200000100217
3102.500330160031.52.5
3011-1.000302910000
3000–001500000
3000–001800000
1001.000000000000
Team totals3918110.1913637402114856
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313331.3230017100013
311124.41710060031.512.5
39419.263210100031.511.5
38116.43800000111.59.5
3217.143302000635
3305.600360080010.53.5
3000–3101010001
1000–000010000
1000–000000000
Team totals4610102.3534523413114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bellarmine vs Jacksonville

Season series · Jacksonville leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BELLAR · JVILLE 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 BELLARJVILLE 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 BELLARJVILLE 7

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 BELLARJVILLE 4

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
36%4/11
2
44%8/18
38%5/13
3
88%7/8
33%4/12
4
55%6/11
30%3/10
5
42%5/12
0%0/6
6
38%5/13
17%1/6
All
53%39/73
29%17/58

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
45%5/11
2
80%8/10
47%7/15
3
57%8/14
43%6/14
4
100%7/7
22%2/9
5
100%5/5
69%11/16
6
83%5/6
38%3/8
All
71%41/58
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#BELLAR-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.3
22-0BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+2.4
32-1BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.7
43-1JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+1.9
53-2BELLARJVILLEBlockedNatalie Blandblk Alija Heins, Claire Mrukowski+1.7
64-2JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+1.9
75-2BELLARBELLARAceAbby Juliusaced Selah Simien+2.5
85-3BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.7
95-4JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.4
106-4JVILLEBELLARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.0
116-5BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.9
127-5JVILLEBELLARBlockedHaley Yountblk Erika Smith+2.1
137-6BELLARJVILLEAttack errErika Smith+1.9
148-6JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.1
159-6BELLARBELLARBlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Maddie Carnes, Abby Julius+2.8
169-7BELLARJVILLEKillJade Cuya Cobosset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.9
179-8JVILLEJVILLEBlockedMya Whiteblk Claire Mrukowski, Alija Heins+2.7
1810-8JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.2
1910-9BELLARJVILLE×4KillAlija Heinsset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.1
2010-10JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errPayton Parsons+2.9
2110-11JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+2.9
2210-12JVILLEJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+2.7
2311-12JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+2.0
2411-13BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.1
2512-13JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.1
2612-14BELLARJVILLEServe errAbby Julius+2.2
2713-14JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.1
2813-15BELLARJVILLEAttack errErika Smith+2.3
2913-16JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.7
3014-16JVILLEBELLARAttack errNatalie Bland+1.8
3114-17BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.1
3215-17JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.9
3315-18BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Alija Heins+2.2
3416-18JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+1.9
3517-18BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+3.3
3617-19BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+2.8
3718-19JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+2.6
3818-20BELLARJVILLE×4BlockedMaddie Haganblk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Alija Heins+3.1
3918-21JVILLEJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Alija Heins+3.4
4018-22JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.4
4118-23JVILLEJVILLE×4Serve errJacksonville+1.3
4219-23JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+0.4
4319-24BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
4420-24JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
4520-25BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.4
Set 2
11-0JVILLEBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.5
22-0BELLARBELLAR×5KillMaddie Hagan+2.0
33-0BELLARBELLAR×5BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Erika Smith, Maddie Hagan+2.0
44-0BELLARBELLAR×5KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.0
55-0BELLARBELLAR×5AceAbby Juliusaced Abbie Tuyo+1.9
65-1BELLARJVILLE×4Serve errAbby Julius+1.2
75-2JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedMaddie Haganblk Alija Heins, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.8
85-3JVILLEJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.9
95-4JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.0
106-4JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.7
117-4BELLARBELLARBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Maddie Carnes, Erika Smith+2.2
127-5BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.5
138-5JVILLEBELLAR×3Serve errJacksonville+1.7
149-5BELLARBELLAR×3AceNatalie Blandaced Elle Kennedy+2.2
1510-5BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedClaire Mrukowskiblk Mya White, Erika Smith+2.0
1610-6BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.3
1710-7JVILLEJVILLEAttack errErika Smith+1.9
1811-7JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.7
1911-8BELLARJVILLE×7Serve errPayton Parsons+1.5
2011-9JVILLEJVILLE×7KillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+2.2
2111-10JVILLEJVILLE×7BlockedMya Whiteblk Haley Yount+2.4
2211-11JVILLEJVILLE×7KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.5
2311-12JVILLEJVILLE×7Attack errAbby Julius+2.5
2411-13JVILLEJVILLE×7KillJade Cuya Cobosset Maddie Carnes+2.4
2511-14JVILLEJVILLE×7KillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.1
2612-14JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.5
2712-15BELLARJVILLE×4Serve errMaddie Carnes+1.7
2812-16JVILLEJVILLE×4AceElle Kennedy+1.9
2912-17JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.4
3012-18JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAlija Heinsset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.0
3113-18JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.5
3213-19BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.7
3314-19JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.5
3414-20BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.7
3514-21JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
3615-21JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.2
3715-22BELLARJVILLEBad setMaddie Carnes+0.3
3816-22JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.1
3917-22BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.3
4017-23BELLARJVILLEAttack errNatalie Bland+0.4
4118-23JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.2
4218-24BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
4318-25JVILLEJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.1
Set 3
10-1BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
21-1JVILLEBELLARServe errJacksonville+0.8
32-1BELLARBELLARAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.2
42-2BELLARJVILLEServe errAbbie Lyttle+0.8
52-3JVILLEJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.1
63-3JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+0.9
74-3BELLARBELLARKillErika Smith+1.2
84-4BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Claire Mrukowski+0.9
95-4JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.9
105-5BELLARJVILLE×3Serve errAva Long+0.9
115-6JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errErika Smith+1.2
125-7JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedNatalie Blandblk Jade Cuya Cobos, Haley Yount+1.1
136-7JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.9
146-8BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
157-8JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+0.9
167-9BELLARJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
177-10JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.1
187-11JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedMya Whiteblk Alija Heins, Claire Mrukowski+1.0
197-12JVILLEJVILLE×4KillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
208-12JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Carnes+0.5
219-12BELLARBELLARBlockedAlija Heinsblk Abby Julius, Mya White+0.9
229-13BELLARJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
2310-13JVILLEBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.7
2410-14BELLARJVILLEBlockedMaddie Haganblk Alija Heins, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.8
2510-15JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Alija Heins+0.8
2611-15JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.5
2712-15BELLARBELLARBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Maddie Hagan, Erika Smith+0.9
2812-16BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
2913-16JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.7
3013-17BELLARJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
3113-18JVILLEJVILLEAceJaylyn Tuiasosopoaced Payton Parsons+0.8
3214-18JVILLEBELLARBlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes+0.5
3314-19BELLARJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
3415-19JVILLEBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.4
3515-20BELLARJVILLEServe errPayton Parsons+0.6
3615-21JVILLEJVILLEAttack errAbby Julius+0.5
3716-21JVILLEBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
3816-22BELLARJVILLEKillJade Cuya Cobosset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.3
3917-22JVILLEBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+0.2
4017-23BELLARJVILLEAttack errNatalie Bland+0.3
4117-24JVILLEJVILLEAttack errNatalie Bland+0.1
4218-24JVILLEBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes·
4318-25BELLARJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos·

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).